With TSM reporting tomorrow, I’m curious how people here are positioning or thinking about the setup.
ASML just reported and broadly met expectations, but the stock still sold off. That makes me wonder whether the market is currently more sensitive to guidance and forward outlook rather than headline beats.
Given how closely TSM is tied to the broader semiconductor cycle (and to names like ASML, NVDA, etc.), do you think:
– The ASML reaction is a read-through for TSM?
– Expectations for TSM are already too high?
– Or is this just short-term positioning / profit-taking?
Personally trying to figure out whether the risk is skewed to the downside even on a “good” report.
Would appreciate any views, especially around demand outlook (AI vs broader semis) and margins.
Position: No current position in TSM
TSM earnings tomorrow, any thoughts?
byu/Original_Line_6142 instocks
Posted by Original_Line_6142
5 Comments
I can’t predict the future, but one thing I can predict is that TSM is one of those types of companies I personally will buy on any irrational sell off or weakness
I just bought 4 this morning, my first position. Been sitting on the sidelines since 2024 and regret it every time I look back at it
Based on how much TSMC has risen in the Taiwan stock market over the past week, I’m betting they will probably blow past earnings expectations.
ASML was up 30 percent ytd. Expectations were high coming in. TSM will probably be the same too.
They’re gonna have to blow it out of the water to keep on running higher.
I just own Broadcom in the semiconductor space.
My crystal ball says hold for the next 15 years