Polymarket traders give 12% chance that Strategy sells Bitcoin this year

    https://www.reddit.com/gallery/1smexzn

    Posted by Next_Statement6145

    11 Comments

    1. Whether it’s a good investment or not, 12% seems wildly high

      Especially given the company’s multi-billion dollar cash reserve. What would be the point?

    2. You can put all your money on the under. Mike ain’t selling Bitcoin unless he absolutely has to, and nothing can happen that could even possibly make him have to until 2028 when the first of the converts come due. Sell your organs and bet the under here. Easy money.

    3. Sufficient_Fuel5269 on

      They have always maintained that it is a very long-term investment… who is that 12%? 🧐

    4. What would stop anyone at MicroStrategy with inside knowledge (including the company itself) from betting on this?

      Are we entering a world where fake bets are posted just to bleed poor and middle class schmucks even more?

    5. Michael Sailor should buy all the sell bets he can and then sell 1 BTC. Could use the profit to buy more bitcoin. That’s what a real bitcoin maximalist would do.

    6. cashflashmil on

      12% feels fair, maybe even a bit high.

      If Strategy sells this year, it probably won’t be because they suddenly turned bearish on Bitcoin. It would be because financing, liquidity, or balance-sheet pressure forced their hand.

      That’s an important difference.

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