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    Why Everyone’s Wrong About the Bitcoin Bottom | James Check



    Why Everyone’s Wrong About the Bitcoin Bottom | James Check

    Mentor Sessions Ep. 063: “Sellers Exhausted” – Bitcoin On-Chain Proof The Bottom Is Forming, and James Check’s Bold Shot at 100K | James Check

    The charts are sending a signal — but is anyone reading them correctly?

    James Check (Checkmatey), one of Bitcoin’s most respected on-chain analysts, sits down with BTC Sessions to cut through the noise on where Bitcoin actually stands right now. From sentiment extremes and on-chain bottom indicators to the silver market FOMO spilling into crypto, macro headwinds, and the long-term future of Bitcoin mining under quantum computing pressure — this is the data-driven Bitcoin conversation you have been waiting for. After watching, you will know exactly which on-chain metrics to watch, why macro conditions are shaping this cycle differently, and what serious Bitcoiners are doing with this information right now.

    ⏱️ Timestamps:
    0:00 – Intro & Teaser: Seller Exhaustion in Bitcoin
    0:54 – James Check Joins the Show
    1:18 – The Silver FOMO Story: James Check’s Real-World Sentiment Experiment
    6:24 – Current Bitcoin Sentiment: Geopolitical Chaos vs Seller Exhaustion
    9:13 – James Check’s Thesis: Why 2025 Was Actually a Bear Market
    11:16 – 60K Capitulation: Bottom 10% of All Days & “Deep Value”
    16:55 – Key On-Chain Metrics: Realized Price, True Market Mean & Cycle Position
    20:06 – On-Chain Volume Collapse & Long-Term Holder Behavior
    24:02 – Sponsor: BTC Mentor (Personalized Bitcoin Guidance)
    25:26 – ETFs, Institutions & Retail Demand – What the Data Actually Shows
    28:40 – Time Pain Ahead? Relief Rally or More Chop?
    33:58 – Bitcoin Miner Capitulation, AI Pivot & Power Strategy
    42:33 – Corporate Bitcoin Treasury Strategy – Is the Play Over?
    44:44 – Quantum Computing Threat to Bitcoin: James Check’s Balanced View
    57:08 – Final Prediction: Bottom Before Year-End + Shot at 100K?
    58:01 – Outro & Where to Find James Check

    🔗 Links & Resources:
    James Check: https://x.com/_Checkmatey_
    https://www.checkonchain.com/

    Bitcoin Survival Workshop: https://btcmentor.io/bitcoin-survival-workshop-2026/

    📌 Previous Episode: Simon Dixon & Larry Lepard → https://youtu.be/YbdduZNB0so

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    💡BOOK Private Sessions with Nathan, Gary, or Ben at Bitcoin Mentor: Master self-custody, hardware, multisig, Lightning, privacy, and more. 👉 Visit btcmentor.io

    Follow Us on X:
    • BTC Sessions: @BTCsessions
    • Nathan: @theBTCmentor
    • Gary: @GaryLeeNYC

    #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCSessions #JamesCheck #OnChainAnalysis #BitcoinMarket #BitcoinMining #QuantumComputing
    #BitcoinCycle #MacroEconomics #BitcoinAnalysis #Glassnode #BitcoinEducation #CryptoAnalysis #bitcoinprice #bitcoinpodcast

    44 Comments

    11. @mattsmith6828 on

      this whole trying to time the bottom is almost meaningless to me. i DCA when price climb, then when it falls 30% I press the big, green BUY button.
      it's simple and i have zero regrets with this strategy.

    14. @Birch37 on

      How can you estimate the price of mining Bitcoin when you don't know the cost? Hydrogen, wind, solar, nuclear power, in different countries are all different prices. Reports suggest Iran is mining at a fraction of the cost. Confused…….

    26. @PatPawlowski-d7e on

      Bitcoin has already hit a new all-time high, and the momentum behind it is still strong. But it's important to recognize what’s really driving this surge: growing institutional adoption, increased global interest as a hedge against fiat instability, rising stablecoin inflows, and mounting geopolitical tensions have all played major roles. This isn’t just hype it’s a shift in how Bitcoin is viewed globally. While the market remains volatile, the fundamentals behind this rally are stronger than in previous cycles. For those looking to get involved, timing and strategy are everything. i have managed to grow a nest egg of around 100k to a decent 932k in the space of a few months.Grateful as always, Linda Keichian, for your ongoing updates and support.

    30. @DeFiTitan on

      After watching this Bitcoin video, I finally realized how complex the market really is! 📈 Amazing analysis! Have you checked my profile for more insights?

    31. @WayneBailey8677 on

      Watching the crypto market's ups and downs shows how quickly things can change. The recent misinformation incident reminds us that external factors can shake things up. In crypto, strategic, informed trading isn't a choice; it's a must. Remember, caution is as crucial as ambition here. Stay alert, diversify, and let's ride this unpredictable market together. At the core is Lewis Reacher, whose deep understanding of crypto and traditional trading is key. His all-encompassing investment approach and staying updated on trends make him a valuable ally in this crypto era..

    37. @DxV04 on

      I wouldn't invite this guy ever. He likes to use big words but says nothing. Maybe this maybe that. Can some point to a time stamp where he actually commits?

    38. @DxV04 on

      Just jump to the end if you want to fin out what he thinks. He said it should bottom around 50 but not 40 k and it should be close to 100k by the end of the year.

    40. @bitcoincustomerservice2770 on

      What makes anybody thinks Iran will get to charge a ransom to use the Strait of Hormuz?!
      Raz Al-Khaimah and Fujairah of the UAE, right on the OTHER SIDER of the Strait, are big oil producers AND our allies!!
      Trump is going to go to all this trouble with Iran, then walk away from his Arab allies?! …just like Trump's NATO allies walked away from him?!
      Look at a map and stop listening to the Mainstream Tardia.
      Not gonna happen.
      I was in Dubai when the war started…the UAE will do more with Bitcoin than Iran.

      BTW: Did Iran suffer a precipitous drop in Bitcoin hash-rate after US strikes began?
      Yes! Yes they did! So, do you think those idiots are selling Bitcoin right now?! Yes they are!
      Do you think they're scared shitless of their power plants getting wiped out? Yes they are!

      I would have thought James Check would have caught that one…but the question was never asked.

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