Will the natural gas discovery save Turkey?
According to end-of-2025 data, exports increased by 4.4% to 273.4 billion dollars, while imports rose by 6.2% to 365.5 billion dollars.
For example, more than 70% of the world’s boron resources are said to be in Turkey, and it is believed there may be even more within Turkish territory. However, based on roughly the last 10 years of statistics, our annual revenue from boron is around 1–3 billion dollars, even after increasing 2–3 times. Meanwhile, countries like China and the United States reportedly earn over 20–30 billion dollars annually from boron; China, if I remember correctly, earns around 70–80 billion dollars per year.
Turkey’s energy dependency is one of the main drivers of its foreign trade deficit.
Amount: In 2025, the energy import bill was approximately 62.5 billion dollars.
The majority of this consists of crude oil and natural gas. In February 2026, the energy bill dropped to 4.9 billion dollars due to declining prices.
Turkey’s natural gas reserves are estimated at 785 billion cubic meters, with most of these discoveries made in the last five years.
If reserves 6–8 times larger than the current ones are found, the deficit could drop to zero or even turn into a surplus. My research and various claims point in this direction.
I think it is highly likely that such discoveries will be made. In fact, I believe we could find even several times more. What do you think, friends? I truly want our country to achieve prosperity, grow stronger, and develop.
I wish natural gas could save Türkiye.
byu/Lost-Row-2229 inenergy
Posted by Lost-Row-2229
1 Comment
I don’t know why a country like Turkey isn’t going hard on electrification and PV. You have conditions over there that are much closer to California or South Australia instead of anything European. PV investments have a payback period of like 3-5 years, way below gas power plants, and below *most other possible investments*.
Hydropower has its own issues, especially considering that water is getting increasingly scarce. Coal is expensive. Considering everything the only usage of natural gas should be as a resource in the industry (like for example fertilizer production). Not for burning it.
Turkey could be energy-independent if it wanted, and a powerhouse for having low energy costs.