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    Who is selling their stocks before oil/fertiliser supply shocks rock the global economy?

    I might be about to learn a hard lesson.

    On April 7th, I sold my entire ETF portfolio. I’ve never done anything like that before. I’ve always been a set-and-forget investor, DCA’ing into broad market ETFs.

    This time it felt different. I got pretty caught up in the reddit coverage around the Strait of Hormuz and started convincing myself a major correction (or even a crash) is coming.

    Now I’m sitting in cash, wondering if I’ve made a clever move or just fallen into the classic trap of thinking I can time the market.

    Part of me thinks I’m being disciplined and early. Another part thinks I’ve just let fear (and a bit of greed) take over.

    Is anyone else here feeling this way right now? Or have I overreacted to noise and macro headlines?

    Also curious how others are thinking about this:

    – Do events like this actually shift your long-term strategy?

    – Or do you just stick to DCA and ride it out regardless?

    Keen to hear some grounded perspectives.

    Who is selling their stocks before oil/fertiliser supply shocks rock the global economy?
    byu/EmergentArticle inStockMarket



    Posted by EmergentArticle

    28 Comments

    1. FabricationLife on

      What in the last twenty days of trading price action makes you think we are going down? this market is going up despite the doomers on reddit

    2. SpecialistLawyer8994 on

      All just bumps in the road brother. I know it’s hard but unless you need the money you’re far better off not touching it.

    6. ContextFew721 on

      Whether you’ll make any extra upside by selling is yet to be seen, but the fact that you’re going to pay a huge tax bill next year is now guaranteed.

      My general practice is to always hold, and if I’m actually strapped for cash during an opportunity, to buy with margin and pay myself back later

    7. Keviticas on

      Just use your brain. No matter what happens global economies are going to get rocked in the coming weeks and months, that’s just the deal, nothing can escape that now. The stock market is largely unaffected by the actual economy these days because it runs on vibes and market manipulation more than on fundamentals and sensibilities, but at a certain point of devastation, even the vibes will run dry.

      Realistically the market will be tumultuously up and down for a while, at least a couple of weeks or maybe a little more or less, before the big crash hits. The vibes and manipulation can’t ignore a fractured economy forever

    8. Infurium on

      You made the mistake I see all over Reddit — trying to out think the market.

      Don’t react to news, react to the market.

    10. Camaro684 on

      If you have to ask reddit for investing advice, you should just quit investing or put in all in VOO and forget about it.

    12. Surroundedbyregards1 on

      Stop getting advice from Reddit. This site is cooked it ain’t what it used to be.

    13. Brilliant-While-761 on

      Rofl you got sucked into the Reddit chicken little trap.

      You missed the “recovery”

      Dca back in and next time you want to cash out delete the app.

    17. No_Broccoli_4427 on

      u fucked up , literally ur dca would be the best in a bear market because when it turns bull , youll get much more return , u cant time the market

    18. Yanicnikki on

      I understand your feelings. Reading comments on Reddit is enough to make you go crazy sometimes. Nevertheless, when you get back in, remember that you can’t time the market. Stay in on the long term, you won’t get millionaire in a few years. Keep buying and stay in. Bad move you made as I did in the beginning of investing, panic of losing your money. I think, and hope, that we make this mistake only once. Good luck. 🤞

    19. jcpopm on

      Holding SPY because this market is in full moron mode and I am not gonna try to time that. Taking profits on individual stocks, however. I mean, Iran is just blasting away at ships since last night and I am still up almost 100% on AMD.

    21. Carsmes on

      “I might be about to learn a hard lesson.” – this is like knowing that you will burn your fingers if you put them in the fire and still put them in the fire. This shit can’t be real lmao

    22. Vas_Cody_Gamma on

      There are only a handful of market surge days that if you miss, you miss out on everything.

    24. yeeetcoin on

      we just broke out of a monthly ATH resistance during a midterm year with a sitting president that verifies his success by market strength and will do whatever it takes to make that happen and you’re going cash. Godspeed regard lol.

    25. IWasAbducted on

      I sold my entire portfolio 17 March. I have the same feelings, even going against my never sell rule. These things tend to play out slowly, even during covid economies were reportedly implementing stay at home orders etc but took time to be implemented in the west. I feel this is similar with much of the shock not being realized untilQ4. Sure we’ll see some pressure role in beforehand but it’s anyone’s guess when the selling actually begins. As far as the actual drawdown goes it’s time dependent based on how long supplies are stopped but history tells us 20-50 correction is on the table.

    26. TraderJ100 on

      Why not just have downward protection?
      Buy $5 Puts on NVDA Jan 2027 exp for pennys. Anything that happens surely will happen before midterms.

    27. NombreCurioso1337 on

      You’re not wrong, but you should have kept *something* in the market. 50%? They could juice this for another year, easy.

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