Benjamin Cowen’s Warning: Bitcoin’s Bear Market Likely Isn’t Over Yet
In this interview, Benjamin Cowen shares his outlook on Bitcoin, arguing that the four-year cycle remains intact and that the market may still face months of bearish price action driven by “time-based capitulation.” He explains why historical patterns still matter, responds to criticism of his recent calls, and discusses key signals to watch in 2026. The conversation also dives into broader crypto trends, including the impact of ETFs, the rise of meme coins, and how speculation and lack of real use cases have affected the industry’s credibility.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BenjaminCowen #CryptoNews #BTC #Investing #Markets #CryptoAnalysis #Trading #financenews
00:00 Intro
00:30 What is “time-based capitulation” in Bitcoin?
01:25 Is the four-year cycle still valid?
02:15 Key metrics pointing to further downside
03:50 Comparing 2026 to past bear markets (2018, 2014, 2022)
06:15 Responding to criticism of bearish predictions
08:45 Why historical cycles still matter in crypto
11:45 Has the crypto industry lost credibility?
12:25 Meme coins, influencers & liquidity drain
14:00 Can crypto recover from the damage?
16:30 Are ETFs actually bullish for Bitcoin?
19:05 Fed policy, rate cuts & macro risks
21:15 Are “shitcoiners” anti-science?
23:30 Outro
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31 Comments
Mark my words: Ben is about to receive the biggest humbling in his crypto career in 2026.
As if Ben has ever been right
BNB red, SOL bleeding, ADA weak, yet !!SPAX24K!! still green on my 7-day list.
If $SPAX24K hits x20, I’m flying my whole crew out for steak night 🥩
Saw someone say !!SPAX24K!! to $15 and normally I’d laugh… now idk
Market hitting ATHs for stocks and gold… could BTC and !!SPAX24K!! be next on the list? 🚀
!!SPAX24K!! gonna go on a run, all the way UP!
Stocks at all-time highs, gold hitting records… next up might be BTC and !!SPAX24K!! 🚀💰
What’s stronger right now, the USD or $SPAX24K support level? 😂
The Amazon narrative alone could push !!SPAX24K!! way harder than people think
Every cycle I’ve seen starts this way , disbelief, boredom, then the explosion. !!SPAX24K!! fits perfectly.
Isn’t it strange how fear creates the very opportunities people dream about later? That’s $SPAX24K right now.
This old fart is still around? He has always made it up as he goes along.
WHy cant we land on the moon now? its been a loooong time
In ben we trust
So you don't buy bitcoin in an ETF, but you promote not having or buying Bitcoin in a down market. hmmmm
Retail drivin in the past, Instutional in the Present
i look forward to the ben cowen I WAS WRONG video
The biggest ginet on the web.
You make it sound so easy, BUT ITS NOT! you're still guessing I see.
i really appreciate you honesty
I hope that Benjamin doesn't get too involved with the people out there that post a lot of crap. It won't be good for his mental health when you get into a lot of fights. Jordan Peterson being a good example here.
You can't win against the majority of people being who they are. It is unfortunate, but it is reality.
Everybody and their grandmother is saying that we're going down. Let me clarify, Bitcoin follows the traditional market for your cycle but it's actually a 3 to 5 year cycle and we're currently in a 5-year cycle confirmed with a 2-month candle above the top with the s&P 500. The short squeeze of a century is about to happen all the way up. By the time everybody turns bullish there's going to be a major correction= maximum pain. There was no metrics pointing to a top so how are we going to get a bottom until we finalize our top. So many people are going to look really bad right now in the crypto space. It's like everybody has amnesia about how it happened back in 2021. It's literally playing out exactly the same
Ben is a real G. people would be wise to listen and learn instead of being led like poor sheep to the slaughter.
Bitcoins At this price the Retail is still on the sideline !
Four years cycle is over
Great ! If he doesn't believe the rally then we are going for all time high !
until it make an ATH Ben is always right
Fascists supporting Bitcoin is antithetical to Bitcoin. Cowen is right. Freedom money celebrating dictators & scammers & Trumpsters. Shameless.
He missed the bottom again 😂😂😂
I wonder what kind of crypto assets you owe besides bitcoin
Ben is shorting. You're not a fortuneteller Benny.