Nasdaq is up 18percent in a single month. That is a shocking sign. Many will be bearish about this alone, but we’re all aware of how corrupt the stock market really is. This could rally even further beyond rational expectations. Many would’ve said it already had been euphoric.
The US stock market is so incredibly resilient and its irrationality can continue for even years! It’s impossible to disrupt. Tariffs,war,oil,energy,gold,silver,bonds. Nearly every sign of a major economic crisis has been testing the stock market. Passive investing has become too common for the US stock market to experience any significant declines.
Oil jumped 100percent YTD
Most countries that are allies now have a more unfavourable view of the US for the first time in history.
But this stock market driven by AI seems unbreakable. The impression I’m getting is the US will print however much money is needed to make AI successful, certainly it feels like stocks will not fall. We have many companies like OpenAI, Anthropic,X IPO near the end of 2026.
Congratulations to those who held your investments through this conflict with Iran. The US stock market is genuinely unstoppable, every correction is bought without hesitation,passive investing has changed the stock market permanently and forever. I don’t think even the Fed will allow stocks to fall/crash without intervention.
What are your year end predictions for the S&p500?
I’m thinking 8300
Posted by Historical_Flow3890
29 Comments
The top is in boys.
8500++++
Over 9000
The top is a long, long, long way off. I’m just sitting in an SP500 index for years and making money hand over fist. This is easy. Just hold and contribute more and more. Dips become meaningless. Just hold on to the rocket and ride it up and up and up.
/ES has gained a staggering 1085 points since 3/31 which is just insane. If you bought a single /ES futures contract on 3/31 (which would have required just $5K in buying power) that single contract would be worth $54,250 at the close today
This is exactly when the market breaks. When retail people like you have no fear.
What’s that Buffet quote again?
US companies are smashing earnings, so the run-up looks fine to me. The only risk I see is AI companies not getting a return on their crazy capex soon enough. I firmly believe AI will make big money long term, but short-medium term we are risking a big crash.
“Nearly every sign of a major economic crisis”
This is how you know you’re reading something from someone too young to remember an actual economic crisis lol.
I’m like Buffett / Berkshire. 30% in cash. Bring on the pop 🫧
What’s the point of all these posts?
Well m4 have been pumping billions into AI, so the entire stock market is being held up by semi
What are the TRUE inflation adjusted returns? Cool so the stock market doubled in 5 years but so didnt pretty much every other asset. Used cares are now appreciating in value. Your currency is being destroyed. Melt up – hyperinflation is invetiable
Adjust for inflation. It’s ok. Keep at it. Remember the ultimate mission of all those boats with guns is to keep that index going up.
Top is in.
It’s going to rally into the next year. Calls.
>Many will be bearish about this alone, but we’re all aware of how corrupt the stock market really is. This could rally even further beyond rational expectations. Many would’ve said it already had been euphoric.
I have no shortage of companies I can share with you setting record top and bottom lines this year – many are amongst the largest caps such as AAPL GOOGL and NVDA. And this carries down to many of the lesser weights. Not only that, but most are projecting even further growth. A company such as SHOP got hammered for delivering mid 30’s percent growth and “only” forecasting for very high 20’s next quarter – imagine this being one of the worst performers.
It would be a story if the markets were NOT moving up.
Well rally at least ten percent more this summer
Si la gente sigue sin parar de comprar acciones aunque estén sobrevaloradas y sigue consumiendo aunque la inflación siga al alza, pues me imagino que hasta que algo se rompa y no puedan ni comprar más ni invertir más
The main thing that concerns me is the lack of volume, though in the sectors at lifetime highs, the volume has been picking up in the last week.
Markets spend most of the time in history at all time highs.
As long as corporate earnings continue to go up stocks will too.
It’s because trump is doing such a good job. If it was Biden it would be bad. Tariffs are great, or whatever.
Just wait until Powell is gone, rates drop and the markets will fly even higher. Hope you folks are buying gold that stuff is about to soar the next 3 months.
Did you really think operation Epstein Fury would stop the market?
> Nasdaq is up 18percent in a single month
Recoveries are usually very extreme like this. It’s part of why it’s so hard to time the market
The bull market continues until morale improves.
Sell in May and Walk Away…
What is the point of this post? Get a life.
Selling, hoping that the market crashes to buy back in lower, only for the market to keep going up… that’s just the stuff of nightmares.
I dumped 1/2 my stocks today. Age 61 and losing my job at the end of the month. Everything went up too fast. Don’t trust it. Kept my Microsoft with 90 shares (average $404) , Berkshire 120 shares (average $476), and Oracle 20 shares (average $144). A few ETFs. Just bought Abbott at its low.
Have $840,000 in high yield savings.
There will never again be a stock market crash like there were in the past. This time really different. Like you said, access to passive investing and the AI race (fully backstopped by the US gov) will make it so that any future corrections are immediately bought and reversed. There is literally no possibility of going down from here, only up. Nothing can stop what is happening now