Posting a portfolio vs S&P 500 comparison over ~2 years for discussion.
- Portfolio: ~+108%
- S&P 500: ~+40%
- Net contributions: none
The equity curve probably looks smoother than it actually felt. Most of the gains came from a few entries around sharper drawdowns rather than steady compounding.
Mainly used leveraged ETFs like TQQQ / SOXL. No options or additional margin leverage on top of that.
Only took a handful of trades overall and spent a lot of time sitting in cash between entries.
Most of the time I’m usually just waiting on cash. I only enter when the market reaches certain conditions I’m comfortable with….not exact price levels, more like specific types of pullbacks/price behavior.
Not claiming this is repeatable or skill-based. Could easily just be favorable conditions + hindsight making it look cleaner than it was in real time.
Trying to understand how much of this kind of outcome is:
- timing
- leverage/exposure
- or just market regime
Curious how others here would interpret a return profile like this.
108% vs S&P 500 ~40% over 2 years… timing + leverage or mostly luck?
byu/Round_End_2944 instocks
Posted by Round_End_2944
9 Comments
Market is in a tech supercycle. S&P holds tech and then a bunch of other stuff (even though it’s so heavily weighted for tech). You took on more risk by being 100% in tech, the gamble paid off, and you get a higher upside for it. Congratulations!
Bro is trying to fish for compliments lmao
“Kudos lil bro!” While I give him a nougie
Buy any large tech company for the last two years and you outperformed S&P
You are for sure the second coming of Buffett bro. You’ve definitely solved the markets.
The genius’s have been coming out thinking they have some magic skill
How would you have liked an 80% drawdown in 2023? [https://testfol.io/?s=3yuws1GF44v](https://testfol.io/?s=3yuws1GF44v)
Stop trading because tax drag can really mess with your returns
You are leveraged into tech in the most historic tech run in stock market history, of course you are beating the S&P.
Just don’t be leveraged into tech when the music stops.
Been doing this since Covid with those two exact LETF along with others swing trading vs long holds and also their inverse products. Just flip the market upside down and trade the pullback as a rally.
Investing best between periods of prosperity and still no guarantee the bottom doesn’t suddenly fall off and why I’d rather pay taxes on profits than sit and get slaughtered during an unexpected crash.
Have you started a paid discord/newsletter yet?