Bond market is basically telling the Fed, you’re still behind inflation. Rising Treasury yields aren’t happening just because of growth they’re happening because investors want more compensation for inflation risk, massive deficits, and geopolitical uncertainty at the same time. The 30-year Treasury recently moved above 5%, levels not seen since before the 2008 crisis.
What’s interesting is that stocks still seem relatively calm while bonds are getting aggressive.That disconnect usually doesn’t last forever. Higher yields slowly tighten everything mortgages, corporate borrowing, valuations, even government financing costs.Feels like the bond market is now setting financial conditions more than the Fed itself. And honestly, this is why higher for longer feels more real now than at any point since 2023.The market no longer trusts that inflation will fade quickly on its own.
AmyWilliamse on
The market has a way of humbling central banks. When bond yields keep climbing despite the narrative, it usually means investors still don’t fully trust inflation is under control yet.
teshh on
There’s honestly no rate below 10% that I’d risk under a us bond. Extremely high debt levels, constant devaluation of the dollar, political instability, wealth inequality worse than the gilded age, admin run by corrupt and incompetent pedophiles, etc.
Who would honestly buy this country’s debt as a safeguard for the next 10-30 years? We actively have a president and republican party skirting every known law so they can to enrich themselves.
3 Comments
Bond market is basically telling the Fed, you’re still behind inflation. Rising Treasury yields aren’t happening just because of growth they’re happening because investors want more compensation for inflation risk, massive deficits, and geopolitical uncertainty at the same time. The 30-year Treasury recently moved above 5%, levels not seen since before the 2008 crisis.
What’s interesting is that stocks still seem relatively calm while bonds are getting aggressive.That disconnect usually doesn’t last forever. Higher yields slowly tighten everything mortgages, corporate borrowing, valuations, even government financing costs.Feels like the bond market is now setting financial conditions more than the Fed itself. And honestly, this is why higher for longer feels more real now than at any point since 2023.The market no longer trusts that inflation will fade quickly on its own.
The market has a way of humbling central banks. When bond yields keep climbing despite the narrative, it usually means investors still don’t fully trust inflation is under control yet.
There’s honestly no rate below 10% that I’d risk under a us bond. Extremely high debt levels, constant devaluation of the dollar, political instability, wealth inequality worse than the gilded age, admin run by corrupt and incompetent pedophiles, etc.
Who would honestly buy this country’s debt as a safeguard for the next 10-30 years? We actively have a president and republican party skirting every known law so they can to enrich themselves.