#Bitcoin #ETH #Optimism #PeterZeihanvsEV #BTCvsRealEstate #SPX2023
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00:00 Introduction
01:19 Where to Ask Questions
01:40 What are your thoughts about OPTIMISM (OP) ? It does hit a few tags for me: low market cap, high volume, L2 scaling, fairly new project.
02:24 More DAU than ADA per Artemis
02:54 Op Transactions per Day – Solid
03:20 Market Cap per Daily Transaction
03:51 Supply Schedule
04:37 Inflation over 10% in 6 Mths
05:38 Valuation Based on TPD and DAU
07:26 Iâm a 75 year old âboomerâ, and this may be my one and only cycle. I bought in high, averaged down BTC to 45. Out of dry powder. What is your best guesstimate as to a range for the next possible ATH and timeframe? Want the best for my wife of 54 years.
08:18 Bitcoin Halving Clock
08:32 Bitcoin Halving Rallies – Pantera Forecast
09:40 Halvings Impact on Bitcoin Price
10:37 IA Model Based on History
11:20 Summary for April 2024
12:34 2 scenarios. Setting: Toronto, Canada. Who would come out ahead? Renter who buys and hodls Bitcoin for next 20 years. Able to buy $300k of BTC. Home owner with million dollar 20yr mortgage, 20% down. Plus variable rates every 5 years, expenses, taxes, and equity growth minus repairs. Able to buy $100k BTC (b/c spent $200k on house).
13:38 Toronto Real Estate CAGR 7.08%
14:04 Canadian Money Supply Expansion
14:42 Modeling Out Real Estate in Toronto vs Bitcoin
17:00 Everyone Needs a Castle
17:54 I value Peter Zeihanâs thoughts on factors driving global developments â but wonder about his dismissal of crypto and Tesla/EVs. Youâve referenced Zeihan re: demographics. What do you make of his crypto/Tesla stances?
19:18 Move to BEV is Happening Whether PZ Likes It or Not
19:57 Electric Vehicles
20:16 Need 10x Graphite and Lithium
22:35 Peter on Elonâs Politics
23:26 MFF on Zeihan
24:08 Zeihan re Cobalt
24:58 Peter on Tesla Valuation
26:08 For Tesla to be Priced it has to Fall 90%
26:17 Zeihan on Carbon Footpring
27:09 4 Yrs X6 burns 4,000 Gallons
27:30 4,000 Gallons – Carbon Footprint
28:49 Whatâs the best way to make profit holding 100 shares of Tesla at this time with options?
29:00 Covered Call
20:16 Assuming S&P500 could hit a new low in â23, or come close to â22âs low, whatâs a good strategy to DCA in the ETF with less hustle (set it and forget it)
30:56 SPX 2023 Game Plan
32:59 Unemployment numbers remain low but is it due to time running out on unemployment benefits and rolling them over to Welfare? Once on Welfare ppl are no longer looking for a job and donât get counted against the unemployment calculation. Welfare spending has skyrocketed over the years and seems like they should be correlated or is this a nothing burger?
33:50 It is Definitely An Issue
34:07 Benefits Pay Better A LOT Better in Many States
35:06 Long Term Unemployed 64% Remain after 27 Weeks
36:03 Foodstamps
36:20 Welfare Skyrocketing
37:00 236M Recipients of Benefits and SS
37:44 39% Support 61% but 5M Pay No Taxes
38:16 57% Working Age
39:06 Liability per Taxpayer
40:11 Summary
42 Comments
Best finance channel on YouTube. Keep on keeping on. As the market settles and we get more recessionish, glad to receive sound information via this channel.
OP deeper dive please!
Love Peter but when he steps out of his lane (Global warming absurdness, EV's, Crypto, Covid Jab) – he's an opinionated typical Liberal Dem – in other words he has a very high opinon of himself and his opinions without much reason. Its interesting as he searches for contrary opinion in his real line of expertise – Geopolictics – but does not do the same in these areas. Kind of odd – but not when u consider that he's a Berkeley-type Dem "liberal" who believes pretty much anything the Dem/Fascists tell him.
Re the fuel comparison – first the carbon use is dumb. Carbon is great, without it the planet's plant life and algae die (so do we). He also days "i didn't burn a drip of oil" – stupid. Where do you think your electricity comes from., orange juice?? đ
Zeihan trashed his reputation with his EV video. If heâs so incompetent on that subject maybe his analysis on geopolitics is bs too
Still one of the few crypto channels I listen to, best amount of data per minute despite all the FUD and hate. Thanks James!
Thank you very much James!!
Thanks mate
Hi Mate, any thoughts on Flare? @FLR. Be interested in your take on it. Cheers
Thanks for all the time, research and effort you put into this channel. nothing but respect.
No one knows where Bitcoin is going.
18000metric ton litium pr year / 8kg litium pr. car = 2250000 cars pr year from that one mine in US (2.250.000 or 2,250,000)
The truth shall set you free. Jesus said âstop judging by mere appearances, and judge correctlyâ ( john) This goes for all of you who cast votes. All Democrats try to get everyone to disobey the 10 commandments. Dems, and big govât steal our money. That disobeys the commandment âThou Shalt not stealâ Dems also covet by successfully stealing more money from the rich than they do the poor. Dems say âthe richer you are, the more we are going to stealâ this is coveting. Also âThou Shalt not killâ is a commandment – Dems take great pride in the murder of babies. These are just 3 examples. Enough is enough !
We need to make it illegal for govât to steal big chunks of our paycheck and fund govât by simply donating. ( it is obviously false to pre-assert / assume that nobody will donate) but each household will have on average $23,000 of extra cash per year on hand under this idea. Surely we can make govt a satisfactory size with satisfactory powers to all by having this system: The $$$ donated ought to be pooled in DC – and is divied â to house, â to Senate, â to president. Those 3 piles are divided evenly amongst all representatives. So each house representative gets 1/465th of the houseâs third of the cash pile. Each Senator gets 1/100th of their third., and President gets his whole third. 144 government department leaders go to each rep begging for cash for their department to run, and to even exist. Once every 2 weeks, the money pile is sent to a large building where all reps gather, and receive their portion of the pile to be dispersed to different govât branches. 144 federal govât dept. Leaders go around to each and every representative asking for cash to keep their department going. If Mitch McConnell / Chuck Grassley, Lauren Boebert ( and all the others) see fit to not give a certain department money, or to significantly lower funds to that department, then the elected reps will do so. I know The people do not want a department of education, or Dept. Of energy, or urban housing or many other wasteful, useless departments ! Social security is also a gigantic spending
section, and who wants it? Not I. So if the reps were smart, and want to get re-elected the next month, they will be forced to give money wisely, or LOSE THEIR JOB IN 1 MONTH. There will be a pie chart made of the spending decisions of each rep. All the people could clearly see the pie chart. All reps up for re-election once a month- iphone voting. Senate must have term limits and that is 36
1 month terms. House: 241 month terms. Yes, it means elections are going on continuously. Prez: 8 terms, but up for re-election once a year. Why this is ideal? We want govât action ! Because all 370,000,000 of us are 100% unsatisfied with the govât. If you have a better solution – letâs hear it. Please talk to everyone you know about this system and how to fix the GIGANTIC dissatisfaction with govât/ elections. Nobody is happy with Govât. So, lets correct it, and I donât mean nibbling around the edges. I mean doing the above. There is no way in the world we should be spending $40,000 per household per year on federal govât ! That is enough money to rebuild the entire interstate highway system over and over again every month !!!!! I say that because my share of the interstate highway system is about a 1 foot section of roadway. It is a simple calculation: the interstates are 64,000 miles long, and 1 mile is 5280 feet, so 64,000 times 5280 equals 337,920,000. ( this is about how many feet there are in the interstate highways, and this is also our population, so obviously each man woman and child is responsible or âpays forâ 1 foot of interstate roadway). So, letâs fix the govât and see what happens. Without my above system, or another system that is better, govât will not get fixed, I guarantee you all. They just want to keep their sweet cushy jobs and keep the gravy train of steal all our money going. SAVE THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA !!!!!! WE DONT WANT ANOTHER CIVIL WAR ! Watch YouTube channel TIK, with hitlers pic âI am a socialist ââŚ. ***THINK ***. âIf they donât work, let them not eatâ. Thank you for reading. If you want this system established, spread the word by copying and pasting and sending the idea to everyone you know on your contacts.What about U.S. corporate income tax revenues ?
Great content James. Thanks to you and the support team.
Can someone explain or put me in the right direction on when the next best time to buy a house would be? Prices are going down but rates are way up so that kind of cancels the price declines out correct? Will there be kind of a happy medium time within the next few years where the prices stay somewhat low when rates begin to drop and thats when it would be time to start looking?
Take in account that data cuold be twisted or some are even pure lies held high by bought scientists, most energy is still produced by burning fossil, charging your Tesla s and so. And the industry needs powerful engines, for planes, ships, construction equip.. and this is not possible to change to electric. Electric powered ships ALL HAVE DIESEL GENERATORS 4 EVER, diesel or fossil fuels are never going to run out, because we can create them constantly, even out of your trash. So unless we move to a worldwide nuc fussion and or salt reactor sort of technics, and capacitor installs to level this out 24/7/365 ….
Thanks james. Love you mate
James, thank you đ
Great video James. Glad you spoke to Peter Zeihans comments. Glad to hear some FUD dispelled.
Heritage Foundation, Um
I just turned 23 and want to devote myself into becoming a millionaire by 30, I already have 80k saved, 65k lump sum following the death of my father and 15k in personal savings. So far ive come across dropshipping, stocks, and real estate as the most popular means of doing so but i was wondering if any of you guys had other suggestions, at this stage im just trying to learn about the most viable ways of achieving success within 10 years
Hello James I understood you sold SOL at 9 so basically at the bottom, which is the rational of the sales given this is your favorite alt coin?
AndâŚlakes⌠đ
Any chance you can do a review of Telos please? Even though you don't like the chain lol maybe a break down of why you don't? It would be much appreciated. Cheers James
Yooo
Uhhh
Hmmm
I understand that the points needed to be refuted but it's still really frustrating that so much of the video needed to be spent countering some no name ICE car licker. In a thousand years when we are joining the greater galactic community and they are asking us why it took so long it's going to be all of these dinosaurs who were doing everything in their power to slow down humanity switching to renewable energy and getting to the stars.
Great video, a lot of information, agreed with you on Tesla. Thanks
Hi James. I remember many months ago you talked about NVTA. Could you possibly do an update on this stock? I'm not looking for any hopium. Just an honest assessment of it's current form would be great. Stay well.
Excellent content – thanks!
Green smoothy Cheers James. Could you please revise or revisit the previous series "How to retire on Solano" price models. But this time starting now in crypto winter through a likely recovery back up to the old high of $260. Also including similar models on Btc, Eth, Atom, Tezos, and Polygon Matic as part of a theoretical portfolio. Thanks always!
I don't consider SS and Medicare welfare as I paid in all of my working life, still working at 65. I would take a lump sum any day in BTC. BTW, I hate golf, give me a good hike any day of the week:))
Thank you James, please don't take this as negative just factual.
Zeihan is a huge wind and solar fan, heâs just realistic in regards to the application of these. His comments towards Elonâs political beliefs were without judgment, he just noted the possible effects on goodwill. There are dozens of independent studies agreeing with Zeihanâs point about carbon footprint. Thereâs an informative TED talk on the subject for those who donât have time to read on it. I agree, you should have him on your channel. Heâs appeared on other channels with smaller viewership.
Great job, James, you're the best!
James, you don't seem to be familiar with the Club of Rome and the people who started it. They ARE the creators of the climate change narrative and many are oil oligarchs. Part of the propaganda is that they care about oil. They care about energy, namely the control of it as a lever to direct humanity where they want it to go. I highly recommend familiarizing yourself with the excellent documentaries on these subjects by the Corbett Report and the incredible forensic historians over at Grand Theft World.
your best video yet James. packed full of relevant info. you've outdid yourself. how you havent broken 1 million subs is beyond me.
Great content. Numbers provided on US government funding of a variety of programs & services – in đ¨đŚ, it's even worse on a ratio basis with a population 10x smaller. đ¨đŚ will collapse far sooner than the USA with the incompetent mgt in place on Parliament Hill in Ottawa.
Thanks for the video James. You don't need to apologize for getting into "political" topics as they really aren't unless you use the D or R words, which you don't. Regarding the Tesla/Zeihan points, I have several questions that due in full respect of wanting to know your position more clearly. Can you research/discuss the ACTUAL embodied carbon footprint of a Tesla instead of the average of all cars; Zeihan claims Tesla data is biased and incomplete. Also can you address his point that due to changing demographics there will not be enough "capital" to support mass adoption or evolution of the EV industry as a whole and hence Tesla will only be a luxury brand. Apart from FSD, what else does Tesla have that maintains its moat on the market while other manufacturers catch up and take market share? Can you elaborate on your ICE manufacturer theory. Thanks!!!
Why are the odds that TSLA and BTC both 'blow up' very small?
you messed with the wrong mofo James lives for a challenge!!!!!
Has Zeihan ever heard of the Tesla Semi?
Social security and Medicare are not WELFARE. These are programs that people pay into during their entire working lives. Youâve offended half of your viewers. Sad.