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    In this video, I discuss the potential early arrival of a crypto bull market and the key indicators and macroeconomic factors that could trigger it. I delve into the current situation where Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are at a pivotal point, debating whether we’ll see an early bull market this cycle or if there will be a consolidation period before the real bull market begins post-halving. I break down the specific chart indicators that signal the onset of a bull market and highlight the importance of macroeconomic factors like inflation, interest rates, and the US dollar’s performance. Additionally, I touch upon the potential impact of the 2024 US elections on market sentiments and the anticipation of the SEC approving spot Bitcoin ETFs. The video also explores the significant Coinbase SEC case and its potential implications for the crypto space. I emphasize the importance of watching Bitcoin’s performance in the face of these developments, especially considering historical patterns pre- and post-halving. The focus is on whether Bitcoin can break through significant resistance levels, which would mark a first in its history and potentially lead us into an uncharted bullish environment.

    Intro 00:00
    Bullish macroeconomic fuel 00:45
    Elections 2:00
    Bitcoin spot ETFs and Coinbase/SEC 2:35
    Bull market doors as a starting point 4:15
    $65,000 Bitcoin target 5:40
    The indicators which will trigger early bull market! 6:30

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    It’s different this time an early crypto bull market seems just too good to be true every single cycle doesn’t it it just seems too good to be true that we’ll get an early bull market in this video we are approaching this this point in time where Bitcoin and crypto has yet

    Again the decision to make are we about to enter an early bull market this cycle around or is there going to be finally after this nice move all year long some consolidation going into the head before the real bull market begins in this video I want to break down exactly what

    I’m watching for to happen on these charts which will trigger the early bull market so please everybody hit the Subscribe the like turn notifications on and let’s jump in the video for just context into what really could actually trigger this move and these indicators to absolutely be broken here’s the the

    Macroeconomic highlights this was summed up very ni nicely the other day by Jeff Ross over here on X inflation down and and and keep in mind the narratives around these the headlines that will that will basically tell these stories inflation down interest rates weigh down US dollar down doish fed

    Pivot as we go into 2024 this is what we’re looking at initial jobless claims still low retail sales recovering mortgage rates lower housing market recovering and I know there’s a lot of people out there like they’re not seeing it right they’re not seeing this yet remember Decades of data

    The year before the recession is usually worse for the markets we’ve gone through it the worst is over in my view in terms of especially risk on assets us manufacturing bottoming us servic is still expansionary Global M2 spiking bullish across the board for risk assets and Bitcoin until something changes pity

    The Bears so I think it just does a really good job of of summing up all of the bullish narratives from macroeconomic perspective and I know a lot of people are just so bearish on on the economy and what’s going on but I want to remind you something even on a Bitcoin

    Chart when it comes to narratives and when it comes to the the emotional aspect of markets and and influencing people and the human beings behind all of these markets we have elections coming up in November 2024 you better believe the administration wants some nice bullish narratives floating around

    For context elections of November 20 20 check it out bull market doors being broken so I wanted to mention that macroeconomic points now we have this we have other things going on within crypto itself firms feel confident the SEC will approve spot Bitcoin ETFs after January

    8th so it looks like I think between 8th and the 10th of January this is from today I just saw this and this is the anticipation right now whatever happen happens in the short term with this news being announced I’m not sure maybe we maybe we dip in the

    Short term when this finally happens maybe things are priced in but the long term when we start talking about the zoomed out charts of Bitcoin and breaking into a bull market and and the next cycle of the bull market this is huge the the spot Bitcoin ETF trillions

    Of dollars everybody coming into the space and then the other flip side of it outside of Bitcoin is this I did a video on this the other day 30 days and this was two days ago 30 days until the hearing on coinbase’s motion for judgment on the pleadings motion to

    Dismiss if as you remember coinbase calling for in the SEC case if coinbase wins it will be total rebuke of sec’s Regulation by enforcement campaign against crypto we’re talking we’re going to get insight into this in less than a month while the Ripple case was enormously consequential this one is for

    All the marbles what impact could this have on crypto space what what impact could this have in an early a potential early bull market so now let’s talk about the charts what I’m watching for in particular the Bitcoin charts so I want to start here and then I’m going to look

    At a couple indicators that I’m really going to keep be keeping my eye on I want to start by laying the groundwork as you as you know these Cycles I wait for the bull market doors to be broken at least tested look at Bitcoin even on

    The weekly this is a weekly chart look at this current weekly candle I don’t know if we’re going to get the retracement or not there’s some things to keep an eye on but just look how close the bull Market doors sitting just above Bitcoin like 8% and we’re we’re

    Starting to we’re starting to knock on those bull market doors right 8% the reason why I track this is this is a lower high macro area when Bitcoin breaks this area it is a massive it’s it’s a massive just shift into this next higher high momentum bull cycle now

    Previous cycles and then we’re going to show you these indicators previous Cycles I just want to point this out Bitcoin pre pre having tested the bull market doors and you can see bitcoin’s getting ready to test this area potentially again pre Bitcoin having so this was 2019 those doors were tested

    And it failed and Bitcoin didn’t break the bull market doors until post having and then we go back to 2015 check it out swing High bull market High to Bare Market low Bitcoin preh having right before the having Bitcoin tested the doors and failed now here’s

    What I want to do I want to I want to bring up let me remove these I want to bring up a couple indicators because right now if we’re trying to identify is it going to happen this would be a first for Bitcoin if Bitcoin can break the bull market doors prior to

    The having this would be a first and by the way we have a Target there is a target a pattern Target of this entire bear cycle basically is falling wedge of around $65,000 we go to that chart we were just looking at why is that so notable

    Because check it out above those bu Market doors is the $65,000 Target Bitcoin could hit this Target and it is it’s it’s the macroeconomic narratives and things playing out it’s the Bitcoin spot ETF it’s the coinbase case everything could trigger this to happen earlier there’s no guarantees but here’s what

    I’m watching for let me bring up some indicators so I want to bring up and and I’m I’m I’m really hyped to have some extra indicators instead of just waiting on the bull market doors this cycle around I want to bring up this uh price action Concepts now this

    Is giving us and I think I mentioned this before this is Lux algo indicators this break of structure happening here after this change of character this is something that does happen previous cycles and it really kind of signifies hey we’re getting ready to enter the bull market change of character and then

    A break of structure see that now the last cycle happened after the Bitcoin having so look how early it’s happening this time around with all of these narratives happening right now and then if we go back to a cycle before that check it out we have break of structure right after a

    Change of character and Bitcoin was up only right heading towards those bull market doors back then so that’s number one we’re getting these we’re getting these signals that are saying we are in up only mode and and this is just historical context historical data that we see playing out on the chart but

    Check this out if we open uh and actually you know what I want to do this cuz this is what I’m waiting for this is what I’m absolutely waiting for it’s the bull market doors being broken as opposed to right here failing exactly what happened back here so what I want

    To do I want to go back here to when Bitcoin failed and I want to see what do we want not to happen and I want to bring up at the same time I want to bring up the the signals and overlays and the price action concepts by Lux

    Algo and I want want to just go back and I want to replay what happened back here Bitcoin failing and what were the indicators saying because right now we’re looking for the indicators to to basically do opposite of what we saw back here but this is where we we were able to kind

    Of find this data which might offer some caution into the current charts but check it out Bitcoin making its way to those bull market doors before failing into the downside this is what we don’t want to happen this time around so check it out let’s go watch what Bitcoin did

    Back then so you can see it cruising to the upside and then here’s what starts happening you can see and I want you to keep a note on this blue this blue area is a smart Trail um that’s when it triggers blue it’s an uptrend is is basically triggered it’s it’s an

    Indicator of an uptrend um and it’s a it’s just Bitcoin floating Above This trailing stop area but check out what happens so Bitcoin on the weekly just keeps testing those bull market doors all of a sudden we have this change of character a bearish change of character

    Right this order book level comes into play as a huge resistance area obviously back there change of character to the downside and then we have this this smart Trail in blue tested on bitcoin and then it fails right and then we see all of a sudden this trend catcher this

    Red line comes into play and it’s falling below uh that blue that blue smart Trail and then we have a red smart Trail in play that’s a whole flippening right that’s a whole area of resistance that Bitcoin saw this is exactly what we’re trying to avoid right now so if we

    Go and look at the chart what the chart is doing right now check it out right now Bitcoin is at this huge massive here’s our bull market doors in red but check out this this order book level of resistance we’re looking at right around $45,000 just above where Bitcoin is even

    Lower than the bull market doors Bitcoin is there right now preh having are we going to get this is huge resistance Bitcoin is that huge massive macro resistance this is the area these are the indicators that are showing if Bitcoin breaks through these areas and starts entering these bull market doors

    Prior to the having we are in this environment everybody that Bitcoin I think has never been in before if this happens pre having and just to give you an idea having is in spring right we’ll continue tracking on this weekly what happens in terms of Bitcoin but I will

    Say this right now everything going on with in the next few weeks the coinbase SEC the Bitcoin spot ETF if anything is going to propel Bitcoin through this massive resistance so that Bitcoin does opposite of what happened back here when it fell change of character to the

    Downside and all of a sudden all this resistance to the downside if there’s anything that’s going to propel Bitcoin through these areas it’s going to be what’s happening in the next few weeks and that is to say preh having Bitcoin SP TF approvals SEC case versus coinbase

    Dismissed and saying that out loud it’s a little scary because I don’t know if the coinbase SEC case is going to be be dismissed I don’t know if it’s going to be in our favor everybody but if it is I’ll tell you what that is going to be a

    Massive trigger obviously not just for Bitcoin either but for altcoins but right now I think it is very safe to say from even just historical context going back there is and I’m going all the way back now to preh having 2016 they’re we’re in this similar area where there’s

    There’s a lot of resistance potentially in play at this area which is the lower high Fibonacci bull market doors so all in all if Bitcoin does start falling we want to see on this chart the smart Trail support right we don’t want to see this turn this blue line that we see

    Hitting in uh May 2016 preh having we don’t want to see it turn red like we kind of saw briefly the last cycle around right here turning red prehab we don’t want to see that but if there is retracement if we don’t get this early bull market that we’re

    Talking about in this video we have this smart Trail down here and there’s room for consolidation right so we’ll continue tracking this but this resistance area this is it if Bitcoin breaks through this area we are in an environment in crypto like we’ve never seen before and that’s just going to be

    Exciting I don’t know what’s going going to happen prior to bitcoin having I don’t know what’s going to happen in the next month going into all these huge news events but I do know one thing if these doors get broken if this resistance gets broken it is going to be

    Fun so as we continue to monitor these markets on the short term obviously things are consolidating you see Bitcoin on The Daily just consolidating right at this 20-day moving average it’s still trying to put in these higher highs higher lows we wait to see on the short

    Term but as we do wait I think what’s most important is analyzing and understanding what’s going on in the long term and we are at key resistance but if it breaks it’ll be like nothing we seen before everybody I appreciate you cruising through hit the Subscribe

    Hit the like turn notifications on I I I will be continuing to update you all on bitcoin news crypto news analysis all that good stuff so I’ll see you in the next video God bless

    27 Comments

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    2. Bitcoin breaking the bullmarket-doors in January already would be very bad in terms of BTC's and Altcoin' ATH potential. That would most likely cause the first left-centric cycle of BTC, where it rises 1 1/2 years and falls 2 1/2 years. This has never been the case before. It was always 2,5 – 3 years up, 1,5 – 1 years down.

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