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Video Description:
Bitcoin has a distinct 4-year cycle, but it’s probably not the normal 4-year cycle you’re used to hearing about. The stock markets, SP500, NASDAQ, and Dow Jones, have a huge influence on the bitcoin and crypto markets which also dictate the 4-year cycle. In this video, we analyse how and when altcoins will potential pull back for another excellent being opportunity in the macro cycle along with identifying what type of trader you are to ensure you make the most from this crypto cycle.
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This video is for entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice and is not an endorsement of any provider, product or service. All trading involves risk. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I’m part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.
Disclaimer: Swyftx, ByBit, BingX and Bitget are channel sponsors. All decisions you make are your own. #crypto #bitcoin #cryptonews
Bitcoin’s On The Rise and so are some cryptocurrencies however do not buy altcoins until you watch this video let’s put together a road map a plan for 2024 what the markets are doing what some of the risks could be and when would be a beautiful opportunity to be
Getting into altcoins make sure you hit the like And subscribe button this is your home of macrocycle analysis covering the stock markets cryptocurrencies Bitcoin and the real estate cycle we everything here because we are holistic traders to give you an understanding of what’s going on in the
Economy as we all know over 90% of Traders lose money and we don’t want to be on that side of those Traders this video today is going to cover two different types of Traders you could be the spot long-term Trader or maybe you are the short-term leverage Trader if
That’s the case stay tuned listen up this video is for you now we’re going to cover everything from the stock market because we are seeing absolutely crazy things happening today as some of the major stock markets correct in all-time high territory this is going to help us identify what is
Going on in that first half of 2024 but first I just want to draw your attention to the links in the video description Tia premium membership is your Flagship product to learn more about trading and investing and you can also get a 7day free trial to the Tia Gan swing
Indicator which is what I’ll be using in today’s video so let’s start off with some of the news headlines in the stock markets this made me absolutely laugh my head off this one right here stock market news today indexes slipped from highs amid recession fears this has been
2 years of recession fears and each time the market has continued to go up at that point 2022 was a correction in the bigger picture the grand scheme of things we had the low in 2020 and then a rise up into 2021/2022 this was a correction in the
Macro cycle it was a big correction for the majority of people I’m not going to gloss over that but when you look at it now every single Market is at new all-time high territory so first up let’s not get too worried about these recession fears now what I’ve come to
Note is some of these news outlets are probably more fearful they’re going for the clickbait stuff more than the others because as I look down the list of stuff that’s going on today absolute garbage the next thing uh Bull Run could be could last more than 10 years so an AI
Fuel Bull Run could last more than 10 Years yet from the same media Outlet they’re talking about recession fears for 2024 don’t forget we had these recession fears in 2021 in 2022 in 2023 and we will see them in 2024 no doubts about it the next thing is the Fed
Pausing rate hikes has been a reliable stock buying signal for 40 years but of course this time may be different remember there are no differences we just have a rhyming in the market we’ve also covered on the channel when interest rates go up the markets also go
Up when interest rates go down the markets also go up when interest rates pause the markets can also go up yes I can hear at the other end saying well that’s not true look at 2008 correct but there are times in the cycle where this interest rates go up like now like in
2003 4 5 six interest rates were going up and in the ’90s they were going up and the stock markets and real estate went up they also went down in that period they also paused in those particular periods and the markets all went up so don’t listen to this garbage
Where it talks about but this time may be different it’s never different just we can look at the data we can see it for ourselves and like I said here this is just another piece of misinformation telling us one thing and then also telling us another thing where we got to
Be fearful of some sort of recessions coming on board what has happened in the last 24 hours is a correction a nice little pullback here of 1.1% but look at exactly where it pulled back from we have the macro uh move to the upside the bull market then we had
The bare Market of 2022 and now we’ve seen the rise up and break to new alltime highs now this is for the Dow Jones futures contract here it hit almost dead onto the point these are huge huge price targets here and they almost hit to the exact point that’s
Pretty uncanny it’s pretty crazy that these rules that we use of ganss which are over 100 years old are still working in today’s markets and the reason they work is because of human emotion essentially any technical analyst all they’re doing is just charting human emotion and how humans will react to
Particular prices whether they are particular resistance levels or support levels that’s essentially all we are doing here and humans are pretty reliable in that sense they’re not really too different no matter where they are around the world they all get greedy and they all get extremely fearful this time time it happened dead
On the 50% level 38,8 points and the top in the last 24 hours was 38,2 points so we’ve had a test of that level so that’s the first thing we’re seeing some of these stock markets correct at these levels the S&P 500 is also hitting a slight correction
Here on the daily chart check that out there 1.35% note that the market has been up for nine straight days we do remember that after these particular moves and we’ve talked about it many many times on the channel one of these special special rules from Gan was a 7 to 10 day Rule
Now Michael also talks about this a lot on his channel when he is making videos and his wife isn’t giving birth but aside from that go and check out Michael’s Channel he looks at things on the short-term basis and covers this in great detail to help us with our trades
But this particular rule goes across all markets in all time frames daily weekly hourly monthly whenever you see big extended moves to the upside typically around that 7 to 10 day particularly you’ll see the Peri the market pause or even correct substantially now this has been a significant move to the upside
And we’ve just seen another nday move on the E minis here so the S&P futures contract so it’s not really a surprise that we should see some sort of Correction especially after a significant move to the upside now I’m covering all of these because this is coming together for our picture of
December or quarter one of 2024 what we anticipate for the risk of the market uh also looking at the NASDAQ NASDAQ has also done a similar thing it has been trading in all-time high territory it’s down down 1.35 uh% 1.36% that is on the last 24
Hours and it’s also had a stellar run to the upside looking at 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 and nine to the upside before we had that correction so keep an eye on what happens next we have some key levels to the down side the previous tops some
Significant swing bottoms and of course our 50% levels all of which we’re going to continue to cover on the channel so you know what to do hit that subscribe button so you can remain up to date with what the markets might be doing next and
So we can clear out the noise of this absolute garbage that was literally my first reaction when I saw a recession in the headline again now if this takes a break that of course takes some of the risk out of the market and if we take
Risk out of the market well there might be some of that coming off the table for cryptocurrencies as well I do hear you yes some cryptos have been up but I’m going to get to that in a moment as well where we look at some of the we’re going
To check out the cryptos and although they have had significant moves and hear me clearly I still think the macro cycle is up and we will see very very significant gains we have to put ourselves into different camps have different portfolios you could have a short-term trading on Leverage or
Whatever you want to do and you might have a longer term portfolio there medium to longterm where you just want to Buy and Hold spot cryptocurrencies spot altcoins meaning that you just want to buy and watch them go up you don’t want to try and trade short if that’s
The case this is definitely for you that’s why I’m saying watch this before you get into altcoins at this time in the market especially after the traditional markets have had such a significant move out of these lows and might be looking at time to correct and
Just take some of the heat out of the market again some of that heat might be coming out of the market but it doesn’t mean the volatility could drop off and then still going to be fantastic opportunities for you guys who want to trade long and short and this is what
Some of our traders in TI premium have been doing their first trade using the Tia indicator as I said in the intro there it’s 7-Day free trial learn how to use that indicator they’re just on a simple uh leverage here they got a massive massive return just following a
Mechanical plan here using the swing indicator so nice and simple and from some of the other guys here making great gains as well 180% another 300% % and taking it relatively easy testing out some of the airdropping farming purposes here 15% to Ricardo as well so great
Work to our Traders there as I said links are in the top of the video description get on board before the markets go ballistic and you’re trying to just play catch up for BTC we are looking at a top forming now you might remember back at this area I know I talk
About it quite often but here we were trying to tell everyone that it might be time to be buying up these lows are in you remember the pro Traders telling us we should could see a $10,000 Bitcoin a $3,000 Bitcoin all this sort of nonsense at the lows the reason why we were
Interested in this area being a potential low is because the price had come back relatively enough compared to previous cycles and the timing was getting close it was getting close when it hit to June but it just did needed a little more time we got that time there
In November and what I mean by time is it needs a certain amount of time to come down to wash out all those players who are still trying to hold and hope get rid of them before we can start our move to the upside so in terms of the
Macro the biggest cycle we can look at the charts the markets are still up but within these periods we do look for some corrections and we’ve covered before these Corrections can take roughly 2 months you can see from the peak here in April to the low in June there’re 63
Days 9 weeks basically 2 months almost to the day same deal happened again from July to the September low almost dead on 2 months again now if we are coming towards the peak in the market here or at least the intermediate not the macro it’s not going to collapse to 25 Grand
But if we look at an intermediate top then maybe we could expect a couple of months to the downside it’s a difficult one because we need to just have some of that patience and continue to watch the signals as they come in but if that is
In fact going to be the case and maybe we push a little bit higher like we did in April so we have the top here and then we pushed a little higher for a few weeks like we did in June and July so we had a a top here in June we pushed
Higher for a few more weeks only just and then we had the two months down so maybe just maybe a similar thing is happening again remember this time is typically not different and you might see it here maybe we don’t press past 45 Grand but we just hang around for a few
More weeks it’s happened all in 2023 it’s happened before in 2019 it’s happened before again in 2016 you can see these tops when it gets to that 50% level it’s pretty much trying to push up again but the energy basically runs out of the market so if you’re an altcoin
Buyer crypto buyer you just want to buy and hold and hope for this next massive 10200 X that you’ve been promised by your favorite influencer let’s have a look at when that good time could be and that time could be in 2024 and specifically I want
To nail that down a little bit further the first half of 2024 and if we can get a little bit closer to that maybe on the border of quarter end of quarter 1 Quarter Two somewhere around that because if this is the top here in roughly December maybe we push a little
Higher that could give us that couple of months 6 weeks n weeks to the downside that then we could get some good buying opportunities you may have seen this before I’ve looked at this as a road map for uh Bitcoin or altcoin investing I am definitely looking at the next year 2024
As being a good time for those altcoins they’ve confirmed the bottom is in and if you got in earlier in this year fantastic great work to you different strategies different plans here if you were trading it like our Traders here even better you’re doing great gains so
This is not to take away from anyone or change anyone’s plan this is just the way I’m seeing the market and the way I partic I play the market based on my own risk parameters so looking at the market here that is looking like a reasonable
Time for next year so early in uh 2024 based on some of the timing based on some of the risk that might be coming off the table in the short term because we’ve seen new highs on the stock markets now there is just one more Market that we want to see a new
All-time high on this is the long-term chart looking at the S&P and what’s happened with its all-time highs and bitcoin’s move so we’re getting very close to that new all-time high here as we covered in yesterday’s video so this is just another piece to the puzzle now going over to the total cryptocurrency
Market cap total three excluding Bitcoin and ethereum what am I saying well I think we’re in a similar period to this deal this is a monthly chart so we’re looking at the bigger picture here and we’ve had a nice move up this is for me the confirmation that we are out of the
Bare Market we’re out of that first initial accumulation and we’re on the rise we’ve been on the rise for several months now up to 4 months and it could be time for a correction we could be in a similar place to where we were back in
2019 you can see we’re on the move to the downside and really overall it was almost near the bottom and we’ve almost done something exactly the same you can see it had a little a little bit of a bounce it started to come down again there’s your bounce started to come down
Again had a little bounce again at that bottom so basically putting in a double bottom here a green month occurred and then it started to head down again we’re in this bit of a move down maybe we break down over this month or next month but that basically puts us very close to
The final bottom which would be a fantastic opportunity for altcoins cryptocurrencies and loading up at that time now that doesn’t mean altcoins are going to Skyrocket after that point another piece of the puzzle that we’ve been putting together for our altcoin portfolios is the new Bitcoin all-time
High when that occurred most altcoins of the previous cycle went down for one more month against their Bitcoin value because well Bitcoin was taking the spotlight and heading to new all-time highs so their Bitcoin values were getting depleted their Bitcoin values were coming down the USD values might be
Going up but the Bitcoin values were going down but the signal on that is after that point basically the month following that everything skyrocketed altcoins went ballistic and they went ballistic against their Bitcoin values while Bitcoin was also going up so you get that double whammy of extra boost to
The upside you’re getting huge USD values because Bitcoin is going up and your altcoin is going up even faster at that time and they they are the great gains that is the altcoin season that many are waiting for we have had a fantastic time over the last couple of
Months from October to now with a lot of altcoins going up and going up against the Bitcoin value as well which is the most important but I think we’re we’re due for a bit of a correction after this particular game but that is the confirmation that the lows are in and
We’re probably going to see higher prices now this is where the big question comes down for a lot of folks are you a spot and long only Trader or are you a leverage Trader or are you both do you have two different portfolios if you’re only trading spot
And you’re only wanting to go long the question you got to ask ask yourself is Will altcoin prices ever go back to the November 2023 prices because some of them have continued up further and some altcoins have dropped away from that price so ask yourself will it go back to
Those prices and if you think it will then it’s a pretty straightforward answer this is like an if then thing then you would wait for those prices again pick the altcoins that’s going to happen on for you and then you wait for those prices to happen so it’s a very
Clear question that you give yourself so that it’s easy to invest later and you don’t have to get sucked into the hype and the fomo of the coin going up I’ve got salana here as the example this is the pricing here for salana in November now if you think salana is never going
To come back to these prices then the game is well I just have to buy at this price here at $81 because well it’s not it’s just not going to come back to these levels uh below $60 but if you think that this run is a little overextended then the toughest game of
All comes in the patience the patience for this Market to correct over this next period because of everything that I think is looking likely where we might see a bit of a pause on the stock markets and then we start to see a little bit that uh fear come into the
Markets that just allow us to drop back down then that gives us that buying opportunity in the first half of 2024 so you can easily now now that you’ve answered this question here will the prices come back and more importantly which Trader are you or are you both and
Have the two different portfolios then you can start to assess where the uh prices could come back and we looked at that recently as well where we’re just looking at what has it done in the past in this particular dip it did 69% so basically around 70% and in that
Previous dip there which doesn’t look like anything on a linear chart but on a logarithmic chart you can see was 80% drop well if it does somewhere between 70 and 80% from the current high prices here of 85 well 70% % brings salana back down to
$25 80% brings it down to $16 now hold your horses I’m not saying that that will happen and I don’t think it will happen I don’t think we’re going to see salana back under these levels here for 70% drop so let’s keep it a little more
Conservative and say well what if it was just a 60% drop well there’s 33 bucks what if it was only a 50% drop there’s 41 bucks and what if it was only a 40% drop well there’s 50 bucks and it brings us back into that zone of November so
It’s just about the patience now one might ask again well there’s a lot of ifs and thens in in in trading remember you know markets can keep going and if they keep going where are those next levels that it could find some resistance resistance levels across any cryptocurrency that you were looking at
Could be anything in your list you’re just going to look back for psychological levels maybe it’s 100 bucks for your altcoin maybe it’s a dollar maybe it’s 10 cents whatever those round numbers are the psych psychological levels is where we’ll look for then we’re going to look for monthly
Swing tops very key significant level so in this case b it’s roughly around $143 so then we could take a measure from that point and see well where’s a 60% drop it’ll be back into this November Zone where is a 40% drop well it’s at these current prices so in that
Case maybe it is better to buy at this time but you never know and that’s the point of trading you need to be preparing and planning for any situation that may come now what has salana done in this particular cycle well from the top here in July to the bottom it did
46% in the previous top uh to the bottom in June it did a 53% so somewhere around that 40 to 50% might be reasonable for salana so it could come back into this zone between 30 and 50 bucks now if you never think that is possible for your altcoin think
Again we’re already starting to see that on many other altcoins it’s the similar sort of pattern they’re starting to reverse they’re getting hit at their 50% levels of previous ranges which is a beautiful area for resistance and then they’re starting to retreat so in this case you can see that this particular
Crypto is back in the zone of the prices of November and there are many examples like this across the board and it’s up to you to go through the other thousands and thousands even millions of altcoins to try and figure out where those levels are some of the favorites of the past
Are also having a pullback you can see this on Casper you can see it on link it’s back at the prices that it was in November and it wasn’t able to push up any further through that period of when all of the influencers were getting feelings in their jellies and you can
See some of these markets have pulled back well the majority of them have and then the odd few have continued to go so always come back to the game that you’re trying to play are you trying to play The Spot Long Trader here looking to buy
And hold for months maybe even a couple of years or are you trying to play the short-term leverage Trader where you’re just looking at uh to get in and out quickly on the hourly chart or maybe on the daily chart once you can identify that then you can answer this question
Here and then the rest of the game becomes that little bit easier so you don’t get sucked into the fomo and the greed and the fear and all those sort of emotions that kick into gear when markets continue to rise quickly or they fall quickly because without a doubt
This time’s not different and we’ll likely see the fear kick back into the market sometime in the first half of 2024 at least that’s what I think according to my own analysis don’t forget to use the link in the video description for the 7-Day free trial and
Of course a TI Prem a membership where you can get on board with some of our Traders making great gains over there as well appreciate all of your time and support I’ll see you back here at the next video Until then take care and peace out
27 Comments
Are altcoins setting up for a significant correction or not? Yes / Not ๐
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Thanks Jason,
"feeling in their jellies" ๐
thx 4 the videos ๐
COQ inu to the moooon ๐
โLetโs put together a roadmap for 2024โ ๐. That happened about 10 months ago for us smart money folk ๐. Solana has done a 9X while you were asleep at the wheel. Not to mention Injective and Avalanche. My 2024 roadmap is being played with completely free money at this point. If everything goes to zero tomorrow, Iโm still up big time.
Watching these narratives is just laughable, people we have been in a rolling recession in different sectors for over a year and a half. The fed has been holding banks afloat since March. Market gonna still go up to 48k before we get a real correction, not gonna be a dramatic recession. Most of my money already in. And more money I add will be added when the fed pivots. Then I will be fully vested lol let's go 2024
Sol gonna pullback at 20$
Sol gonna pullback at 35$….
Sol gonna pullback at 45 $
Sol gonna pullback at 60$
Now after 7 months… sol gonna pullback at 78 dollar resistance… now 82.. ๐คฃ
People weee saying the exact same when we were near these prices in the summer and we had a pull back until recently so why would we just do the same again ??? Major markets go up and to right long term
โAnd his wife isnโt giving birthโโฆ EPIC
But NFA right? Btc bear maxi boy says the same thing every day.
You are a bit late mate… jesus
I recall A couple a months ago he recommended not to buy altcoins. Yet so many have pumped over 500% in those two months.
thanksjason
It doesnโt seem surprising that TA points on the charts come true when big money trades based on TA, a self fulfilling prophecy
Everyone in the comments will be a millionaire. Mark my wifes bf words…
SOL is a steamroller. It's eating ETH up so the chances of a 30 percent drop are minimal.
There was rolling recessions in different sectors through 2022 ..
Doesn't the USA unprecedented DEBT make it different this time?
Becker put out one of his "Up Only Dusley" tweets today. A clear sign to stay out of the market. ๐
Don't you ever get selling yourself everyday?
๐ฏ๐ฏ๐
I didnโt touch anything but btc and eth last cycle. Iโm buying some doge, have got a hunch Musk will do something crazy with it
Funny how you think you can predict the real estate cycle
Best analyst Iโve came across on YouTube. You cut out all the bull and seem to have a very easy and good understanding of the markets and whatโs going on. Thank you.
Jason must be super rich or the most risk averse MFer there is.
Dudes are making 10-20x all over the place with quality alts and youโre not even in the market. Unbelievable how much money you miss out on.
day 2 of requesting to bring back "have more fun to get more done"
looks to me like btc is about ready to take off for those 7 or slightly more days (again) , at least for me the "now making profit" line has been passed (was pretty late buying back in and need to look intoo that x percent fall back thing you mentioned in this video )
curious to see if it will go back down and if it goes down enough to do a scalp or just leave it alone and buy more btc with fresh money
could be btc goes back under the halfway mark between christmas and newyear as the pro traders will be away from their computers to be with their families , would be around that 7 days whyckoff mark too