BITCOIN Bull Market Secret! 2024 Crypto Will Be CHAOS!

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In this video, I explore the striking parallels between the S&P 500 and Bitcoin price movements, emphasizing the significance of Bitcoin halvings and their impact on crypto bull markets. As 2023 ends, I question whether Bitcoin will continue its unprecedented growth or follow historical patterns and retract as we near the halving. Delving into technical analysis, I draw on the S&P 500’s Fibonacci levels to predict crypto trends, while considering macroeconomic factors and potential market volatility in an election year. My analysis highlights the critical resistance areas known as ‘bull market doors’ and the possible scenarios for Bitcoin’s future, urging viewers to be prepared for any market outcome.

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Intro 00:00
Macro roadmap for Bitcoin and crypto 1:30
Look at this 2017 data 3:00
Bitcoin did this before 4:00
S&P 500 indicator 5:30
2024 will be chaotic 6:30
Prepare for crypto to dip 8:30
Macro bullish confirmation happens here 10:30

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That’s not a Bitcoin chart that’s an S&P 500 chart what is on there though plotted on there are the Bitcoin from the end of this year 2023 after some Monumental insane gains two questions on people’s mind is this time different is this time different Bitcoin spot ETF so many

Bullish things happening in crypto are we going to keep going and start testing alltime highs without a retracement the other question is will the cycles of crypto repeat and we do get a retracement going into having perhaps I want to break down those questions and answer them with just data

Very clear data that is on the screen right now so please hit the Subscribe hit the like and let’s just jump into it I think this is the biggest thing to end out the year and what kind of gave me the idea to do this is I was on a

Twitter or an X space earlier on coin Bureau I was a speaker on there and somebody came up and they started talking about how they’ve been using thep 500 as as this guide this road map in terms of making macro decisions in crypto this is what he mentioned and I thought

It was very interesting because I haven’t really dug into this he was mentioning a Fibonacci retracement that the S&P 5 500 has recently broken so very similar to what we do with the bull market doors I go to bitcoin the bull market doors as many of you know is a

Fibonacci it’s a bull market High to a bare Market low that green rectangle it’s a Fibonacci area this this area where Bitcoin breaks through these bull market doors it’s a resistance area this has been broken in in Cycle’s past so it was broken back here no November 2020

That’s where the Fibonacci was broken and it was also broken back here in 2016 now this is the question will it be tested and broken prior to the Bitcoin having because these past Cycles it’s been after but interestingly enough this person on the xace was mentioning the

Fibonacci on the S&P 500 so let me just chart it and then we’re going to actually we’re going to relate it to the crypto cycles and how it’s helpful and useful in terms of what’s going to happen next on the macro in crypto on the Bitcoin chart so you can see S&P 500

Testing its own Fibonacci bull market doors right failing at the resistance coming back up and just most recently pretty much breaking the bull market doors right now testing alltime High the reason this is important to me is because notice where the Bitcoin having is that’s the Bitcoin having notice

Historically where the next Bitcoin crypto bull market really is when the bull market doors on crypto are broken it’s p it’s post heav what I want to point out is if we go back and this is where we start really getting some good solid data not to the last cycle uh

Certainly we could go to the last cycle but we go back and we go to the cycle before that right so prior to this 200 uh 16 and 17 bull market I just want to show you something check out this swing low the swing High to just this swing

Low big swing low on S&P 500 and we have this Fibonacci right here notice how this area this Fibonacci was being tested on the S&P 500 prior to the Bitcoin having and and then at the Bitcoin having right it’s actually breaking alltime High S&P 500 breaking alltime high now after that obviously

Some retracement and then just cruising to the upside the reason I want to show you this is because on the Bitcoin chart something I’ve identified I think we’ve been talking a lot about this in videos for the last year if not longer than a year trying to the similarities of of

This bare Market exit to the less bare Market exit and the bare Market exit before that very similar I’ve been trying to identify what’s more similar this last cycle kind of exiting the bare Market or the cycle before and I I truly think at this point with the the move

Bitcoin has made it’s the cycle before there’s more similarities in terms of what Bitcoin is doing right now and what it did back here in this cycle now notice in this cycle back here swing High bull market High 2013 to swing low bare Market low notice how it tested the

Bull market doors right here prior to the having and then it retraced going right into and through the having and then bull market kind of just blew up from there the reason I’m bringing this up is because at this moment when this Bitcoin having was occurring go back to the S&P

500 chart what was happening S&P 500 was kind of leading leading the way in terms terms of alltime highs in terms of hitting all-time highs before Bitcoin but kind of acted as this signal to say hey we’re hitting all-time highs and we’re going higher and it kind of opened

The doorway for also Bitcoin to kind of enter its own bull market and start breaking its all-time Highs but if we zoom out now on S&P 500 just check it out look at all the the Bitcoin bull cycles the last bull cycle higher highs and higher lows in the S&P 500 the cycle

Before that this is S&P 500 chart by the way higher highs and higher lows at the bull and and through the bull market bull market before that higher highs and higher lows through the Bitcoin bull market now my point is this S&P 500 kind of acting as a leading indicator prior

To the havs right and and this is exactly what I’m talking about you can you can just see how Bitcoin or S&P 500 broke this Fibonacci leading into the heav to all-time high and you go back to what we’re looking at now the current S&P 500 charts what’s it what’s it just

What did it just do prior to the Bitcoin having it breaks this Fibonacci and going into the having once again maybe it’ll stall out right now it hasn’t broken alltime high but S&P 500 very close to break alltime High while Bitcoin not yet breaking all-time high now here’s where things get really dicey

Really interesting we have all this space we have all this time very similar to how we had all of this time and by the way it was breaking alltime High prior to the last having as well and I’m just more comparing it to two all time high that that gaap there also

Going into an election year we are here once again going into an election year November 2024 as S&P 500 getting ready to break alltime highs what volatility will exist here what insane volatility will exist here is S&P 500 just going to keep going going going going or is there going to be

Retracement I don’t know if there’s going to be a Black Swan event I think I think there is a very strong case that there could be this year I don’t know if there will be but look at that dip and so look at the dip after it hit

S&P F S&P 500 hit all-time highs uh back at the Bitcoin having a 2016 it dipped there’s room for retracement for S&P 500 and certainly if we go back to the Bitcoin chart now just to kind of start bringing all this together there is room for retracement on the Bitcoin

Charts now the thing that’s awesome here is here’s our bull market doors right here if Bitcoin manages to not retrace this would be the typical move but I’m showing you on the screen right now that’s the typical move if Bitcoin manages to not retrace and actually just

Test the bull market doors and starts breaking them this would be like something that this is not this is nothing Bitcoin has done before this would be a first and it would be incredibly bullish for crypto if this were to happen but I just want to show you

Something and I’m I’m going to use a couple algo indicators because they’re really helpful for me the break of structure here followed by the change of character on the ma on the macro this is a weekly chart this is very zoomed out so we have the change of character which

Is price breaking a prior swing low during an uptrend triggers and then we have the break of we have the break of structure which is price breaking a prior swing High during an uptrend these two things happening have triggered the last two bull markets but notice this

Last bull market was post having change of character break of structure bull go back to the one one that we’re comparing more truly to the current bitcoin Cycles go back here to that last cycle preh having change of character I’m sorry change of character break of structure

Bull this is more where we are but notice going into having Bitcoin fell Bitcoin retraced while if we go back to the S&P 500 in 2016 while S&P 500 2016 was seeing all highs so right now markets S&P 500 traditional markets are so on Pace to to Really repeat but it

Might not come without a retracement and if we go back to the Bitcoin chart this is truly what we could be looking at and just notice the the 200 we moving average on this chart is the red line that you see there there’s a 200 we moving average right around 29,000

30,000 the 50 50e moving average right around the same area 29 to 30,000 the two the 20we moving average a green line right on 33,000 this entire area is just 100% waiting for Bitcoin to fall into it I’m ready for that and at the same time if over the

Next couple of weeks going into New Year The Narrative of the bitcoin’s body ETF is just too much for the Bears to contend with and Bitcoin does another leg up it will be testing the bull market doors in a very similar fashion as it has before and the the the

Question I’ll be asking if that happens is it going to break the bull market doors in this next leg up if it happens because look last cycle swing High to swing low bull market doors tested pre- Bitcoin having failed came back down didn’t break the bull market doors

Though post having you go back to the cycle before which is I think more in line with with this current cycle swing swing High swing low Bitcoin prehab tested bu Market doors failed everybody wants to say it’s different this time because of Institutions and big money and and we’re

Further along it’s different this time but every cycle everybody says that and we have all the technicals lining up just so nicely that are hinting at just be ready for for a dip and I can’t help but ignore I can’t help but not ignore that and so this is what I’m watching

But I’ll tell you what this is why I do technical analysis so that I can anticipate downside understand that it’s normal if it happens but if if Bitcoin Trends away from previous cycles and what it’s done in the Cycles past starts testing the doors starts breaking above the Bitcoin the Bitcoin bull market

Doors for me that would be an absolute epic bullish confirmation that I will be happy to to cover in a video when it happened so I really just wanted to bring it all together this S&P 500 data I thought was interesting as as this Fibonacci broken most recently as we’re

Getting ready to go into Bitcoin having I really thought it was an interesting just perspective I know everybody that there’s so many different moving parts to this the macroeconomic landscape of things the wars that are going on the the current election cycle that’s coming up not only in the United States but

Across the world and just the the amount of just fraud manipulation from so many different perspectives so many different things could happen in 2024 that are so unknown they’re so unpredictable and that’s that’s really the biggest moving piece that that none of us can even anticipate or even expect or be ready

For but what we can do is prepare for everything and just be ready for anything so those are my thoughts everybody want to do a little video as cryptos kind of just consolidate right now I appreciate you hit the Subscribe hit the like I’ll see you in the next video God bless