Scary Warning To Silver Stackers: No Price Manipulations -Rafi Farber

Scary Warning To Silver Stackers: No Price Manipulations -Rafi Farber

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Very soon gold and silver are going to outperform stocks as the dollar goes into its final death throws explore the thrilling Resurgence of gold and silver alongside Rafi Farber Gold’s pursuit of all-time highs and Silver’s impressive leadership provide a captivating narrative in the world of precious metals join us as we unravel the

Intriguing forces driving these remarkable Market movements so don’t go anywhere and keep watching things are getting pretty volatile they’re reminding me of in the weeks and days before the March 2020 crisis when gold and silver going up and down like crazy uh they’re doing that again just on the

Reported intentions of the FED if silver can rise nearly 200 cents in a day it was like a dollar and a half $1.70 or something they can do that on just intentions imagine what they’re going to do when the FED has to cut back down to zero because there’s some kind of

Banking crisis somewhere and on that front the reverse repos have not gone anywhere since November 24th it’s annoying they should drain already so we can get this over with are they too good for their home at zero anyway we’re going to talk about silver maintaining its technical support at the 200 we

Moving average and maintaining the triangle since the bottom in September of 2022 we’re going to look at some interesting price action in SLV specifically not necessarily price action but Holdings action it’s really weird I’m going to show you a chart that I put on the endgame investor I found

Something sneaky in SLV that you should be interested in there’s still some stress in the sofr market the secur overnight financing Market which is really just the repo Market from bank to bank volume is still past $1.7 trillion where it has never been before and finally a very longterm chart of gold

Versus the S&P shows that we are at a major turning point we’re about to to hit a golden cross of gold versus the S&P ratio those are extremely rare they happen once every 15 to 20 years so we have here silver holds above the 200 we moving average and its triangle this is

Just a quick technical update sometimes it really is as simple as holding uh technical formation sometimes it isn’t but sometimes you just really got to check the really simple technical patterns here it might be what’s happening you see here that gold uh sorry silver tests uh its trend line

That was established here in October uh 2023 uh and it tested this one two 3 4 this is the fifth time and right now we’re also holding we’re holding above this is from yesterday before the the big surge higher I think we’re about at $24 $24 and something uh so we’re

Substantially higher than this now so this has been successfully tested and we’re substantially above the 200 week moving average in the triangle is maintained just barely over here but yes is still maintained and we should be heading higher from here I don’t know how high we can go until the FED it

Really does turn around and print more money because we’re still in a deflationary phase uh but if silver can react this strongly when the FED is still deflating the money supply imagine what happens when they start inflating it again it’s going to go crazy anyway

This is a chart I shared at the endgame investor and look at these uh little rounded rectangles here so these blue bars are additions to the SLV Holdings um and I’m going to focus in on these in the next slides but check this out so you have a huge addition to the SLV

Holdings here in the blue bar uh and that is just around the time where silver had an intermediate bottom over here this blue line is the SLV is sorry the silver price and uh no it’s the SLV price the silver line is the silver price they they obviously move in tandem

Uh and then you have another time here where uh SLV was at a looks like a yearly low here and you have another time here where silver is at another low here and you had huge influx of uh silver into the fund doesn’t happen every time that lows coincide with big

Influxes of silver but a lot of the times it does you had one over here uh a little low here and a big influx of silver into the fund into an intermediate High over here and here I since I made this chart a day before the big surge higher after the fed’s

Announcement that at uh the fomc meeting where gold and silver went a little bit crazy and soort of everything else I put question marks here is this going to be an intermediate bottom for silver and it turns out it looks like for now that it

Was this is from a day later of the same chart right if we go back here you see this is for December 12th and this is December 13th so look what happened on December 13th the day of the big silver move higher so how much silver went into

The fun Z the big move higher was a day before if we go back to the previous chart the movements that are recorded on December 12th were actually made on December 11th so let’s assume there was a big move of 7.33 million ounces of silver into SLV on December 11th

Reported on December 12th here and then the big move in silver the next day on December 13th and no move in silver on December 12th so uh whoever was moving silver into the fund uh was might have been anticipating a silver intermediate bottom yesterday and how might that have

Happened well I don’t know for sure but if someone is shorting the SLV or a participating Bank an authorized participant bank is shorting SLV to redeem those baskets into the Futures market and sell on the Futures Market marking an intermediate bottom and then covering a short as that bottom uh is

Formed and then putting the silver back into SLV that could be a little bit of footsy a little bit of manipulation it wouldn’t be that extreme I’m not that big on complaining about manipulation in the silver market I know it happens I don’t deny it I just try not to get too

Hung up on it because really what can I do and we’re waiting for the end game anyway which will not be able to be stopped by pitsy little manipulation the point is if this pattern is true and whoever is doing this to SLV is uh manufacturing little moves down so that

They can move in then this could be a signal that whenever there’s a big move up in the SLV fund that uh it could be signaling B it doesn’t happen every time so it’s not a foolproof 100% indicator but when there’s big moves in the SLV ETF big influxes of physical silver into

The fund uh watch out for a turning point this is the lbma chart from gold charts are us uh if you look at um the lbma website it shows that I think they’re at 845 million ounces which translates to 26.2 26284 tons and if you look on um on

Gold charts us which is a great service by Nick aair I recommend it he doesn’t pay me to recommend his uh his charts but it’s pretty good so the SL the ETFs in London own 13 thou 13,731 tons and that means that there’s 12553 tons left to uh on the float uh

Now how much really is that well considering that we’ve gone from here’s silver squeeze here you see this little thing look at that February 2021 suddenly they just had a bunch of silver in there well is that kosher I don’t know probably not but I’m not going to

Make any accusations here because who am I uh we went to about like 39,000 tons to now 26,000 tons so that’s about 13,000 tons that were uh erased from the lbma since silver squeeze and uh there’s 12553 tons left on the float so we’ve already drained uh more than

Half of it uh in the lbma which is much bigger than the comx uh so uh yeah we’re going the right direction and in the end game this is all going to disappear very quickly and now I wanted to go into one last chart here uh this is the gold to

S&P 500 ratio it means is gold outperforming or underperforming stocks uh are you sad that you don’t have the S&P and you went into silver well yeah I see since 2011 that would make you sad and it would make anyone sad that they have less dollars now because silver has

Underperformed the S&P 500 since the top uh in 2011 but there is there are imminent signs that this is about to reverse there are signs that this is about to imminently reverse and I’ll show you these three circles that I could jiggered here on this chart so

This downtrend goes I think all the way back to 1980 when the the ratio was at a peak I don’t know exactly what it was but I know the Dow of gold ratio was 1: one so here this is this was going down and down and down for about 20 years

Into 2000 which was the low but uh my point here is that the red line is always above the Blue Line meaning the 200 we moving average is always above the 50e moving average when the trend is falling and falling and falling and here you had the meeting of the lines very

Temporarily and then a continuation down into the bare Market low of uh 1999 2000 over here at the turn of the Millennium the fake turn of the Millennium for the 2001 purists um but anyway on the way up right from 2000 to 201 11 you had one meeing of those lines

Over here in 200000 late 2005 early 2006 and then in during the bull market when silver is outperforming stocks uh then you have the blue line on top of the red line the 50e moving average consistently on top of the 200 we moving average and

You had a cross over here showing a new bare market for Sil for gold sorry gold versus stocks is not silver versus stock this is gold versus stock but it also applies to Silver versus stocks generally speaking uh and then here look the same thing uh that that happened

Here a tiny little Cross or barely across here and you had this Cross of uh of the blue over the red which turned out to be a fake out a bull trap in 2020 and I think it was made more extreme by the lockdowns and all the insanity that

Was going on there in the money printing um but now it looks like we could have a more natural Cross of the blue line on top of the red line which would indicate a new bull phase just like over here when we had this cross they very very

Rarely happen here they’ve only happened like one two twice twice in the last uh 30 years 33 years whatever 23+ 10 yeah 33 34 years probably longer than that if you this chart is extended back very very rare it’s about to happen again why because you have the 50e moving average

At 0 46 the 200 we moving average at 047 when this crosses and the blue goes above the red uh it could signal the real the real move into the bull market in gold and silver this apparently was a fake out it was a very frustrating one

But they don’t happen very often and I don’t think this one is going to be a fake out very soon gold and silver are going to outperform stocks as the dollar goes into its final death throws in conclusion my friends the FED is done hiking there’s no more hikes or headed

Down right back down to zero when there’s another banking crisis it’s not going to be a smooth ride back down as they cut itsy bitsy little bit 25 base points at a time or even 5050 base points at a time I believe and yeah I could be wrong I could always be wrong

But I believe there’s going to be a crisis and we’re going to go from all the way where we are now to zero in one night and gold and silver are going to bust a cap or whatever the term is for just go nuts appreciation for joining rafy Farber in exploring the Intriguing

Rise of gold and silver stay informed with our our upcoming discussions by subscribing for more valuable insights into the dynamic world of precious metals your engagement fuels our continuous exploration of these fascinating Market movements