Bill Miller IV, Miller Value Partners CIO, joins ‘Closing Bell’ to discuss Bitcoin ETFs as it falls on its second day.

    STEP AND COMPETENCIES BREAD ACCEPTANCE. LET’S BRING IN A CEO AND CHAIRMAN BILL MILLER IV. GREAT TO HAVE YOU ON, CERTAINLY WE WILL GET YOUR TAKE ON LEGACY FINANCIAL ASSETS AND YOUR PORTFOLIO. AS AN OWNER AND BELIEVER IN BITCOIN, WHAT IS THE ADVENT OF THE ETFS MEANING IF ANYTHING

    FOR THE FORTUNES OF THE ASSET CLASS? >> I THINK IT REPRESENTS AN ENORMOUS STEP FORWARD FOR INSTITUTIONAL CAPITAL ACCESSING THE ASSET CLASS. BUT I THINK THERE IS ACTUALLY SOMETHING OUT THERE THAT IS ALREADY EXPOSED TO BITCOIN, WHICH WE’VE KNOWN FOR QUITE AWHILE. WHICH IS ACTUALLY BETTER THAN A BITCOIN ETF.

    THAT IS MICRO STRATEGY. MICRO STRATEGY IS BETTER THAN, IN MY ASSESSMENT AT LEAST, A BITCOIN ETF FOR A COUPLE REASONS. NUMBER, ONE IT’S MORE LIQUID. AS THE LARGEST OWNER OF DECLINE IN THE WORLD. NOT ONLY, THAT THERE’S NO FEES ATTACHED TO IT. THINK ABOUT THE OPTIONALITY OF OWNING A NEW TECHNOLOGICAL

    ASSET AND BEING THE LARGEST OWNER OF THAT ASSET. IT PROVIDES ENORMOUS OPTIONALITY OVER THE LONG TERM. NOT ONLY, THAT YOU’VE GOT A CEO WHO OWNS A BILLION DOLLARS WORTH OF STOCK, WHO OWNS 700 AND $50 MILLION WORTH OF BITCOIN PERSONALLY. HE’S A TECHNOLOGIST, HAS 31 PATENTS TO HIS NAME. HE GETS IT.

    WE CAN TALK ABOUT THE ETFS BUT THERE IS ALREADY SOMETHING THAT’S MORE LIQUID OUT THERE ALREADY, AND IT’S REALLY INTERESTING TO CONSIDER THAT. >> MICRO STRATEGY, IT’S PERHAPS MORE LIQUID AT THIS POINT, FOR SURE. BUT ITS VALUE IS ALSO GOING TO DEVIATE FROM THE VALUE UNDERLYING BITCOIN. OF, COURSE THERE IS ALSO A

    SOFTWARE BUSINESS AND THE PUBLIC COMPANY AS WELL. >> ABSOLUTELY. THAT’S ONE OF THE THINGS THAT MAKES IT SUPER INTERESTING TO ME. IF THE VALUE DEVIATES FROM THE INTRINSIC VALUE, SO IF THE PRICE GOES ABOVE INTRINSIC VALUE, MICHAEL CAN SELL MORE SHARES UNDER THE OPEN MARKET AND USE THAT CASH TO BUY BITCOIN.

    THAT’S AN ENORMOUSLY VALUED CREATIVE THING TO DO IF YOU THINK ABOUT THE HISTORY OF FIAT CURRENCY’S. ALWAYS TO BASING THEMSELVES, RIGHT? THEN YOU HAVE SOMETHING WHO’S SUPPLY, BITCOIN, IT’S COMPLETELY INDEPENDENT OF THE DEMAND FOR IT. THAT’S A VERY VALUE CREATIVE THING TO DO, BUY SOMETHING IN DOLLARS OF VALUE IN BITCOIN.

    >> THAT’S GOOD IF YOU ALREADY OWN THE STOCK BUT MAYBE DON’T BE ONE OF THOSE BUYERS OF A NEW EQUITY OFFERING AT A BIG PREMIUM TO INTRINSIC VALUE IF IT IS JUST ESSENTIALLY AN ARBITRAGE. >> SELLING SHARES AT A PREMIUM TO INTRINSIC VALUE BENEFITS ONGOING SHAREHOLDERS. WE DON’T MIND THAT AT ALL.

    ON THE OTHER HAND, IF THE VALUE DIPS WELL BELOW THE INTRINSIC VALUE OF THE SOFTWARE BUSINESS PLUS THE BITCOIN, YOU CAN ALWAYS BUY BACK SHARES. HAVING SOMEBODY AT THE HELM OF WHAT IS EFFECTIVELY A CLOSED END FUND, ALLOCATING THAT CAPITAL IS ENORMOUSLY VALUED LONG TERM. >> GOT YOU. AS SOMEONE WHO LOOKS AT

    INDIVIDUAL EQUITY AND BOND OPPORTUNITIES OUT THERE WITH A VALUE ORIENTATION, HOW ARE YOU FINDING THE MARKETS RIGHT NOW IN TERMS OF WHETHER THERE IS A RICH SET OF OPPORTUNITIES OR IT IS PICKED OVER AFTER THIS BIG RALLY LAST YEAR? >> NO, I THINK THE BACKDROP RIGHT NOW IT’S ENORMOUSLY

    POSITIVE FOR EQUITIES IF YOU LOOK AT WHAT IS GOING ON. I LAUGHED, QUARTER ONE OF THE THINGS THAT WAS REALLY INTERESTING TO ME IS THAT LONG DATED GOVERNMENT BONDS WERE UP DOUBLE DIGITS. NOT ONLY WHERE THEY HAVE DOUBLE DIGITS, THE STOCK MARKET WAS ALSO UP DOUBLE DIGITS. THAT’S A REALLY INTERESTING COMBINATION.

    HISTORICALLY SPEAKING AT LEAST, WHEN BONDS ARE UP DOUBLE DIGITS, EQUITIES ARE TANKING BECAUSE PEOPLE ARE BUYING SAFETY. IN THIS, CASE WHEN YOU SEE BOTH OF THOSE THINGS MOVE UP AT THE SAME TIME, IT PROBABLY SUGGEST THE MARKET BELIEVES INFLATION IS RAINED IN AND VERY MUCH UNDER CONTROL, WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY TODAY’S PPI

    NUMBERS COMING IN A LITTLE LIGHT. SO, NOW, THE BOND MARKET, THE FED FUNDS FUTURES MARKET IS PREDICTING ROUGHLY AN 8% CHANCE OF A CUT FROM THE FED BY THE END OF THE FIRST QUARTER. THAT’S REALLY INTERESTING IF YOU THINK ABOUT GDP ANNUALIZING AT FOUR AND A HALF PERCENT FOR THE PAST TWO QUARTERS.

    WITH THE F

    29 Comments

    1. This MSTR pitch is one of the worst ideas I've ever heard from a serious investor. 1) You're not holding BTC, you're only exposed to its price through 2) equity in a middling software company that 3) has a couple of billion in debt on its balance sheet. The market cap for MSTR is roughly the same as the Bitcoin they hold which means that you're buying Bitcoin exposure plus debt and some essentially useless other assets, except as an equity holder your claim to the Bitcoin is junior to the debt holders so for every dollar of MSTR stock, you're buying like 80 cents or whatever worth of Bitcoin exposure. It doesn't deserve a premium to the market value of the underlying, it deserves a discount.

      "But Saylor can sell equity to buy more Bitcoin." That becomes significantly less useful in the future. Why would you want to buy shares in a company that owns Bitcoin instead of owning Bitcoin more directly? MSTR has been useful as a Bitcoin proxy because we didn't have ETFs.

      Yes, ETFs have fees but ETF fees tend to be a race to the bottom in any sort of passive fund, which is what the current Bitcoin funds are. You'll be able to pay 5-10 bips in a year or two. It's negligible, it gives you direct exposure to Bitcoin without proxy equity, and it gets you away from the MSTR legacy business risks.

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    3. The biggest problem for that argument (MSTR=bitcoins) is that Microstrategy could decide to sell 50% or even all of their bitcoins. I am not saying they will, but they did sell large amount not too long ago.

    4. So the same people saying bitcoin has no intrinsic value are also saying MSTR has intrinsic because of bitcoin? Can’t have it both ways!

    5. Bitcorn is nothing but dark money used for child trafficking and organ harvesting! Funding endless wars β˜ οΈπŸ’€β˜ οΈπŸ’€β˜ οΈπŸ–•πŸ–•πŸ–•πŸ–•πŸ–•πŸ–•

    6. lol, wow he has no clue. MSTR is terribly illiquid to trade. Huge spreads and lots of slippage. You pay a 2% fee to market makers every time you get in and out of MSTR stock. Everybody dumping MSTR for ETFs.

    7. Can anyone explain what this guy is talking about? If Saylor keeps selling the stock above intrinsic value to buy bitcoin, then the stock will definitely go down. In the long run it might go up because there are more bitcoin holdings, but only if bitcoin goes up. Overall I think his sells of the stock would be very damaging to shareholders, no?

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