Bitcoin: 2024 MEGA Bull Run! – It’s BIGGER Than You Think (BTC)

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Ladies and gentlemen today is a big video in today’s video I’m going to be discussing the bullish catalysts for a 2024 bull market and they go deeper than just the harving and the 4-year cycle we’re talking about the harving the fouryear cycle presidential cycle theories also things like the 18.6 year

Real estate economic cycle which encompasses the entirety of the fouryear cycle there are major bullish Catalyst in 2024 that suggests a major bull market over the next 2 years and there’s also counteracting evidence and I’m going to be discussing the bare case the case that we’ll see a recession the case

That Bitcoin will get dragged down by the S&P and stock market I’m going to be debunking the bearish claims and proposing the bullish claims in a definitive and decisive video it’s long it’s very much worth watching ladies and Gentlemen let’s get into it ladies and gentlemen in this video we

Will not only be looking into the fouryear cycle we’ be looking into the presidential cycle and the 18.6 year real estate cycle which both support the 4-year cycle will then be diving into the all-time highs on gold S&P 500 and the NASDAQ looking into the potential bearish claims people are still claiming

Still claiming that the S&P 500 and all the tral marks will drag down Bitcoin to new lows or at least hinder its growth and that will be the Catalyst for the end of the 4year cycle I’m going to be looking into those claims looking into

Why I don’t believe them and why I don’t think they have much value at all okay so without further Ado let’s check out the VIP group and then we’ll get straight into the video VIP group on telegram you can check out all the information on this group this group is

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Rate but also you get access to the group chat where you can speak to about 120 people VIPs wolves crypto 247 about the market post charts whatever you want and discuss it there so without further Ado let’s get into it in the first part of this video I’m going to be looking

Into the 4year Cycle Theory and why 2024 has many bullish catalysts to make this kind of Mega bull cycle I’m not talking about a super cycle I’m talking about a bull market with lots of catalysts right probably more than we’ve had before uh and and I’m going to look

In this you know incrementally but ultimately this video spit in two parts the first part is looking into this bull market looking into 2024 the Catalyst that’s around it looking into where the bull market will go and then also the second part will be kind of debunking

Some of the bearish claims and assessing the bearish argument the argument being the traditional Market will drag down Bitcoin we’re assessing that we’re going to debunk it to an extent I’m going to show you why it’s not logical uh to trust it so without further Ado let’s

Get into it I’ve said that three times now let’s actually get into it this time okay so foure Cycle Theory I’ll be quick with this video here foure Cycle Theory what is it most people know what it is every four years Bitcoin does the same thing as a 4year cycle within that

4-year period there’s a bull market there’s a bare Market there’s a an accumulation period right right now we’re in the accumulation period before the Haring the harving is in April this year okay it’s around 75 days away from the time making this video and so at the

Harving we will see the start of a new cycle and at the start of a new cycle we see a bull market we saw a bull market in 2013 2017 2020 uh 1 sorry and then also going through to 2025 we will see a bull market again 2024 2025 that will be

Our bull market period obviously we’re in 2024 now uh and look I want to make something very clear from a cycal perspective going upwards is not the same thing as seeing a bull market a bull market is a period of time after the Haring where regular crypto money

Cycle flow occurs and what do I mean by that I mean money cycle flow in the fact that we see BTC so we have BTC at the top we have ethereum uh in second we have uh altcoins there and then above BTC really I I mean below all coins we

Have usdt or stable coins or cash whatever it may be right so this is the crypto money cycle flow it’s kind of the food chain in crypto that happens at the start of every bull market after the Haring uh now before the Haring and in the bare Market period everyone flocks

To BTC they go from stable coins uh into BTC then when BTC pumps off reaches new alltime highs people get more of a risk tolerance they start going into ethereum high gains then you see altcoin season people go into altcoins and then the market crashes we see the bare Market

People go from altcoins into stables and then from stables in the bare Market they invest in BTC it comes back around because they’re looking for something to be in the crypto Market by which is BTC with also lower risk tolerance because they’ve just been stung by altcoins in

The previous cycle okay so that’s the money cycle flow chart on bit on cryptocurrency that start that starts after the harving and it’s only in regular bull markets like what we saw in 2021 what we saw in 2017 2014 13 sorry and what we’re going to see this year

And next year that you see this money cycle start to flow that’s the difference between going upwards and seeing a bull market a bull market is more more aggressive it’s more volatile but it also has much higher gains right that should be occurring after the Haring now that bull market as per this

Chart here we can do various date range analysis Trends we can look at again we have five separate date range Trends right here colorcoded if you look at this yellow one for example 500 Days from bottom to harving and you go to the uh appropriate colorcoded date range

Measurement on the chart you can see that that measurement takes us to the Haring right from the bottoms the Haring 517 days the Haring will be in April 24 all right and that that’s correct as per the predictions of the harving you can also look at another one days from top

To top 1,400 right going from 2013 from 2013 it’s all 1,400 days roughly from the top to 2017 same thing occurred in 2017 1,400 days to top in 20121 you know all of these Trends have uses but but it comes to the point where all these Trends work together to predict

Something very specific and what it predicts is that we should be seeing the all-time high on Bitcoin in October 2025 it doesn’t give us a price target for it it gives us the date October 2025 will be the end of the bull market if we see a traditional cycle right now there’s

Price targets we can come to I’ve got price targets but that’s not what this video is about the point is we should be seeing a regular bull market after the harving you know based on all the information we have now there’s no reason why that would occur and that

Will take us to a top in October 2025 now what do we have to support that besides the 4year cycle right cuz the foure cycle is very strong it’s the strongest Trend Bitcoin has as I said it’s based on five separate date range Trends it’s also based on a fundamental

Event being the harving the harving rewards uh the mining rewards half right so it’s very strong alone but there actually are things that support it outside of the trend itself one of those things is the presidential cycle Theory okay now there a theory that goes around

It’s not really a theory it’s actually a trend itself that in presidential uh election years which is 2024 which is 2020 which is 2016 right so this so happens to Haven up you know this so happens to line up with the harving date we see uh returns from the stock market

And traditional markets be very high higher than usual right so what we see actually is in election years the average stock market return S&P 500 return in this document here as you can see is 11% on average okay when rep Republicans are elected it’s 15% when the Democrats elected at 7% now Donald

Trump at the moment I believe is pulling to win the presidential election so we could be seeing more something like a 15% return obviously it’s very doubtful there’s many things that could occur that that would kind of screw that up so let’s just go with the Baseline 11% %

Fact of the matter is the stock S&P 500 uh’s average return in general over all years is only 8% or 7% so the election year return is 3 to 4% higher than the average return of the S&P 500 and it is the election year now okay it’s it’s 24

2024 we’re seeing the election year so not only is the fouryear cycle Strong by itself but it’s also supported by the presidential cycle okay so presidential Cycles uh presidential elections happen at the same time as the harving which supports the bit Bitcoin bull market because we know that Bitcoin and the S&P

500 and traditional markets in general are correlated to a certain extent so if the S&P 500 is seeing a bullish time it’s very likely not always but it’s very likely that Bitcoin will be seeing a bullish time and so the presidential cycle Theory very much supports the

Four-year cycle Trend so it goes deeper than just the foure cycle it’s not just oh yeah we’re making date range measurements and if they keep going on we’ll do this no it’s like this is supported by the strongest level of date range measurements I’ve ever seen on top

Of that the harving event on bitcoin on top of that the presidential cycle Theory which is outside of Bitcoin right so something that’s more traditional Market base supports the 4year cycle on bitcoin on top of all of this we’ve got the 18.6 year real estate and economic

Cycle right so this is something from Jason pazo I don’t I’m not sure he’s the one who created it or whatever I think there’s many people have spoken about it many times in the past obviously we’ve got him him listing them right here you can go to his Twitter post if you want

All these people are responsible for this this identification of the 18.6 year cycle you might not have heard of it before uh it’s not very important to get into the nitty-gritty of it you can do that in your own time but basically there is a economic cycle that lasts

Around 18.6 years let’s just say 18 years you can see on this chart here now it specifically uh works for housing prices and so we’re covering all bases here and you can see that basically we have uh this chart basically showing you the exact years in which different parts

Of this cycle have occurred and if we’re going to the current cycle we’re in now you can see 2011 to 2012 we started the upward Trend uh 2020 put a dent in the armor but we went upwards from there and then it’s expecting a kind of a blowoff

Top in 2025 to 2026 and then a crash downwards uh towards the end the end of the decade here and then and then going into 2030 2029 we start tapering up again right so the point is the point is basically that we will be seeing a major bull market across housing prices but

Across across the entire economy really uh from 2025 to 2026 or going into 2025 to 2026 and 2024 of course is included in that as you can see he circles we are here so this is pretty big as well so now we’ve got a situation in which not

Only do we have the fouryear cycle which is predicting a 2025 bull market top we also have the presidential cycle right which is predicting 2024 to be great and the kickoff of the ball Market which is the same thing the harving is predicting and then we also have an

18-year uh I guess you could say economics Trend they call it the 18.6 year real estate cycle that predict the same things that these both charts predicted that supports the idea of a 2025 to 2026 top which is exactly what the harving in the fouryear cycle

Suggest so I want to just kind of show you and the reason why I’m making this video really and the first part of this video specifically is to show you that it’s not just random date range measurements alone that predict the Bitcoin will be entering a bull market

After harving okay it’s actually very Diversified into real estate into traditional markets and also into Bitcoin so it’s very Diversified it’s very supported by things outside of Bitcoin but even within Bitcoin even if it was only Bitcoin that led to this bull market these Trends would still be

Enough so the 4year cycle is supported by many things that are outside of the 4year cycle and even in itself it’s enough to to uh kind of agree with and go along with so foure cycle is very strong right and that’s the first part of the video now the second part of the

Video I want to kind of point out those things support it but the second part of the video are looking into traditional markets looking into will the foure will be ruined is there something that could drag the fouryear cycle down and a very popular claim over the course of 2022

2023 and now this year it’s still persisting is the stock market will drag down Bitcoin and ruin the 4year cycle that’s the claim a lot of people are making now I’m going to debunk this claim now but before we do that let’s get into a brief one minute break ladies

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On a good exchange and become a proper Trader don’t use these trashy exchanges that you’re risking your money and paying overend fees guys let’s get back into the video so what is the be case what are the Bears claiming about traditional markets right now and how are they claiming it’s going to affect

Bitcoin they are claiming that the decreasing of interest rates which will be happening shortly by the way we’ve got an interest rates decision on the 31st of January but we’ve got another one here on the 20th of March and from the 20th of March onwards it becomes

Likely uh or at least a 46 6% probability that they start decreasing rates and then from May it’s pretty much very very likely right we got like you know 80 80 or 90% probability here in May so the point is in 2024 uh most likely with the next few months the

Federal Reserve will start decreasing interest rates now if we’re looking at chart here right this is the S&P 500 in the candles right here and we’ve got in Orange the interest rates uh kind of uh line right here so this is what interest rates have been in Orange and then S&P

500 here in candles right now they are claiming that upon the decrease of interest rates we will stop to see the actual correction of this S&P 500 of traditional markets in general now they’re pointing to 2000 onwards right they’re pointing to in 20000 when we saw

The top we saw interest rates top and when we saw the drop we saw interest rates decreasing massively they’re kind of speculating that it’s actually interest rates decreasing that caused that correction the same is true about 2008 okay and the same is true kind of I suppose I wouldn’t say it is actually

About Co and the reason I wouldn’t say it is is because in Co this is a Black Swan event they dropped interest rates after they saw all was going on not before so I would actually say that Co doesn’t count but basically they’re pointing to these last two major bare

Markets aside from co uh in the traditional Market history which was theom bubble and also the financial crisis they said that the global financial crisis was you know in part I guess in part caused or at least exacerbated or at least be only bottomed out when rates bottomed but rates

Decreasing certainly did not help it and the same thing can be said about global financial crisis and so they’re looking at the idea that interest rates can to be dropping soon and hence the S&P 500 will drop with them now that’s their claim and then they are also claiming

Right CU you might be thinking well how does this affect Bitcoin they’re claiming that Bitcoin and the S&P 500 uh andal markets in general are correlated this chart here shows you in Orange Bitcoin and then in blue S&P 500 you can see there is a vague correlation here

Especially in more recent years uh and so they’re claiming that when the S&P 500 or traditional markets drop bitcoin’s going to do the same and hence their overall claim is that a recession that is coming soon will drag down Bitcoin with traditional markets now I have multiple problems with the claim

That traditional markets will drag down Bitcoin and I also have problems with the claim alone that traditional markets will drop I actually don’t think it’s you know likely at all really that traditional markets will go down to new lows over the next couple years right and I you might be thinking well you

Know I think people have mixed opinions on this because I think if you ask them a year ago or two years ago they’d say I’m completely wrong of course there’s going to be a recession now people I think are maturing a little bit on the

Issue but the idea of of you know the tral markets dropping now is is relying on interest rates decreasing leading to the drop but previously you will remember that the idea in 2021 in 2022 and in 2023 Last by the way for the last 3 years basically people have been

Claiming this same thing through probably two and a half years the same narrative recession’s coming recession’s coming bitcoin’s going down that’s been the same narrative for years now it’s been actual years I don’t think people necessarily understand perhaps they’re not perceiving time correctly these claims have literally been repeating for

Years and nothing has happened in fact not only has nothing happened gold is at all time highs S&P is at alltime highs NASDAQ alltime highs Dow Jones alltime highs not only have they been wrong they’ve been the complete opposite of correct right which which is like worse

Than wrong they’ve been so wrong that they’ve actually missed the new alltime high and they’re still spouting the same narrative so that’s not necessarily a reason not to believe it’s going to happen in the future but it’s certainly a reason to believe that these people are not particularly reliable the claim

Is not reliable they were basing it on the in the past on interest rates you know interest rates Rising was going to lead to a recession and of course that was true for a certain period of time but now interest rates been dropping massively and uh sorry uh inflation I’m

Talking about inflation Rising will lead to a recession that was true for a certain amount of time but when inflation topped what you’ll notice is that when inflation topped we saw the bottom we saw the bottom area of time inflation topped inflation’s been decreasing since then okay and now

Unless we’re going to have another spout of inflation which is possible you know uh the market probably won’t drop again and the thing about inflation is inflation’s misleading right because when you see inflation Rising inflation Rising doesn’t necessarily drop the market in fact it does the opposite right because when you when the

Government’s printing when the Federal Reserve sorry is printing a ton of cash all of that cash is flowing through directly into uh stock market Bitcoin S&P uh real estate it’s flowing into all asset right so when the you know what causes inflation well realistically one of the biggest causes of inflation is is

Money printing right increasing of the money supp and if we enter another cycle of Quant deving and inflation does end up going up what will happen before that occurs before that has any effect on the market is a huge gigantic pump just like 2020 so if you’re talking about

Inflation which was the main thing people were talking about which was going to lead to drop you know realistically inflation is shortterm not directly inflation but shortterm when you see inflation and you look a year before that occurred it’s generally Mega bullish in financial market so the whole idea of of a

Recession was based on inflation initially and now they’ve shifted it to interest rates but the problem with their their shift to interest rates uh is that we’ve only seen that on two occasions and two occasions is not a trend at all it’s actually not a trend

So you need three data points to make a trend and in Prior history there’s there’s no real evidence of that whatsoever in fact it’s quite the opposite so the claims they’re making are just not really grounded in data they’re saying it is because it’s happened for the last 20 years but you

Have to remember that recessions are very rare and just because something has happened correctly for the last 20 years that doesn’t mean it’s happen correctly for multiple data points it’s only be two data points not many at all guys really not many at all uh and look I

Think the whole the whole claim is faulty mainly for that reason but also as well if we’re going to dive into it a little bit deeper it’s also faulty for the for the you know fundamental reason that the markets predict the future okay markets move in how they think the

Future will be right people don’t buy so so for example if if Toyota is going to release a new car in 2025 people aren’t going to buy when the new car is released they’re going to buy in 2024 when the new car is coming out right

That’s a very weird example but it’s or when the new cars rumored to come out when it’s been announced that’s when they’ll buy the actual reality of what’s going on is not what the markets are interested in the markets are interested in the future people buy thinking of the

Future they they don’t buy thinking of the present right if today it’s World War III but everyone knows that by next week World War II is going to be over and the Market’s going to Boom again they’re buying today even though it’s World War II today okay that’s the

Reality so the fact that the markets have skyrocketed to new alltime highs while people are still saying this whole Bare thing’s going to occur this whole recession is going to occur is kind of in a way you know a counterargument to the idea that the recession will occur

Now I’m not saying there won’t be in recession I’m just saying that there’s no real data to believe there will be because all the trends are not really Trends they’re just kind of things you’re pointing to that that aren’t really mathematically based at all and going further in that in that same kind

Of segment is you know there’s another element of this you know yeah of Co it’s all well and good predicting uh traditional Market’s going to go down I don’t know how you necessarily do that uh because I think all the ways they’ve used to do it in the last three years of

False predictions have been wrong evidently because they’ve been wrong for 3 years but another thing is the the Bitcoin correlation right it’s not just you know if we’re talking about S&P 500 stock market dragging down Bitcoin we need to look into the actual correlation that exists between Bitcoin thep

Traditional markets we know for a fact that there was no correlation at all zero near between Bitcoin and tral markets up until basically 2017 right but even then there was no strong correlation right we had a period of time in 2017 where Bitcoin went downwards from four from

That all-time high right 20K uh 20K alltime high in 2017 bull market it dropped all the way downwards right all the way downwards to basically 3K 6K sorry so it dropped downwards you know 75% 70% and in that period of time the S&P 500 reached new alltime highs right

We had you know it looks similar when you’re looking at the chart like this in a blanket way but if you’re actually looking at the data and expecting it closer it’s not actually as similar as you think it is we’ve only really seen proper correlation between Bitcoin and

Traditional markets since Co and that’s pretty obvious pretty self-explanatory right the reason why we we’ve seen that is because that’s when they started printing huge swaps of money and when you print huge swaps of money everything goes up so of course you’re going to see assets be correlated everything will be

Correlated to each other when massive amounts of money coming the economy CU everyone’s buying everything that doesn’t mean that the assets are intrinsically correlated right and then you see when quantitive tightening starts the correlation start to taper off again these charts look similar when you layer them on top of each other like

This but they’re not as similar as you think they are that’s the issue a lot of people look at this and they think oh yeah Bitcoin and the S&P are clearly correlated but if you actually inspect the data closer you can see there’s no correlation over here in here there’s

Very rough correlation in here that’s quite good correlation but even in the last year or so you know we’ve seen on end where Bitcoin does a different thing to the S&P traditional market so my point is not that they’re not correlated they are but the correlation is nowhere

Near as intense as people is expecting them to be or think they are right we we saw periods of time where the S&P was crashing and Bitcoin was pumping we saw a periods of time where Bitcoin was pumping the S&P was crashing we’ve seen this throughout history it’s only in the

Last 3 years that we’ve seen an actual correlation measurable correlation between Bitcoin the S&P and in that period of time we’ve seen months of faulty data we had recently in in August in 23 in August we had recently a full 6mon period where there was no measurable correlation between Bitcoin

Tral markets okay so not only is the idea that you know recession’s coming it’s coming trust me it’s coming not only is that a faulty idea because they’ve been saying it for 3 years on end and it’s never been correct eventually see the thing with this these

Kind of people right if you say the same thing long enough you’re eventually going to be correct there will be a recession eventually okay 18.6 year real estate and economic cycle predicts that recession will start in 2025 2026 4E cycle essentially permits the same thing these people are going to be right

Eventually the problem is what have they missed when they are not correct for 3 years they’ve been saying this and for 3 years they’ve been wrong they’ve missed 216% gains on bitcoin they’ve missed uh the NASDAQ going upwards from 10,000 nearly 2x to 18,000 right they’ve missed basically everything So eventually

They’re going to be correct the problem is there’s no way to predict exactly when this will occur that’s the issue so we can’t take it too seriously until we see actual data of it occurring right now we’re at all-time highs you know it’s very important I actually replied

To a comment that I wanted to show you yesterday this guy said uh you’ll be singing a different tune when the FED drops rates okay insinuating that I won’t be macro bullish when that occurs because the markets will start to drop and I replied like this this is the

Perfect way to end the video I think there’s no evidence of anything will they drop rates will the rates drop the stock market will the stock market drop cause Bitcoin to drop how long will it last will it break cycal Trends there’s so many questions with no OB Ive answers

The best idea is to wait see and react when we have actual proof and actual data there is absolutely nothing wrong with adapting to new data there is something wrong with blindly guessing and that’s exactly what these people these macro bears are doing they’re blindly guessing they have been for 3

Years and they’ve been wrong for 3 years so until we see actual data you know the S&P 500 actually going down NASDAQ actually going down right now they’re breaking alltime Highs but until we see the actual data of them going down and something starting to occur we cannot

Predict that this massive collapse is going to happen that everyone’s wrong except me we can’t say things like that what we can do is we can trust the data that’s presently here the data that’s presently here that we should be trusting because it’s the only data we

Have is that we have a four-year Cycle Theory which is very very strong we have a presidential cycle Theory which is very very strong we have an 18.6 year economic theory which is interesting to say the least if not strong all of these things predict a regular cycle in 2024

And 2025 a bull cycle from there we don’t know but what we do know is this if we start to see the S&P collapsing we can just adapt our data and react to it that’s the simple reality we don’t Vis there’s no benefit in being correct in predictions predictions don’t make you

Money what makes you money is adapting to data right and reacting to the situation right now the data is much in support of a macro bull case it’s not in support of a macro be case at all but if that changes we can just change our minds and adapt there’s no benefit you

Get financially from being contrarian and being wrong for 3 years like all these people have been screaming for recession for 3 years straight I’ve always stood against it I stood against it in 2021 I stood against it in 2022 I stood against it in 2023 I’ve been

Correct all those 3 years and in 2024 I will continue to stand against it I will continue to trust the actual data the actual Trends ladies and gentlemen thank you for watching the video I hope you enjoyed so guys go ahead and check out the crypto acy’s become a Trader 10un

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