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The Bizarre recent FED Conduct, that will pump Gold & Silver Prices



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M Y T O P 3 V I D E O S:

1.https://youtu.be/LWgBQw19JOo
2.https://youtu.be/5IM1_C5Lgcc
3.https://youtu.be/tAnXyneJTng

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Discover the bizarre recent conduct by the FED that will have a big impact on gold and silver prices. This video will break down the latest actions and explain how they will affect the precious metals market. Don’t miss out on this important information for investors and traders!

Welcome everybody delighted to be back with you it’s the market sniper so um here’s what we’re talking about today the FED seems to be doing a whole bunch of rather interesting activities let’s just leave it there uh an announcement so a couple of things that have happened and at the

Same time as these activities have been taking place we’ve been getting interesting movements on the yield curve and treasuries as a whole so what has happened uh in terms of the fed and then I’m going to tie this into gold gold silver ratio and silver itself uh in terms of

What we think this means and how it’s going to play out for the precious metals okay so first of all if we go uh over let’s just go to a couple of news articles why don’t we um fed to allow the emergency Bank lending program to expire March the 11th now um

The truth of the matter is I’m no expert on these plans anymore my eyes glaze over when they start turning them into acronyms and start I would recommend if you want to know more on the emergency Bank lending people like George gam who’s done a

Video on this uh a day or so ago go and check out his channel on this particular Point uh Lin alen is also Top Gun for understanding all the specifics of all of the the the minutia the acronyms and everything all i t to do is manage the

Macro and go this was a propping up mechanism of liquidity provision beyond that I tend not to care too much um in other words as details details and they can lose you in the weeds of the details so that’s my chosen route in other words better people on the detail for this but

Essentially uh the Federal Reserve was providing emergency Bank lending then they they somehow allowed an Arbitrage free money free profits to also occur and they scapegoating that Arbitrage as the reason for why they will be withdrawing this this is a great way to cause panic in the repo markets of banks

Lending to each other you see when the central bank and I’m again I’m just Topline top of the mountain reading from the canopy of the trees below I’m not getting into the weeds uh and mushrooms at the foot of the trees here but essentially when you have the FED

Participating in a bank lending environment banks are okay with lending to each other that is the repo Market The interbank Lending that’s where the phrase liall comes the London interbank lending rate um and and of course so uh America came up with their own version of that and have delink from lior but

Essentially it’s Banks having confidence in other Banks when they have excess reserves to go and get a bit of interest on that money overnight um and banks that are tiny bit tight liquidity wise borrowing that money and it’s a very important part you are not going to get

Repo Market problems if the biggest bank of them all that can create as many dollars is also participating and providing emergency Bank lending but why did they need to do that you have to go back to when they introduced that and that was because of reper rate concerns

Because somebody’s thinking one of you guys out there is a Leman because we know there’s a whole bunch of toxic excessive debt out there and we’re going to hang on to our liquidity rather than seek the return on the basis that return of capital is starting to get more

Import important than return on Capital so what they’ve actually done is they’ve announced in January they’re taking it away in March now you’re going to see interesting reactions by the participant Banks potentially here they might all Feast now and make sure they stock up on liquidity in this program so actually

The use of the program might go up or they might start tapering their Reliance on it uh away but then where will that additional liquidity come from they’re going to lie rely on other Banks providing it to them and if there’s insufficiency uh or there’s loss of

Confidence in any way due to the debt system the proliferation system etc etc you’re likely to have problems so this particular article on Reuters uh and we’ll pop the link in the show notes for you to read a little bit further but that’s one thing that occurred this

Occurred recently so this is diated the 25th we were on the 30th so 5 days ago then literally yesterday 29th the US Treasury announced they’re only going to borrow only note how you create an only and this is a low number first you set an unbelievable number that’s heading

For a trillion deep in the the 800s it was they were seeking to buy borrow and then you mildly undershoot it and you’re overperforming so I’m going to say it’s kind of like you need $100 to buy uh or let’s say $500 to buy a cool pair of

Trainers and you go to your dad and say Dad I need $2,500 to buy new uh sport equipment and he goes 2,500 and then you say uh you’re a little bit later you say Dad uh I’ve done some hustling and it seems I’ll only need 18 uh 1,800 and the and the

Shoes cost 500 uh and you’re sandbagging him basically and he’s like I’ve saved 700 bucks there because you shock on the high side to to make 1,800 even sound like wow thank God it’s come back a bit um so this is essentially overstate the requirement then overperform to a

Chronic overstatement and you’re doing a great great job you know you’re really working it down um it’s kind of like uh the people that have products that they say 90% discount which are you know 1,000% overpriced um just so that you think wow I’m buying it for 10% you know

It’s just fluffy and um fraud basically uh anyway so the US Treasury is going to not need to borrow well a that’s ambitious but they know the effect this announcement would have on the debt market so the debt markets that are in fear of the amount of proliferation that

Is needed in terms of the fed’s activities uh was pushing the market up uh on rates uh recently and of course the valuation down now goes oh so awesome uh overstated chronically and is actually going to overperform to the uh that uh overstatement by coming in under

Let’s all buy the bond market and so the bond market is actually getting a bit of a bump so now we turn to the bond market itself and for that I’m going to take you to the charts because as I said in the live stream earlier but without

Charts on a slightly windy uh Beach that uh apologies you know we do the big cat the hairy cat mic and all of that uh and I had to eventually move into some shelter there for that one um we care about audio and quality there uh but we

Like also to report you from the field as things are happening wherever it may be and under whatever circumstances so sometimes you just have to bear with us but uh doing a more controlled environment this is the charts that go with what was said in that video and

This is the 30y year minus the 2-year yield curve so what you’ve actually had in the blue box a yield curve reversion back to positive now of course because of the article and the News announcement of under shooting yesterday they’ve actually managed to get this 30 and two’s yield curve inversions to dip

Marginally negative to be clear it’s notus .25% minus .25% okay well done uh it’s going to be back over the Blue Line in due course but while this over performance to a chronically overstated need for expenditure uh and further debt issurance is work through the system and

It’s much how they manage the non-farm payrolls as well they uh you know they get the banks to understate uh hopelessly the non-film payroll number they overperform to that number everybody woohoo that’s awesome and then 3 months later they restate it probably below the expectations there’s been most

Re um expectations have been reced to the downside in uh the labor number so it is actually a cunning game of expectation management expectation management and you want to watch out uh for that and they get the analysts in the other Banks they give them guidance uh on how they should set

Their expectation so that they can play this game so it is pretty much a bit of theater anyway yield curve reverted positive extensively and is now dancing either side of the line what we highlighted to all those that know our particular ta is that you had a a left

Shoulder we refer to that as armp put one who had a falling wedge here right shoulder which you uh broke above here this is a technical break now even though it’s figing back and chopping round the line and you actually had uh also let’s fatten this up a little bit

You you also actually had your W head which in its apex by the way was uh an M as well so you actually had in there like that which actually performed to its downside Target which gave you a soft neckline there which happens to be oh where your falling wedge fell to all

That stuff we do with key levels of significance So Random so coincidental oh localized bump happens to resist at this level at 0.4 key round numbers oh another coincidence uh you know how it goes you all know the routine uh lots of coincidences when you’re using hvf

Method to do ta uh and there was the target performance of that M downside for which you only dipped a little bit lower so you have a w head which is kind of like a w bottom but you also have two shoulders and those shoulders uh interacted particularly the most recent

One um to your key soft level that you got both neck lining on the M head and your falling wedge point and since then you’ve popped up to here so yes short term I actually think there is scope for this to dip again don’t forget even on

This shoulder there’s two fractals to it note the flag we drew there as well by the way which saw the next down leg you still got a rally but then you got the broadening structure which is ascending on a bare selloff what do you expect downside continuation we’re the only

Guys with broadening Structure Theory we’ve written the book on it literally written the book it is written up um but you see you still had a a complication a a small fractal of dip and up and then you got your right and shoulder so actually you’ve got two dips below the

Line note how you tested and just ran key levels of significance just run uh bounce just run bounce then dip through weak bounce and spill dip through now resistance this is the classic dance around the key levels of significance that we teach uh daily uh and watch and

Implements and makes for proper entries using limit orders not Market orders anyway for enough on that but you can see you actually inside the pink shoulder that I drew here you actually have two little moves in and around the line so it’s quite feasible for you to

Get your big shoulder and then you get a little shoulder uh of some form it often replicates As Above So Below as left shoulder so right shoulder um and so you can watch so this projection gives you a very strong positive level that takes you back to normalization of yield curve

Which is when the crisis occurs which was the point that was being made in the previous video so you’ve recently had let’s just do join here and as I say go to the Specialists read the articles in the links provided uh below uh and then go and check out George Will Deep dive

You a little bit further but for me the Topline macro understanding is all I choose to need because there’s other things that need to be watched you got to choose your energy and your battles for how deep you get into the Wheats essentially it’s a liquidity provision program is announced early probably

Unnecessarily that it won’t be continued going to cause repo Market ructions that’s going to turn out a bad idea at the same time to support the bond market because they need to support the the bond market declare simultaneously literally within days you’re going to undershoot your requirement that you

Probably hopelessly overstated just so that you can overperform to the it’s like kind of say I really want to you know I’m going to make sure I make my high jump please set the bar at CM off the floor and then I go wow see how I

Flew over a meter more than was needed on that on I amazing jumper and you all look at me for my Min minor little hop that I’ve just put in and go um I wouldn’t categorize that as an amazing jump dude but anyway keep fooling

Yourself uh so there we go so that’s our uh complex Head and Shoulder and this is the first of them to revert however please note as we said it’s reverting it pulls back back so when you overcome a key level of significance not on the yield curves uh is ultimately super significant you’re

Going to dance around it and you have the possibility like you had that dip below and rejection you’ll have the dip up and rejection we refer to this in our phrases of breakout as the break and Fain back in um but do not be fooled about the overall general direction of

The yield curve hence why we have put everyone on trigger alert stage now we are in the zone that once uh that once the reversion has reverted back positive the yield curve inversion is reverted back positive and it starts to do so on the other yield curve and we explain 10

Years – 1 10 years – 2 30 years – 2 30 years – 1 10 – 6 and2 you name it eventually all of these will revert positive this is the first which did yesterday currently back below uh and that’s why you should be on red alert for counterparty risk banking risk repo

Markets uh pain interbank lending pain particularly as you just have the biggest bank that’s the only one that supposedly Can’t Fail that brought confidence to The interbank Lending Market by being a lender itself and participating in the mix and being on one side only liquidity provision guess what everyone felt pretty calm about

Banks that’s why we’re not having Bank dramas pull that at the same time uh and now they’re trying to keep a bottom under bonds uh with this news and then you look at the technicals the drama is coming soon now so we’ve referred to demand uh destroying event this already

Is the longest s in the modern era since the 80s gold uh run the longest here was when you first broke in full below the zero line and never held above it significantly again that was 2nd of August my apologies it’s not 23 it was 22 I want to correct that annotation

Immediately because we like to be accurate um and then all the way through these were rejections armed one this is your W head with a smaller fractal M head rejection rejection all the way down again um and this is the longest inversion of a year six months and 10

Days and that’s when it first put its nose back above again Fain and break but that is a break it’s the beginning of the triggering event now we draw the line from there there we go so 12th genan 24 that was when you popped above that is a

Triggering event you got a close on the 3-day chart by the way I’m on the 3-day it’s not even a daily chart you’ve got a close on the 3day chart above the zero that had not happened since that candle please observe with me not happened these are on the line on the

Line that is above that is also above so you had two in 3 days so that is a triggering event it is now a trigger the probability of The Upside becomes higher even though it’s figing back in break and Fain stage is the beginning of the

Breakout even when you come back in okay so that is uh some technical updates from yours truly on the yield curve inversion and this could mean counterparty risk uh you got to own your own certificates on equities if you’re choosing to hold them longterm we could have a disinflationary event you could

Be too aggressive um those that have been uh Uber Uber bullish on the stock market by the way we’ve said inflation will inflate the stock market the inflationary part of the the global stagflation we are in will inflate the stock market generally as Fiat is being um proliferated however beware the

Demand destroying event which could see a violent pullback that possibility has increased in my mind on balance of probabilities following this event and you are now moving closer to the point where that could happen don’t forget S&P at all-time highs uh many other indices us indices uh doing swimmingly well

Right now caution if you’ve had a good run maybe you want to think about that okay that’s it uh from yours truly oh no no no hold on I apologize the most important bit is the gold and silver market uh and the gold silver ratio so we’ve been talking for an extended this

Is monthly we’ve been talking for an extended period around this particularly and I might even take my annotations off here for a bit just for it to pop a little bit better this um this grinding up attempt to go higher that has proven so weak that channel now apart from the

Reverberations and bounce of the volatility that came with that crash down we have been since this month here in 2023 I will tell you which one it was it was pretty early in the year for the better part of a year in March we have been trading inside a channel range and

It looked like we’d broken it in fact you did to a weak level remember we Wick trimmers what you’re actually getting right now on a monthly candle and we have another day to go of this month is actually a big rejection after making a marginally higher high you will know we

Use these phrases quite often big rejection after a marginally higher high and this right here is you guessed it a shooting star at the top end of the range of a channel that’s been existence for about a year so to me that sign significant what we’re also seeing here is whilst gold is

Sort of benign uh Silver’s been reasonably strong so let’s wipe our face here’s a falling wedge by the way in a previous video on a pullback we said expect uh the silver to potentially meet the $22 mark look at what it did go watch that video it’s in our history where we

Were talking about gold and silver silver to run the 22 and then bounce that would be a potential support point it did exactly that by the way and if I take you to the 3-day we can show you how this has been a soft floor $22 for an extended period throughout this

Continuation pattern 22 22 22 22 22 you get the theme resistance 22 on the one uh spell of great negativity where you got below resistance this pretty much uh an anomaly support support small dip through support support support the 22 level is important you had a falling wedge with an extended second impulse

Now triggering a break on the after meeting and falling into the 22 uh level let’s just have a look at that uh in bigger view for you very very nice triggering break you can get a return move by the way especially if bonds are going up um well many people say the

Interest rates going down will support gold and silver uh I actually think uh once everyone has lost full Sy faith in the financial debt system that’s when we’re going to get our true recognition on gold uh and Silvera but this could pull back uh before going higher so

Silver right now uh our performing uh gold at the moment hence why gold silver ratio pulling back I’m going to put the lines back on uh and allow us to see all the detail of the draw and we will go one more time just for everybody’s sake

We want this level round about 882 to get broken uh and point to the downside so now you’re seeing this on a slightly lower time frame that’s your rejection out of this channel that’s a channel you moved into I think that was the week 20th of March 23 you’ve literally been 9

10 we in uh January the end of January going for 10 months inside this range many people will say ah not again you call this not again whatever we’ll keep watching this and we’ll keep saying could this be the one could this be the one could this be the one could that be

The one we’ve had a few recently so it’s really tapping itself out on the high side here a number of times and falling it’s not falling Gang Busters but what I can say uh at the moment what I can say uh because this week is still new it’s

Only one day that was a rather nasty rejection note how come very close to 92 just took that high and then you’re being rejected down that’s what we highlighted that could mean support for the risk uh and you’re seeing the falling wedge bounce on uh the silver interestingly enough that even shows us

Or leads us to believe that Bitcoin uh would have a good run we had a squeeze and a run there also an anti Fiat I consider the precious metals above that in terms of Godly status uh but an inverted Head and Shoulder here uh complex left shallow right took a while

To get going this caught me almost by surprise I have to say I wasn’t expecting that I just buy us long in Bull markets and I was a bit concerned about it playing footsie at the 42k level this was a very shallow shoulder so sometimes where you don’t do enough

Of an exhaustive selloff on the shoulder you then stall and splatter but eventually you got nicely going uh on that for a run up there however just a small warning for the crypto kitties and this is not a crypto channel uh bit of a broadening structure you might get a

Rest back down at some point uh so you’re having you know a pump in there you had a kind of pump in there you’ve getting another pump in there each time matched with a selloff you could have another sell off at least to the splitter with possibly a

Bounce and you could go further or uh a bounce and then you go back up but generally I I would I would not treat this as good entry points for those that aren’t in okay so you got an update on gold and silver the gold silver ratio

Let’s did we look at the gold chart officially I don’t believe we did so let me finish on the gold chart um and remind everybody where we are you know we are essentially languishing near highs and we have suggested to you that that is going to be an amazing structure

And if that gold gets going and the gold silver ratio does continue to head down to the other side uh silver could be a very attractive uh buy right now uh you got the likes of Rick rule talking about it being the most hated market right now

Like uranium was a while ago silver equities etc etc so look at that sort of w upside down bats head W bottom with a bit of soft uh neck lining there as well um pointing very much to a likely third impulse up top here above the 2045 and

Then we break we made new highs out of this structure listen to me now you’re hearing it from the market sniper in the event of making um move higher to in and around the 2050 and just beyond levels it is my expectation that any subsequent pullback from these levels should be

Bought potentially on limit orders for an upside break to the upside we explain in our community uh which you can check out on the link first link below in the details how you would put an order on that and where you would take profits and how you would manage high risk

Reward trading okay that’s it thanks for watching we’ll catch you again later uh blessings played safe non-advisory as ever uh and we appreciate the likes and the shares bye for Now

45 Comments

  1. the silver price is a false flag that will not go over 24.50;; the real deal is buyers getting iou's and not silver. this is happening now, the rest is theatre. buy physical silver at your local coin shop. a bot ase's today at 28.00; alamo heights san antonio

  2. francis is prob a multi millionair and wearing a t-shirt with holes in it haha! love it..never change buddy, thankyou for your work. your last live session really woke me up.

  3. Love the reports Francis…..
    Might I suggest that you write the G/S ratio script using XAU/XAG with Trading View….
    Your data will be able to see back to 1930…..
    Then wick off the major tops and then reflect back into history of what happened in the world coinciding with those tops….
    We are currently in very bad historical company.
    ⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️⚠️

  4. Most of these bargaining tactics initially try to take way more than they have of something, in which they have no business (but business) in taking in the first place. Then the following concession to reduce outrageous claim looks more reasonable to those being swindled.

    Right on, Snipes!

    Lockdowns were to flatten the curve for just two weeks, until it became permanent. Income tax law was the same deal.

  5. Agree, Au will break out probably on news of war expansion globally. Plenty more countries to participate in war, so massive potential remains for Au to double in price, but world will be shit to live in.

  6. Thanks Francis and the sniper community. I did your course at the time when gold was breaking $1300. HVF method has continued to work for me. Many thanks!!!

  7. In today's dynamic market, understanding economic indicators like the yield curve, Federal Reserve policies, and key index performances is essential for investors. Keeping an eye on metrics like the dollar index and crude oil prices offers valuable insights. As we navigate these complexities, the importance of technical analysis becomes clear, providing a structured approach to interpret market trends. In these times, the allure of cryptocurrencies stands out, offering a unique investment landscape with promising opportunities…..At the heart of this evolution is Linda Wilburn, whose deep understanding of both cryptocurrency and traditional trading has been instrumental. Her holistic approach to investment and commitment to staying abreast of market trends make her an invaluable ally in navigating this new era in cryptocurrency investment.

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