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Bitcoin WARNING: The EVERYTHING BUBBLE is Loading for 25X Crypto! (but this happens first!)



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Video Description:
This repeating bitcoin pattern is right on time in the cycle. It is revealing when altcoins will correct and when they will take off for another altcoin season, possibly the final one before a multi-year bitcoin bear market.

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➒ Disclaimer: This video is for entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice and is not an endorsement of any provider, product or service. All trading involves risk. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I’m part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites. Swyftx, ByBit, BingX and Bitget are channel sponsors. All decisions you make are your own. #crypto #bitcoin #cryptonews

The everything bubble is here but is it popping or are we still loading some of you long-term followers know where we are going from here but for the majority they are expecting a major collapse with the news from the interest rates however if you had been following Twitter we’ve

Been talking about this for weeks even I hate to say it but predicted at to a te at that time now I’m not going to bang on about that because it is my birthday hit that like And subscribe button it’s your home of macro cycle analysis let’s

Get the balloons going on Happy Birthday to me thanks once again guys you know the deal let’s crack on with the video we’re looking at the interest rates announcements and how this is affecting the everything bubble the stock market’s going up real estate going up Bitcoin and cryptos had continued going up until

The last 24 hours of course interest rate announcement was a pause here is the headlines biggest winners and lo losers from the fed the announcement is that the interest rates were on hold now everyone’s going to be looking towards the next one but notice this time in

2024 how much less excitement or less interest there is in these announcements it was nowhere near as big as what it was in 2022 as they started to rise nowhere near as big in 2023 when they were also rising at that time and now we

See the interest start to uh lag on more of these economic announcements my forecast my prediction is that the bearish news is going to get less and less leading into these last couple of years of the real estate cycle the major major Peak leading into that Winter’s

Curse phase and the media is going to be allowed to be bullish for once often it has just been bare after be after bare while the markets have been going up for a decade and a half now 2024 we’ve been up since the lows of 2009 after the the GFC with a correction

In uh we had a nice one in 2010 2011 2015 2018 and of course the most recent two the pandemic and the 2022 correction now are we on the precipice of another correction we’ve looked at this multiple times uh especially as we compare what’s going on in the market now to what has

Been happening for the be the Bitcoin cycle remember remember the big signal here for the Bitcoin cycle the S&P 500 running into a new all-time high we got there it’s happened the S&P hit a new all-time high so the signal from here is that the market has a correction now the

Size of the correction is not at question here it can be a pandemic collapse or it can just be a steady longer collapse to the downside like what happened in 2015 or we could look at something like 2012 where it was a nice simple correction to the downside after

A very nice strong run to the upside then after that correction S&P runs into another all-time high price there may be a slight correction probably less than the last one uh and then like we can see here and then we run into this mega mega

Bull market now I did see a comment from the last one so just to clarify these squares we are looking at the cycle of Bitcoin overlaid on the S&P 500 so this bar chart is the S&P 500 the squares are for Bitcoin and then what happens is all

Of the markets just go ballistic into this bull market they’re just running up like mental cases into this bull market Bitcoin cryptos the S&P 500 I suspect real estate is also going to be in that category as well into this everything crazy bull market of

2025 so let’s have a look at uh a shorter term time frame now for the S&P 500 because if this is the peak as we’ve been talking about for the first half of 2024 getting that uh correction and being a little bit Messier in the first half before it becomes clearer in the

Second half how far down can the S&P go well we’re currently about 1.8% down couple areas that we’ll look at are very simple support and resistance levels looking back on the chart because remember we’re just detectives trying to figure out what happens on the black

Side of the chart the right hand side of the chart there is no exact answer you’re not going to get a gold star if you get it right because well you might get a like on your tweets if you get it right like we did with the interest rate

Announcements but that’s it the market doesn’t care you get it right or wrong they don’t give a it’s up to you and how you play the market okay so to the downside what has happened in the past you got the peak in July to the bottom in October roughly 11% the

Previous pullbacks you can see from the top pops here in February January of 2023 to the lows about 8 to 9% and the previous one was also roughly the same about 9% again so they were the three biggest ones we saw in 2023 9% 9% and

11% the chances of a double digit very slim as we discussed through this area and it did get to the double digits it got to 11% but that was it the market basically skyrocketed from that point and so the main message from all of the

Data that we’re going to have a look at in today’s video is although this half of the market this half of the year the first half of the year can be a little bit Rocky the data has shown that the second half and I guess if you look at it for the entire

Year is going to be positive just on the probabilities so let’s just have a look at the percentages to the downside and see if any of them line up with previous support and resistance levels and of course our major 50% level coming in if this is the top remember that’s an if

Because it hasn’t been confirmed yet we haven’t got a breakdown of the Swing chart let’s have a look to the down downside on our single digits so any of the single digits basically take us back to previous old alltime high the support levels back at 4700 the other previous

Resist um resistance levels at roughly 4600 so that’s about a 7.3% and then if we want to take it back all the way down to the 50% level for the entire range that should be around 14.7% now before we get there we have to test the 50% level so the 50% level of

The range from October to the peak okay so this is all setting up for a healthy correction thus far let’s have a look to the downside to that 50% is about 8.3% so we could still see a very significant correction something very similar to what happened in the past

That would take us out to test the previous tops test the previous resistance levels before the market fell down test the July tops test the tops in December before the market broke out and would still be above the 50% level which if you’ve been following strong half weak half of the

50% strong half at the top weak half at the bottom a single digit correction would still mean it would be a strong half of the tool and a solid healthy correction now someone asked how do you do the 50% use this tool here that’s your FIB retracement click click again

Job’s done you want to change some of those settings double click turn these on and off which ones suit you I use 0.5 and one that gives me the 50% change colors job is done choosing the correct highs and lows are the key to using that

Tool you don’t want to use it from any particular point in in the chart that’s not the idea of it it’s essentially a calculator that divides the range in half that’s as simple as it is so we’ve been watching what’s going on with the interest rates at the moment we’ve seen

The FED pause and as i’ pointed out here on this tweet going back to the 15th of January if you want to do better than 90% of investors we know most most people fail at these markets we’ve seen it time and time again if you haven’t

Yet go hang out on Twitter go hang out on some other YouTube videos and you see just how bad it is where people just follow what the news is saying remember a month ago everyone was expecting rate Cuts we didn’t get them no rate Cuts as

You reminder to hit the the like button um but yeah what we were looking at here was What If the Fed does not cut rates remember what everyone was thinking back then is they were expecting rate Cuts expecting rate Cuts everyone wants these rate cuts but what if they don’t cut the

Rates on the same timeline that the masses believe they should be cut even a pause could be seen as a negative for the for the market price Direction next minute down goes the S&P well we had the pause next minute down goes the S&P so some might say that’s a pretty simple

Call to make at the time it was much much more difficult because most people were expecting rate Cuts okay so then once the initial few shocks are over maybe this lasts for a couple of months maybe it lasts for the first half of the year with some turbulent times up and

Down once the shocks are over investors will realize that the market was doing just fine with interest where they were and could start investing again so basically interest rates are roughly 5 and a half maybe we get one or two or three Cuts this year maybe we don’t

Right who knows only Jerome pal knows at the time meanwhile they probably wait for the dump and then for the market to recover to levels above where they were before the interest rate decision do the opposite thinking and don’t overthink it flip side you can always just simply

Follow the chart what does that mean well maybe they wait for these dumps because they’re like Now’s the Time the Market’s collapsing uh it’s just it’s all going to be over wait for these levels to keep coming down and down and down and then they get greedy to the

Downside they miss the bottom again like they did in September and October of last year as the most recent example and then the market just shoots off without them because here are some really really fascinating data while in the short term we may see some downside and some

Volatility in the long term the S&P is has a very high track record of finishing positive and so if we want to see a nice big bull market in Bitcoin we definitely want to see the S&P finish positive at the end of this year we’ve got our Peak remember what happens next

We typically see a correction after the S&P hits a new Fresh all-time high fresh alltime High took a few more months there in 2015 that is got the correction okay so that was as Bitcoin was in its accumulation which I’ve pointed out exactly what it is back

Then this has been on the chart the entire time B Bitcoin pause or correction at the first S&P 500 all-time high so the first time the SPX hits a new alltime high Bitcoin pause or correction and that’s again I don’t mean to say it over and over again

But it’s exactly what Bitcoin has done Bitcoin has paused and corrected at that time time we got the pause and now we’re seeing the correction okay so it’s just essentially just following what the Market’s doing trying our best to decipher what’s going on in the black space remember we’re talking about that

Here trying to decipher what’s going on in the black space over here and not getting too caught up with the emotions of the market so in terms of the data the big final two months of the year is quite bullish for next year so S&P 500

We saw the last two months of 20 23 nice and bullish what does that mean for 2024 this particular piece of data says well if the first two months are bullish S&P returns after uh 10% returns greater than 10% return gain in November and December what happens in quarter 1

What happens through the entirety of the next year and you can also see for January well we had 2023 had a 14% return January has been a 1.23% return we got but the closing price there for the first quarter we’ll have to wait and see so this one now increases the

Probabilities of higher percentage there so this one was positive and then in the first quarter 100% of the time it’s been positive and 12 months later it has been 100% of the time positive as well so if it is 5.6% return at the end of quarter

1 where would that leave the S&P after maybe a correction in February and then we get a bit of a bounce back in uh March well we’re measuring in from either December January basically the same price here let’s go up 5% it’s going to be roughly 5,000 5,100 points

For the S&P 500 so we’ve got 100% accuracy here for quarter 1 and and for the entirety of the year I don’t know if quarter 1’s going to make it to this and be another positive eventually you’re going to get some sort of negative but

For the 12 months we have seen so much data to suggest that the 12 months for the markets are going to be positive at the end of the year basically closing above the open that’s it throughout the year anyone’s guess at this point but the end of the year should be higher

Close than the open same deal for the NASDAQ what we’ve seen already highest daily close in history highest weekly closes in history highest monthly closes in history we’ve seen that now two months in a row yes we have and highest price in history new all-time highs I

Don’t think this is going to stop anytime soon but I guarantee you if this is the uh local top know the difference between local and final top if this is a local top you will likely see those bears come back that will start to call for further and further downside I don’t

Think it’s going to be as loud as it was back in March of 2023 and I don’t think it’s going to be as loud as it was in uh the October correction that we saw in 2023 but them they’ll try they will keep trying to tell you that this Market is

Going to collapse moving on to bitcoin right now well the day is just opened after a monthly close and a daily close we’re now down to 42,2 remember yesterday’s video we were looking at exactly 43,800 as a potential resistance point and Gan gave it to us again and said

Look at your 50% levels this is the range top to bottom nice healthy 50% it tried to come back this morning and failed again and started to work its way back lower some volume is picking up to the downside on the shortterm chart here the 4H hour and again smashed it

Rejected at the 50% level so let’s look to the downside at 41,00 and also these lows at roughly 41,700 okay so that’s the area that we’re watching for Bitcoin next to see if it can hold support or if it breaks down from those levels over this period where we’ve seen the interest rates

Pause as we had anticipated a couple of weeks ago now and that then leading over into some negativity for the price on the S&P 500 that also lined up with our major signal here for the S&P 500 running into a new Fresh all-time high potentially correcting and then later in

The year attempting to have another go at the all-time high it could be sooner maybe it’s in Quarter Two that we hit that again okay so that’s where we sit for Bitcoins just starting to come down a little bit further what about cryptocurrencies so before we get to

Cryptos shout out for the channel sponsors swiftex you got bitg and bybit here you guys overseas and if you do want to use those exchanges kyc free or no kyc check out the palow ID card the digital ID that you can get access to online otherwise for the Aussies check

Out swiftex 20 bucks free BTC when you sign up using that particular link let’s check out the cryptocurrencies and what they are doing now that Bitcoin has had a couple of days slide to the downside so you can see here on our 4our chart few more hours to the downside the daily

Now we’ve got three red days so far this day is just open but essentially for our down days we’re into our second day should this day continue down okay so couple of days there now for the altcoins against their BTC value keep an eye on the support and resistance levels

For those particular ones remember we’ve been talking about these Peaks back at the Jelly Time when the influencers were getting really excited by their jellies and how these markets were had to explode if you have a short-term memory keep some of these backed up in your uh bookmarks your saved searches your

Tweets specifically those times so that you can remember the feelings of those people and how the markets were going crazy specifically the 14th 15th of December was basically a peak for a lot of these markets or that one of the final paks yes the psy is the preliminary Supply and then it leads

Over to your buying climax so that seems to be what’s happening at those times when those particular influencers basically all the big ones everyone that watches them for entertainment purposes that’s the time that they get excited telling you to buy at those Peaks typically in a distribution schematic

Those Peaks are the preliminary Supply so some of that some more of that Supply is coming into the market saying well I think the buying is wearing off but everyone’s excited here thinking the Market’s going to explode which then leads to the buying climax there is your buying

Climax and basically you’ve got probably a couple of up thrusts after distributions or up thrusts just in General before the market Fades out into a sign of weakness and then up again for last points of supply and then again to the last points of supply and last

Points of Supply before we start to come down so check that out in the chart here maybe that’s the preliminary Supply maybe that’s your buying climax then you had an up thrust failed sign of weakness another test to the upside up thrust another up thrust it’s just not breaking

Through right and then you start to see some of the major support areas begin begin to break down it hasn’t happened yet it looks like it’s on the verge of it and it could happen over the coming days of course so keep an eye on roughly those levels on your charts there is

Injective for you let’s have a look at link haven’t even checked this out this morning you can see how it’s happened there you had the October then you had a peak here in November that was another time that the jellies were getting all feeling for a lot of influences and uh

The unsuspecting newbie crypto investor there is the final Peaks and then of course Market starts to wear off signs of weakness hopefully you’ve seen this chart enough now to start to recognize how the distribution occurs bigger moves to the downside over and over again the unsuspecting Traders crypto investors

Are buying up these lows let’s buy the dip let’s buy the dip and they start to come back down now eventually they have bought the right dip but who knows maybe they bought this dip and this dip because their favorite influencers were talking about it and this dip and this

Dip and this dip and then all these dips all the way down so their average price is somewhere at around here now in the early stages like where we are now for the crypto altcoin season which at least in my opinion is going to go ballistic towards the end of this year in

2025 this isn’t going to be such a bad time when this is a bad time is when you buy around the Peaks when everyone is here so they’re buying trying to buy this dip and this dip and this dip and you get the idea they start to buy all

These dips and eventually they might be right for a period of time and then it fad out again that’s the problem now is not the biggest problem but if you can identify if you’ve been sucked into it in this time then hopefully that is going to save you at those times this

You can get out of it I think personally don’t hold me to it but these times uh could be a very very good lesson if you did get sucked into it with the Jelly calls up here from you know the likes of those big influences with over a million

Followers and how the people were buying at those Peaks learn through it at this time hopefully save yourself at those times so that’s not to get confused with now being a great time to be buying alt coins should you be finding those strong altcoins the reason I bring that up is

So that you can see the lessons of when everyone gets excited it’s typically at those Peaks as I said now you’re probably going to get out of jail I think but you won’t get out of jail when it comes to the peaks of the market okay

The the real final paks so use that as a lesson if we you know got caught up with it save it so you can see it in the future I’m going to say happy birthday to myself and thank you all for being with us here today hit that like And

Subscribe button links in the video description for the free Tia report I’ll see you at the next video Until then take care and peace out

38 Comments

  1. Thanks for these daily updates. They’ve become part of my ritual and is helping me understand the markets, trading and handling my emotions just knowing the charts tell it every time. Happy Birthday and Cheers mate!

  2. It's my wife's Bday today as well. Happy Birthday brother. I started watching end of '21, terrible timing and many lessons learned. IMO, you have the best outlook & reality on this market, honestly I have wasted hundreds of hours watching goofballs trying to improve my life but in the end you nail it more than the rest, Krown is good too but he delves more into trading which I don't do. I think when everyone watches the hype channels, they need to come here to get a reality check before they spend their paycheck,

  3. Where it's easy to get information overload, you and Eric Krown are the most reliable "shipping forecast" – for us holders knowing the direction of the wind is all that matters. Thankyou, you're doing God's work mate πŸ‘

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