Rafi Farber’s Warn! Why I Changed My Entire Prediction on Gold and Silver Price

Rafi Farber’s Warn! Why I Changed My Entire Prediction on Gold and Silver Price

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That was in the reverse Rebo facility which is not counted as part of the money supply you have that pouring into the banking system through the purchase of treasury bills and yet the money supply is still falling join rafy Farber as he decodes The Surge of silver into

SLV alongside warnings from four major Bank Executives about looming monetary challenges in this video we’ll navigate the intricate connections between silver SLV and crucial insights from banking leaders stay tuned for a concise and compelling update on the evolving economic landscape between some Governors and some other Governors and

Maybe J pal they do not understand what happened to about $ 1.6 trillion and we’re going to explain it to them it went away because with 5% interest rates plus you have monetary destruction forces as Banks can’t make loans but debt is paid back by borrowers SLV Holdings have reached a new post

Silver squeeze low as interest in paper Market continues to WAN the exact opposite of what we saw during the 2011 bull market top that is when premiums were negative for some reason silver lease rates are at their 2008 great financial crisis highs and we don’t know why and car prices people are

Complaining about car prices they’re too high but if we look at them in terms of gold they’re down by about an order of magnitude since 1971 so where’s the problem in the car industry or in the money it’s the money latest news with Fortuna and it’s a good one is that

They’ve achieved record production for the quarter as was expected Vancouver January 18th 2024 Fortuna Silver mind symol FSM reports production results for the fourth quarter in full year 2023 from its five operating mines in Latin America and West Africa Africa for the F year 2023 Fortuna produced a record 326,885

M883 691 ounces of silver oh by the way I did the math on that ratio and it turns out to be about 13 to1 which is very close to the Natural monetary ratio of about 15.5 to1 in today’s modern economy so where does the 15 to1 ratio

Come from it comes from among other things these sorts of Statistics where miners generally mine gold to Silver in roughly these quantities and yes it changes from mind to mind and from business to business but overall it’s about 15.5 16 to one or so for 2023 gold production and Lead production and zinc

Production all up double digits uh gold significantly 26% lead up 18% zinc up 19% silver down 15% but I think that had to do with some shut down of one of the mines due to a labor dispute so I don’t think it’s uh endemic to the company itself we’ll begin with a quick

Technical note on gold here we have the gold to GNX ratio GNX is a production weighted index for Commodities so we have here we see that the gold to GNX ratio the higher it is the more gold is out performing we are staying uh healthfully healthily above the 200 we

Moving average here we’ve been above the 200 week moving average since uh around the end of November it looks like I think this is week number seven or eight and if we look at the past uh in April May junee we did push briefly above the

200 aage we couldn’t stay there but the last time we bounced off the 200 we moving average was in July 2019 which was right before the massive run to all-time highs in Gold versus Commodities uh so it looks like gold and silver are struggling now but really

It’s all Commodities across the board I think we’re in another wave of dollar rushing and that’s going to get worse as the uh liquidity crunch comes nearer and nearer and then it’s going to become extreme and then of course of course the FED is going to print a whole bunch of

Money and in my view in my personal view that should lead to the end game because it’s going to be more extreme than any other time in the past which is what happens every round of money printing is more extreme than the one before it and

This will be the last one could I be wrong yeah this is what I think now moving to the silver paper markets comparing to Silver squeeze so we see here that when silver bottomed at around $16 in September 2022 I believe it was so we’ve had a gently higher trending

Market in silver with a little bit of a triangle action here in the blue is the silver price in the black is the SLV Holdings uh so we see here that SLV Holdings uh kind of bottomed out over here when silver bottom then went up very very briefly but they’ve been down

Since we’ve hit a new low post silver squeeze this is um about 13,46 something tons uh and it is a new post silver squeeze low so what we’ve seen here is that Holdings have gone gone down and down Trend lower and lower and lower as the price is trending higher since September

2022 so uh that’s showing me that interest continues to WAN in the paper silver market and the demand continues to be in the physical markets we’re seeing the same thing in Gold here this start a little bit zoomed out but if you look at GLD versus the GLD Holdings

Sorry the gold price versus GLD Holdings the blue is the gold price and uh it’s been trending higher also since silver bottoms gold and silver usually bottom together around September 2022 and now we’re up significantly but the GLD Holdings keep trending down and down and down despite the rise in the gold price

Paper gold interest is also on the way even though the price is approaching all-time highs silver lease rates are doing something really weird they are up to very near all-time highs that we last Saw during the 2008 financial crisis why exactly this is happening I don’t know it’s something something very derivative

Related it means that silver Futures prices are significantly above the spot price which is making these rates higher what exactly is causing it if it’s something in the derivative market then something is imbalanced in the Futures market and it’s going to resolve itself somehow I’m sorry I can’t be more

Specific on this but when you see a number like this uh and the rate is uh two-month rate I believe is as high as it was in 2008 and now it spiked up for some reason something is going on in the plumbing don’t know exactly what it’s

Related to but it’s not normal now we’re going to go into an argument that is happening at the Federal Reserve between different Federal Reserve Governors concerning the ideal level of reserves in the banking system there’s some kind of alien sounding acronym for it we’ll get through that in a second but the

Basic issue that these people don’t understand there is extra liquidity in the system we know that right now as reverse repose and they are down about $1.6 trillion since May 2023 now in that time you would expect the money supply all other things being equal to rise by

About $1.6 trillion because you have money that was not in the monetary system that was in the reverse Rebo facility which is not counted as part of the money supply you have that pouring into the banking system through the purchase of treasury bills and yet the money supply is still falling so what

Happened to those 1.6 trillion doar where are they where are where have they gone the answer is they have gone into the monetary system and to counteract that we’ve had debt repayment and defaulting due to high interest rates when debt is repaid debt that is money on the other side becomes annihilated

And gets erased from the monetary system because the money supply has been gently falling ever since April 2022 we can infer from that that over $1.6 trillion of M money has disappeared through debt repayment and default and or default either one it’s functionally the same for the money supply and why can’t the

Money supply expand now well Banks can’t find enough people to lend the money to who would take that loan and use it for business because interest rates are too high so if a bank can’t make loans but it could only get loans repaid then the money supply shrinks so the point is

That once the reverse repos do run out there will be no counter ing the actual deflation going on in the monetary system right now and you’ll start to see the money supply really plummet really fast and is going to lead to some kind of rep apocalypse or something similar

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