THEY’RE SELLING BITCOIN Like a BEAR Market! (but it’s 25X Crypto time!)

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Video Description:
Data-filled update on real estate cycle, stock market performance for 2024, bitcoin investor sell-off and the crypto bull market cycle timing.

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It’s been over 3 weeks since their Bitcoin ETF announcement and Bitcoin has failed to reach a new Fresh High it has also been smashed down 133% now at its most extreme 21% and sellers investors continue to smash down the price in volume like they have done in the bare

Market of 2022 but there is a silver lining to all of this it is the macro bull market and they are trying their hardest to smash the price down and I’ll show you that specific Al using the facts from the charts and of course like

I said the good news to this the good news is the price has not been crushed like it has done in the bare market so let’s get into that plus I have got so much data for you probably one of the biggest data filled videos that I’ve

Done in a very long time so don’t go anywhere hit the like And subscribe button we’re going to cover everything today your holistic view of the investment markets stocks uh the indices the real EST estate cycle Bitcoin and where we are currently at in this cryptocurrency bull market the overall

Cycle itself so thanks again to all of the birthday wishes from last week’s video much love to you guys as well getting head first into Bitcoin right now as the market is struggling to maintain $42,000 then we’ll go into the macro looking at that real estate cycle to

Update us with all of that data throughout the entire financial markets okay so where is this coming from made huge statements in the intro looking at some of the biggest selling we have seen since the bare market now the chart doesn’t lie we can see there are huge

Volumes of selling coming in this is selling at the bottom and if you see this bar nice and high tall it means there is a lot of volume coming into the market and then if you see the bar or if you love candles you see red and it’s

Down with low closes you can tell that that is a lot of selling coming into the market so then we just compare that to what has come previously we see big selling on the way up where we followed through with the wov schematic looking at this being the distribution and the

Confirmation of distribution essentially those sellers came in and pushed the market price down from the peak to the trough of 21% so the market has bounced back relatively well we’re not there yet and this particular line here at the top of the 12th of January is basically

Where I want to see Bitcoin get to and consolidate above in order to clear out the change in Behavior this is something that we learn from woff so you’ve got change of character change of behavior same thing called basically two slightly different things essentially this just

Means that you can see the change of behavior in the market come through based on the volume and the price bar the market was running up after a very long time we’ve covered that it’s been roughly 122 days into that Peak and then you start to see a change of behavior a

Change of behavior from the investors and the Traders where you start to see heavier volume come in as the market pushes down and you hadn’t seen that previously on the way up you saw big volume pushing the market up then it starts to shift or it starts to tilt

That way I should say and you see more selling coming into the market and the price is unable to really fetch higher and higher prices from that point and so that’s why I’ve got that line drawn here at roughly 465,000 now of course we have several other levels to get through

First as uh we pointed out last week 43,800 which is the 50% level the Gan 50% level rules that have been tested over the course of time over 100 years not stuff that has just made up this stuff has stood the test of time as you

Can see it’s been rejected a couple of times at 50% to the upside and it’s trying to find support at the major 50% level of the entire range here bare Market low to the bull market top and that is at 42,2 so Bitcoin is having some troubles

Gaining the ground but it’s not failing to the downside as bad as it had done during the bare market so although we have been short-term bearish leading into this Haring where we expect things to turn around and continue up for the rest of the cycle uh we can see that the

Longer trend is in a macro bull market so we’re not fearful that this Market is going to come down and take out 30k I’ve talked about that so many times I’m still looking at roughly mid to high 30s for the final correction if we haven’t already seen that final correction at

385,000 so the selling since the collapse the FTX collapse the Luna collapse the D and CI collapses of 2022 you can see that this bar that changed the behavior of the market structure to the upside has been the highest volume since that period the highest down bar volume so we can expand

This out you can see going all the way back to the FTX collapse and where it finally found the price cycle low 15460 that was the highest selling pressure near those lows you can see that it changed the market Behavior we’re still sitting around those prices

At this point so maybe time just needs to catch up here where we just Trend sideways Trend higher somewhere around these prices maybe come back to test the lows there is no guarantee of that but entally this selloff is nowhere near as severe of course as anything previous

Because we’re in a macro bull market so how do we use that information for our own trading and investing essentially the way I look at it don’t get greedy to the downside I’m not expecting 30,000 32,000 uh dollar levels which means then I’m not expecting anything underneath those levels either and whatever the

Market gives me at roughly those prices mid to high 30s that is what I will take now when is this invalidated or or when does the trend change I would say once we first get back above 43,800 because that’s the 50% level and finally above 46,500 because that’s where the change

In Behavior occurred from so there my price targets to the downside looking at that mid to high 30s potentially we have seen it there I suspect maybe we’ll have one more attempt because we still have a fair bit of time to go uh in terms of

The cycle itself and I’ll get to that in a moment as well and then to the upside should the market not come back or or basically invalidate where we currently sit then I’m looking at those two Targets 43,800 and $46,500 now over to the macro cycle some of the

Massive data that I’ve got here for you guys there is a lot to get through so stick with us get your favorite beverage I’ve got a cold brew with me this morning let’s crack on with the next stage and I’m very happy this morning to see that Elliot from elot trades has

Been promoting the 18.6 year cycle to over 600,000 people so hopefully more people can be exposed to what’s going on in the macro cycle what governs all of the financial Cycles themselves through the stock markets real estate and of course the more degenerate stuff that we love the altcoins and the Bitcoin

Because essentially As Time runs out to this peak roughly around 2025 2026 remember this is for the real estate and economic cycle around that Peak and then potentially stocks go a little bit further into late 2026 maybe 2027 eventually everything rolls over now that does not mean that Bitcoin and

Cryptos will run up into 2026 they may but it doesn’t mean that everything has to run up at exactly the same time if we’ve looked at previous Cycles you can note that each of these assets have slightly different timings from the previous cycle that we went through in

2006 into that bottom in 2009 to 2012 you can see that that real estate topped first the stock market topped in late 2007 gold had a top in 2008 corrected and then pushed on to 2011 um and of course Bitcoin and crypto really wasn’t around at that point came

About in 2009 2010 so they all had different Peaks but the Cycles all come together and everything starts to roll over around that point it’s a big cycle 18 19e cycle so you are going to see things take a lot longer to play out than what we do in crypto so there is

Plenty of out there telling us that we may or in fact should see a recession in 2024 it is an election year it’s probably unlikely that it does happen just based on uh the data as well but simply what you can do now bring up a

Chart and look at how these markets are progressing this is the home builders ETF it has run into a new all-time high in late 2020 after the covid bottom after covid crash and bottomed it ran up into a new high it’s pulled back into a guess higher low yes you can see it

Right there a nice big high low and has now run up into a new all-time high again now there is old sayings when these markets run run up into new all-time highs there’s no knowing how far they’ll go so trying to call a recession throughout new all-time highs

Is basically like playing with fire saying that markets are going to crash and collapse every step of the way is really going to get a lot of people burn now there is several pieces of data that would suggest the markets do have to collapse and there is plenty of people

Putting it out there uh I can show you lots and lots of different things nothing against the people just the particular pieces of data and how we use them Everyone’s entitled to their own opinions of course but for me the way I see a lot of this stuff where it’s

Always collapse collapse collapse collapse and the fact that the markets are going up when you just pull up the facts from a chart shows me that maybe the way the data is uh getting used by the analysts themselves is it’s like pulling all different pieces from everywhere and trying to put a puzzle

Together they don’t have a picture of what the actual puzzle is and they’re basically just pulling different puzzle pieces from everywhere trying to mash the thing together it’s probably not going to work and it hasn’t worked out this entire time while the markets have been climbing just based on the facts

From the charts this is just the home builder ETF in the US you can go to the biggest home builder in the US also new all-time highs you can see the peak of the real estate cycle before the collapse and then the markets have gained from that point again you can go

To the US killer home price index prices have been up since those cycle bottoms and yes Co was a huge huge pump to the upside we’ve had the correction and now we’ve had nine straight months up with one pullback remember markets do have to have Corrections and they must have

Pullbacks like it has done all the way up into those previous Peaks as well now we’re not going to stop hearing about recessions and I think this one is probably one of the best examples of recessions being called at the ex exact exact wrong times now recession alerts

This is not blood in the streets yet they’re waiting for blood in the streets look at the date here not byy a long shot maybe some are willing but no blood it’s a stretch to assume that we at Major bare Market we’re at a major bare

Market bottom and it’s rid itself of all the week hands this is what everyone believed October 12th 2022 was the day before the exact low now I don’t know about you I would be very much Happy buying at a day before the exact low of Market looking at where

It’s come from to where it is now I think it’s somewhere around the vicinity of 40% there you go nearly nearly 40% to a te so about 39% from that particular tweet so this is why it’s really important not to get swept up in recession calls and potential prices

Crashing and plunging every step of the way because it’s more likely that markets are going to go up over the Long Haul and if you’ve already seen a very significant selloff like 2022 the the chances that you’ll see that again so soon are very unlikely not impossible

But very very unlikely and what we want to do is put the probabilities on our side because these may be the if I get the right one up here the final times that we see very very fast movements to the upside and get those gains those 25x

Cryptos and Bitcoin gains uh before we see a multi-year bare market now after these Peaks I’m expecting a multi-year bare Market I think these to the upside are the symptoms of that multi-year bare Market coming and basically you can see everyone’s sort of getting into this

Rushed phase of trying to get in before they think the markets are never going to come back and at that point that’s when the markets typically do pull back and they’re pretty severe so we’re going to keep watching that real estate cycle and of course the stock markets and

Bitcoin and crypto for these upsides so let’s get into some more data now some quick fired data we’ve got things looking at manufacturing we got things looking at the household cash levels uh also layoffs as well so all the questions that everyone has saying well this isn’t looking good this isn’t

Looking good this isn’t remember Bitcoin and cryptos need the rest of the market to be going up in order for that degenerate money to come over that basically the higher risk to come into Bitcoin and cryptos to keep pushing up these markets markets meaning in this

Case altcoins so you want to see more money more uh risk appetite coming into the financial markets to then boost these things up at the very end Manufacturing from our good friend here Seth what getting close to our recession does not look like ISM Manufacturing orders highest levels in 17 months

Manufacturing orders are up next households have 18 trillion in cash up from 13 trillion preco apparently 18 trillion cash and 5 trillion more than Co we need another tax relief it’s another election year yes they keep putting more and more money into this system one way or another even if it’s

Not in the face of of uh pure just money printing we’ve seen it from Banks allowing their customers whether it’s a US UK and Australia we’ve seen it across the board the deposits have started to come down you don’t need as much money to deposit into the market in order to

Get your loan therefore it’s easier to get more money when you get more money money is more free and then they start to go and flog it into the markets because they start to see prices go up that’s just one way the banks are doing it the way the governments are doing it

They start to reduce taxes they pull uh different schemes off the table and start to take it from other places we see land tax taxes going up but we see some of the stamp duties and taxes to get into properties coming down so one way they take it from you at the

Beginning but they slam it with you later on down the track these are the sort of things you start to see towards the end of the cycle because they want more and more people getting into the markets to keep pushing these prices up and of course it’s an election year so

Of course they want to see the economy do as best as it possibly can next is the the layoffs and Seth got a really good point here looking at the announcements even though they fail to capture the overall trend layoffs are actually still below the level prior to

Co and trending downwards so we can see this is all trending downwards and what they tend to do when they like to pull uh different sort of numbers here and there not just picking on one person here unfortunately but you get the idea is that when they see some of the

Numbers come up for a month or two that’s when they get really excited but we want to look at longer term Trends you know we love to look at things at a 20 40 60 year type of Trends to get a better overall picture of the market not

Just the few months the few months are always going to uh skew the results and tell you to go one way than the other it’s like those influencers online that say buy this day sell the next day buy this day sell the next day because the Market’s going up and down that’s the

Stuff that screws people now this is phenomenal now we’ve got some stuff on January and what happens throughout the rest of the year but I don’t want to get too too bullish because there is going to be ups and downs throughout the year and potentially what we may see in

February or or March I’ll get to that in just a moment but essentially this January is in the books keep it at 100% when January delivers a positive return in an election year the rest of the year has always delivered pos positive returns of course it’s 100% one time

It’s going to fail eventually hopefully it’s not this year I just got to keep that real for us because there is no 100% guarantees eventually when you get enough data points eventually one will fail is it this time I don’t think so I think there will be one in the future

But now doesn’t seem like the time because we’re looking at this overall cycle now if it is next time uh that would be a much better reason why it could fail if we’re going through that collapse so the data itself January S&P returns 2024 we got 1.6% so these were

All positive years and basically the rest of the year has been pretty significant you can see that somewhere around the sort of 10ish percent with a big return here at 20 and also 177% returns now this one here is the big one the big one for the markets everything

Going up and basically 74% of the calendar years since 1926 so that does include the years running up into the big peak uh in 1929 and it also includes the Great Depression years and the second world war year so lots and lots of negativity negativity in the world

And downside as you can see from 1941 1940 you’ve got 1929 and also some big losses I think it was around 1930 1932 you get the idea it was a Great Depression what this is saying is the least probable annual return is a decline of greater than – 20% basically

It’s unlikely that you would see a negative 10 to 20% per year the most likely you would see is a year greater than 20% Then the most next most likely is a positive return of 10 to 20% so if you start to pull these together that

Gives you 60% chance of the market doing 10% or more group this in with a 0% that brings you up to a 74% as the data suggests here 74% of the time the S&P is going to go up and this data goes back 96 years so it seems like it’s all

Working out relatively well for this stage of the cycle 74% of the time three out of four years markets are positive one of those four years they are negative now there’s so much more data to get through but I’m going to save that for future videos so make sure you

Hit that like And subscribe button I do have a couple more pieces to get through before we get to cryptocurrencies and this is just putting a little bit of a realistic perspective on the market leading into 2024 so we can get an idea of these these Cycles these cycles for

Bitcoin and cryptos as well of maybe how we could see some pullbacks or continued pullbacks in the case of some old coins now February February is usually weak especially in an election year so we’re looking at these ones here the dark blue and you can see where these dark Blues

Line up with each corresponding month of the year so that’s the election year green is past 10 and then since 1950 is the gold so February what we’re currently in typically not such a good month no matter which uh data point you are looking at and you also don’t get a

Pretty good return in September October also quite negative for the election year which isn’t really a surprise considering you have the election in November and then you get this big pump in November now we’ve seen that multiple times in the market we can go back to uh

2020 when we had the election there is September there is October and then you get November nice big pump out go back to 2016 when it was the Trump election with Hillary Clinton 2016 you’ve got your down month September October come the no uh the November come the election

In November boom pump from that point so yes that’s two of them I don’t need to go through too many more data points with you guys you get the picture essentially February could be that pullback have a little bit of a move up maybe more of a move up and basically

Nothing in May little bit in June July August pullback September October Here Comes November so as you start to put this little bit of a graph together you can see that it’s not potentially not going to be a straight line up for 2024 but come the end of the year maybe we’re

Going to see that movement and that’s what essentially we’re looking at the first sort of sixish months of the year the first half to make it easy uh we’re looking at the possibility of some volatility you see some down months here February potentially that one we still

Got another you know three four weeks to go and um from that point then things should get a little bit clearer in quarter 4 of this year which also lines up with well our Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies so here is the total cryptocurrency market cap using our Tia

Indicator here and what I can do is turn off Bitcoin e and the stable coins to give us a clear picture of the total cryptocurrency market cap basically all of the the degenerate coins out there and what their price movements are doing so looking at these timings and

Basically what we just looked at with the election year and the possibility of a big pump up in the end uh for the total cryptocurrency market cap total altcoin market cap let’s call it you can see we’ve gone through this schematic here looks like we’ve broken out into

Phase D and we’re basically trying to consolidate to get back into that phase e so in terms of timings low to the pullback you can see from the cycle prior you got the pullback and then into that Haring essentially we’re lining up pretty well right now lining up with

That timing the low 14 months up you can see here 14 months to that Peak and then pullback obviously it’s not going to be a pandemic pullback I hope that is clear enough for the majority of people to understand now uh I still get some comments like that but essentially

Pullback we’re just looking at the flow of the market here and then the market essentially starts to run up from that sort of harving or a month or so before or after that period so this time round we haven’t had such big fluctuations like we did in the prior cycle which may

Mean we only pull back into this zone of about 280 to about 320 billion currently sitting at around 350 so there may be a little more downside but nothing SE so severe compared to what we had in the previous cycle so if you’re waiting for

Those 20 X 50x 100x altcoins now is that time and yes I continue to put out content like this because I think this is going to be your best time considering where we sit in the market if you went bagging up cryptos at these particular lows I think now is probably

One of the safer opportunities because the market is showing it’s broken out of previous resistance and potentially will come back to sit or close to that particular support then give it to the end of the year when we get that election uh running as you can see here

November 20 markets go ballistic from that point and essentially from that point roughly about 12 months not from now but from that period roughly around the election in 2024 you’ve got about 12 months to go for the crazy bull market which then lines up relatively well this

Peak here is about 2025 to early 2026 for real estate for the real estate cycle remember at this peak uh that sort of lines up with where that crypto could get to before you start to see crypto sell off and some of those profits go into real estate stock markets and other

Things like that so everything is still on track with the cycle if you want to stay up to date further with a fresh Tia crypto and economic report to your email go check out the link in the top of the video description right there subscribe to that and you’ll also get updates with

Any deals that we have coming up for Tia premium as well we went through a ton of data in today’s video but I have plenty more coming up for you so don’t go anywhere cycle is still on track hit the like And subscribe button down below if

You are new and you enjoyed what you seeing I’ll see you back here at the next video so until then take care and peace out