Plan B makes Bitcoin updated!! My honest Opinion About BTC S2F Model!!

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➤ Plan B – S2F Bitcoin Model Works Like a Clock: https://youtu.be/rMCzCIkP0cs
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Hey what’s up guys welcome back to amstone channel and of course let’s go ahead and start this video with Bitcoin Market as of the time of this recording Bitcoin is wiggling around $43,500 most likely by the time you’re watching this video the price may vary maybe it

Will be higher maybe it will be lower because it does take me like few hours to edit and upload this video on YouTube but nonetheless yesterday we had another dip Bitcoin dropped to like 42,300 box but overnight it bounced back quite nicely to about 43k which is indeed quite good from technical

Standpoint it seems like Bitcoin is forming this more or less symmetric triangle which is on my humble opinion is going to be bullish not just because of technicals but because we have very strong fundamentals and I will talk about them in just a minute another thing is in this 18h hourly chart we

Have a 200 days moving average in this red color and 50 days moving average in this uh greenish color and as we can see that BC bounced back quite nicely from 200 days moving average uh two weeks ago where Bitcoin was down like 38 39K and now it seems like bitc bounced back

Quite well respectively yesterday where Bitcoin dipped to $ 42,300 from this uh 50 days simple moving average so it looks like we are in a good H indeed all right guys let’s move on and zoom out further and take a look at this two daily Bitcoin chart we

Can notice that yes as you know new local high was around $49,000 and technically that would be a new two years high but unfortunately after Bitcoin spyf approval B see de by 20% and now it seems like it is recovering by quite a bit 43k yes that would be not

Like 17 18 months new high because we what 43k even prior to bitcoin SPF approval but as soon as BC reaches like 50k that would be officially new two years high and even 55k that would be even new uh maybe 24 26 months new high

But anyway I think we are in a good hands I think it’s going to happen in just a matter of time maybe by the next Bitcoin H that will take place in April we will be already above $50,000 I think it’s going to happen additionally 200 weeks simple MO average

Right now is at $31,000 PC price is 43k so we have a decent Delta Delta would be what $1,000 something like that yes the biggest Delta was when BC was at 49k back then Delta would be $19,000 however we also had a decent Delta in Reverse when Bitcoin was at $177,000 in late

2022 Delta was at around $78,000 but even right now we have where way bigger Delta in the upwards Direction so yes guys this is good stuff indeed speaking of the Bitcoin fear GD index today we at 60 we at GD we are the same level where were back yesterday

Well does that make sense um maybe because bitc price is more or less similar but even though yesterday bitc price was quite lower yesterday Bitcoin was below 43k and now we are about $43,000 maybe tomorrow it will readjust it will be like 62 63 but we’ll see I think 42

43,000 is still a bargain all right guys moving on to this table it represents inflow outflow of all Bitcoin spot EF ISU years as of February 2nd which would be Friday yes as we can see that from grayscale more than $144 million left grayscale which would be the lowest

Outlow day since day one yes day one was 95 million and now we have 144 million which would be quite low let’s not forget in the first few days after Bitcoin PF was approved the outflow was tremendous like 500 600 million on average will leing gr skill every single

Day and now in the past couple days as we can see that it kind of subside we had like 400 250 100 200 180 180 $144 million leing great skill so selling pressure is indeed coming to the and so right now toal almost $6 billion left grade skill since the bitco SPF War

Approved but on the flip side on the good side we have black rock and Fidelity on Friday Black Rock had INF flow of $15 million while fidal they had $78 Million worth of inflow so the total net flow four Black Rock would be more than $3 billion while Fidelity $2.5

Billion so add two and two together we will get $5.5 billion Black Rock plus Fidelity in total net flows but in general net flows if we add all Bitcoin SPF e year and we subtract R scill we will get 1.5 billion dollars of total net flows which is quite good so we can

See that Bitcoin PF issues right now isn’t positive territory I think in the next couple weeks we will’ll probably see like four $5 billion of total net flows all right guys moving on just in South Korean regulator to meet with G gansler to discuss spot Bitcoin TFS look

G gansler has nothing nice to say about Bitcoin spot TFS the only reason why he approved bitco patas is because he lost a lawsuit against gray skill so I guess we have to thank gray skill for that because of them we have Bitcoin SPF approval all right guys moving in on

A reminder US president candidate Robert Kennedy Jr plans to encourage the use of Bitcoin by limited capital gain tax oh man that would be fantastic indeed if you have no capital gains on a Bitcoin that would be good yes I know that Dubai in Saudi Arabia does not have capital

Gain tax on Bitcoin in fact they do not have taxes at all and that’s why they attracted many entrepreneurs many bitcoiners many cryptocurrency investors so on and so forth however if um United States would do that I think all of them will come to United States because

United States first foremost is a little bit a cheaper cost of living in the United States compared to Dubai and secondly United States is way better country but who the hell wants to live in the freaking desert not me so yes winning elections for Robert F Kennedy

Jr will be quite slim but if he would win he would eliminate Capital gam it would be quite good and many people from Dubai would go to United States all right guys moving on Happy 59th Birthday to Michael sailor chairman of micro strategy a legendary geek chit what the

Hell is that anyway buying over 180,000 Bitcoin Wells over it’s close to 190,000 bitcoin since 2020 he will one day be the richest man in the world well he’s not worth right now like $2 billion dollar if Bitcoin makes like 100x he’s not worth will probably be

Like $200 billion doar will he be riches by that time well maybe by that time um Elon Musk net worth would be over like 1 trillion you never know but look I hope he will be at least in the top 10 richest man on earth maybe in the next

Decade all right guys let’s move on El Salvador is a Bitcoin friendly president na bukol wins reelection congratulation El Salvador’s Pro Bitcoin president nkali declares his win in 2024 presidential election held on Sunday before the elector body announced the results according to our numbers we won presidential election with more than

85% of votes and minimal of 58 out of 60 assembly deputies bukal said on X C GP exit poll data also showed that 87% voters in his favor if the office voting results confirm bals win he will serve as a president until 2029 which is additional 5 years not bad

Balis who support R after tackling the country’s gain crime is expected to continue supporting Bitcoin his vice president Felix ulo told routers last week that the government plans to maintain Bitcoin as a legal tender Upon A reelection yes this is good news it looks like we going to have Bitcoin

Friendly country for additional at least 5 years but just imagine if bukal will no longer be president I think they will go back to like to tarian regime and the gank violent country or maybe not maybe I’m wrong but as long as Bitcoin is the main Illegal Tender in the El Salvador

That will be a and as we know that El Salvador has been stacking a lot of sets they have been stack and L those sets entire bare Market na buali has some huge balls yes this is good indeed especially if you are a contrarian investor and so far

Right now they have more than $22 Million worth of bitcoin the average price is around $ 42.4 th000 and right now we see about $433,000 so right now they up by almost $3 million or 2.45% which is not bad of course this is not Michael sailor this

Is not micro strategy but they are doing something good indeed when Bitcoin doubles and pretty sure na bukal will be quite delighted with his investment and lastly let’s take a look at this quick video what plan B has to say about his update on stock to flow let’s take a

Look first chart is the stock to flow chart and not much has changed because Bitcoin closed this month uh at 42,000 and that’s the same as last month uh so we’re still a little bit below the stock to flow line stock to flow line is

Between 50 and 60k so um that’s still 20 30 40% up uh to reach that that line and we have three more months to do that because the haling is in April and April is month zero in my model the last Blue Dot so we have three more blue dots to

Go and uh well let’s hope it goes towards that line that is at least what I expect and that’s what it did last three times but Bitcoin in profit 90% of all the Bitcoins out there 90% orange is in profit that’s the highest monthly close since

October 2021 the all-time high of 61 so this is the highest percentage profit since this all-time high only the 2021 buyers here are in loss everybody else is in profit and uh we can only have blue after red blue after red here also blue after red and same happened here we have red

Then blue we haven’t seen red yet so I do not expect blue to come back um we we first need the red and also after orange after the 90% always comes 100% the the new alltime high so this means that we see another all-time high before another crash in my opinion and

Usually that is 6 months uh after the halfing so that would be October is this year we could see uh a new uh alltime High very interesting next chart Market Cycles we are still in the accumulation phase not much has changed there we’re hoping to see the Red Dot soon that’s

The most uh frequently Asked question on on Twitter at the moment when red dots well I don’t know exactly when but I can see it when it’s there uh yeah usually it’s after the halfing like here and here here and here that’s always a little bit after the haling and

Um just before a new all-time high so the last alltime high was of course 61 a closing price right it’s not 69 in intr day but it’s or intra month um it was a 61 close of October um so yeah with the haling and and and knowing

That I would expect to see the next Red Dot in 3 to 6 months from here so that’s April to July range yes as Plan B said that he taks we will be at 55 $60,000 before the next Bitcoin having so it means we have like

2 months and a half until the next Bitcoin having do I agree with him I would say so I think 55k is definitely a reasonable expectation in two months consider the fact that right now we are low like 43k BTC can gain additional $10,000 in just few weeks but overall

Will Bitcoin stock to flow be correct in the next bull market to be honest I do not think Bitcoin stock to flow will be correct in the future maybe bit will sky rocket to like 400k then we’ll retest 200k and the average price will be like

200 50k but Plan B predicts $500,000 as an average price I not forget that he created this model back into 2019 yes looking backwards anybody can draw any lines that fit the model but looking forwards is a totally different game so he created this model back in 2019

Actually he created bunch of models in 2019 in 2020 two of them were correct this one seems to be more less accurate and yes this model predicted the direction but not necessarily the price so let’s see let’s see what is going to happen this cycle let me know what you

Guys think about Plan B in stock to flow comment below subscribe and like this video