Bitcoin WARNING: This is Eerily Similar to 2019 Crypto Bull Market (Watch ASAP)

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Video Description:
Data-filled update on real estate cycle, stock market performance for 2024, bitcoin investor pump and the crypto bull market cycle timing. Altcoin season update, Bitcoin price prediction update, Stock markets hitting new all-time high prices and what this means for investors.

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This Bitcoin bull market is really picking up steam it’s just hit $52,000 hitting our next price Target taking us all the way back to December of 2021 something doesn’t feel right but the market keeps going up so in today’s video I want to share with you some experiences from the past looking at

What’s going on right now in the market is the exuberance heats up for Bitcoin for our beloved 3050 100x altcoins potentially today at 31x and what we can look at moving forward especially as we have been extremely bearish at the lows and now things are starting to get that

Little bit hot in the market Bitcoin is literally knocking out 35% returns in a matter of weeks so you know what to do hit that like button as you jump on to the channel your home of macro cycle analysis we’re covering the stock markets Bitcoin crypto and of course the

Real estate cycle now I don’t want to get too bearish on the market Market whatsoever we have been very much on point with the bull market calling for the lows while the majority weren’t and plenty of posts here that we could go through uh and the reason being is the

Market sentiment basically what’s going on out there and what people are saying and doing and all sorts of stuff just to give us an insight as to the feelings of the market now on top of the feelings of the market I want to stick with the objective data looking at the bull

Markets that we’ve seen in the past and how they have continued to Rally in despite the fears in the economy despite recession despite interest rate Rises despite Wars despite Black Swan events despite youer it the markets have continued to go up now of course as we

Have been pointing out uh time and time again I don’t think this is going to be forever but what I think is going to be the most important now is to prepare us for the bull market and basically I’ve got here the the disbelief in the moves

To the upside I think what we’re going through in the markets is around this hope and optimism and throughout periods of the market we’re going to Rally into Euphoria and then come back down into capitulation but on a shorter term time frame so for the longer term for the

Macro we’re still looking at hitting these strides for the stock market but as we continue to go through probably this stage over and over and over again I suspect it’s going to be like hope into a disbelief a bit of a pullback and then into optimism and a pullback and

Sort of rinse and repeat on the way up and I want to show you that in the charts uh just a moment links in the top of the video description for the free crypto and economic report and of course Tia premium but I just wanted to get

Started with this because I feel like it’s a a big weight on on my shoulders that I want to share with you the viewer uh what I’m feeling but more importantly what I’m thinking the market is going to do based on the analysis now it can

Never be right 100% of the time and there are going to be instances I would say in the short term where the markets can get away a little bit but as I said I I do feel the way and I want to share with you as best as I possibly can uh

What I think is going on in the markets and how to prepare for that rather than try and give you some ridiculous price targets or remain bearish over and over and over again or to the flip side remain bullish over and over and over again now we’ve continued to to pick up

Steam throughout this bull market while I guess others had been relatively bearish the entire way up and continue to be bearish so yeah I just wanted to share that with you because of the massive conversations that are going on in the comments section and I suspect it’s going to continue as the market

Picks up as well so I just wanted to get a little bit more of a a one-on-one there with you guys as best we can here on YouTube as we continue on with this bull market so what we saw in the last 12 months was a very different story to

What we’re seeing right now the different story back then is we were looking for the bottom and the rise out of that bottom into a disbelief stage so I posted this in March of 2023 nearly 12 months ago and if you look back at the comments a lot of people were not

Believing that it was the low a lot of people were looking for a collapse as you can see here this was just one instance because there were a lot of other comments from certain known analysts and and so forth that were telling us that the markets had to

Collapse even further from that point looking at our Wall Street cheat sheet looking for complacency on the NASDAQ on bitcoin and all that sort of thing when Meanwhile we’re actually at the bottoms and the market was heading up into disbelief uh you can go back and check

These out but just to save you a lot of the time there that was the feeling at the time that most were expecting that the markets had to go further down that they were just bouncing out of anger and there was going to be be a lot longer in

The move to the downside so when you see what happened before because as we look at here study the past to try and forecast the future as best we possibly can we’re seeing a little bit of a a different story here now this different story can go on longer than we

Anticipate and we’ve got plenty of those quotes saying the market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent so it’s always best to trade with the trend and not to try and short the hell out of a rising market as many Traders continue to do you may have seen

Those sort of things those will get you wrecked time and time again but essentially looking at what’s going on in the market now I definitely feel these areas are are in play belief thrill Euphoria obviously the ETF is in play and the Market’s keep rising from

That point I’m not trying to be bearish whatsoever because the chart is still up but of course eventually you do need to get some sort of Correction now in terms of Corrections all Bitcoin has seen is 20% 21% 22% 215% so it might be a little foolish to expect extreme moves to the

Downside to come back and test some previous tops it’s not impossible but just looking at what’s happened if we are to get a significant correction something to at least pause the market I I wouldn’t anticipate anything too over the top considering what we have gone through now I think that’s going to be

The same for the P 500 and probably even more so for the S&P 500 which has broken into new highs and just in the last couple of days has had a little bit of a reversal here if you just look at the daily chart you can see it had a move

Down as we covered yesterday 1% it’s basically had a little bit of a bounce back from this point so I want to come back to that in just a moment looking at the weekly chart but uh finishing up on the feelings of the market now seven

Eight months ago going back to June we looked specifically at at how the bottom was most likely in and anything was any corrections at that point from June onwards was a by the fend dip opportunity Bitcoin had many uh targets to the upside that it hasn’t had in the

Past basically it had gone up 381 days it had never gone up 381 days and then broken back down to take out the low and so it was very evident to to me and hopefully to a lot of you guys at the time that Bitcoin was in the early

Stages of a bull market and for now it doesn’t look like we are in the early stages of a bull market because a lot of these moves to the upside are met with a lot of hype as opposed to what happened before when we were getting moved to the

Upside it was very much disbelief it’s going to come back down we’re heading up it’s going to come back down so that’s how I’m reading this particular Wall Street cheat sheet we are we have flipped into that next stage and now it seems like well that’s obvious we are in

That next stage but it wasn’t so obvious 6 12 months ago before this breakout in October of 2023 it was not obvious then to most that we were in the midst of the reaccumulation from the low and about to head up into new fresh highs so by no

Means are we at the end of the bull market I think there’s still a lot left in it but I’m preparing for the Wall Street cheat sheet looking at these tops where every time we’re met with those tops of the Euphoria and the thrill and you’re missing out on this altcoin and

That altcoin and you should on blah blah blah uh that is a clear sign that we are getting towards an end whether it’s an intermediate top like that or is it the final top and we’re about to head back down that is a difficulty of trading and

Trying to predict that is very very tough that’s why I choose to stay with the swing indicator to let us know well the market looks like it should be rolling over for now the indicator is still up and well it’s not rolling over at this point it’s just telling us that

That’s the the uh the direction of the the trend and we should continue to follow that direction so for the S&P 500 and this Mega bull market that we have been talking about for a long time looking at the lows in 2022 the lows that came in 2023 at the time I was

Feeling like a broken record and everyone was expecting that this Market was going to come back down had a complacency bounce it was the biggest bare Market rally of all time and uh to be prepared for impending doom looming recessions you name it if you’re around

In 2022 and 202 three you would have seen a lot of that reading from the media telling us that markets had to go down the biggest YouTubers were doing the same thing in crypto Finance whatever it was we saw them they were all telling us that the market had to go

Down because well that’s what everyone else was saying but well we know now from history that the market was going up and so if we are into this bull market stage of the what I’m calling an everything bubble because we’re seeing everything go up real estate stock markets crypto Bitcoins you’ll start to

See ridiculous things like different pieces of art or uh maybe nfts come back just just stupid crap going up how do we assess that moving forward well we’ve obviously got our 18.6 year cycle that suggests we should be coming to some sort of peak in 2026 is let’s not get

Too fixated on that just yet because it’s potentially still a couple of years but what happens until then so let’s have a look at the bull market leading from the GFC low into the peak yes the peak of 2020 which came in in February running up into that late part of 2019

The collapse and then basically we are rinsing and repeating that move so what happened from that point well the corrections were pretty slim Corrections of single digits were very common through that throughout the move up and so we can go back and have a look at

Each of these moves remember this is on a weekly chart here so for for two of these bars to occur you need roughly 6 Seven 8 10 trading days to occur to get get this pullback and so that pullback was 45% and now we can use our swing

Indicator just to give us a quick review of those Corrections in the market 65% and if you can eyeball the rest of them here looking at what a 6% move looks like and then looking at a 9% 14% we look at the entire move there down to

177% a lot of these were single digits on the way up and the market just kept grinding higher and higher now yes there were a few significant Corrections throughout that bull market of roughly 10 years you’ve got one in 2010 it lasted several weeks there and then

Basically came all the way back one in 2011 had another one in 2015 which lasted into the early part of 2016 so big move to the downside another jump and then another pullback here so that was a good half of a year 2015 then we had the 2018 pullback the 2020 which

Most of us remember even if we weren’t in the market and then we had 2022 which saw the most significant pullbacks on each of those uh Corrections and so if 2022 had the most significant Corrections what are the chances that we’ll see more of this in 2024 2025 I think it’s unlikely not

Impossible but unlikely considering how the bull markets have progressed in the past and as they continue to climb there’s just smaller and smaller pullbacks because we get into this stage of the market where the the corrections are getting bought up higher and higher quicker and quicker markets can remain

Irrational longer than you can remain solvent this is what I’ve seen lead to bull market tops where things just keep climbing and climbing and climbing even 2021 late 2020 and 2021 was a perfect perfect let me get my words out here perfect example of that type of move to the upside

10.5% then it was a smaller correction again smaller correction 5.6% Tiny correction here roughly 5% again we had another correction here 5.7% then as we l into the peak another 5 and a half% and then finally as you can see on the swing indicator Market started to roll

Over and from that point we had a correction of 12% and then all the way to the uh two we swing chart here 14 a half% to the bottom was a total of 27.4% and so if we’ve seen those already I think the likelihood of seen big Corrections like that probably into the

Likelihood of 20% or more is unlikely for this period of time as we lead up into that final Peak because essentially bull markets if we are in that Mega bull market that we’re leading into that final Peak H typically you don’t see big Corrections all the time I’m not saying

You won’t see any because obviously you’ve seen some here that are double digits so just to clean up the chart so you can see those there the entire move there 21.5% and that was basically the only 20% correction from the GFC low until you get to 2015 and now in 2015 there’s

Your Peak to the low it was only 15% and so to get to another 20% correction it didn’t occur until 2018 so you had a 20% in 2011 and then another one in roughly 2018 that led into the early part of 2019 the mid decade bulge has 100 Years

Of data we are into the next mid decade bulge with another roughly 2 years remaining 2024 2025 what it’s seen in the past is a rough 60% gain that leads us into March of 2026 pay particular attention to quarter one quarter 2 of 2026 the mid decade bulge just means uh

What the market does between that period of end of the second year of the decade so 2022 which is basically the low of the market running in into that first quarter second quarter basic the first half of the sixth year and so for that period of 3 4 five so basically three

Three and a half years you have pretty significant gains going back over 100 years so I’m very much in the camp of a macro bull market and what we can see from some of the statistics is any of these Corrections typically aren’t overly severe so how does that help us

With Bitcoin and what’s going on with Bitcoin right now is we start a new day a new trade day it’s now hit $52,400 so it’s gone up again today extending the streak of days up at 10 days now with a 24% move so basically higher highs higher lows no breakdown of

That move yet we’re at the 10th day so the resistance levels that I see to the upside now should we continue to hold above 52,000 we’ve um now hold held above the 50% level at $505,000 and now we have the 52k level which was those previous swing tops the market

Needs to close there uh i’ like to see at least 3 days above those levels the next level I mean it’s a simple one 60 $60,000 I’m no genius to pick that one up even you guys could have picked that up as well 60 Grand psychological level and then I’ve got my

$625,000 level which is a 100% repeat of the move out of that September low to the ETF top projected from the ETF correction low and basically your % move there and so if this continues on with shallow Corrections we’ve seen 20 22% I guess we can anticipate that well

Altcoins are also going to do the same thing this brings up multiple different theories moving forward should this move continue on as it is right now with a potential leand translated cycle if you’re new and unfamiliar with those sort of fouryear Cycles we’re just looking at cycle measuring from the low

To the low now if the top of the market comes in on the left hand side well that’s a weak Market even though it has shot up a lot just meaning that it could take a lot longer to get to that low which would mean the uh multi-year bare

Market happen sooner than what I’m thinking but there’s still time if uh Bitcoin can at least find another Solid Ground to correct on obviously over the next few days or weeks then we could at least hope that the market will consolidate even if it is at a high ground give us some time

Before it can continue up and push higher the worst thing you want to see for this bull market is a top before quarter 4 of 2024 if you see a top before quarter 4 and the market look weak getting ready to head down that means you’re going to see a longer bare

Market to that next low but if we see a top after quarter 4 of 2024 uh although it takes longer that’s going to be a stronger Market because you’ve got more particip iants and more buying opportunity throughout the next stage or that final stage of the market into that

Peak so although it seems like this is a a great thing for Bitcoin going straight up that’s not what you want to see in markets you can see from the past when it did it in 2019 very very quickly straight up less than six months there

Breakout in April to a peak in June it took a little lot quite a long time to at least find its bottom yes we had the co point there but it took ages until it broke back past that high we saw it again late in 2020 and then into 2021

Basically hit that top very early only got to the next top uh ever so slightly at least we had the altcoin gains there and then we saw 12 months to the downside but if this happens too soon then I think we’ve got a lot longer to

Play out to the downside before we get that rinse and repeat I still see more time for Bitcoin to consolidate here we haven’t got that extreme move taking out the tops and just basically flatlining after that point having a big correction uh so I’m not in the camp that we’re

Going to get that leftand translated cycle we don’t need to worry about that right now because essentially that’s just giving us a a topping signal when it occurs so we don’t need to worry about that right now the other thing that’s on our side is the macro environment the macro markets the S&P

500 NASDAQ the real estate markets they are all still going up and they still have a little more time left in their cycle as well so for now there is still no major signal to say that this is going to be a left-hand translated cyle

So what do we do keep looking for all coins look for your degenerate gains to the upside checking out well I’m got the swing indicator here looking at how these markets are continuing up even though it seems really crazy that we are heading into a lot of belief and thrill

And Euphoria putting that aside and just continuing on with the job of getting the altcoins it you think are going to do those Mega gains now if you’re uncertain this is the big one if you’re uncertain as to which ones to get the thing I like to look at is the Bitcoin

Chart so I’ve got all my Bitcoin pairings here and if the altcoin is going down against its Bitcoin value it’s typically not a very strong altcoin which means you well I guess don’t want to be getting into that altcoin because it’s not making the gains like BTC so

Basically I’m just skimming down my list to have a look at what is holding up and what isn’t and unfortunately some of the big names are not holding up but you can get to some that that are holding up and they’re doing a relatively good job at maintaining that ground and that

Strength against Bitcoin even though bitcoin’s going up now link as we looked at yesterday it’s still holding ground from where it loaded in January but it is starting to head down from that point the same deal with injective as well injective being a huge runner from

January 2023 so now over 12 months well basically took 12 months to get to the peak and slowly slowly has been Distributing at these highs and you can see that lower tops getting formed breaking down significant lows here volume is drying up but it continues to break down and on the smaller time

Frames here on the daily you can see the volume on The Daily charts is higher on the way down than it is on the way up you can see those white bars there as it continues to try and rally it’s just getting met with a lot of selling

Pressure so I’m a macro bll if this is the message for the V video macro bull stay safe out there if you are finding altcoins that are popping off be sure to have your stops in play to take profits so that you don’t have to suffer the big

Moves to the downside looks like injective wants to break down well it is breaking down now and maybe it comes back to test some of those previous highs so lock in some of those gains it’s not a reason to sell your entire bag I think there is still more left in

The overall bull market but it might be opportune to take some of those profits and just position yourself ready for any of those next legs up or rotate into something else that is looking stronger um injective on this hand is also pushing up higher you can see higher

Highs higher lows but as I said I just want to keep that CAU there because I keep thinking about you guys here in the comment section you know you’re following the channel and moving away from other channels that are not giving you good information and so I just want

To remain level-headed with it because eventually these uh Trends roll over so have your stops in play use your swing charts put some sort of level that allows you to take some profits and stay safe in the market like And subscribe I’ll be back again with you at the next

Video I hope you have a great one till then take care and peace out