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Video Description:
Data-filled update on real estate cycle, stock market performance for 2024, bitcoin investor pump and the crypto bull market cycle timing. Altcoin season update, Bitcoin price prediction update, Stock markets hitting new all-time high prices and what this means for investors.

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Everyone believes we’re about to experience 30X 50x 100x on these alt coins but what everyone is waiting for is that pullback are we going to see a pullback now that the CPI data has come in for the US and they’ve experienced a solid 1.2% pullback doesn’t sound like

Much to us in crypto but for the traditional markets that is quite significant so where are we at today what is going on with Bitcoin as it hit $50,000 yesterday and had a slight pullback in the last 24 hours Let’s dive into that in today’s video it’s your

Home of macro cycle analysis studying the past to forecast the future on the stocks crypto Bitcoin and of course the real estate cycle now this everything bubble isn’t going anywhere just like asking for a like And subscribe we are on track to hitting 400,000 in 2024 so

More people can see the cycle for what it is links in the video description for our free crypto and economic report that went out yesterday check your inboxes and get yourself an account with buybit or bit we have a free Workshop coming up for you guys who have used the links

Down below now let’s kick it off with the biggest narrative we are seeing in Bitcoin right now and that of of course is the ETF volumes the ETF inflows basically ETFs buying up all the Bitcoin more than what the miners are able to produce every 10 minutes we’re seeing

Cumulative spot Bitcoin ETF volumes continue to to rise uh spot Bitcoin ETF volumes they’re continuing to outpace the uh the selloff here as you can see here for the flows you got the light blue being the outflow the selling of Bitcoin and the rest of the colors here

Basically being bought up and obviously in the last uh day or at least on the Friday bar there the 9th there was extreme move to the upside so extreme buying happened on that day compared to what we’re selling now as I said this is probably the biggest narrative that I’m

Seeing see across all of the socials right now for Bitcoin I’d say leading into the harving and what can lead people aay is believing in one narrative believing in this fundamental that is different to last time remember those words there of course this is different things have to be different when it

Comes to the narrative but what happens around these particular events is typically the same thing we believe something is going to change the way the world operates and we’re experiencing something for the first time ever in life but remember this happens with every single cycle every single single

Generation uh throughout the entirety of history there is always something that we are told to believe in that seems to be different from the last time and yes the actual event is different but how we respond to those events typically isn’t so with my rant on ETFs the main thing I

Want you to take home from this is as we lead into the peaks of the cycle with the market continuing to run up higher and higher and higher don’t let it fool you that this time is different and that we could go into a super cycle that

Would never see lower prices again I suspect that’s what will happen just like what happened in the previous Cycles we’re led to believe that there was going to be super cycles of Bitcoin that you’d never see those same lower prices well guess what happened in the

Last cycle you had the Peaks and then the price actually did something that it had never done before and retrace to the previous old all-time high that had never happened before on bitcoin and it happened in the last cycle after we all thought that the price would never come

Back to previous levels because of a an extreme event we had super Cycles we had Futures markets here and now we have the spot ETFs that are bringing in a lot of volume in the short term maybe we see higher prices maybe we try and clip that

52k the really important thing here as I’ve mentioned is to not get carried away with each of these narratives and just focus on what the charts are doing now another narrative that we have seen before which was in 2023 was the banking system going to collapse this is a

Beautiful representation on a chart of what happened on the chart the profits that were made and how people missed out on those profits banking system is going to collapse there is March 2023 and so it did at those first few days there was a few banks that went down and then over

The course of the next six seven eight months the market basically went sideways and put in a higher low meanwhile everyone was telling us C the market is going to collapse after that point we know from October the markets have skyrocketed NASDAQ uh S&P Dow Jones many other markets around the world have

Skyrocketed from this point which is leading to that everything bubble which is why you’ve seeing a lot more increase in in value through Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies which we’ll get to in a moment and essentially you’re starting to see a lot more more of the Bears turn

Bullish and that is a scary point in time when most people think the markets have no reason to go down that’s typically when they go down and so that’s why I focused a lot on bitcoin at the start of the video looking at the ETF stuff people are focused on reasons

Why Bitcoin can’t go down but just think about what happened um oh here here’s a perfect chart think about what happened 12 months ago everyone was focused on reasons why Bitcoin could only go down as opposed to why it could go up and if you guys were here on the channel you

Remember exactly what we were saying looking at this being the bottom looking at March in particular being the higher low when everyone was screaming for the markets to collapse in March 2023 that was our huge massive biggest buying opportunity that I can remember since that low there but this was essentially

The confirmation telling us that the markets were ready to go up now if you haven’t followed from those periods and you’re just joining now hitting the Subscribe button uh essentially there is still time left in the cycle as we pointed out when it it comes to the everything bubble which should lead us

Over the next couple of years that brings up more questions around could this cycle uh top out earlier and could we get a left translated cycle essentially could Bitcoin top too early and then spend many years coming down while that’s always a possibility I don’t think it’s a case for this cycle

And we’ll talk about that in future videos but I think that will happen in future Cycles potentially after this cyle here where we might get another quick pump and then we’ll spend multi- years in a bare Market compared to what bitcoin’s recently seen or in its entire

History it’s never spent multi- years in a bare Market basically a year up to about 14 months so on that banking system collapse narrative this I suspect will come up again throughout this cycle I just wanted to to mention that again as a reminder because we continue to see

The same things time and time again and of course if the banking system has some troubles at as we continue to move forward which I suspect most of us see that it is happening then we start to realize what the fed’s going to do potentially print money to help save the

Majority of the system but let some of the banks go down as they have done in the past eventually it won’t work anymore and most think that’s going to happen sooner rather than later as they thought in 2022 as they thought in 2023 and probably they’ll think again in 2024 so

Onto another incredible piece of data here with only three data points the main thing I want to bring up here is looking at big long stretches in gains for the S&P 500 uh 72-day stretches with only 2% pullbacks uh typically what we see is a shorter term TW Monon uh loss

For the S&P after these signals it’s not a long-term continued uh downtrend 1928 different story but the uh the longer term seems like we still got some more upside to go we’re just watching out for a correction on the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ in the short term as I’ve talked

About sometime in quarter one so maybe this is the time we have to see how it responds to 48,000 sorry 4,884 which is our short-term 50% level and potentially if it gets back under the previous old all-time high which was in that 4800 Point area so if the traditional markets

Do have a pullback I suspect that might put a little pressure on bitcoin and cryptos to also have a pullback we’re not there yet we’re at 2.57% of a decline from the peak which was the which is the current alltime High and the previous move to the

Downside was 2.88 so a little way off that getting very close to matching the same decline that we’ve seen in this uptrend so if we start to overbalance that which is something that you can learn more about at the investor accelerator Tia premium down there this

Is a a simple tool that we use to balance the the understanding of the Market whether we’re about to see a roll over or it’s just a healthy measured correction essentially right now it’s getting very close to be being balanced to what it currently was on the move to

The upside the price to the downside and in terms of time we’re looking out for I think it’s about six or five or six days to the downside more on that throughout the videos as well so we can keep a measured look at these Corrections that are occurring on the markets now of

Course many are going to point to the CP I announcements that came out recently CPI was down year on year but it was higher than the forecast forecast was 2.9% it came out at 3.1 last uh month’s reading was 3.4 so on a chart it is still going down just

Not as much or not as fast as what the forecast was and so this has happened before it’s a bit of a shock short term and then the market sort of figures out well it’s still going down it’s no big deal and you essentially see the markets

Recover over the longer term and the the drop typically isn’t as severe so what could this drop look like we touched on this yesterday as well just looking at the seasonal correction in the markets around this midpoint in February into March uh sometimes it lasts through into

April but just looking at the yellow box right here you can see that’s the start of February that’s the start of March and this little Point here is the start of April and typically you’ll see a bit of a drop off from around now in February into March this is getting

Quite specific here it’s the fourth year of a new president not just the fourth presidential year but the fourth year of a new president and of course Biden took over from Trump who makes him a new president and essentially this is probably the roughest period to write

Out in the markets which pretty much doesn’t seem like it right now but as we can see from the seasonality here using all of these data points of the years uh basically from that point forward you’ll still get Corrections in the market as you can see throughout the year but the

Overall trend when you zoom out is essentially up for basically the entire year well here he is again Becca at the peaks of markets I mean we haven’t seen an exact Peak yet but like you know we have talked about the old Becca call at previous peaks in the market before and

Is probably saying last or he’s saying here last chance for Grizzly entries before Bitcoin new alltime High I mean this up every single time Bitcoin or altcoins in particular get to one of the peaks in the market and we’ve covered this plenty of times on the channel

Before nothing against old Becky here he definitely knows how to please a crowd and serve you exactly what you want to hear feel and see in your jellies so pay attention to your jellies see how they’re feeling at this point because it doesn’t come around all that often and

Basically shows up when the jellies are at their most extreme feelings speaking of feelings the fear and greed index has dropped off since yesterday’s extreme greed obviously we had a nice little correction here on the S&P and on the NASDAQ now I had these uh speed channels

On the way up here basically from the lows to the highs and for the S&P 500 it hasn’t come back to that just yet but the NASDAQ has has come back and tested these a few times so I I’d say if this drops underneath the uh this basically

The speed of the move out of the banking crisis to that July Peak well then you can tell that the market is slowing down the NASDAQ might be the first signal there but basically back to the the fear and greed this has dropped off since we saw it yesterday at some extreme greed

Levels at a new all-time high what are we seeing now lower highs on the reading here so turning from the shortterm to the long-term remember we can have short-term Corrections in the overall longer term Trend Japan it is at a 34e high this was the peak in 1989 it is 22%

Away from a new alltime high it has not done this in 34 years so what I’m trying to explain here is that we’ve got the everything bubble blowing up in our faces with any sort of Corrections that we may see in the shortterm it’s probably unlikely that is going to stop

The charge for now eventually it will and yes okay it looks like a double top possibly we’ll get some sort of Correction that’s what I’m trying to say short term maybe we see some sort of Correction I know we’ve been talking about that for quite some time but when

You get to these high extrem jelly feelings no time for fluff I got to get this out to you before it’s all too late to get your Grizzly entries you know that sort of feeling of fear and how it’s written into posts and how you feel

About it maybe you do get a short-term correction just to just to calm down that greed like we saw in the the fear and greed index for the S&P 500 so don’t get too disillusioned the B big bubble is still here but potentially seeing some of the shorter term stuff begin to

Roll over uh for the US dollar it is also climbing which is potentially putting a little bit more pressure on the Commodities and of course the stocks as well this has been up uh for the last couple of months but do note the volume has been dropping off every time this

Market’s moved up volume has dropped off uh last month volume dropped off again compared to the previous months and right now we are on track to do something similar to the January volume which would also be lower than the previous moves to the upside doesn’t mean it can’t keep going up it just

Means the volume is low at this point which typically means you might see a correction which is exactly what happened November and December low volume up and then that uh correction came into play to come back come back and test around that 100 Point level for

The USD so a big look at the macroeconomics looking at all of the markets around the world is that’s what we do here at the investor accelerator and on the YouTube channel if you guys want to learn more about trading and investing check out the link in the

Video description for TI premium and of course get yourselves accounts here with bybit and bitg for when our free uh trading Workshop is released those using the links will get access to that you can join our members and uh Traders as well who are hitting some very

Significant gains and it’s real in here you will see some losses as well you got big gains here and some losses as well but remember this is about portions of your portfolio it’s not your entire portfolio the big stuff that you get to learn moving on to the fear and greed

Index for Bitcoin and cryptos well it’s had a drop off as well obviously bitcoin’s come back a little bit from 79 which was the highest reading that we have seen in a year and potentially all the way back to November 2021 which was the old alltime high or the current

All-time high I guess we’ve now had a little bit of a correction from that point could this be the rollover well Bitcoin still has not given any indication that that it is ready to roll over just yet uh the move down has bounced back second highest close for

2023 the swing chart is still up and there hasn’t been any signal yet to suggest that we are going to fall or at least Bitcoin is going to fall as we covered in yesterday’s video there’s still the overhead resistance at 50,500 and above that at 52,1 which

Takes you back to December 20121 those weekly swing tops before the market came down so a lot of people are watching these particular numbers 50,000 half 52,000 as well I’d say if we break through this level relatively soon probably in the next few days because of

How long we’ve been up uh then we obviously have a chance to hit 52 breaking that well then you’ve got clean ground up to about those areas at the high 50s to low $6,000 the flip side to that should always be prepared for both sides so if this is the top for Bitcoin

Well then we can look to the 50% level 445,000 should be a relatively simple place for the market to find some sort of support now now on to the S&P and the signal that we’ve been following for the next phase of the Bitcoin Market heading into new all-time highs the S&P 500 on

Each of the occasions has uh basically gone into a new all-time high while Bitcoin has remained underneath its old all-time high that’s what these Yellow Boxes are about Bitcoin accumulation Bitcoin be Bitcoin bull this is the time frame what uh of of what Bitcoin has done basically breakout of alltime High

Then puts in the new alltime high for Bitcoin puts in its final alltime high and then the bare market so in these accumulation phases of Bitcoin prices underneath the old alltime high you can see that the S&P 500 has punched to new fresh highs then corrected and this

Cycle it’s punched to new fresh highs and we’re waiting on that correction uh cycle before last new fresh highs um pretty good correction here in 2015 15 not huge by a percentage looking at tops to Bottoms 15% but it was big for the time because that was the biggest

Correction that it had seen since 2011 almost uh five years basically four and a half years in that seeing any sort of double digigit correction is pretty significant to the market so each of these times S&P pushes to new fresh highs typically there’s some sort of

Reaction in 2019 wasn’t huge but it was still a reaction there on a monthly chart here on a big chart so about 72% and then from that point Bitcoin continues its climb before heading into its all-time high once the S&P pushes to a new Fresh high again now in

Yesterday’s video I asked you guys to put in your strong altcoin pick so besides the spam comments here you guys had heaps and heaps of altcoin picks down below so a few of them stood out and I said I would pop them up on the channel today if there was enough and we

Definitely got that so let me know in the comment section again what your altcoins are and I’ll hopefully get to that in the next video I’m going to look at them against the Bitcoin chart there was a few of them that popped up injective was one of them against its US

Dollar pair injective looks fine it’s uh there 34 bucks it’s hit a high of 45 and it’s holding out relatively well even though volume is dropping off at the moment but when you look at it against its Bitcoin value it has put in lower highs and now lower lows against Bitcoin

So it doesn’t mean that it’s going to completely fail and it’s all over but remember earlier this year I’ve been talking or even December of last year been talking about some of these old coins where they are having their big moves now and potentially in the big

Altcoin season later in 2024 2025 maybe they don’t move as hard link this happened to link in the last cycle it moved into August 2020 but we should remember that the peak was uh November 2021 so it was about 14 months or so that it was going down against its

Bitcoin value so it was losing Pace against Bitcoin and you were better off holding Bitcoin for that entire period rather than link link however is another one that was on the list and it was a different well it’s a different story at the moment looks like it’s putting in

Some lows and then putting in higher lows breaking higher doesn’t mean we’re about to shoot up and it looks like it’s trying to find a base right now but I would be definitely keeping my eye on this one especially if it does not come back and break down from this low at

Roughly I believe this about 30,000 Satoshi so keep an eye on that for link now there was one more on there that popped up a lot and it was sui BTC this has been on a nice charge especially while the market uh had a decline there

After the ETF and then continued up but a lot of other altcoins had been heading down whereas in this case sui has well it’s continued up but the movement up has been rounding so typically a couple of things happen from this point you either get a nice basing out pattern at

The higher levels so that’s a good thing time to accumulate you don’t get the cheaper prices but at least you can see the strength in the market holding up uh the other thing is well it just continues on until it’s ready to make a a correction but if this is the top and

Then it starts to break down from that point typically taking out previous swing bottoms then you’d have to say that this is much weaker and it needs more time to accumulate late before it can start at pump again overall sui looks like it’s setting up for a pretty

Good massive altcoin season things can change don’t get too swept up in it especially don’t marry your altcoins and be sure to take profits more on that in future videos we are on that journey to 400,000 by the end of the year so share it with a friend let me know in the

Comment section where you’re sharing it and I’ll see you guys at the next video as always take care and peace out