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BITCOIN RALLY: IS IT OVER? BE READY FOR THIS



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Bitcoin’s Bull Run is in full swing entering phase two of the bull and showing extreme strength the price has been rallying but it seems to have hit a little bit of wall causing a lot of people to be a little bit concerned is this rally going to continue or is there

Something a little bit bigger in the charts that are going to cause a lot of chaos and potentially catch everybody off guard in today’s video we’re going to un cover what the facts in the charts are saying is this rally going to continue or is there something Brewing

Beneath the radar that will take Everybody by surprise welcome I’m Steve here we deliver honest sponsorship free ta with genuine value subscribe for a nobs approach that actually helps you subscribe now here we are on the Bitcoin US dollar Index and we are on the weekly chart there’s going to be three

Components that we’re going to talk about we’re going to talk about price section which is at the top of our screen the RSI in the middle of our screen the stochastic RSI at the bottom the biggest star of the show is going to be the RSI okay there’s a huge huge

Thing brewing in the RSI I don’t know if you can see it and and notice it right now on the chart but it’s front and center and it’s screaming to us but we have to uncover what’s going on with price action last week we had talked

About and we had shown this chart here this is a chart that we had been following for about five or six years now and we found a little hidden clue in the chart so on this chart this is a monthly chart and what we’re looking at is the Fibonacci retracement it’s this

Little tool right here and what we’ve done on the monthly chart is just go from the swing High which is the all-time high price to the swing low which is the lowest price that Bitcoin reached and what we’d have are the settings on our chart as the zero the 38

And the 78 and if you’re on the log scale you’re going to have this little button down below and if you follow those steps it’s going to be set up precisely like this and what you’ll notice right away is that the 2015 cycle happened exactly as the 2019 cycle which

Is happened so far exactly like the 23 cycle and 24 cycle what we’ve noticed is that in Phase One and phase two it generally rallies up to this top FIB level and gets rejected and closes below but what we’ve noticed is the little clue that we covered last week with this

Little Wick that’s right here and this little Wick that’s right here and we noticed something very specific this Wick is 6% above our FIB level and this Wick is precisely 6% above our FIB level so this is what we had to say last week roll the clip if you stay levelheaded

And you just look at what is possible we’re going up to about 6.6 6.5 we’re up there at about 53,000 these are just the facts Bitcoin could get to 50 3,000 and still be in that same scenario because that’s exactly what we did in 2015 and that’s exactly what we did in

2019 so you can see we talked about around 53k is about 6% above here keep in mind this is a monthly chart this candle has not closed we are hanging out precisely right there with price action but now let’s get to something bigger something more important right the

Question is is this going to continue well we have something on our on our side and that’s our momentum when you think about the stochastic RSI I want you to think only as momentum think about it as a rocket ship right if our rocket ship was taking

Off and rising up and up and up and up and up in order for that rocket ship when that rocket ship starts to slow and slow and slow it turns and then it starts to fall slowly and then it picks up steam picks up steam picks up steam

That’s exactly what the stochastic RSI does it goes from the range of zero which is at the bottom all the way up to 100 and what happens is you want to look for crosses okay simply put when the blue line is on top we’re bullish when

The red line is on top or orange line we’re bearish okay right now we have the blue line on top so we had a cross up so we have momentum on our side tilt your phone to the side and subscribe so when we’re thinking about is price going to

Continue to rise we have to think about a couple factors one of them momentum we definitely have momentum on our side however there’s a red flag and this cross as we pointed out in last week’s video what you’ll notice about the stochastic RSI and this is according to

The developer of the stochastic RSI the original developer they talk about having a cross below the 20 Level okay and to put it in perspective the 20 level’s here so we did not have both of the lines below the 20 Level if you ask yourself well that probably happens all

The time right no actually in the past couple years we’ve never had it happen Okay the the ones the crosses that count have all happened below the 20 Level and this didn’t so this was a little bit of a red flag for us now doesn’t mean we don’t have momentum absolutely not we

Definitely have momentum does it mean that there could be something Brewing that’s a little bit behind the scenes that could take Everybody by surprise yes and we’ll get to that in a moment but nonetheless we have the Bloon line on top we’ve got momentum our rocket

Ship is heading up it hasn’t started to slow down yet according to the facts and the charts but we’ve got something a little bit bigger on our minds and that comes in the middle of our screen the middle of our screen is the RSI okay not to be confused with the stochastic RSI

The RSI measures overbought and oversold meaning when you have the RSI way down here at levels below this 30 level we’re considered incredibly incredibly incredibly oversold now if you ask yourself well why would everybody be selling at the market bottom well this happen happens every Market bottom what you want to do

Is try to do the opposite of the herd it’s incredibly hard to do because of humans have this thing called emotion and we cannot control our emotion with money it’s happened for the history of mankind when we used to trade spices as our currency we had no emotional control

Of anything that’s ever represented money as humans you have to understand it’s remarkably difficult to do the opposite of the herd but everybody was selling down here that’s not a guess it’s not a flip of the coin it’s not what I hoped was happening it’s just the facts the RSI literally measures

Overbought and oversold this was one of the most oversold times in bitcoin’s history which is why when Bitcoin was at 17,000 16,000 and 15,000 everybody was calling for below 10,000 but we had different thoughts this is what we had to say roll the clip the charts that I studied and the charts

That I’ve been studying for years and years and years are saying that the bottom is in and your wakeup call is even if the bottom is not in is more risky to be out of Bitcoin right now than in Bitcoin because there’s a higher probability that the bottom is in so if

You’re waiting for prices to dip below 10K I don’t think it’s ever going to happen so when we were near the bottom 156,000 and every everybody was calling for 10,000 or lower we called that the bottom was in based on the facts and the charts it was the most oversold time in

Bitcoin’s history so this RSI goes from overbought to oversold right we know that the most of the selling happened here so when the market gets way up here that is overbought meaning the high the most amount of people buying Bitcoin happened here right near our any of our

Tops okay tilt your phone to the side and subscribe so this also the RSI measures from zero to 100 and simply put when our RSI is really high above the 80 you want to be thinking about selling and when we’re low below the 20 or 30

You want to be thinking about buying you want to do the opposite of the herd it’s incredibly tough to do otherwise everybody you would know would be millionaires but you don’t everybody you know is not a millionaire because this game is very tough because of one thing

And one thing only emotion so if you have a strategy and you simply just follow the strategy and not use your emotion you could be in a great place okay so for the RSI this is what we have in store for us okay this is getting

This is heating up all right this is really heating up so we have more momentum on our side price action is looking good a couple weeks ago with price section we had this bullish candle print while I was having my baby I sent you guys an update on my um you can go

Back and look at my baby announcement on YouTube I literally put this candle in there this a very bullish candle and we’re seeing the effects of that bullish candle but we’re met with some resistance right now because of that 6% rule that we showed you with the

FIB but here’s the catch the RSI is key to all of this and let me show you and by the way a little bit later in the video I’m going to give one of my big tips in life those of you who are parents are thinking about becoming a

Parent I have a big tip hold on for that RSI when you think about the RSI we are in phase two of the bull okay this is not for debate we’re in phase two of the bull and when you look at phase two of the bull every single every single time

For the history of Bitcoin eating even d dating back to 2011 and 2012 every time we were in Phase 2 we came up and get rejected by this yellow line it happened right here in 2012 it happened right here in Phase 2 in 2016 in Phase 2 2020

Also rejected Phase 2 2023 also rejected so we got rejected from this yellow line which happens to be our strongest level of resistance during our phase two so we’re in phase two and we’re right on schedule and we got rejected we came down here and then we rallied back up the problem

Is what happens is the high majority of the time the RSI follows price meaning if price is rising guess what the RSI is doing Rising once in a while we have things called Divergence which means the price is heading one way going up and our indicator is heading down going the

Other way so this is Divergence Divergence can come in bullish Divergence or bearish Divergence but what you want to look at is is if you look at any time in history like okay the price is rising here going up up up up up up up what’s our indicator doing

Going up up up up up that’s good that’s normal nothing to be concerned about there what you want to watch out for is when price is going up up up up up up and making higher high higher high higher high and our indicator is making a high and then a lower high that’s

Called bearish Divergence and it’s on the weekly chart which is very strong point of concern you can go back and look at you know the 5day the 3-day there’s bearish Divergence forming now bearish Divergence is a more powerful move that’s brewing in the background that hasn’t burst yet here’s how we can

Avoid our bearish Divergence you see our RSI which is hanging out at roughly 80 we have this incredibly strong resistance that’s at roughly 85 what we would need to happen is for our RSI to get higher than our prior RSI that would null and void this bearish Divergence

Which means we just need our price to really go much higher for the RSI to get higher than this previous one but there’s one concern with that in mind it’s this level of resistance and if you look at it we would have to not only get

Above our previous RSI level to and void the bearish Divergence we would have to get our RSI above this huge resistance level which we had never ever broken through in phase two if you look at the history of all of Bitcoin rejection at phase two rejection at phase two

Rejection at phase two rejection at phase two it wasn’t until phase three that we actually got above this yellow line case in point right here 2013 phase three we finally got above this yellow line case in point 2016 rejection in Phase 2 it wasn’t until phase three which happened in early

2017 which is our phase three that we actually got above the Yow line so if Bitcoin were to NL and void our bearish Divergence we would have to literally get out of phase two quite literally get out of phase two and break this resistance now is that impossible

Absolutely not but it’s a tall test okay what we have on the side of the bearish side is like hey look there’s bearish Divergence okay plain and simple price is rising great but there’s bear Divergence and price is at precisely where it should be according to all of

The facts in the charts and this monthly chart hasn’t even closed okay what would be par for the course is for Bitcoin to be rejected here this turn into a little Wick and Us close right around 48k and we would be right on schedule on a monthly close that would be a strong

Case for hey this is happening exactly as it’s happened before what would be abnormal is for Bitcoin to Barrel through this yellow line and create an all-time high before the having and I know I made a video last week and the week before about the having and I said

Look it’s unlikely that we would have an all-time high before the having there was a lot of comments in that video about hey we are definitely having an alltime high before the Happ it’s just it’s never happened before and I know the biggest Pro for the Bitcoin Bulls is

Steve this time is different but they’ve been saying that on every video I’ve made for the past seven years and it’s never different Bitcoin always does exactly the same moves that it’s done its whole history and there’s this narrative out there that it’s different because of the ETF but every cycle this

Time is different because of something you go back in all of bitcoin’s Cycles I’ve been making videos for years and years and years in Bitcoin all all all markets move in cyclical natures and they always repeat the same things because it’s based on human behavior and humans are so predictable humans cannot

Control we can’t control our emotion for the history of mankind and we always make the same emotional mistakes therefore it’s very predictable these types of moves that happen and smart money looks for it and then they pounce on it so again Bitcoin is very cyclical it’s been doing these same patterns for

Years so we have to respect that we can’t Overlook it and just be like just be so stubborn that this time is different because of this narrative that the social media is feeding to you you’re eating it up just like they want you to you’re drinking the Kool-Aid this

Time is not different it’s going to happen pretty similarly to the past so can Bitcoin break through this yellow line break Above This phase two break into phase three slightly early yeah yes it absolutely Can Can it have an all-time high before the having yes it absolutely can have an all-time high

Before the having but is it likely no it’s not likely to have an all-time high before the having I know that’s what you want I know that’s what’s put out there on social media because this time is different but it’s not likely possible yes but not likely there’s a big

Difference between what is possible and what is likely so we we want to continue to look at the facts and remain levelheaded all right so the facts are we have this strong momentum on our favor yes we do have a little bit of a red flag with this but it is momentum

Blue line on top we have to respect it right now we have bearish Divergence okay that’s not up for debate this is not my opinion or what I hope is going to happen this is bearish Divergence plain and simple the only way to avoid it is have the RSI break through this

Wall and get above here which would literally have to put us in phase three okay so that is what is in front of us right now all while this chart is salivating because it’s precisely 6% just as it was in the past so is this 6%

Going to break or is it going to hold exactly like it’s done before time will tell especially if we get a new all-time high before the having which in my opinion based on all of the facts I study it’s just not likely possible but not likely now I want to

Get to the parenting thing this is pretty cool so first of all I just had a baby right you guys may be aware of that I just had a baby girl my sun is turning five this week which is wild a lot of you started following before my son was

Even born or around the time he was born and just think about that for a second he’s about to be five which means we have a pretty deep relationship right now I want to say this I tried to spend and maximize my time with my son and I

Was curious one day because I have a very a very strict schedule that I follow week after week after week which maximizes my work time which maximiz my IES my family time which maximizes happiness etc etc I started to research okay how much time do I actually spend with my son

Each week and I got that number and then I looked at okay well what’s typical I’m from the US so I said okay what’s typical for a US married dude who lives at home how much time do they spend with their kids and I got that number and

Then I compared it to the number I have and I was like holy crap my number is almost four times higher than the average parent of how much time they spend with their kids and this is what I want to say one of the biggest things that I’ve learned and that I’ve been

Implementing now this is about two years running my son and I have what we call boy day every week it’s on the same day and every week on that day nothing gets in our way we’re with each other all day I’m not on the phone I’m not on the the

Computer I don’t give a crap what Bitcoin is doing I could care less I’m with my son and I’m present okay and this this has done wonders for our relationship I would highly recommend you implement something like this because every day we look forward to

That day and and we do things on that day I I like to break the rules I like to be free you know I’m a world traveler I we just live the dream right we’re not following any rules or guidelines or time schedules or anything we’re just

Living the dream present with each other this is what I would recommend you do with your kids and it’s funny I I ask my son now that we have a daughter hey what are we going to do on these boys days when she gets older are you going to let

Her come with us and he’s like yeah we’re going to do it we’re we’ll do it dad so we might have to change the title of boy day to kids day but nonetheless what I would say to you is like just being in control of your own

Schedule is so powerful right my son has his school in my house we have a teacher come to our house so we can control that schedule right if and sometimes we we get him out of school early or cancel a day of school if we have a memory that

We can create as a family we will take it over a day of school I know that’s not typical I know that’s frowned upon I know a lot of the school kind of people are like you shouldn’t do that every day is so important I don’t think so I think

Memories are like one million times more important than anything that you will find in a day of school so when you’re in control of the school schedule and you’re in control of what they’re actually learning in school you can be maximizing your time with your kids right when school ends I’m done with

Work and there is no hey what if Bitcoin is going up I don’t care what if Bitcoin is going down I don’t care first of all I know a lot of you who have follow follow me for a long time you understand I don’t focus on the short-term moves of

Bitcoin I have zero interest in that it takes the same amount of time to make a $100 as it takes to make a million dollars the same amount of time same amount of energy same amount of effort a lot of people focus their time energy and effort on trying to pick up the

Pennies on the ground trying to make $5 10 $20 $100 if you can use that same amount of energy to make 10,000 100,000 million more it’s the same amount of time it’s the same amount of energy and as I’m saying this to you you’re probably like is ston drugs talk to

Anybody who has made $100 and who has made a million dollars and ask them was it the same amount of time was it the same amount of energy was the same amount of effort you’ll be blown away it’s the same amount of time energy and effort but let that sink in and readjust

Your schedule stop focusing on all these little moves in Bitcoin up up and down focus on what actually drives happiness remove all the stuff that doesn’t double down on the stuff that’s bringing you happiness create Clarity with the charts understand emotion is a money killer and organize your schedule in time and

Efforts accordingly and you’ll have a lot more clarity I’ll leave you on that note I’ll see you right back here in the next video peace and love to the fellow underdogs this bull run is our road to half a million subscribers but I need your help today tell one

Person about our YouTube channel how we spit facts go against the herd take no paid sponsorships of any kind road to Half A Millie let’s go

49 Comments

  1. God bless Courtney family! March 2018 started following. Would be free too if only I had just listened and adhered to instruction. At least I'm clearing out the resistance in my self that's stopped it out

  2. We have to pull back. Have to….ok, MIGHT have to. Anything is possible but…

    Think — if people who have been buying BTC over the last many years have gotten shaken out before runs, why on earth don’t we think that gen-X’ers / boomers and others doing ETFs won’t easily get shaken as well, if not more.

    Anyone not in crypto always says “it’s too volatile”. Wait till they experience the volatility.

    Institutions have not flattened out BTC. That’s going to take some time. Volatility and manipulation will still occur

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