BITCOIN BREAKS 50K. WE ARE WAY AHEAD OF SCHEDULE. ALTS?

Q&A: https://youtube.com/live/9s-8Za_EK9Y

Are we about to go parabolic? Maybe.

pomp – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PylrnskOT0w

DAN G ON X – https://twitter.com/cryptorecruitr/status/1757122814794956964

bitcoin transaction fees – https://bitinfocharts.com/comparison/bitcoin-transactionfees.html#3m

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WHY & WHEN I’M SELLING 80% of my CRYPTO 2025 – youtube.com/watch?v=wHlE8lj_mKI

DON’T MAKE THESE CRYPTO MISTAKES! – https://youtu.be/BEWQzySadsU

DON’T FALL FOR THIS A.I. SCAM! – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8m4M0lvP5-o

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⏰ June 12th, 2022 (11am). Take ALL crypto OFF of Celsius ASAP! – https://youtu.be/4QzIzg1HtDU
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⏰ June 22nd, 2022 – Take ALL crypto OFF of Voyager ASAP! – https://youtu.be/LSxeXd5yCEU
⏰ July 1st, 2022 – Withdraws FROZEN

⏰ *”Not your keys, not your crypto” repeated AD NAUSEAUM over 2 years.

Introduction and Bitcoin price analysis: 00:00 – 05:25
Why we are ahead of schedule: 05:25 – 10:25
Capital gains tax and IRA: 10:25 – 12:25
Bitcoin halving and altcoins: 12:25 – 15:00
Macroeconomics and traditional markets: 15:00 – 16:20
Conclusion: 16:20 – 17:07

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Hello everybody Welcome to the money live stream and a lot of things to go over so let’s just jump right in so first of all I think uh unless you haven’t looked at your portfolio today you’re probably doing pretty good and it’s one of those great days these are

The days that I actually like to come on and talk about the markets because everybody’s in a good mood why are they in a good mood well it’s because numbers go up and that is fantastic and this was uh just today that we saw that Bitcoin broke out above 50k now I’m sure

Everybody knows this but um just so you know that uh people will take profits and they will continue to do that across time frames so even though we go up to 50K and it would just seem like well why would they just hold the 60k or 100K or

300K or whatever the new price prediction is it’s because there’s people out there that will still take profits now we preach on that here but I mean it’s whatever you want to do so today is a great day we actually went up to I think the top was 50 , 255 as it

Says here but of course as time goes on people have their limit orders in they have their sell orders in and once it hits that magical 50k number then there’s a selloff and that usually happens in the big price points now I’m not here to predict every different sell

Point that’s out there but it is a great day and it got me thinking today about this which is pretty much the whole reason why we’re here which is I think we’re way ahead of schedule and there’s a couple of reasons why we’re ahead of schedule and why I think we’re really

Crush it in this in this bull run I think it may be pretty astronomical and I hate saying that because it goes against everything that I’m trying to do which is calm people down and not get crazy but there’s some good evidence out there anyhow so we actually talked about

This nine months ago nine months ago I said hey there’s something going on because we’re way ahead of schedule and of course the Bitcoin cycles and we took a look at it I took a look at uh in the four-year cycles of course there’s always the having then we have a

All-time high then a dip and a reset and it just repeats and repeats and repeats and I took a look at the different having Years 2012 2016 and 2020 and I said just this last one on 14th of February 2020 we were at $10,000 and of course then in March or

So we got the survey of sickness and it dropped off a cliff and I don’t really I mean you could you could discount that but it is what it it it was what it was but then as we went into the the having which is around May or so we were around

$10,000 again which was 50% of the all-time high of the previous cycle which when we in 2017 we had around 19 around 20K okay let’s just keep it round was 19770 something like that no big deal so we at 50% and we took a look at uh 2016 and we were even

Less than that and of course we looked at 2012 which is kind of wacky numbers because it was the first one but today I mean if we take a look at it 50k of where we’re at we’re not even at the having even if we Plateau it I don’t think we’re going to

Plateau uh half of where we were at $67,000 that’s roughly 33,500 that’s where roughly we should be or lower than that going into the having and we’re not we’re at 50k and we’ve been fluctuating with nowhere near 33k down to 478 actually 44 45k somewhere around there

So again I think it’s just I mean we’re massively ahead of schedule and that’s just pretty much how it is again this was a video that we took a look at nine months ago and then just last week last Sunday not this Sunday but the Sunday before last we talked about lumpsum and

Uh going in a little bit more you know a little bit more so instead of dollar cost averaging the reason I talked about that was because again we were talking about things are just ahead of schedule things could have gone terribly wrong in that assessment we could have dropped

60% or 80% or went to zero which I it’s like I have to say that even though I think it’s the most ridiculous thing but you know I talked about it for a couple reasons one I thought you know there’s these ETFs are gobbling up everything we’re going to take a look at

There was a video that Anthony Pompano was on pomp leano pump and uh he’s made some pretty good points in a minute and a half and we’ll take a look at those ETFs and just how it’s just essentially eating up the Bitcoin world and then of

Course we take a look a little bit of macro and of course the jobs and M2 money supply and and of course traditional markets we take a look at the S&P 500 which we will in a second it’s everything just kind of lining up right now so I said I go it would

Probably not be too bad for me I don’t know what you’re going to do I’m a financial adviser but to do a little lump sum action and there’s a couple reasons first because I said if you do that before the having you’re doing pretty good and you still got time if

You want to do that like the having should be around April 20th correct me in the comment section and then uh you know when we’re talking about this for the lumpsum there’s also another reason why I said it and one of those big reasons is because if you lump some now

Inad of dollar cost averaging that’s not I’m telling you to do I’m saying what I do is that you avoid these things called capital gains because here’s what I worry about on this channel we talk about taking profits if you believe in taking profits at some point along your

Journey because you’re like hey I need a kidney or hey I have massive credit card debt or hey I’d like to fill in the blank whatever else it is so in that situation you probably want to sell your crypto along away and that could be Bitcoin that could be altcoins whatever

Else it is if you do that before one year’s time in America I don’t know where you’re at but like for example in Germany if you do this less than a year you have short-term capital gains if you sell after a year in Germany as I am as

I understand it there are no capital gains in America if you sell after a year these are the capital gains rates that you actually have we’re on a progressive tax scale right so for here the most you’re going to pay depending on what state you’re at 20% got it if

You do this and sell your crypto at some point within a less than a year it’s whatever brackets you’re at you could be at 54% or whatever it is you could be at 34% plus the state tax which would means that you would have to pay 50% so the

Reason why I I was talking about this last time these lumpsum videos was just because I’m like hey there’s problems of foot and these things could happen and nobody talks about taxes I mean very rarely on the crypto channels but it’s something that you have to be aware of if you want to

Be a successful investor so there’s that option of course and then also you can also do what I do up above my my enormous head I trust capital or I have everything in a not everything I have a Roth IRA which now that I’m older I get

To actually put into $7,500 and there are no capital gains on that even if I trade within the account if you want to take a look at that links in the description remember there is a limit to that and that is coming up on April 15th

If you want to do those things for the fiscal year of 2023 anyhow again I was uh I think that we’re ahead of schedule I think there’s some some big plays to be had and this is uh for My Man Dan gamello uh at crypto recruiter but CCV

Great guy great Channel um can’t say enough good things about him there’s a link in the description for his ex account which he’s got a lot of great information but he says this every time since 2013 Bitcoin has closed a monthly candle above the bull market doors Bitcoin has broken all-time highs within

One to three months let me say that again if it breaks out above the bull market doors we hit an all-time high within one to three months what’s an all-time high that’s $67,000 for Bitcoin can you imagine what your alter going to do they’re gon to go crazy because remember it’s great that

Bitcoin is doing this but what comes next it’s alts and that’s just pretty much how it happens people put money into money in Bitcoin as it goes up they take a little bit of profits they stick it into alts high cap or large cap then

They take profits and that and put in a small cap and they just keep Recycling and recycling so if you think bitcoin’s going great it is watch out for alts anyhow breaking the doors this cycle means Bitcoin closing above $57,000 which is not an easy thing to do but

We’ve been doing pretty good this says always occurred after the Bitcoin having again always occurred after Bitcoin having and you can see that at the end of the year but imagine if it actually happens before April 20th of this year and we close above 57k that would mean that March would be

A heck of a month and we’ll see so it leads you to think about this well if we’re doing good how is the other markets doing in the macro World well S&P 500 just break broke its alltime high S&P 500 which is booed by the Magnificent 7 essentially the Nvidia is

Uh the Facebooks of the worlds uh Amazon it’s seven huge large stocks that do F which I’m not here to debate anything about that I’m just saying that if we take a look at the max of the S&P 500 we are at an all-time high for that which

Means that’s why we have a lot of that overflow from traditional Finance getting into our Market which I have no problems with I have a big tent you guys can come in and do whatever kind of buying that you want and of course you’re going to dump but that’s just up

To you and then we take a look at the M2 money supply this is from Ben’s website and the cryptoverse I didn’t realize this but uh the M2 money supply of course savings deposits money market Securities and time deposits such as CDs and everything else in between we can

See that actually we had started to print a little bit more this is October 2023 we went up to 4.12 then in December 20.8 65 trillion I should say and then of course I don’t have any data for January but uh I’m just guessing maybe we print a little bit and that always

Helps with the liquidity in the markets Stanley dren Miller said it very easily he says it’s not about everything that that’s going on and the p&l and the different things and documents that you look up for for companies it’s actually just takes a look at liquidity and what

The Federal Reserve is doing if you follow the fed and see what liquidity is happening you can pretty much figure out what’s happening in the markets so I like that and now the coupe the gr was actually been going on this is a pretty good piece

From the pomp Anthony Pompano and he was on CNBC again and he said it pretty Point poly about why this is happening and just how much traditional markets are in love essentially with Bitcoin so take a listen of this this is about uh 45 seconds to a minute and we’ll come

Back and we’ll finish up because I think really comes down to the in and outflows of exchanges which I’m going to show you some onchain data in a second so take a listen oops oops oops now we’ve come back to buying yeah I mean look the verdict is in right uh

Wall Street doesn’t just like Bitcoin they love Bitcoin if you think of these assets uh there’s been over 5,500 ETF launches in history never have we had a fund get to$ three billion doll in AUM in the first 30 days Black Rock and Fidelity both just did it so two for the

First time in history and then if you look at bitwise in 21 shares uh Arc they’re both gonna hit a billion dollars this year or this week and so now you have four funds they’re gonna hit a billion dollars of inflows but the most interesting part of this is the inflows

Doing these funds are doing $500 million a day of net inflows but there’s only 900 Bitcoin that is actually coming into the daily incoming Supply and so when you look at that that’s like 40 to5 million there’s 12 and a half X more demand for Bitcoin than what’s being

Produced on a daily basis how much of this do you think is being generated by the ETFs themselves well I mean you just measure the actual net inflows right and so you can just see there is way more buying pressure you’re saying three billion for Black Rock there’s four

Billion now for Black Rock three and a half for Fidelity and then you’ve got a bitwise and 21 shares will both hit about a billion uh this upcoming week crazy so you know there’s of course when we talk about this we always would would say that you know when the ETFs do get

Get approved we’re gonna see some fireworks and uh I thought yeah sure I think we’ll you know at some point but I did not expect it to be this quick and this fast I thought it would take a couple months but honestly for every to

Kind of Pile in but it looks like looks like the message has been received loud and clear also I think there was some fantastic marketing done by Black Rock and Fidelity these institutions to get to their high value clients to go look you need to get on this now before the

Having comes in because there is a specific narrative and we’re gonna pump everybody’s bags that’s just speculation but that’s what we’re good at here so again very interesting stuff from what pal says great little piece and I will just add this great website in the Block it’s all

About flows right inflow outflow about what’s happening as far as the different exchanges great website I don’t I have a link I don’t have an affiliate link for it but it’s end of the block.com and we can take a look at the inflow volumes this is the total amount in dollars or

Tokens entering exchanges deposit wallets all exchang refers to all support exchanges and we’re just taking a look at Bitcoin itself not about any kind of altcoins or anything else and we just see that over our 30-day change we had a negative 70% negative 70% of inflow volume going into

Exchanges now there is also one thing to be said which is you know coinbase they are the the the custody provider of most of those ETFs so I’m not for sure exactly how that works unless that’s a separate entity I believe it actually is as far as a corporation goes so I’m not

For sure that it actually would say that for inflows or outflows I don’t really care about this stuff inflow transaction count it’s all good stuff you can take a look at it what I care about is this I care about total flows total flows the sum of the amount entering the exchange

Plus the amount leaving an exchange this is an indicator of overall exchange activity aggravated exchange refers to all supported exchanges out there so in Black we can see the price which 46,000 and I will just warn you that right here it only goes to February 11th if I’m not mistaken it’s

February 12th today so we don’t have data for that but you’re going to see how yes go moving backwards in time the aggravated exchanges how much they have on there it has fluctuated quite a bit but we had a little Peak here what 3 4 days ago and seems to just drop off

Precipitously not to say that it’s not the lowest point but I would be very interested to see how much it is at the coob or close of business today for February tell because it looks like a lot of this assets or Bitcoin is being taken off and lastly I will just say one

Last piece which is under the quick view as far as with Bitcoin there’s one big piece and the biggest piece is this holders making money at current price did you know at this current price 94% 94% are actually in the money and if we can take a look at just who is

Holding over 80% of those people are actually holding Bitcoin and not selling what does that mean if you a lot of demand you don’t have a lot of sellers what usually happens I think you know the answer to that then lastly just to finish up people aren’t selling if we

Take a look at the Bitcoin average transaction fee Link in the description we can see also that uh transaction fees were actually quite high in December look at this 37 bucks now ordinals do play A Part very well I can understand that either people aren’t using ordinals or people aren’t selling or a

Combination of both we can to see how it’s been quite a little drop off a little bit of a peak here say this in uh look was beginning of February but as we can see as time’s gone on we are really low as far as transaction fees to a low of

$418 which is how it should be in my personal opinion and I’m very happy with that and of course if we take a look at the biggest gas hog out there ethereum ethereum reclaims its rightful clown Crown as being the highest fees out there for a layer one solution and

That’s it for today so look again I think we’re way ahead of schedule I think if you’re here at this point and you’ve been dollar cross averaging or lump summing or whatever you’re doing I think you did a great job and now it really comes down

To do you want to at some point sell what are your price points and what is your plan if you don’t have a plan it’s okay there’s a link in the description for where I talk about selling 80% of my crypto and you can check that out

There’s it’s there in every single video from there and go and uh take it from that piece but that’s it for today so look if you like today’s video give it a thumbs up consider subscribing everything we talk about is time sensitive especially moving into the having