Here’s Why the Bitcoin Halving Is NOT Priced In

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We talk about why the BTC Halving is not priced in. We discuss the phases that BTC goes through as it approaches its halving event but more importantly, the phases it goes through after the halving which is where price really begins to accelerate to the upside.

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Here’s why the Bitcoin harving is not priced in you can see here across time in each of the post Haring periods we’ve seen dramatic increases towards the upside in bitcoin’s price action we’re going to be talking about these phases in a lot of detail so let’s dive right into it

Subscribe to the channel for more videos like this in the future like this video if you enjoy content like this going forward and let’s dive right into it you can see here in 2012 November 2012 is when the harving event took place and you can see that post harving Trend continuation in

Parabolic fashion followed after that harving event same can be said about the 2016 Haring which took place in July 2016 around the preh Haring retrace so we see that there is a pullback around this time but that is a means to an end in enabling a drastic Trend continuation

In parabolic fashion towards the upside same thing for 2020 you can see here the preh Haring retrace which was of course also enabled by the pandemic in March 2020 May 2020 is when the Haring event occurred and we also have the April 2024 Haring just

Ahead 2 months away at this point in a cycle and we’re probably going to also see a preh Haring retrace as well but still it’s always going to be ending with a parabolic rally towards the upside what’s interesting about these charts here is that we see parabolic

Increases by $5 at a time on this scale here in this cycle four years later as is the case with every harving event every four years we see increases in by $400 towards the upside and over here you see the increases by $4,000 and right over here you have increases by

$220,000 which just showcases to you the difference across years not so much the difference in the pattern itself because we have a parabolic bull market followed by a bare Market consolidation and bottoming out and then parabolic uptrending and this is the case in every cycle bull market bare Market bottoming out and then

Parabolic continuation bull market bare market and this was your consolidation year in 2019 which is part of the bottoming out process but it was more volatile in that case but still ending in parabolic price continuation towards the upside in parabolic fashion here the same thing bull market bare Market bottoming out

Period and now we’re ready for that Final Phase where we’re going to see Trend continuation towards the upside towards new alltime highs in the post Haring period so the Haring isn’t priced in we also see that the scale sces are drastically changing across Cycles where what we thought was impossible in the

Past so if we look at the 2012 cycle and you have the increases by $5 at a time this is what we thought was impossible at the time because if you look at this uh price region where things were in the cents or even the single dollars

Increasing by $5 at a time was impossible and what you’re seeing here in 2016 on the other hand is increases by $200 $400 at a time that was also impossible and the same principle applies here increases by $4,000 at a time also in this cycle wasn’t possible in 2020 it just happened

So when we’re talking about increases by $4,000 that’s now that was the impossible in 2020 what’s going to be the case now what’s going to be the case in this cycle maybe these increases by $20,000 $110,000 that’s something we’ve not really had before maybe it’s something we need to set ourselves up

For because if you’re just focusing on the post Haring parabolic price period that’s simply what awaits the harving isn’t priced in and looking at these periods in the past especially the phases of the Bitcoin Haring we can really learn a lot from these phases just to try and time these

Moments where potentially we could see that preh Haring retrace for instance if we do see a preh Haring retrace and like I was mentioning to you in the previous chart that we saw preh harving retrace around the harving event we had the same thing in 2016 as well these are the

Final moments for a bargain buying opportunity before that parabolic price continuation of course the first chart doesn’t showcase these phases too well it showcases is of course this parabolic phase very very well but we have to also look at the minutia of the Bitcoin harving cycle specifically the preh harving period

Which we’re currently seeing right now the preh harving rally in light blue currently seeing or at least will be seeing in the next few weeks definitely a preh Haring retrace that last preh Haring retrace in the prehab period before we see the reaccumulation period and just a note about the pre harving

Retrace is that it begins before the harving but continues across the Haring event and even po Haring so calling it a preh Haring retrace is partially correct but it does draw out for several weeks and so expecting something similar in the future is reasonable especially since we got a 20% preh

Haring retrace in 2020 a 40% retrace in 2016 but we’ll be talking about each of these phases as we go through them and breaking them down into more detail but this is the reaccumulation period where the prehab retrace transitions us into it takes us into a period of

Consolidation for even months at a time if you think about this red period as one consolidation range even though there were two consolidation ranges and if you focus on the top of this range here that’s actually the bottom of this range right over here so you have two

Ranges develop into what is essentially a larger reaccumulation range that also awaits and these are the sort of pit stops that will take us to the most parabolic phase in the cycle which is the post harving parabolic upside phase and that awaits in just a few months it’s several months after the harving

Where we see parabolic rallying towards the upside and thinking about 400,000 that seems a little bit farfetched doesn’t it if we think about things but of course of course if we’re just comparing it to these charts here side by side you can really get away with putting even 600 or

700,000 here for engagement purposes but of course this is a chart I found in the internet and I think if you were to just change the scales to maybe have 200,000 over here the effect would be the same but it wouldn’t be as catchy perhaps but that’s something to also consider that

Maybe 100,000 200,000 that’s where we should be potentially aiming in this cycle of course everybody is going to be talking about the ETFs and about the Haring but it’s interesting because when price is going up everybody talks about the ETF and the Haring when price is going down people talk about the Haring

Being priced in and ETFs already not really translating into price but the the reality is that if we look at the Gold ETF after many years once that gold ETF was launched we saw m just mad and fantastic price action towards the upside and the market grew the market cap grew

Exponentially so the thing with Bitcoin is going to be the same we’re going to see these double catalysts really impact price in this parabolic upside period but this is going to occur many months after the harving because historically we tend to see that this reaccumulation period can even last up to several

Months even 150 days 5 months roughly speaking so that’s something we also really need to take into account and we’re just about 2 months away from the harving history is repeating itself in a sense that the preh Haring rally has begun 2 months before the Haring that is history repeating itself quite nicely

Now that we’re less than 2 months away from the Haring we still have multiple weeks left in this preh Haring rally according to history and we can still see a bit more upside if not upside at the very least reaccumulation at highs before we transition into that preh Haring retrace

Period a handful of weeks before the Haring so maybe mid-march late March closer to April it’s a late March early April so that it’s just before the Haring because we tend to see buy the hype sell the rumor uh price action and psychology play out around this preh

Haring retrace so we’ll definitely see the same in the future as long as history repeats and at the moment this cycle has been following closely history particularly the 2016 cycle where we are seeing and have seen in the past in 2016 we saw many reaccumulation ranges develop and we’re seeing that same sort

Of structure bring Bitcoin reaccumulation range by reaccumulation range by reaccumulation range to newer highs each time lots to look forward to the PO Haring period isn’t too far away but at the moment we still have a couple of phases left the preh Haring rally the BL preh Haring retrace and the reaccumulation post

Haring in any case that’s about it thank you so much for watching subscribe to the channel for more videos like this in the future check out the top right hand corner video for more like this video If you enjoyed this one and I’ll speak to you in the next one speak to soon