WHEN I’M STOPPING DCA OF BITCOIN & ALTS (SHORT VERSION).

STOPPING THE DCA OF BITCOIN is an easy practice in theory but there are layers behind the answer. Today, I’m just going to look at the exact numbers of WHEN & WHAT.

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0:00 Introduction and stopping DCA
1:12 When to stop DCAing Bitcoin
2:22 Explanation of Risk Levels for buying Bitcoin
3:32 DCA strategy based on Risk Levels
4:50 Dynamic DCA
6:32 When to sell Bitcoin
7:12 Exit strategy using projected price and risk levels
8:52 80/20 Rule
9:38 Selling altcoins

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So there was a question that was asked in the last live stream which was Rob when do you stop dollar cost averaging or dcing uh Bitcoin crypto and digital assets and I thought it was a good enough question to actually answer this with a complete video so to make this as

Simple as possible uh there’s really two points when I’m going to stop DC in and uh those are Andor which of course the key risk of the factors of 0.85 is when I’m going to stop dollar cast averaging and or when the pi cycle top which is the 350 day moving average

Times two overruns with the 111 day moving average which has been pretty accurate the last three blowoff tops and when those two things happen Andor I will stop DCA so that’s essentially it in a nutshell but if you want to go further let’s break it down I mean I

Like I I think there’s a lot of different indicators you can use actually so like I use this this is what I use like the this risk level for Bitcoin I I think there’s a lot of different indicators you can use actually so like I use this this is what

I use like the this risk level for Bitcoin um basically the idea is I just I take some profits as it goes up and um I buy when it’s down here so um the last the last time I bought Bitcoin was late 2022 did not buy any

Altcoins it is what it is but he admits it gentleman ladies and gentlemen admit it excellent yeah well I mean it go sort of the idea of like you know how do I I mean it’s hard to sell something I I don’t have right um so but I did buy I

Did buy Bitcoin and I do have I I think there’s some case to be made that like no matter what happens like it’s okay to hold like a certain percent in Bitcoin right so like you have your like like your hdle stack and then your your stack

That you actually are willing to part with at certain times in the attempts to try to to try to time some of these bubbles but yeah so what I do is I buy it below 04 risk so when it’s below here I will DCA in a Bitcoin let me see okay

Yeah so when it’s below here this 04 risk level I will DCA into Bitcoin and then between 04 to6 I don’t do a thing I just come on here and talk about crypto with you guys um I don’t sell it I’m not buying it I’m just happy you know happy no matter what

And the idea is try you know to not to not stress so much about what way it actually goes but to say hey if it goes back down here to point4 risk that means I will buy some but if it goes up here then that means I will sell some and so

What I do is when it gets into the 6 risk ban and up that’s where I’m open to at least taking some some profits and I mean it’s hard to know exactly the extent that the bubble will go um like over here there there’s several instances where we went to the um you

Know to the highest risk band like the 0. N to one wristband but there’s also cases where we topped out in the 08 to 0.9 wristband or like 2019 we topped out in the0 6 to0 s wristband right so the problem is that until we go forward from

Here you know a few years we don’t know without the benefit of hindsight where it’s going to top out and so what I do is I I use it’s called Dynamic DCA um so yeah Ben lays it out it’s all about risk levels for me it’s there’s a little bit

More the P Cycle top well multiple mbrv Z scores but it really does break it down to the basics and it makes a lot uh simpler so what he was talking about of course this is historic risk level which you can find in his website link in the

Description but what he’s talking about per se is the time spent in Risk bands again he says anything below point four right here he will accumulate and of course we take a look at this this is just time that it’s been on these these these price ranges which the lower the

Price goes the less risk you take and of course when you get to this 0.0.1 or 0.1 0.2 this is when you really want to think about backing up the truck and he’s going here and just saying well at this point you know I’m not doing

Anything from 0.4 to 0.6 these two parts I’m not doing anything I I bought over here I stopped doing anything here I just kind of sit around show up on NFA live and then I start to consider about selling here here here and here which

Makes a lot of sense and if we actually color code that Ben did a pretty good job let’s be honest so if we’re taking a look at 0.4 and Below of when he was accumulating look at this time well he wasn’t around that that time but let’s

Just say you were around this time you were accumulating the price was 13 bucks $9 $6 pretty good back then but let’s let’s make it reasonable and come over here 2016 you were accumulating here at 500 bucks 572 5 and you had from all the way in 2016 from January to essentially

March that’s pretty good and then just kind of sit back and just think about selling around here now you go through 2017 and now you start in 2018 this is below 8,000 and you’re buying at 8,000 you’re buying at 6,000 you’re buying at 5,000 at 4,000 and this is looking pretty good

And then of course you hold off at 6,000 in 2019 write it up write it down it’s a long time right but you’ve done your job and then you you go back down to low 0.4 you’re buying at 7,000 7,000 again 6,000 all the way down

To 3,800 and off and again we go over here so that’s just looking at for when you are actually buying and stopping your dollar cost averaging in that regard so for me he was also talking about that Dynamic DCA so to make this very simple what he what he was what he

Was saying was like as we go lower in the risk bands and this is of course my example he’s talking about around this uh 0.3 to 0.4 he would be increasing his Buys so look at this so let’s just say for my example at 0.7 0.8 I’m going to

Buy 50 bucks a week because I don’t really want to start selling until 0.85 that’s my my factor and we go to 60 bucks a week because there’s there’s less risk because the price is depreciating or going down 70 bucks a week and then you know whatever you

Wanted to do so again what Ben is saying is like for dynamic DCA this is what he did like in 2020 when the risk level was 0.4 which he wasn’t buying at that point but when it gets to like 0.3 whatever the initial was he’s going to buy 2X and

Then in March 13th 2020 when it went to the risk level 0.1 1 three he put four times the amount that he would usually put in because it’s Dynamic dcang now as you go the other way of course you start to sell and that would look something

Like this so for for me I took a look at this in a in a in an interesting way if we just take out all of the different uh risk levels from 0.59 essentially and Below these are the times you’re you’re thinking about selling what is it you what can you see

Here here we’re talking about tops we’re talking about tops in 2017 in 2013 even a little bit of profits here in 2019 looking pretty good and then in 2020 to 2021 and that of course can be whatever you think it will actually do but question itself was when do I stop dcang

And we’ve already talked about that 0.85 and below and of course on the P Cycle top hits that’s it for me I think that’ll be the the time to actually get out now here’s an exit strategy again you can find this on uh in the cryptoverse under the tools and it’ll

Say exit strategies and uh go from there so you got two options here you can use the current price of Bitcoin which is 51,4 35 or you can use the projected price I like doing this one because when I’m Tak a look at projected price I can

Go over here to the dashboard and just take a look at the risk levels and kind of look in the future now I’m not big believer in price predictions but if we’re going at risk levels a one which is super duper risky that means that that would put Bitcoin at 112,000 but

For where I want to sell at 0.85 that’s 85,3 so if we come back here to exit strategies use projected 113,000 that’s for one Bitcoin that’s the one we just took a look at and if we want to go for the risk bands for beginning middle or

Top the beginning of the risk band will be 0.8 the middle will be 0.85 and of course the top would be like 0.89 I’m just going to go for the for the middle and I don’t want to start selling until 0.85 so Ben labels this the YOLO that means that

33% I would think about selling 33% of my stack and 67% of my stack now me personally I would probably want to sell a little bit more at the 85 level than opposed to the 95 level and the reason is because you never know what’s actually going to happen so when I’m

Going to do that and also one thing I’d like to make clear which is this I’m not here to sell all my Bitcoin it’ll be 80% of my Bitcoin so roughly if I have you know let’s say I have 10 Bitcoin then that means I’m going to sell eight and

I’m G hold on for two for my holdal bag because you never know Bitcoin could become the reserve currency of the world and rock it up to a million per Bitcoin I would feel kind of foolish if I sold at you know $100,000 and now I’m like where do my

Bitcoin go so again for me that’s a when I would sell then lastly the question comes into well what about altcoins and things like that as far as selling and and stopping DCA pattern it’s the same thing as far as like Risk levels we can

Take a look at that which on the site but you know you also want to take a look at this like this is because I was always under the assumption that uh altcoins would rally after Bitcoin and that would be the time to get out but if

We take a look at uh the all-time highs for Bitcoin it was around 15th 16th of December 2017 and the last the previous uh Bull Run and then this is we’re taking a look at ethereum but ethereum didn’t top out until like roughly a month later 14th of January 2018 let

Take a look over here and ethereum actually topped out around the same time as Bitcoin around 9th November 11th of November 2021 and if we actually scroll down and take a look at binance coin we can see that yeah it was the same thing 7th November 21 650 that was the

All-time high uh for that cycle now if we go down let’s take a look at Solana and see it topped out at when yeah around the same time 5th 6th 7th of November 2021 so again um as far as like all-time highs and selling and all those

Things it gets tricky just make sure that you have a plan in place and that’s it for today so look like today’s video give it a thumbs up consider subscribing everything we talk about is time sensitive that’s it for this video thanks so much for stopping by I

Appreciate you and I’ll see you on the next one