The ONLY Crypto TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Video You Will Ever Need [Works Great With ALTCOINS]

The ONLY Crypto TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Video You Will Ever Need [Works Great With ALTCOINS]

in this video I’m going to share with
you some of the technical analysis work
that I do when I’m analyzing altcoins or
for that matter any cryptocoin we’re
also going to look at the current
altcoin market and bitcoin price to see
where things might go in the coming
weeks this is a really important video
because determining the bottom is one
thing for the next leg up if that’s
what’s actually going to happen this
year but then once you’ve determined
that we have reached a bottom and you
have a high probability confidence in
that how do you decide which coins to
actually follow which ones are the ones
with the best Market structure that
could give the most gains in terms of
multiples I’m going to share with you
some insights in this particular video
that’s why it’s a really important one
I’ve had people over the last few months
keep asking me questions about how I do
my analysis and how I look at structure
of markets so I’m going to share that
with you right now so it’s going to be
jumpack with value again if you’ve been
enjoying my videos please smash that
like button and subscribe to the channel
if you’re new I’m always releasing
content like this so I have avax here
Avalanche avax USD one of the major
altcoins one of the larger cap altcoins
now first thing I do when I’m looking at
any of these charts is you can see I’m
on a daily chart so I go on a daily or
weekly chart because I want to know what
the prevailing trend is really really
important so I can immediately see that
our all-time high was all the way back
in 2021 and we’ve made some progress
towards that alltime high but we’re
still miles away that’s important
because there are some alt coins out
there right now where we’ve already
breached alltime Highs but with this
particular one we’ve got
131% to go and just a caveat there you
get I I hear a lot of people on YouTube
and Twitter um showing you charts where
things have dumped a lot from the last
cycle or even two cycles ago and things
are just doing nothing and they’re just
sideways literally like this and in the
last few months the price has barely
moved and they’re telling you that
you’re getting everything at a 98%
discount that’s a dead coin they’re
Shilling there that’s a deadcoin that’s
never going to do anything this is what
um technical analysis is this is
literally what you’re doing when you’re
analyzing the markets like this and
you’re looking at charts alone even more
than fundamentals this is exactly what
you’re doing you’re identifying coins
that are going absolutely nowhere and
that’s some of these uh kind of trading
secrets I’m going to share with you in
this particular video so we’ve got
alltime high there we’re miles away from
there at the moment we still need 131
uh% to get there however could we be
starting a next future leg that is the
question so now we zoom in current price
action so on a weekly monthly level the
trend is still kind of overly bearish
but recently on the weekly we’ve turned
bullish since October 23 for aax in
particular its significant low was
October
2023 now even here since March mid-march
we have been in a downtrend that’s
really important you might say well s
that’s obvious yeah price is going down
but no there’s more to it than that so
when you go on a 4H hourly chart here
what you can see is that since then
every single move up so this is one
there a mini one there another
significant one there they’ve all been
sold off literally every single one of
them and this one right now is getting
sold off but this in my opinion was a
reasonably obvious corrective structure
much like the others and how do I know
that there’s not some weird Hocus Pocus
or anything like that it’s looking at
Market structure one thing you have to
understand is when we’re in uh any
Market the by the way everything I share
in this video goes for any Market it’s
not just kind of alt coins and crypto
coins it could be NASDAQ it could be
stock markets it could be meme coins
anything when we’re moving up and when
we’re correcting the structure is
different when we’re moving up we always
move in five wve impulses when we
correct we always correct in three waves
and even if you’re brand new to
technical analysis or cryptocurrency or
anything you can see that this is
tracing what looks to be a three-wave
move which is corrected but the moves
going down are 1 2 3 4 5 so simply the
trend the prevailing trend is bearish
right now because the impulses are going
down and the corrections are going up
simple as that that’s kind of a basic
market dynamics there but on the way up
it was the opposite so on the way up we
actually getting the impulsive five-wave
moves the impulsive ones they were on
the way up and the corrections the quick
three-wave sharp uh Corrections were on
the way down this is another correction
here so I hope you see what I mean and
Bas this this is the basics of Elliot
wave I don’t trade in isolation using
one particular type of technique I’ve
tried to master all of them and quickly
thrown away the ones that clearly don’t
work or give me lagging um indicators
what do I mean by lagging it means it’s
it’s just telling me too late so for
example again I see a lot on social
media people talk about moving averages
so let’s add some moving averages here
so this is a 50 and a 200 moving average
let’s get back onto a daily chart the
big problem with these moving averages
is I mean there’s loads of problems I
mean sometimes they act as support and
resistance sometimes but the big problem
is they’re too lagging people talk about
a golden cross when the 50 crosses over
the 200 It’s Too Late by that time the
correction would have been over or even
when we moving up sometimes these moves
happen way way too late like it happened
on 20th of November that we got that
Golden Cross we were already well into
the move there by then well into the
move off the lows we had already done
something like a 300% move so that’s not
good to me I need to know much earlier
than that when we have a trend
developing or when a trend is over I
need to know much much earlier than that
so many of them them I’ve thrown away
and I don’t use I understand them I just
don’t use them because it doesn’t tell
me I I like to trade live price action I
don’t like to trade anything that’s
telling me after the fact because these
moving averages the way they’re
calculated is based on all of the data
points just proceeding for the last 10
or 15 or 20 or what have you and it just
takes an average of them that’s all it’s
doing that’s all this slope and this
line is doing it’s too late like even if
you have a look here at uh when we sold
off from the last bull market we already
in massive correction by the time the
moving averages were telling you hey Uh
something’s up here the 200 moving
average only started sloping down here
when it slopes down it means it’s a bare
market look where price was when it
started sloping down I know it’s hard to
see but we were already down 90% by the
time that was given as an indicator it’s
too late then so I don’t use that I
prefer to use Market structure
Divergence and a few others which I’m
going to show you another one I like to
use is basic Candlestick patterns I’m so
familiar with them now that sometimes I
just see the patterns developing right
before my eyes and I don’t even realize
because I’ve seen them so many times
like I can easily spot for example uh
engulfing patterns like this one here
this is a very bearish setup when a next
candle is a red candle and it completely
engulfs the body of the previous candle
that’s a bearish engulfing pattern very
very powerful and you can see it’s a
very very big red candle and that was
indeed the star of a massive d downturn
now sometimes we might get the opposite
we might get some sort of uh engulfing
bullish pattern or pacing candle but
then I know that you need to get follow
through afterwards for this to have any
significance and this particular one did
not have any significance and there not
really any bullish setups in any of
these candles if you have a look back
you can see there are bullish setups all
the time with candlestick patterns like
you can get hammers you can get dogee
patterns and these are great signs that
the Market’s about to change why did
these patterns develop like dogee
basically the body is so small because
each candle tells you the start uh price
the end price the high price and the low
price for that particular time period
let’s call it a day so in any particular
day if it’s a dogee like this what it
means is the starting price and the uh
ending price was the same which means
very much indecision between buyers and
sellers usually a sign that the tide
could be turning for example if You’
been running up constantly non stop with
no pullbacks or we’ve been going down
bearishly non-stop with no uh uh moves
up then we see a doe like this it means
there’s some indecision here so I use a
little bit of Candlestick not a lot but
I use a little bit to help me along with
Trend trading along with Elliot wave to
give me an idea of where we are let’s
have a look at this recent pattern which
I spotted and then I traded to the
downside because it seemed pretty
obvious to me and I’ve shared it a lot
on Twitter so I shared this post a
couple of days ago don’t think a lot of
CT have realized yet yeah but altcoins
completed near perfect corrective moves
so we potentially started the dump to
new lows and I sounded the horn there
literally as soon as the market turned
from the highs um because I’ve literally
been tracking this corrective move and
it looks almost literally textbook and
before that in real time reversal back
lower may have just begun earlier in the
week uh as I mentioned in my last
YouTube video I was still tentatively
long but I urged everyone to watch very
very carefully the move of the still
looks very corrective a majority of alss
meaning we can still get a massive dump
back to lows and Beyond so I literally
uh State this but the good thing about
understanding structure is it gives you
all the different avenues that could be
happening so right now most of you who
are new to technical analysis are just
going to see squiggles on a chart like
you would have no clue like what where
could price actually go from here well
with Market structure it tells you that
there’s only certain Pathways it can go
down it’s not just up or down it’s where
exactly can it go in terms of wave
structure can it do a five wave move
down can it do a complex sideways
correction in a flag like this and then
break down that’s another scenario is it
a nest of 1212 that sets up for a
bullish and then I know all of the uh
validations and invalidations for all of
these moves I know what needs to happen
or where price needs to reach for this
to be true or false that’s where it
really helps me so let me show you on a
lower time frame one of the ones I
traded did to the downside was Fetch and
that position’s been going really well
for me so if you go onto a 1H hour chart
here this was the one I shared and
usually in corrective patterns one of
the most common FIB relationships from
high to low is one to one this traced a
perfect one to one literally perfect
nearly to the tick that’s a three-wave
corrective pattern more than likely
never 100% sure but more than likely and
more than likely it’s setting up it’s
already been dumping it’s setting up
probably for more DS I personally think
it’s going to break the lows um but
let’s see how it goes but I already know
what the other possibilities are here I
know that Corrections can be double
Corrections so we can get three in the
middle and then we can get another
correction here so we can push up higher
which will be annoying for crypto cuz
we’ll just get a dump later in a few
weeks I’d rather we just dump now which
is in my opinion looking a little bit
more likely and then we may be able to
find a bottom soon in the coming couple
of weeks and then from there we just
slowly build up where every once
everybody’s panicked and bored of the
market and they’ve given up that’s the
time when you need to be buying not now
there’s not enough fear in the markets
to be honest with you there’s a little
bit not actually that much even though a
lot of these alts are down significantly
so that’s how I look at structure and
literally all of the altcoins I look at
many different altcoins I mentioned this
in my videos before this is another type
of General analysis I do I try and
verify whether what I’m seeing is true
am I seeing it on other alt coins even
newer ones like Jupiter am I seeing the
same three-wave setups or am I seeing
something different I like to confirm it
I like to confirm we’re breaking out of
these channels the channels you can draw
over Corrections and over bullish
impulses they’re very useful because
when you’re moving down a lot of people
draw down uh a sloping trend lines but
what they don’t realize is it’s not
really a down sloping trend line it’s
actually a channel it’s an impulsive
Channel down and when that breaks it
suggests that the impulse may be over
but what we need in some like Jupiter is
an Impulse to end but then we start a
brand new impulse we don’t want to flag
correct sideways very very common uh
pattern very very easy one to short when
you spot it and even if you have a look
up here we were tracing three- wve moves
so there’s plenty opportunities to short
this Market um so you don’t only kind of
make money when prices are going up you
can do it in uh when prices are
consolidating too or even in a bare
Market some famous trades I’ve seen on
Twitter were where people shorted uh
during the bare Market when they thought
certain coins were going to go Bust or
going into an Administration or whatever
and they made a lot of money from that
so it’s just all about understanding
market dynamics now if you’re interested
in um uh leverage trading and looking to
trade on the long end short side there
are exchanges that can do that for you
for example one I commonly use is Mexi M
EXC um which you can just just find on
Google and stuff and on this particular
one I have a few short positions so so
I’ll show you those right now so I’ve
got fet there at the top and then I’ve
got avax underneath and you can see my
unrealized p&l next to it I’ve got matit
as well which I added later uh sui as
well which is a brilliant short for me
and some of these my entry points like
for sui my entry point was 1.36 it was
literally as the market was turning I
took that entry and I’ve already taken
profits good bit of profits on a lot of
these especially fetch because that’s
the other thing when it comes to
trading if you’re taking short-term
moves you must protect your move by
taking profits a lot of people just I
don’t know why they just have this
delusion maybe because influencers have
told them just buy and bag hold for four
years and then things will work itself
out it doesn’t work like that so many
old coins are not going to make it
they’re not going to make it you can’t
do that when things are going well you
must take a little bit of profits and
when price is choppy like this like this
for example on Jupiter this is very
choppy price action and if you’re
leverage trading this you’ll get wiped
out if you don’t know what you’re doing
so when moves go in your favor take a
little bit of profits move your entry to
break even uh sorry your stop loss to
break even at your entry point so on
those positions you’ve just seen there
my stop loss is now past entry point so
even whatever happens with the market
I’m still going to walk away with the
profit whatever happens because I can
move my stop loss and that’s another uh
thing you need to learn risk reward and
where to put your stop loss so let’s say
we think a Bottom’s coming coming soon
in the market an easy way to do it is
let’s say we finish with a higher low
here which is possible an easy way to do
it is you put your stop loss before the
previous low and you you could
potentially call this a first move and
then a pullback and then we may get
another move probably corrected but
still so your risk is this area between
here and if you go into trading view on
the left hand side you can actually
click here on where it says long
position and you can draw out your risk
here and then your reward where you
think price could go and then you could
check if the risk reward ratio is worth
it like for example four if it’s not
worth it if you’re getting a 1:1 uh risk
reward ratio then don’t trade it there’s
no point 2:1 is not even worth it you
need to be getting 4 to1 or a lot more
for me because I was shorting from here
and expecting it to go back to the lows
for a lot of these altcoins and my stop
is just above there which is pretty
tight for for me a lot of them are 8 to1
and above very attractive so even if I’m
wrong if it’s just a coin flip 8 8 to1
return means it’s a positive expectation
trade significantly positive if you
start thinking about Sharps ratio and
stuff like that if you’ve never heard
about that before don’t worry about it
that’s more kind of advanced um uh
thinking when it comes to trading so
let’s go on to another uh coin so let’s
for example salana which is obviously a
very popular one and let’s have a think
about what we’ve discussed so far so to
recap we’ve discussed um channels we’ve
discussed discuss trend line breakouts
which are based on channels we’ve also
discussed the fact that moves can be
impulsive or they can be uh corrective
in nature we’ve discussed the fact that
you can look at Candlestick patterns to
identify if there could be changes in
Trend and we’ve also discussed the fact
that daily weekly sometimes monthly I
don’t really use monthly on crypto it’s
just too much but dailies especially
higher time frame anything happening on
the higher time frame is more powerful
a more powerful sign than lower time
frame and also markets are fractal which
means patterns you see on a very very
low time frame you’ll see on the larger
ones this a larger wave five five wave
move but if we actually zoom into this
you’ll see smaller uh impulsive waves in
between these like inside of these
you’ll see smaller five wave moves
inside the larger one it’s fractal
Market a fractal that’s another thing
you have to learn when you’re
understanding markets and we’ve talked
about Fibonacci levels which are very
very useful the other place they’re
useful is when you’re on the long side
and you’re looking for pullbacks so for
example this move here moving up so let
me just remove the drawings so if we do
a fib retracement from the swing low to
the swing High here you can see that
most pullbacks especially at the
beginning of a move they tend to be
deeper they tend to bounce at 618 or 786
levels these are magnets these these
areas and they’re not going to bounce
perfectly but you just need the area the
area is here so if you take a long here
and put your stop below the previous low
that’s a very
tight risk and your reward is basically
the moon not really but quite high in a
bull market your reward is very very
high which is why even people who are
dcing in here which I already said is a
perfectly valid idea if you’re beginner
and you brand new there’s nothing wrong
with dcing at these levels cuz worst
case scenario if you have a look back at
altcoin dumps and stuff like that we can
get deep wave Twos for sure it can get
crazy it can get absolutely crazy where
we get back to 90s and hundreds and
salana and stuff like that but if you
really think about it if you got in at
120 130 what’s another 20% you can DCA
and buy some more here too so you’re
buying in this area and your upside is
well if this is indeed a bull market and
this was the first local top and we’re
getting uh ready for the next move the
next move will be a wave three and then
we have wave five to go more than likely
then it’s going to be $500 plus salana
anyway so what do you care so as long as
you’re in around this area you’re going
to be fine so that even that uh coming
to that determination takes technical
analysis because I can do so if we think
this is a local top which is quite
possible we can now start doing FIB
extensions to try and work out how high
this would move and then the other thing
which I said earlier was just looking
through the altcoins look how far salana
has gone up and how close it is to its
alltime highs it’s right there it’s very
very high probability after this move is
going to break it but actually the way
it’s moving compared to its all-time
high it’s very very likely we’re going
to get much much higher than the
previous all-time high based on Market
structure let me show you what I mean
because I’ve shown you some uh decent
coins let me show you one that I’m
always knocking but for very good reason
this is xrp this literally for years has
done nothing this is Market structure so
there’s nothing to reverse here don’t
need to look at Candlestick patterns
where so let’s do some analysis together
where on this can you see an impulsive
move could be threatening one there but
then the laws were broken so that can’t
be an impulsive it can’t be a one and
two because one of the most important
laws in Elliot wave is wave two can’t
move past Wave 1 so you already fail
there so literally there’s no setup here
that’s impulsive there’s no leading
diagonal there’s nothing here that’s
impulsive it’s just sideways rubbish so
where is this going to go nowhere until
we get some impulsive movement some
volume back into the market we break
important levels like this structure
here at 90 cents we break through that
then we can get moving and these pivot
Points these Market structure points are
very very important and they really help
you because I know that with xrp even if
I want to trade it I don’t need to do
anything until it gets over 90 Cent I
can let everybody else all the bag
holders have fun with this for the next
days months maybe years who knows um
whilst it does nothing it may have its
day in the Sun but it’s probably not
going to move that far anyway cuz
alltime highs is only what two you know
it’s all looking very very corrective
here and there’s a lot of coins like
this like matage is another big one that
does absolutely nothing and I don’t base
that on fundamentals although you could
argue from fundamentals in terms of the
actual blockchain it makes sense that
it’s not doing very well I’m not basing
it on that I’m basing it on the chart
the chart is horribly corrective you can
see from this move up it does not look
impulsive at all this doesn’t either so
this is all just correction so this
maage based on my analysis of the chart
is not going to have any bull market
bull market is off but I didn’t just
guess that it’s literally analyzing the
market structures got me to that
particular point so going back to avac
and some of the other altcoins if we do
break these lows how far can we go well
if you uh Zoom back in again and let’s
go on to a 4H hourly chart typical place
is where you find support are important
pivot Points like we we sail through a
couple of these like this particular one
here and then this one here at 35 where
we see seem to have been holding for a
while but we’ve already Wicked through
that one next important pivot point is
this one that we were seeing at around
27 so it could get that deep this was
also as you can see um around this area
was previous resistance but I don’t tend
to use support and resistance that much
is more again looking at Market
structure so these previous wave
typically is w fors previously they tend
to be very very good support levels and
they’re handy in terms of structure
because if they’re broken things are
bullish anymore that’s really handy for
me too again that’s why I use structure
because I know that if things get very
ugly here which they can do this is a
problem for avac a big problem if we get
below some of these key levels because
the structure is not bullish anymore
it’s starting to look more corrective
don’t want that why because it means for
avax as well bull market is over doesn’t
need to be any guesswork with this
you’re basing it on Market structure
that’s what we’re doing when we’re
analyzing here in fact let me just give
you an example of some of my analysis
out work I regularly Screen through many
different allcoins cuz I’m looking at
the next gems to pick up when we see the
bottom or even a little bit earlier on
some of them and I can then Buy and Hold
those will be some of my longer term
holes throughout the bull market and I
will still be taking some profits along
the way so this is helium so I’m on a
daily chart I I go to the Daily or
weekly first and what I can see clearly
a new coin very obviously had an
impulsive move and it looks like it’s
had one whole wave up and it’s met a
local top obviously it’s higher high
here but you could argue this was the
actual top and I’ll explain why in just
a minute but looks like we had the five
wave impulsive moves up already and now
we’re having a correction and Below I’ve
got an RSI and macd they’re both
momentum indicators in this particular
case they’re going to help me with a
couple of things they’re going to help
me with regards to whether it’s
overbought oversold obviously I can see
it’s a little bit oversold at the moment
with maybe a buying opportunity because
you can see here where it was overbought
where we were Over the Top Line these
were good times to take some profits and
sell but the main thing I’m looking for
is Divergence what do I mean by that
well this is where for example in the
bullish case when we’re turning bearish
the Peaks get higher but the peak on the
RSI get lower so it’s showing that the
momentum is actually dying in the market
here on the other hand at this low looks
like we’re getting some bullish
Divergence so the the lows are higher
but here the price lows are lower so
we’re going this way in terms of price
with lower lows but with RSI macd we’re
going higher you can see that on the
histogram um and the signal line below
and also you can see possibly an very
early bullish crossover on the macd is
hard to see that let me just bring that
up a little bit so you might be able to
see that me just zoom in a little bit
you can see that may have had a bullish
cross over there so we may be at the
very early stages now it’s very hard for
any altcoin if everything’s dumping to
suddenly push and be extremely bullish
but it could be the very early signs and
in the early signs it’s not usually
obvious when salana was first moving
back in June July and stuff last year in
2023 wasn’t obvious it kind of moving
sideways a little bit up but those are
the early places where you want to ident
identify this now the other thing I
noticed was the move from here to here
looked a bit more corrective if that’s
the case this could be an expanded flat
very very common for the expanded flat
is a 335 move and it’s very common that
it can end in a 1.618 fib extension and
if you have a look to the tick we’ve got
a 1.618 at this particular low it’s
interesting this is Confluence so I’m
getting a lot of different indicators
also I can see that this is a bullish
engulfing Candle on the daily very
powerful if you get follow through you
kind of half hard follow through but
it’s not clear yet um and the reason
follow through is important we’ve seen
bullish engulfing candles here we’ve
seen one here as well and some of them
have had a little bit of follow through
some not really so we have to be a
little bit careful with that sign but
I’m Maring all these together and then I
go into a smaller time frame typically
for placing a trade it would be a
15minute and when I go into 15 minute
I’m going to remove the other indicators
and I’m purely going to look at the
structure here and from the naked eye
even you can see that this looks like it
may have traced 1 2 3 4 five with the
third being the longest classic Elliot
wave impulse quite possible we could be
again tracing a 335 little expanded flat
there correction it can’t really be the
beginning of a two because we’ve broken
the lows here so very likely this is a
larger correction so I’m keeping an eye
on that too and sorry just one other
thing if we zoom out to the the daily
again this entire correction of this
move we can actually do a fib
retracement on as well remember I told
you wave TW they tend to be quite deep
618 between 618 and 786 well it’s in the
right region so if we call the high
there or even here we’re in that region
where we potentially could move so if
helium is to stay bullish no guarantees
but the chart so far has said it has
been very bullish and these pullbacks
are normal in altcoins especially newer
ones that have seen such massive rallies
from basically $1 all the way to 11 if
we continue to get bullish price action
here then I will be investing in this
and this is not Financial advice I’m
just saying this is the kind of
Assessments I would do and you’re not
going to get every trade right but it’s
an interesting one and then I’m looking
to see important uh breaks of structure
here which we’ve already done this this
this particular one here we’ve already
broken that and come back down we’ve
broken that structure uh swing High
there that’s bullish the next areas are
here for us to break through so the risk
reward is worth it for me so if it drops
a little bit further and I buy here my
risk is just below that low there which
percentage wise is still is still a bit
of a drop but compared to the upside
which is this could go to $2 $30 because
if this is the next move up whenever it
starts maybe coming days weeks stuff
like that the previous high was 11 so at
the very least we’re going to go way way
past that at the very least because
according to structure that’s what’s
supposed to happen happen even if we it
was a new correction on the way up we’d
still run to $15 to $20
anyway this is how technical analysis is
very very useful so I urge you to look
into this a lot further uh when you’re
now looking to pick your next all coins
for the leg up over the last few months
I’ve had several people asked me about
how I analyze markets how I determine
kind of Market structure and how I look
for uh the next gems in terms of alt
coins because there going to be some
amazing opportunities just around the
corner so for the last 2 months I’ve
been working on this new program and
this is called crypto trading Mastery
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basics of cryptocurrency but more
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now this program is perfect for
beginners if you know nothing about
crypto and technical analysis but also
for advanced Trad ERS cuz I go into
structure in particular in a lot of
depth and nothing really exists like
this in the internet cuz I’m using so
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we’re putting it all together I use
Confluence basically using all these
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we’re still going to make mistakes
you’re still going to get trades wrong
but at least you’re not going to be
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this and also you get lifetime access to
this training program that’s it for this
one thanks for listening

Crypto Trading Mastery:
training.excrypto.ai/p/crypto-trading-mastery

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#crypto
#technicalanalysis