What is moving Bitcoin miners?

    asalam alaikum everyone I am on the road
    right now as you can probably tell uh
    coming to you live from my hotel room uh
    if you can hear me uh with this setup
    that I’ve cobbled together uh just uh
    leave a uh comment or a thumbs up or um
    if you can’t hear me uh complain in the
    comments and we’ll see if we can adjust
    our audio so that you can hear
    me um if I don’t hear anything I’ll just
    get started assume that you uh can hear
    me okay good thank you that’s me
    appreciate it um so we’re going to talk
    about what is moving Bitcoin miners
    they’ve been moving in a big way we’re
    going to try and figure out why this is
    and uh also um it uh what we learned in
    today’s live inshallah will help us
    interpret uh future movements for our
    Bitcoin mining stocks uh so without
    further Ado let’s get started uh so uh
    not Financial advice be sure to do your
    own due diligence before you make any
    investing
    decisions um so uh obviously the first
    thing that’s going to affect our Bitcoin
    mining stocks is the uh price of Bitcoin
    but you already knew that right however
    if you look at the price of Bitcoin as
    of late yes we’ve recovered from the low
    60s we’re now approaching
    67,000 um but uh you know we’ve been at
    these levels before so why is it that
    Bitcoin miners have suddenly
    researched well the black subsidy is
    another um thing that impacts the
    Bitcoin miners so the Bitcoin miners
    live off of the Bitcoin that they mine
    so obviously the price of the asset that
    they mine going up helps but also the
    amount or the number of Bitcoin that
    they’re rewarded per additional block uh
    that they mine is a big factor and we’ve
    been talking about this
    factor for a while now with the having
    which is now behind us so recently we
    experienced uh the uh fourth having uh
    in the life of Bitcoin so we went from
    6.25 to
    3.125 uh Bitcoin rewarded to bitcoin
    miners um
    every uh um and and this bit and this
    having happens every uh four years and
    uh this reward is per block mind of
    coin um and uh the other uh element that
    is impacting uh the uh Bitcoin Miners
    and their profitability is the
    difficulty that mining an additional
    block actually uh entails so the Bitcoin
    price first factor and then okay how
    many Bitcoin uh is being rewarded per
    block now you don’t really have to keep
    that close attention to that because it
    only changes every four years as we
    mentioned but also the difficulty how
    much the energy and compute do you need
    to spend to mine the next block in the
    uh Bitcoin uh blockchain and that has
    been basically increasing with time with
    very few interruptions so uh the the
    cost to mine um every additional Bitcoin
    block is going up with time which means
    that the security of the network becomes
    tighter because it’s harder to attack
    but it also means that
    the that the uh amount or uh the cost uh
    for Bitcoin miners is increasing with
    time as well so this is also something
    that you have to uh factor in when
    you’re interpreting the uh price
    movements of Bitcoin
    miners the
    um other factor which is uh I think
    perhaps lost on many uh not given as
    much credit as it should be given but is
    going to increasingly play a larger and
    larger role in the performance of these
    Bitcoin miners are the transaction fees
    that Bitcoin miners collect uh per uh
    additional uh block uh that is
    mined and
    these transaction fees are uh
    transactions or fees collected from
    transactions such as sending Bitcoin uh
    but also from things like uh runes and
    ordinals which are sort of a new
    phenomenon for Bitcoin and uh these fees
    have spiked in a big way uh post having
    and uh they’ve since come down from the
    initial Spike that we experience but
    they’re still at elevated levels and
    this has really helped keep uh the
    revenue uh or and the hash price uh
    which is the Daily Mining Revenue
    divided by hash rate so how much uh
    money does the uh Bitcoin do the Bitcoin
    miners earn per day uh divided by how
    much compute uh they actually spend to
    earn that money that comes uh that term
    uh the
    a result of that equation is known as
    the hash price so this has actually
    fallen from you know around 100 between
    100 and 110 H it’s Fallen to between 80
    and 90 it peaked when the transaction
    fees uh peaked uh so it reached close to
    180 uh but now it’s between 80 and 90 so
    the having really didn’t have a having
    effect on the Bitcoin miners Revenue and
    that’s because transaction fees have
    kept their revenue close to what it was
    uh prior to the having so this is very
    good news not many people were
    anticipating it and um this has caused a
    lot more bullishness around Bitcoin
    Miners and their stocks another way to
    look at this if you look at the uh
    Bitcoin minor Revenue daily uh so you
    can see that we really didn’t see that
    big of a dip in the total Bitcoin minor
    Revenue post having now which happened
    this month so uh and why uh you can see
    at the bottom uh the bottom right of
    this chart you can see this sort of
    black um part of the chart that is
    spiking and that represents the
    transaction fees that the Bitcoin miners
    were collecting and it really
    compensated in a big way for the uh
    decrease in the subsidy that these
    Bitcoin miners were collecting uh so now
    we understand um you know why Bitcoin
    Miners and their stocks are moving as
    they have been as of late there is still
    a frustrating factor with regards to
    investing in Bitcoin Miners and that
    frustrating Factor has to do with the
    dilution that these miners are
    constantly uh subjecting their
    shareholders to uh because as I
    mentioned the difficulty of mining is
    always increasing so the miners have to
    always be investing in expanding their
    mining capacity and in order to raise
    money to make these additional
    Investments they have to sell stock on
    the open market and that’s why even if
    all the elements that I mentioned align
    like you want them to
    align sometimes your favorite Bitcoin
    minor may not perform as well as you
    would like it because of the dilution
    that they are experiencing so additional
    shares in that minor are being issued in
    order to raise more money so here we
    have um a snapshot of the sort of at the
    Market uh dilution uh vehicle that I
    energy has and this was last updated
    March 21st uh so they started off with
    500 million uh that’s what they uh
    initially had in terms of authorization
    to issue new shares as of last month so
    they had around 238 million left in that
    500 million that they could uh raise
    from the open market right now based on
    their increase in share price I estimate
    that they have less than 100 million
    left uh in this at the market
    capacity and
    so the the hope is that when this at the
    market capacity
    ends there isn’t like what we had in
    clsk immediately the announcement of
    another rise another dilution event we
    have a period where the there’s no
    announcements of additional dilution and
    also there isn’t any dilution happening
    and that period is when the stock price
    I think can catch up with its
    fundamental value which I think uh right
    now is well above where it
    sits um
    so uh and this is another reason why
    it’s important when you’re investing in
    Bitcoin miners that when you have a
    minor in your portfolio that has gone on
    a run to take profits from that minor
    because it’s only a matter of time
    before another dilution event is
    announced before the company is selling
    additional shares on the market um
    because the alternative to that is the
    stagnating uh hash power and uh the um
    share of that min in the total Bitcoin
    minor Revenue decreasing with time
    because the hash power of the overall
    system is increasing with time so
    stagnation means you’re dying as a
    Bitcoin miner so it’s it’s really
    something that you know every Bitcoin
    miner has to do and this is why as
    investors you really have to have your
    tap dancing shoes on go from the miners
    that are close to finishing their
    dilution to other miners
    um so you want to go into those uh
    Miners and you know take profits from
    miners who you think are about to start
    a dilution cycle uh so uh I just wanted
    to uh go over that because I know that
    um you know many people may be uh
    looking at their uh share price and you
    know of you know the minor that they’re
    invested in and perhaps are wondering or
    well why isn’t my minor going up as much
    as other others well there are all all
    sorts of factors that you have to take
    into consideration uh do become a pif
    member to uh follow our trades move for
    move and know you know when we switch
    from uh minor to minor um and also I see
    all of our portfolio Holdings and what
    we invest in win um
    Tesla right now reported earning and we
    had a pretty long discussion in our
    Discord group about you know the charts
    saying that the price was you know GNA
    still go down and um you know a lot of
    pessimism about the near term and I
    think as a community we kind of you know
    agreed that there was
    uh it was a better strategy to kind of
    stick with with what we know the
    fundamental value uh of our holding is
    as opposed to trying to predict the
    short-term movements of our stock and I
    think at least the initial reaction of
    the market to earnings is a positive one
    so we’d really love to have you as part
    of our uh Community uh of Halal
    conscious investors trying to do good uh
    and do well uh so consider uh becoming
    part of
    PF uh with that I’ll take question
    questions Alum nice to see you
    Rashad a word about Tesla q1 result
    inshallah we’ll go over that in detail
    definitely I’ll be listening to the
    earnings call and letting you know what
    I
    think how can I buy shares from miners
    well they’re in um the certainly the
    public miners are listed in most uh
    brokerages so you can just look up their
    ticker symbol and find them there
    uh so uh in terms of
    applications so I use M1 Finance but
    it’s only available in the United States
    my my second pick for international
    investors would be interactive
    brokers um they have a pretty um solid
    reputation their interface isn’t that
    easy to navigate uh it takes a while to
    uh figure it out but once you do I think
    they’re quite good and they also have a
    very broad selection
    of assets that you can invest in which
    is another perk so with that thank you
    all for coming leave a like if you
    enjoyed this live and until next time
    make sure to take care of yourself
    assalam alikum and peace be upon you all

    Why are bitcoin miners up post halving? what are the different factors impacting this price rise? How can we understand day to day price movements?

    These topics and more will be addressed in today’s live.

    Nothing in this video is meant to be personalized financial advice. Make sure to do your due diligence before making any investment decisions.

    To follow my portfolios move-for-move, become a member at:
    https://app.practicalislamicfinance.com/plans/

    For consultations:

    Book a Consultation with Rakaan Kayali, CFA

    3 Comments

    Leave A Reply
    Share via