HOW MUCH ETHEREUM YOU NEED TO RETIRE! It’s Less Than You Think

HOW MUCH ETHEREUM YOU NEED TO RETIRE! It’s Less Than You Think

how’s it going everyone it’s Sam how
much ethereum do you need to retire it’s
a good question I’m sure it’s something
that a lot of people are wondering out
there especially as we’re moving back
into the bull
market Eve has been underperforming
Bitcoin but now it’s showing some
strength if you actually look on coin
market cap it’s up almost 5% while
bitcoin’s up 1% over the last 24 hours
so I thought now is a good time to go
back through and look at how much
ethereum it would take to retire based
on some various scenarios scenarios if
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run by prot Traders from coin W now we
have some strength coming from ethereum
actually it’s actually moving up versus
Bitcoin for the first time in a while
I’ll show you kind of my thought process
as to what will outperform what in a
second but we did get some news just
yesterday Franklin Templeton lists
ethereum ETF on the
dtcc so the asset management firm
Franklin Templeton listed at spot ether
uh or spot ethereum exchange traded fund
the Franklin or the Franklin ethereum TR
ethereum ETF that’s a mouthful on the
depositary trust and Clearing
Corporation website a significant plat
platform for security transactions in
the US the dtcc websites create redeem
column list the ETF indicate indicating
its availability for creation and
Redemption now this does not necessarily
mean that the spot ethereum ETF is going
to be traded or approved by the SEC but
it is an important step moving forward
now at this point we have to wait until
June 11 the SEC just had pushed back uh
the the decision so we have to wait
about a month and a half for this next
decision from them but like I said
ethereum’s showing some strength here
today when you zoom in it has moved
about 10% 15% from the bottom on the eth
Bitcoin chart which means it’s moving up
versus Bitcoin uh and we continue to see
more ethereum burn burned over the last
591 days since I think this was since uh
the burn started taking place we’ve
seen ne.
225% burned a year actually since my
video I think it was about 6 months ago
I made another ethereum retire on
ethereum video we’ve actually seen about
300,000 ethereum burned it’s actually
more difficult to buy an ethereum now
not only because of the price but
because if everyone tries to go buy one
there are less out
there now I want to show you kind of how
much you need to retire here in a second
but uh I should state that ethereum
looks good right now but it has been on
a massive downtrend versus Bitcoin I
think it’s really important to look at
the ethereum Bitcoin chart right now and
the reason for that the reason we look
at different assets priced in Bitcoin is
because during a bull market
everything’s going to go up pretty much
I mean there are some ex some exceptions
but the large cap cryptos are most
likely going to go up the question is do
they go up more than Bitcoin because
Bitcoin is considered less risky less
volatile it’s definitely got more people
that own it and now with the ETFs it’s
accessible to so many more people than
any other asset so if you want to buy
something that’s not Bitcoin that’s a
cryptocurrency it really does need to
outperform bitcoin because it’s just
riskier right so I want to look at eth
priced in Bitcoin so when the chart goes
down it means that eth is losing value
versus
Bitcoin and when it goes up it means
eth’s gaining value in Bitcoin I want to
show that chart and again you know the
normal person might see eth at 3,300 and
think oh wow whoever bought that in the
bare Market did really well which they
did they made a 3X
but bitcoiners have made a
forx so we’re going to take a look at
the chart here when you zoom out you can
see it much more clearly ever
since September of
2022 so a year and eight months
something like that year and seven
months we’ve seen a
downtrend on the eth Bitcoin chart and
we’ve seen lower lows and lower highs
this is this is is cool to see you know
ethereum breaking out a little bit
against Bitcoin but I think it is
important to remember that just a few
well just a month ago month and a half
ago ethereum was still up 15% higher
versus Bitcoin than it is now it just
had lower high lower high now slightly
higher high but I’d be looking for us to
get to about
this 06
062 Mark Maybe
before I’m convinced that we’re going to
make a another uptrend before I think
that it’s really going to outperform
bitcoin seems like Bitcoin dominance has
just dominated Bitcoin dominance has
gone up a lot over the last year and a
half and a lot of that is coming down to
ethereum just not performing as well
right big money flows into Bitcoin right
now right institutions are buying up the
ETFs even if they haven’t much the last
couple weeks there have been a lot of
inflows into them and people that want
maybe better performing cryptos aren’t
necessarily buying ethereum they’re
going further down the line they’re
going down to riskier cryptos and I know
salana has also been something that a
lot of people have liked recently too
I’m not telling you to buy ethereum or
salana but today we’re going to be going
over how much ethereum assuming you want
to buy ethereum you need to retire and
to be clear before we get started uh I’m
not saying that it’s smart to retire
just on one asset right I think even if
you’re very heavily invested in crypto
it makes sense to invest in a variety of
cryptos unless you want to just go all
Bitcoin for example a lot of people just
go all Bitcoin but if you’re going to
invest in ethereum I think it makes
sense to have some Bitcoin too and maybe
some salana and I also think it makes
sense to have assets outside of crypto
as well but now that I’ve gotten that
out of the way let’s take a look at how
much it takes to retire so first of all
we need to know how you want to retire
do you want to spend $50,000 a year like
live in a small house maybe in the
midwest you don’t go on very many
Vacations or do you want to live
wherever you want have a Lamborghini in
the driveway uh have a nice boat pay for
your kids uh private tuition all that
and everything in between so we’re going
to look at five different scenarios
whether you want to retire really maybe
Bare Bones something like $50,000 a year
maybe you want to spend $100,000 a year
maybe you want to live well at about
$20,000 a month about
$250,000 in annual expenses or you want
to live on a million dollars a year
obviously you’re going to need different
amounts of ethereum depending on how you
want to live also maybe you just want to
invest a lot over the next 10 years and
then you just want to let it sit there
maybe ethereum continues to grow at 10%
a year it’s a mature asset at that point
so you just want to put as much away as
possible in the next 10 years then just
let it sit there for the next 20 years
for example compounding at 10% that’s
going to be the least amount of ethereum
you need because you’re going to be
waiting a while after you get that
amount but the cool thing about that
scenario is you can work really hard for
the next 10 years maybe you have kids or
maybe you want to take some time away
you don’t have to make as much at your
job because you’re not going to have to
to invest really and then you can just
dial it back maybe Barista right
something like that go to a cool country
work there versus you know just working
your butt off uh and still retiring
maybe in the next 10 years so those are
the five different scenarios let me know
if I need to clarify that in the comment
section and then the next question is
where does ethereum go and I’m not going
to tell you where it’s going to go
you’re going to use your own predictions
uh for this so so we’re looking 10 years
out we’re going to look at five
different scenarios maybe you think
ethereum is just going to go to 5,000 I
think that’s very bearish right because
ethereum’s already at 3,300 it’s been at
4,800 before so let’s say you think it’s
going to be at about the same price it
was at the peak of the last cycle 10
years from now okay very bearish if I
mean I I think everyone would say that
ethereum is either going to be $110,000
in 10 years or pretty much zero but but
let’s go with 5,000 the next scenario
15,000 so you’re saying okay from
2022 to
2034 the peak is only going to go up
3x okay then $40,000 $80,000
$160,000 now why pick those numbers well
they’re a variety of uh numbers that are
varying bullishness uh varying levels of
bullishness so in this scenario like I
said it’s pretty much the same price
that we hit at the last Peak this is
right around $2 billion or $2 trillion
it’s close to the peak of where
bitcoin’s been like it would be just
slightly higher in terms of market cap
than Bitcoin was at
$74,000 here we’re looking at about $5
billion in terms of market cap and part
of this number the reason I picked it is
because we’ve seen uh Paul and other uh
people other famous crypto investors say
$40,000 is possible like this bull run
or last bull run but we’re going to say
about $440,000 this is just short of 10
trillion and then obviously just short
of 20 trillion if we assume gold
continues to appreciate a couple percent
each year for the next 10 years this
would put ethereum right around the same
market cap as gold so this is the ultra
bullish scenario and I’m not saying
that’s going to happen but you know it’s
a possibility it’s a nonzero chance
so in my opinion I’d say it’s probably a
pretty good chance at ethereum somewhere
between 15 and 40 if you really want my
opinion of course that is a wide range
as well but let’s
continue so here are the five different
situations right maybe you want to Coast
so you invest a lot and then you just
sit on it it continues to compound for
another uh 10 uh another 20 years or
maybe you just want $50,000 a year
you’re going to live more Bare Bones or
traditional uh where you want want
$100,000 and the reason I call it fire
that’s Financial Independence retire
early right it’s a it’s a common term in
the retire early
community and then you can go into the
ultra wealthy category here so obviously
you’re going to need a lot more ethereum
if you think ethereum is just going to
be about $5,000 right it makes sense
we’re going to use a 5% withdrawal rate
um but we’re going to say get 2% staking
reward so really it’s a three %
withdrawal rate and then you get 2%
staking rewards you stake some of your
ethereum or you somehow get yield on it
they’re going to be different ways to
get yield on it in the future that are
way more safe than we had last bow run
but you need about
400 and the numbers work out so that you
need 400 time 5,000 gives you about $2
million we’re talking about a 5%
withdrawal rate or 3% plus 2% staking
reward so you get 5% yield on that 2
million that’s $100,000 a year okay
hopefully you’re following all the math
typically in traditional Finance or when
you just have S&P 500 index funds people
use the 4% safe withdraw rate basically
just saying hey if you have a portfolio
of a million dollar you can typically
take $40,000 out a year in the principal
and what you have in terms of growth
will make up for the withdrawal so
that’s why we’re using about that
percentage year but again you get some
staking rewards so that’s kind of nice
now that is if ethereum only hits $5,000
that’s a lot of ethereum I mean you need
about $1.2 million or something now of
ethereum to be able to get to this point
but a lot of people would agree that
ethereum is probably going to be much
higher in price by 2034 so let’s say it
goes up to 15,000 a lot of people think
that if 10,000 or 15,000 is possible
even this cycle okay well if you want to
spend $100,000 a year then you’d only
need about 133 ethereum still still a
lot though so if you think uh if you
think ethereum is going to go up to
40,000 you need about
50 I realize that that’s still a lot for
a lot of people that’s that’s expensive
now right that’s $150,000 worth of
ethereum so what if you got a little bit
more aggressive on the withraw rate it’s
a little bit riskier because you could
run out of money faster but you could
take maybe
6% so 2% staking 4%
withdrawal you need less so instead of
for example 50 ethereum you need about
41.75 now I realize that’s still
difficult for a lot of people but keep
in mind we’re talking about an asset
that’s going up 5x and you still need
millions of dollars right if you want to
live off of it so it’s not going to be
super easy it’s not going to be
something that you can put in a couple
hundred and then all of a sudden retire
or a couple thousand no I mean we’re
talking about an asset that’s only going
to go up 5x in 10 years which is still a
good return in traditional Finance but
it’s not super easy to retire very
quickly but keep in mind this has gotten
more
expensive so the cost the last time I
did this to retire on $440,000
uh a $440,000 ethereum based on these
numbers to get 50 ethereum it would have
only cost you about
$77,000 last time I made this video
because last time I made it was during I
guess the beginning of the bull market
like right when prices were starting to
go up so it was $77,000 now it’s
137 so if you can do this at opportune
times if you don’t wait until the bull
market is
obvious it’s a lot easier to buy
right so
$137,000 is the cost now it used to be
77 but if you weigh even more like the
bottom of the bare Market was a great
time to be buying obviously at $900
ethereum which wasn’t even exactly the
bottom it would have only cost about
$445,000 again this is if we do this
$40,000 ethereum
scenario and if you had been in for a
while if you had gone in during the last
bare Market not not 20 2023 but the one
before that you could have gone it for
4,100 so the key is to dollar cost
average and buy at times of fear you
don’t want to be buying when everyone
realizes that this is a bull market you
want to be buying when no one really
knows and of course there’s more risk or
it feels like there’s more risk but when
you look at the risk to reward it’s
actually much better think about this if
you had bought around $1,000 ethereum
your gains up until now would be the
same as if you bought now and waited for
ethereum to hit about
$112,000 that’s kind of crazy right
maybe $11,000 but the incremental gains
Trail off after we’ve already had this
three three and 1 12x on ethereum now
don’t let this get you down right you
can dollar cost average you can start
buying keep in mind too most people
won’t ever be able to buy much ethereum
the ethereum suppli is right around 122
million ethereum right now that’s all
the supply even with the people that
hold you know thousands and thousands
even tens of thousands of ethereum the
supply in 10 years let’s just say it’s
it’s diminished by 1% a year is going to
be about 110 million population on Earth
right now let’s say it’s 8 billion
population 10 years 8.7 that means the
eth per person is only about
01 and that’s assuming that it’s equally
distributed it’s it’s not right it with
Bitcoin for example they’re about 2
million Bitcoin on exchanges but close
to 20 million Bitcoin they’re
circulating So based on those same
numbers the eth per person that’s
available might be
0.0013 I mean that’s kind of crazy when
you think about how inexpensive this is
or how much the average person can buy
it’s only $42 worth of ethereum if
everyone were going to buy it and of
course that would shoot up the price so
it would become much more expensive uh
very quickly but it shows you that it is
hard for most people to ever get the
average amount of ethereum
because but it shows you there’s not
much ethereum to go around let me know
your thoughts on this underneath the
video I hope this helped a little bit
you know these aren’t the most
instructional videos on how to become
super wealthy but they are fun numbers
uh fun videos to break down the numbers
right talk about uh how close you do
your goal based on certain numbers you
know do you think ethereum is going to
get to 40,000 and do you have 30
ethereum already well great you might be
able to retire on just ethereum one day
but let me know your thoughts underneath
the video again there is a link to Marx
in case you want to amplify your returns
maybe you want to go long on ethereum
you can do that over on Marx thank you
so much I appreciate it I will see you
in the next video

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