A Major WARNING Sign for Bitcoin from the Oldest Trading System

    hi this is Le I hope you’re well in this
    video I want to talk to you about the
    chart of Bitcoin as you can see this is
    the pattern we’re dealing with right now
    the chart of Bitcoin so I want to take a
    look at this chart and explain to you
    what my good friend Manuel blly Trader
    Manuel BL a dow the is saying about
    Bitcoin and one key signal which if it
    triggers could be very important for the
    crypto all right guys join
    me all right guys welcome back before we
    dig into the chart of Bitcoin let me
    just tell you briefly where I am I’m in
    Central London by the tames river and in
    waterl uh very soon I’m going to be
    listening to 6 hours of German music
    more specifically it’s 6 hours of German
    classical music is the music of Richard
    Vagner it’s the fourth part of his ring
    cycle the Twilight of the Gods anyway it
    should be quite interesting okay let’s
    talk about Bitcoin now as you can see
    here Bitcoin since March has been
    consolidating in the sideways pattern as
    you can see what could be potentially a
    corrective ABC pattern but with the same
    things happening on ethereum as well
    it’s been consolidating here as well and
    what could also be an ABC corrective
    pattern anyway so far both Bitcoin and
    ethereum are holding above the April
    lows now recently I had a chat on email
    with Trader and analyst Manuel BL the
    Dow Theory who by the way I think is a
    fantastic analyst and is someone whose
    opinion about the markets I really
    respect now what Manuel BL said to me
    recently was this that if Bitcoin and
    ethereum if both of them drop and close
    below the April lows that could trigger
    what’s called a dow Theory bearish
    signal or a dow Theory sell signal now I
    should say as I’m making this video
    neither Bitcoin or ethereum have dropped
    below the April lows So currently both
    cryptos are holding above their
    respective April lows for example the
    April low on bitcoin is about 59k or 60k
    however what manual Dow theory is saying
    is that if if both cryptos both ethereum
    and Bitcoin were to drop and close below
    their respective April lows below the
    lows they made in April that could
    trigger what’s called a dow Theory
    bearish signal now let me explain to you
    essentially what that means very briefly
    a dow Theory bearish signal is formed
    when Bitcoin for example and ethereum
    drop by at least 15 to 20% against the
    dominant Trend dominant Trend being
    upwards so because both markets have
    dropped by at least 10 to 15% from Pak
    to truff from March to April that is
    what’s called a secondary reaction
    against the dominant Trend then the Dow
    Theory requires a bounce a bounce of at
    least 10% on both charts on both
    ethereum and Bitcoin and then the third
    criteria the third part of the rules is
    if both markets if both cryptos ethereum
    and Bitcoin were to drop and close below
    the lows they made before the bounce
    which in this case would be the lows
    they made the support they made in April
    okay now again let me just repeat this
    point neither chart neither Bitcoin nor
    ethereum have dropped below the
    respective April lows it’s only if if
    both Bitcoin and ethereum were to drop
    below the lows of April that could
    trigger a dow Theory bearish signal or
    Dow Theory sell signal according to the
    rules of the Dow theory in the view of
    manual blly the Dow theory.com and this
    would mean that if such a thing happens
    if both charts if both markets were to
    drop below the April lows it could
    significantly increase downside risk so
    what that means is according to manual
    BL if both Bitcoin and ethereum were to
    drop below the April lows that means we
    should be on alert because such a signal
    if it occurs would be a warning sign
    that both markets both ethereum and
    Bitcoin could drop significantly lower
    for example um if Bitcoin were to drop
    below the April lows it could increase
    momentum towards for example 55 to 50K
    now let me say this I’m not saying this
    is what’s going to happen it’s only if
    if something like this were to happen if
    both Bitcoin and ethereum were to drop
    below the April lows all it means we
    should be careful we should be very
    cautious and on alert because it could
    increase downside risk and momentum
    towards lower levels again for example
    Bitcoin could drop to the trend line
    you’re seeing here or for example to 50K
    or even lower levels so it’s really
    important therefore for Bitcoin and
    ethereum to protect and stay above the
    April lows which again on bitcoin is
    about 59k and on ethereum is about the
    level you see right there about 2,800 or
    so now let me give you my own views
    about this very briefly personally I
    think that Manuel BL is right we should
    be careful if Bitcoin and ethereum were
    to drop Bel the low it would be a
    warning sign so he’s right about that my
    own personal view is that as long as
    Bitcoin stays above this trend line
    you’re seeing here this white line you
    see on the chart and as long as Bitcoin
    stays above 50k key support I’m still
    remaining cautiously bullish for this
    year on bitcoin and etherum in other
    words as I said before in the previous
    video it’s only if Bitcoin were to drop
    below 50k or below the trend line and
    Below 50k then to me that would be a
    sign of a top in Bitcoin and potentially
    ethereum as well so so far as I’m making
    this video that has not happened so I’m
    still remaining bullish for Bitcoin and
    ethereum even if we see a slightly lower
    drop on bitcoin or ethereum for example
    if Bitcoin were to drop down to the
    trend line or for example to 56 or 55k
    all I’m saying is as long as Bitcoin
    stays above 50k and as long as it stays
    above the trend line again I’m going to
    give the Bulls the benefit of doubt in
    other words I’m still remaining
    cautiously bullish for the next several
    months for example to the end of the
    summer period or at least at the end of
    this year so guys as I’m making this
    video right now there is no warning sign
    as yet Bitcoin or ethereum because both
    of them are above the April lows but
    again do remember what Manuel BL said
    because if if both these charts if both
    markets if both Bitcoin and ethereum
    were to draw below the April lows that
    would put us on alert that would be a
    huge warning sign of potential downside
    risk to lower levels for example to 55k
    to 50K on bitcoin or even lower levels
    but again as I said in this video even
    if that happens as long as Bitcoin stays
    above the trend line and as long as it
    stays above 50k I still think we could
    see higher levels in Bitcoin in the next
    sever months potentially by the end of
    the summer period to the higher targets
    I mentioned before in my previous videos
    but also as I mentioned previously if
    Bitcoin were to drop below 50k if
    Bitcoin were to break this trend line
    and then fall below 50k I would have to
    change my mind and become bearish but
    I’m not bearish for now I still see this
    pattern on bitcoin as a corrective
    pattern same with ethereum I still think
    this pattern is corrective I think both
    cryptos Bitcoin and ethereum are forming
    corrective patterns Corrections before
    potentially we see higher levels in the
    next several months again to the higher
    targets that I mentioned previously all
    right guys I’m gonna go now and see what
    this uh German music the six hours of
    vogner’s Music uh the ring cycle is
    gonna be like I’ve never seen it before
    being performed so it should be
    interesting thank you very much indeed I
    look forward to seeing the next video
    update bye for now
    [Music]

    A major warning sign for bitcoin from the oldest trading system. Bitcoin has been consolidating in a sideways pattern, what could likely be a corrective ABC pattern. However, recently trader and analyst Manuel Bay of the dow theory informed us of a potential warning sign on both bitcoin and ethereum, IF it happens. We explain in this video what this signal is in relation to the cryptos, bitcoin and ethereum. We also mention what could happen IF the dow theory signal triggers on BTC and ETH. Also, we cover what is more likely in the longer term based on the probabilities. #bitcoin #ethereum #alessiorastani

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    25 Comments

    1. BTC can disregard techincals when in a bull, did that in 2020 when it crossed previous ATH… stayed there a few weeks and continued pumping like crazy to 60k. Also, there is one constant… when around 90 on monthly RSI, the end is near. And don't expect crazy price targets of 500k… expect around 100k at most and be happy if there's more after that. If you believe big boys and CEO's of big invesment firms saying targets like 1M this cycle.. you deserve to be their exit liquidity..It's not about guessing the market's next move; it's about playing it smart and steady during trading…managed to grow a nest egg of around 2.3B'tc to a decent 21B'tc in the space of a few months… I'm especially grateful to Francine Duguay, whose deep expertise and traditional trading acumen have been invaluable in this challenging, ever-evolving financial landscape.

    2. With crypto/ BTC, anything can happen. For some it's loss and for few its a buying opportunity.
      So let's see. But below 59k is possible the way global market is behaving.

    3. Thank you for your analysis of Bitcoin specifically, since for the most part I trade this coin. Well, this is another reason to take advantage of the volatility of BTC, in my case on Fybit, since there is no KYC and low fees))

    4. If the sun comes up tomorrow we all live, if the sun does not come up tomorrow we all die. I am cautiously bullish the sun will come up tomorrow BUT just in case it doesn’t I will have to turn bearish and say we all die. That's every Alessio video's format in a nutshell. Cover both sides

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