Bitcoin questions you were afraid to ask | Michael Gable pinpoints stocks the charts say “buy me!”

    [Music]
    hello and welcome to Switzer investing
    TV I’m Peter Switzer thanks for joining
    me on tonight’s program we’re going to
    look at all the questions you ever
    wanted to ask about Bitcoin but was
    always too afraid to actually wait to
    find out those answers I’m talking to a
    guy by the name of Adrien presne pretty
    difficult name probably mispronounced it
    but he comes from a company called
    independent Reserve which is a Bitcoin
    exchange and it comes at a time when
    Bitcoin is going to be hubbed what does
    that mean and what are all the questions
    that need to be asked and answered on
    bitcoin and then Mike Gable is looking
    at a number of very interesting stocks
    some that both Mike and I didn’t know
    but the charts are saying GE this
    company is heading in the right
    direction we be looking at some really
    well-known companies like foros skew uh
    and Sonic Healthcare but we’re also
    looking at the indexes as well to see
    whether this pullback or correction is
    really something you should be afraid of
    or not so that’s the show let’s kick off
    now with this very interesting uh
    interview around Bitcoin well joining me
    now is Adrian shik from independent
    Reserve at a time when Bitcoin is going
    to be half now people out there don’t
    understand Bitcoin anyway but now it’s
    going to be HED it just adds another
    interesting curveball to something that
    is really popular with a small group of
    people who of late have been very very
    keen to buy Bitcoin Adrian thanks for
    joining us it’s my pleasure Peter okay
    apologies to you uh we’ve talked about
    it before Switzer sometimes gets
    mispronounced and I become Switzer but
    your name is a little bit on the tricky
    side so you’re going to be ad to me for
    the rest of this interview no
    all okay tell us just quickly about
    independent Reserve so independent
    Reserve is a cryptocurrency exchange
    that uh we created here in Australia
    about 11 uh just over 11 years ago
    actually and we’ve now grown into one of
    the largest crypto exchanges in
    Australia and also in APAC okay how did
    the company you know cope with the
    challenges with the American uh Bitcoin
    exchanges was it a tough time for you I
    mean um I should be referring to I guess
    what’s happened in the event of maybe
    the last two years or so when you know
    we had um a few issues overseas with uh
    the um um insolvencies of FDX and a few
    others um obviously there was a very bad
    time for cryptocurrency exchanges around
    the world it was very was a very bad
    time for the cryptocurrency market um
    look I I think it really underlined the
    need for regulation in this market and
    it’s you know it’s it’s one of the
    things that we’ve been really pushing
    for for a long time now and we hope that
    uh the Australian government will choose
    to regulate cryptocurrency exchanges in
    the next one or two years um but I mean
    yeah obviously it was a very hard time
    but I think we’re through that now and
    now crypto is on a bit of a run again
    and you know we’re looking forward to
    the to a very good one or two years
    ahead why won’t governments why won’t
    the federal government get involved in
    regulation that’s a great question and I
    guess you know it it would be um a
    question that would be interesting to
    ask the Australian government or maybe
    to Asic but you know in in our view um a
    cryptocurrency
    exchange um holds people’s money you
    know at independent Reserve we hold over
    $1 billion do of assets on behalf of our
    users uh which is obviously a huge
    responsibility and we deal with a lot of
    transactions we deal with a lot of
    customers but right now there are no
    rules set by the Australian government
    or um a regulator that really government
    you know how how these assets are held
    what we do how how you know whether
    we’re audited or not how the governments
    um um has to to actually work which
    which means that um a lot of crypto
    exchanges just kind of operate in the
    best way that they know how which you
    know uh we’ve been quite lucky here in
    Australia that we haven’t had any real
    issues but that hasn’t been the case
    around the world but you know there are
    other jurisdictions around the world
    that are quite well regulated there’s
    regulation in Singapore there’s
    regulation in Hong Kong there’s
    regulation in Europe but unfortunately
    the Australian government has been a
    little uh you know a little bit behind
    the curve um and we’ve had regulation
    from ustra here in Australia which
    regulates the industry from an AML kyc
    point of view which basically requires
    us to rep suspicious transactions
    identify our customers make sure that
    you know there’s um that that or that I
    guess that when um the actual money
    moves through our exchange it moves in a
    clean way but unfortunately there hasn’t
    been the regulation on the market side
    yet and we’re looking to treasury into
    Asic to hopefully enforce that in the
    next one or two years and you know
    hopefully it won’t
    require a big mishap to happen here in
    Australia to really push that regulation
    forward yeah how many customers do you
    have at this point in time right now uh
    we’ve got about 350,000 at independent
    Reserve so so so cryptocurrency is
    pretty popular out there yeah it is so
    we do a survey uh once a year of um
    basically um a sample of the Australian
    population and we ask them questions
    about their views on cryptocurrency
    whether they’ve invested in crypto and
    you you know it’s basically a finger on
    the pulse of the cryptocurrency um
    industry here in Australia and uh every
    year we find that more people are aware
    of crypto more people invest in crypto
    and now one um in Forest rans has either
    invested in crypto in the past or is
    investing in crypto at the moment so
    it’s it’s quite a you know widely
    invested in asset class right now it’s
    very popular especially among the
    younger um you know um you know the
    average age of of of our investors
    probably under 30 right now but it’s
    beginning to permeate older investors as
    well and the longer crypto is around as
    an asset class the more people become
    more comfortable with it and more they
    treat it as you know just another thing
    to hold in a portfolio to diversify that
    portfolio what were other apart from
    Bitcoin what what are the most popular
    cryptocurrencies I mean there are
    thousands of other cryptocurrencies but
    you know a few other ones that are quite
    large and popular um uh for example
    ethereum you know that that was really
    the number two currency now for a long
    time and it presents a different
    investment thesis to bitcoin whereas a
    lot of people view Bitcoin as a digital
    gold as a as a way to hedge against
    inflation and L monetary policy ethereum
    is more of a platform like a global
    computer where people can actually build
    other things on top of it and the demand
    for ethereum is kind of driven by
    different characteristics to the demand
    for Bitcoin but I mean there are now
    thousands of cryptocurrencies and you
    know a lot of them have very large
    market caps in the tens hundreds of
    billions of
    dollars but because there’s so many you
    being an expert do you worry that some
    really shouldn’t be touched because
    there’s just too many question marks not
    enough
    regulation well I mean interestingly you
    know
    one of the great things about the crypto
    industry is I guess that the barriers to
    entry really aren’t there so if
    someone’s got a great idea they can
    create it and it’s quite easy to create
    a new currency but obviously as you said
    not all cryptocurrencies are Crea equal
    um so you know the hus is really on the
    investor to do their own research to
    remember that they’re investing into um
    a space where maybe the protections
    aren’t quite there that would expect in
    other assets that maybe they they’re
    more used to investing in in the past so
    really education’s the name of the game
    and you know we always encourage our
    customers to educate themselves about
    the investment that they’re making which
    which holds true for any other
    investment as well really okay well I I
    I never do Bitcoin for one reason I
    probably discussed with this with you in
    the past is that you know it’s just
    there too many question marks for me and
    as someone who you know gives education
    and advice to to people if there too
    many question marks it just becomes too
    hard for me to be associated with it um
    but I I guess um I understand Bitcoin
    there’s just a limited number and
    there’s a uh a group of people who
    really love Bitcoin so I I always figure
    that Bitcoin will always do well because
    of that you know it’s F first starter
    Advantage it’s limited and all those
    sorts of things and people people in the
    you know either in the it area or in the
    the Dark World of gambling and whatever
    Bitcoin could be popular uh just seems
    to me um with the other cryptocurrencies
    it all doesn’t it rest on the fact that
    there are a sufficient number of people
    who believe in that particular
    cryptocurrency for it to actually either
    do well or even
    survive I look I mean I think if you
    look outside of the top 10 or 20
    cryptocurrencies yes that may be the
    case but if you look through the top 10
    you know they’ve all got pretty well
    established use cases now and and
    they’re actually being used by people
    around the world to accomplish various
    things that they need to accomplish so I
    I think there’s now an intrinsic demand
    for uh the utility that a lot of these
    coins do do actually um are able to
    provide you know it’s it’s I guess it’s
    hard to put a value on a decentralized
    Computing system that cannot be
    controlled by any one entity there’s no
    entity like Amazon AWS that can you know
    take your service down if they don’t
    like what you’re doing or that can start
    charging you more for the service or
    whatever else it’s it’s really a
    different Paradigm in thinking about
    Computing and a lot of people are
    creating these decentralized
    applications that run on ethereum that
    you know can do things that you really
    wouldn’t be able to do in any other way
    um so
    I I think the longer this continues the
    more utility will be created and more
    real world use cases will exist as well
    can you give us an example of where a
    particular business or an industry would
    say yeah we want to do this and we’re
    going to use ethereum so sure can you
    give us an example of that well look I
    think a widely used example over the
    last three or four years was lending on
    defi right so there’s I guess a lot of
    people out there who
    can’t get access to a traditional loan
    maybe a bank won’t lend their money for
    whatever reason but on defi it’s
    decentralized Finance uh there are you
    know anyone can participate there is no
    one there’s no there isn’t a gatekeeper
    like the banks here in Australia that
    can choose you know who gets banking who
    does not um there’s no one who can
    debank you
    um so you know a lot of people have you
    know taken out loans
    on Def which runs on ethereum mostly and
    then done things with the money that
    that that they were able to get because
    of that they invested in their
    businesses they basically participated
    in the economy yeah so you’re saying a
    startup business can’t get a loan from A
    bank goes to defi gets X number of um
    ethereum uh are they ethereum dollars or
    what do we call them ethereum Curr a lot
    of the works on usdc which is a currency
    Peg to the US dollar so you know all
    these problems of you know crypto has a
    lot of you know moves up and down the
    volatilities there a lot of these have
    been solved by various tools in the
    ecosystem so you know usdc usdt Peg to
    the US dollar they’re you know two of
    the most widely used cryptocurrencies
    right now okay so so they get they get
    this money from Defi and they say for
    example want to buy computers and they
    find a a business that’s prepared to
    accept ethereum for the
    computers yes that could be one way
    potentially yes okay all right we we get
    it uh but I guess at the end of the day
    uh all these other extreme uh currencies
    out there a there’s a matter of faith I
    guess in many ways that this thing a
    going to work they is going to go up and
    so on yeah I mean of course um if you
    look out at the long tale of you know
    all those hundred hundreds of um
    different CS a lot of them are a
    speculative investment um I mean it’s
    kind of no different to investing in a
    small cap Mining stock on the ASX you
    know you got of hope that when they dig
    a hole they that they hit something but
    often they don’t and you know that’s
    that’s that’s kind of what happens and
    that’s why yeah I think it was Mark
    twine the famous American novelist who
    wrote Huck F and Tom Sawyer um once said
    that a minor was uh a hole in yes a mine
    is a hole in the ground with a liar
    standing in front of it but we won’t go
    any further all right now you’re on the
    you’re on my my program tonight because
    of the Haring of Bitcoin tell us why
    they’re doing it and what’s the
    implication of that so the Bitcoin
    harving is a event um in Bitcoin that
    happens every four years and it’s got
    the effect of harving the supply of new
    Bitcoin being produced so so this all
    comes back to the fact that there can
    never be more than 21 that there can
    never be more than 21 million Bitcoin um
    that that can ever exist so the way this
    is achieved is that new Bitcoin get
    produced by the minus every 10 minutes
    but the rate at which these get produced
    halves every four years so prior to the
    last Haring which happened last week
    there were 900 new Bitcoin produced into
    the ecosystem so basically the inflation
    rate of Bitcoin was about 4 and a
    half% after the Haring there’s only 450
    new Bitcoin that are produced every day
    so the inflation rate has hared in four
    years there’ll be one more Haring and
    then four years after that another one
    after that and these hars will they will
    continue until the year
    2140 I believe at which point we would
    have produced the
    21 so no when new Bitcoin will be able
    to be um um added into the ecosystem at
    that point yeah so it’s an important
    development to restrict the the ultimate
    number of Bitcoins that that will be in
    existence that’s
    correct tell us you know obviously
    you’ve been watching Bitcoin for at
    least 11 years um what what do you think
    is the like the pattern that you’ve
    noticed I I know I was talking to
    someone recently who ex uh um explored
    the Bitcoin world and he he found that
    there is there are certain times when
    it’s great to buy and also certain times
    great to sell uh what patterns have you
    you watch when it comes to bitcoin yeah
    so the Bitcoin Market is very cyclical
    um it operates on a four-year cycle
    which which is you know largely because
    the harving happens every four years and
    you know what we’ve what normally
    happens and what um we’ve seen in the
    past and you know it’s pretty much
    happened every Haring in the past is
    that
    after a Haring event um you know about
    six months later the fact that the
    supply of new Bitcoin has hared it
    starts to permeate the market and impact
    the market so you know you’ve usually
    got a demand that is fairly consistent
    or maybe increasing over time and the
    supply has been reduced so that tends to
    have um an effect where the price begins
    to go up and then as the price begins to
    go up Bitcoin tends to get more
    attention in the media more people start
    talking about it and that you know often
    creates um a violent increase in the
    price you could say so the price you
    know might go up 3
    400% in the space of a few weeks and you
    know that creates even more talk in the
    media and then it you know you end up
    you end up creating a bit of a bubble I
    suppose and then that bubble tends to
    pop and then you have one or two years
    of a very quiet Market where you know
    everyone talks about Bitcoin being dead
    and people say well this is over now and
    that that you know people kind of start
    to move on to other things and Bitcoin
    starts to lose attention and then
    another Haring comes along and it all
    kind of starts again and this has been
    um a cycle that has repeated around
    every Haring and it’s been quite
    predictable in the past andan one last
    question um I know as a watcher of more
    conventional Investments I know the red
    flags that make me get a bit spooked and
    the one thing I’ve noticed with Bitcoin
    is that it it sometimes lags a tech
    bounceback but when Tech bounces back
    Bitcoin eventually gets to to to play
    and often plays very very well is it
    fair enough to kind of assume that if
    anything comes along that’s really going
    to KO tech stocks you know like rapidly
    Rising interest rates that there will at
    least be a time where Bitcoin will also
    suffer as a
    consequence um yeah look I agree that’s
    kind of been the case in the past so you
    know what we’ve I think in this U period
    of time I guess in this period of
    evolution of Bitcoin and people’s
    understanding of
    Bitcoin um a lot of investors treat it
    as a risk on asset like like you said so
    they kind of treat it like a Technology
    stock and I think a lot of that comes
    from you know the inability of
    institutional investors right now to
    have a good pricing model around Bitcoin
    because it’s unlike any other ass that
    they invest in so they think well it’s
    probably the closest to a Technology
    stock let’s read it like a Technology
    stock um and that has been the case over
    the last two or three years um but you
    know you have to remember that Bitcoin
    is not a Technology stock it’s not a
    company uh it
    doesn’t produce
    technology um it’s it’s an asset more
    like a commodity that’s traded 247
    around the world and people kind of in
    various parts of the world
    treat it in different ways and they view
    it in a different way and I think that
    over time we will see that you know the
    attitudes of investors change and it’ll
    be treated less like a risk on asset but
    more like a commodity like a gold you
    know like like an asset with a limited
    Supply that you know cannot be produced
    arbitrarily at at will any government
    can’t be inflated at will that um can be
    transferred easily um around world can
    be stored easily it’s it’s it’s really
    you know if you look at its attributes
    it’s really more like a gold than it is
    like um an Amazon stock but but I think
    just where we are right now with
    people’s understanding of it it’s being
    treated in that way but I think those
    correlations are beginning to break so
    if you look at the the I guess the
    performance over the last one month you
    know it looks like interest rates aren’t
    going to drop this year like people
    thought or maybe if they will then it
    won’t be by as much but the price of
    Bitcoin hasn’t actually dropped by as
    much as a lot of other technology stocks
    have around the world so I think those
    correlations are beginning to break and
    I think we’re now in a market where
    there are literally two groups of people
    that that that view Bitcoin in very
    different ways and the the group that
    views it more of um a limited Supply
    commodity asset is growing and the group
    that’s viewing it as a risk-on asset is
    beginning to shrink so I think you you
    will see these correlations change and
    evolve over the next one or two years
    yeah it seems to me it’s a poor man’s
    gold but the price of Bitcoin is a lot
    higher than gold and I would I would say
    that when people ask me about gold I
    think it’s a it’s the best time to buy
    Golds when the price is really really
    low and that’s been pretty well the case
    for Bitcoin Buy Low so high that’s uh
    that’s pretty good advice there all
    right mate great thanks for joining us
    it’s my pleasure thank you very much
    pleasure
    [Music]
    cheers and that was Adrien prne of
    independent reserve and now Mike Gable
    of Fairmont equities looks at a number
    of very interesting stocks which the
    charts are saying look pretty pretty
    good well most of them are in that uh
    category so let’s go join Mike Gable of
    font
    equities thanks for joining us Mike
    thank you so we got a few things to look
    at now the Market’s been very volatile
    some people talking about we’re in the
    pullback and we were but then it re
    rebounded the Market’s up today uh so
    let’s kick off with the the market that
    really drives everything the S&P 500
    what are you seeing there look I mean so
    far it’s just a run-of-the-mill pullback
    really I mean every year you get these
    uh you know 5 to 10% pullbacks and and
    that’s exactly what we have now so you
    if we have a look at you know the rally
    off the lows in October clearly um you
    very strong move higher so I don’t know
    why anyone’s um surprised to see the
    market pull back this is only about a 5%
    move is that it well I mean it’s been
    trading pretty well in the past week I
    know our Market has had a you know had a
    rough day on Friday but in terms of the
    US um not trading too badly and maybe it
    does something like what we saw in the
    second half of last year where it just
    needs a little bit more time to wash
    through but I I don’t I just don’t see
    it coming back to the same extent at
    this point in time um I think it might
    drift sideways a bit and frustrate a few
    people but yeah essentially just a
    pretty standard cooling off and I expect
    it to head higher throughout the rest of
    and I guess the only thing that could
    send it low would be a
    surprise piece of economic data that
    says inflation’s rising in the US and
    therefore they might have to raise
    interest rates or no Cuts forever or
    something like that the market needs to
    be completely spooked for that become
    something serious yeah at the moment it
    seems as though the Market’s more
    concerned about um the fact the economy
    is doing well companies are doing well
    and that seems to be overriding uh any
    of the other negativity exactly right
    okay let’s go to the the local market
    now yeah so this CH isn’t it yeah yeah
    um but but that was yeah but our Market
    still looks good now at this point in
    time so um you know this is a weekly
    chart and I’m still highlighting um you
    know we spoke about this last year how
    the market was building up under that
    7600 level and as soon as he gets a
    breakout you that will be the start of
    the new rally and we had that breakout
    earlier this year we’ve come back to
    retest it you give will take a few
    points but generally we’ve come back to
    that that breakout level which is quite
    natural um and we’re finding support
    around that level um looks fine I mean
    for those who are who are into charting
    you know you could call this pattern an
    inverse Head and Shoulders which
    essentially is um um you know like a
    continuation pattern an upside down Head
    and Shoulders upside down it’s a head
    inside the shoulders probably where the
    chest is well we just got we’ve got the
    person hanging upside down okay um but
    basically it’s look it’s a positive you
    know there’s been the breakout we’re
    retesting it um and it should move
    through 8,000 by the end of the year
    okay so once again it’s going to be a
    surprise piece of data this is not not
    telling you that the market until Friday
    was worried about ra Rising interest
    rates no look at I mean our Market
    because you know it’s been a
    double-edged sword with all the
    resources that we’ve had it’s hurt us a
    few years ago when Tech was going up in
    the US and we lagged but but now that’s
    going to help us of course with you know
    Rising commodity prices gold copper um
    what have you so I think that that will
    actually help our Market yeah and China
    on the improve will be big help as well
    let’s go to the next one now some
    individual companies and this is foros
    skew uh it’s something that you have
    liked when a lot of the analysts haven’t
    liked it um I guess um well it looks as
    though it’s trying to do another
    comeback yeah yeah I’ve um I’ve been a
    buyer of forcu again in the past um few
    weeks or so yeah so the overall pattern
    here this is a weekly chart so as we
    spoke about last year the building up
    under resistance at 23 the breakout saw
    it run up towards 30 it’s come back to
    retest it it’s bounced off that old that
    old level and then in the past few weeks
    it’s essentially traded sideways so um
    to me looks like it’s preparing for
    another another move higher so would you
    sell at
    30 um look I did sell a bit earlier than
    30 um but I’m definitely getting back in
    or I have got back in for clients so
    yeah yeah looking good yeah and I I
    guess helping you was and improving
    Chinese Outlook still not as great as
    you’d like it be but it’s a lot better
    than what the experts were tipping say
    three or four months ago exactly y let’s
    go to the next one now ch chalice look
    unfortunately still a bit of a sick
    looking chart so you know look like a
    hero on this half and then in this half
    it’s um obviously given up from about
    $10 down to it’s trading only slightly
    above $1 maybe it’s basing so what I
    mean by that is maybe there’s enough
    buying support that it it heads sideways
    for a while and the reason why it’ll be
    hard for it to to Rally strongly from
    down here is because you’ve got so many
    people have paid higher prices for
    Charice that every time he gets a bit of
    a run and I think today is one of those
    days where I think it’s up 8 or %. it
    doesn’t tend to follow through because
    people hit the sell button and they
    think well that’s my chance to get if
    you got up if you got in at say five or
    six or even eight or 10 it’s interesting
    but it it basically is in that sort of
    space that it just needs
    um some some circuit breaker to make it
    come out of that that funk that’s in
    there yeah exactly and then it needs to
    work through all the all the sellers who
    sell into that so that’s why you end up
    with it heading sideways for a while as
    it builds a base and then eventually
    hopefully all the stars are still align
    for the business and it can head higher
    but I think it’s too early for that
    given Tim Go’s involvement in chalice
    the last 12 months or so hasn’t been
    great for the Goa family no no I mean he
    was in in all the papers not long ago um
    when it was buying a lot when it dropped
    yeah yeah because his brother’s been
    coping at qutis and AFL as well so it’s
    been I must admit Richard Gord used to
    be very good on my TV show when he was
    at Wes Farmers one of the few guys who
    turn out whether the report was good or
    bad but since then he’s CED a bit let’s
    go to the next
    one R yeah um have to Adit I’ve um
    selling it uh selling it today um for
    some clients so yeah done really well
    off those lows um I think from the
    October low to where it is now it’s
    you’re looking at a 50% return
    um so what we’ve had is you know as
    we’ve spoken about before the big Drop
    the Base the up the break out of the
    base um so that that’s your Buy Signal
    and it’s traded really well so you get
    these nice rallies consolidation rally
    and you’ve had this sort of longer
    consolidation here it’s popped up again
    and clearly in the past couple of days
    it’s I think it’s up maybe 12% in two
    days so it’s it’s done quite a bit
    fairly unsustainable Le is that where
    you’re getting out we’re going good yeah
    looks some of my clients who are happy
    to hold longer term um will be holding
    it here and others are happy to you know
    Bank the profit and what I what I’d be
    looking for is something similar to this
    where you had a very sharp move up and
    then it it’s SP few you know few months
    in the wilderness there and it had its
    you know sort of 10% pullbacks along the
    way
    so that there’s a high possibility of
    that happening again I could be wrong um
    what I’m looking at here with these blue
    lines is there’s a gap in August and
    often when you see these big gaps in
    share prices when a share gets back in
    that zone it tends to suffer quite a bit
    of selling I mean don’t ask me why it’s
    just an observation I was going to ask
    you why too so it cancel it yeah I knew
    you would ask that um so with reset I
    think it came within about 8 cents of um
    the top end of that Gap and then it’s
    been been drifting lower all day so look
    in the short term it will come back um
    longer term I think it still has further
    upside so for any of our viewers looking
    to buy
    ResMed um I don’t think you need to run
    in today I think just wait for a bit of
    bit of weakness you know see a bit of
    profit taking like like in these areas
    here maybe it comes back to WS $30 and
    um and then pick it up again because I
    think it’s still a sort of a mid to high
    $30 St I saw an interesting interview on
    a program called real time uh us
    comedian Bill Mah has a a TV show once a
    week and he’s a bit of a saturnist and
    he actually had a well-known American
    Health television star who’s welln
    America I I didn’t know her and she was
    laying into the magic diet drugs which
    of course affected resident sh PR at one
    time in case you didn’t know the
    argument was overweight people take the
    drugs they no longer overweight
    therefore they they have don’t have the
    sleep out year they’ve had in the past
    resman is going to have a problem that
    was kind of the the simple argument and
    when he asked her what why she was
    railing against these drugs she said
    quite simple just read what’s on the box
    and there’s a whole lot of warnings
    about what happens when you take these
    magic drugs she said there’s going to be
    real problems for it and I think U they
    probably exaggerated the impact of the
    change on people the the weight loss and
    the Sleep apne issues resm Med’s
    probably um resumed it successful
    performance this was a gift it was you
    don’t see these opportunities every now
    and then to see it drop from current
    levels in the low 30s to the low 20s on
    something so silly and we got that one
    right we’ll ignore the ones we got wrong
    but that one we got right let’s go to
    the next one okay talking about you know
    Health stock
    uh Ramsey has been a disappointment I’ve
    got to say I when it share price fell I
    thought another good buying opportunity
    but it really has struggled are we
    seeing anything to raise our confidence
    not yet to be honest um I mean and we
    like you to be honest Mich a choice
    between dishonest and honest we go for
    honest um so this is a weekly chart and
    essentially it’s at the same level as 10
    years ago so I know know we have stocks
    like CSL which are the same levels as 3
    or 4 years ago um but yeah this is quite
    extreme so 10 years of of of nothing
    really and these guys were offered what
    I offered 70 yeah must must have been up
    here this is why I always the board said
    no you get these take offers yeah just
    sell the stock because look at the
    downside risk if it doesn’t so you get
    these takeover offers and you hold out
    for a little bit more and then it
    doesn’t go through and then you have
    that happen to you
    um look you could maybe say well there’s
    a bit of a range here it’s at the bottom
    of the range but um yeah look it’s
    there’s just nothing at the moment
    that’s telling me that it can head
    higher if you’re looking at Health Care
    stocks okay obviously um you know
    ResMed run hard in the short term but
    that still is further upside you know
    cockle is trading well um I think CSL
    obviously is a much better company than
    Ramsey so yeah there’s already three
    Healthcare stocks do you need a fourth
    one um probably not no I guess for the
    people who are holding would you be a
    seller or would you move on to something
    else yeah yeah you’re a hard man you
    can’t hold everything you must be a
    tough father for you’re poor kids all
    right let’s go to the next question next
    uh next one xrf now both you and I
    weren’t sure about this but we were
    quite impressed with the chart um what
    what do you this is a xrf scientific and
    they are in in to uh yeah it looks like
    they’re into um scientific testing in
    the mining area again I hadn’t heard of
    it so just from the little the little uh
    two seconds research I’ve done but just
    purely from a charting point of view you
    great chart and it makes sense um if
    they’re in the right the right sector at
    the moment um so I guess what’s
    interesting with this chart is you get
    um yeah there’s been a couple of
    instances where you have that sort of
    classic formation of a resistance line
    you break above that resistance line
    meaning all the sellers are gone and
    then the Stock’s able to resume that
    uptrend so we could see at this point
    here you sort of essentially headed
    sideways with a you know bit of selling
    kicking in every time it got near about
    sort of 75 cents 80 C then as soon as it
    cleared that it was right to Rally again
    um and then once again we could see here
    about a year ago there was obviously a
    bit of selling up up here near about a 1
    35ish uh and then most recently it’s
    come back to that level and it’s popped
    up so it looks like all the selling is
    over um and if this is one big
    consolidation that’s been in place for
    about a year that means we should end up
    with a multi-month rally from here so so
    far so good with this does it mean as a
    company you you do some homework on
    given the fact that wasn’t on your radar
    screen I’m I’m inclined to do exactly
    the same thing myself yeah if I mean if
    if it’s head the right way and it’s
    doing all the right things then it’s
    definitely one
    to let’s go to the next one now it’s
    another well this is a more well-known
    one Sonic uh Healthcare yeah um doesn’t
    look too hot doesn’t so unfortunately no
    no indication that it’s it’s forming a
    low or or seeing great buying support
    it’s just one big downtrend since um Mid
    2021 when it it looked like they were
    going to make a fortune pmic was good
    testing yeah so yeah pandemics don’t
    last forever and and you know that’s
    what you end up with so again um yeah
    how many Healthcare stocks can you hold
    do you need to have this one I guess the
    answer is no yeah I apologize to the
    board of Sonic but at this point in time
    you’re not doing enough to impress us
    let’s go to the next
    one and another another one we haven’t
    heard of before kind shocked us and I
    should say some of these have come from
    uh
    subscribers who when we do boom Doom
    Zoom which you’ve sted in occasionally
    uh they come from leftfield with some
    interesting companies we don’t know and
    this is wellam a
    AI mining AIC mining yeah the name of
    the company so again quick look it tells
    us that it’s copper and gold so the two
    Commodities that are doing really well
    so again it’s um you know I’ll have to
    look into it there before that’s
    interesting thing is it yeah yeah so
    essentially what we’ve got is um you
    know you’ve got a downtrend that’s again
    a very clear line in place there um and
    that was
    broken it looks this is a weekly chart
    so it looks like only about two months
    ago um so shame shame I wasn’t aware of
    it then so it’s on the way up I mean to
    buy it here it’s run pretty hard you’d
    be looking at a pullback yeah a bit of a
    pullback um but you’d be holding it and
    I guess if you’re out there thinking
    well I want to get exposure to Copper um
    and at the moment in our Market it’s
    pretty much BHP and sire the big two and
    BP is trying to buy more through Anglo
    americ Amer um so maybe this is one to
    to look at if you’re happy to take on a
    bit of risk look as I said don’t know
    anything about the company so viewers
    have to do their own their own research
    but it’s trading the right way so that’s
    that’s the main thing I mean the last
    the last thing you need is to yeah
    you’ve been positive on copper you’ve
    you you bought the copper stock you’re
    right Copper’s going up and then your
    stock just goes down yeah at least this
    one’s heading the right way it’s
    interesting Mike you know um a lot of my
    clients my financial planning clients
    have been asking me about gold but my
    problem is I think go could go higher
    but you are a record highs aren’t you so
    it’s and when it falls it it falls yeah
    it can move it can move pretty quickly
    are you buying gold you you’re buying
    gold stocks we’ve definitely been buyers
    of gold yeah since still year um I’d be
    looking to buy on on a pullback from
    current level so at the moment the gold
    price is consolidating but when you look
    at um you know the Central Bank
    buying um and it seems to be that Gold’s
    in a bit of a sweet spot where if
    they’re not raising rates everyone
    thinks that inflation will get out of
    control so you’ll buy gold otherwise if
    they if they do drop rates then you know
    gold clearly benefits from that so I
    guess if Wars stop H that’s probably a
    big big one to um believe in um but if
    uh interest rates start to fall then we
    may well have seen the top of gold but
    those are got in
    early and once you go early have been
    waiting a long time for this recovery
    haven’t they yeah well I mean gold it is
    very cyclical and there’s been there’s
    been periods where I’ve just stayed away
    from gold stocks I think yeah until we
    started buying last year I I don’t think
    I traded I think it’s been years since
    um we’ve we’ve traded gold um to any
    great degree okay do you have any more
    stocks left well you’re your favorite
    yeah I I brought something in today so
    this is mcari um we all you’re going
    very conservative M I totally agree with
    you I was going to bring in another
    uranium stock I’ve already done that a
    few times um I just really like these
    levels for for mcquarry um obviously
    they’re a benefici beneficiary of
    improving Global growth um etc etc so in
    terms of the way it’s traded you very
    nice sort of pattern here where you had
    this sort of cooling off in the share
    price since the the peak in in
    2021 um very clear downtrend line which
    has been broken but since then it’s been
    tested on a couple of occasions so back
    here I think in February it dropped very
    briefly and then bounced again and then
    most recently in the past couple of
    weeks it sort of dropped again to that
    that old breakout Zone near $180 and
    then it’s bounced so you end up with
    this sort of double bottom
    within not showing it here but the
    long-term trend for mcar is to the
    upside so you get these little double
    bottoms yeah um and that’s quite a
    bullish sign so I think here in the 180s
    is a buying opportunity and I guess what
    you’re betting on is does the US come
    out of its potential troubl period And
    there’s more growth lower interest rates
    tech companies and growth companies do
    well and mcari is intimately connected
    to growth isn’t it and and the US is
    more important to mcari than Australia
    nowadays so all that’s the whole story
    and it means from my point of view when
    people ask me is like I won’t be
    surprised if it Beach 200 because it’s
    been to 200 on the strength of what
    you’re saying you know what what’ you
    expect 210 220 over the next year uh it
    should go to new highs um but yeah once
    you know once it gets to those old highs
    near 110 115 it might obviously slow
    down there’ll there’ll be people selling
    woring people you said 150 oh yeah sorry
    a lot of people just press the cell
    button yeah so all right so that’s
    that’s a fair call it’s an interesting
    call marike thanks for joining us thank
    you that’s Mike gal from Fairmont
    equities and that’s a show for this week
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