NATGAS Natural Gas Analysis: ABCDE Pattern Confirmed! This Is What To Expect Next!

    hello my friends this is the video that
    I made on natural gas Futures uh 6 days
    ago when the price of this asset was at
    $1.75 4 Mark and my main assumption was
    that we were forming the ABCDE
    correction it is a some kind of
    symmetrical triangle and we were forming
    the e-wave and right here as you can see
    I drew this line by connecting three
    bottoms and it was a perfect perfect
    balance out of this line this was the
    real range of support in this triangle
    and my main assumption was that we
    basically have two possibilities first
    all we might see an underthrow movement
    in ewave and from the point somewhere at
    $1.8 we might have the next movement to
    the downside the second option is the
    overthrow of the ew and I showed you uh
    it right here I didn’t do any changes by
    the way I didn’t do any changes in
    between my videos and and here you can
    see that uh my first option worked
    perfectly well we had this roll over and
    we broke the bottom off the D wve right
    now as you can see we have this
    confirmation and we are still in
    downtrend and guys I have to say that uh
    in general we are still in downtrend and
    we are forming the fifth wave or in the
    fifth wave on a bigger scale and this
    means we have to break all these Bottoms
    in order to confirm this trend and for
    now we’ve broken the first range of
    support and definitely it is the first
    confirmation of this shape so as you can
    see technical analysis works perfectly
    well and if you want to know more about
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    the and let’s continue with the
    fundamental news first all let me show
    you this update we are on
    tradingeconomics.com and let me quote
    you this news us natural gas Futures
    fell more than 5% toward
    17 per mmbtu due to expectations of
    reduced heating demand for the upcoming
    week and in anticipation of the weekly
    Federal Storage report analysts
    predicted that gas stock piles were more
    than 35% higher than the usual levels
    for this time of the year driven by
    combination of elevated uh start and
    storage levels and Mild winter gas
    demand including export is expected to
    decrease to 92.7 billion cubic feet per
    day next week from uh 98 bcfd this week
    on the other hand daily liquified
    natural gas feed gas reached 12.4 bcfd
    with gas flowing to fre Port L’s Texas
    export terminal increasing to 0.5 bcfd
    from 0.1 bcfd last Friday meanwhile us
    gas production has fallen by
    approximately 10% this year as energy
    companies like equity and CH energy
    delayed well completions and scaled back
    drilling activities and definitely all
    of the major uh companies uh all of the
    major uh LNG and natural gas
    manufacturers will reduce their activity
    because these actions will lead to lower
    range of production for them and uh
    definitely it might increase their
    profit because of the price but for now
    we are still in downtrend and from the
    technical standpoint I see nothing but
    the movement to the downside and let’s
    continue with the technical analysis but
    before we di deep right here please
    subscribe to my channel hit notification
    Bell and hit the like button this helps
    me a lot so guys definitely this
    structure looks a bit messy I don’t need
    this tool let me delete it for
    now and I have to say that uh this
    structure is not a perfect structure we
    still have I still have some doubts
    about this wave from D to C Point as you
    can see it has a clear diagonal five way
    structure and uh in the ABCDE correction
    uh wave we shouldn’t have five wave
    structure inside this waves this is the
    only violation of this pattern so far
    and guys if my assumption is correct and
    E the top of the E wave is right here
    the entire retracement we don’t need ABC
    correction for now the top of our fourth
    wave might be right here and if it is
    the case we have to confirm it by
    breaking the D point and the bottom of
    this entire retracement at the level of
    about $1.
    452 and guys definitely this movement to
    the downside in terms of its shape has a
    very indicative movement but in terms of
    volume in my opinion it doesn’t uh
    support this uh formation this means we
    still have a chance to have a bounce to
    the upside and as long as these two
    pivot holds the D point and the zero
    points right here as low as these two
    pivot holes we are still on the
    nowhere’s territory and guys definitely
    my main assumption is still the same if
    I zoom out to 4 hours time frame you can
    see that uh we are in this uh let me
    show you like this we are in this uh
    formation one 2 three 4 and uh we are in
    the fifth wave we potentially are
    forming this fifth wave and this fifth
    wave is nothing else about the end in
    fifth we from the bigger scale because
    we have uh let me show you like this
    this is the top potential top of our
    fourth wave and uh we have to see
    another leg to the downside on a bigger
    scale that will be the bottom of the
    fourth wave for now I don’t want to make
    a any projections of the bottom of the
    fifth wave on a smaller scale which will
    be the bottom potentially the bottom of
    the fifth wave on a slightly bigger
    scale because we first of all have to
    have a confirmation of this movement but
    at the same time guys on bigger scale I
    don’t see anything uh than this wave and
    if I zoom out even uh to a daily time
    frame you can see that we are in the
    major let me delete unnecessary Tools in
    order to see it more properly we are in
    the major retracement to the downside
    let me show you like
    this we from this point from n from
    almost $10 Mark we formed an a wave we
    formed an bwa and we are in the
    formation in the c-wave and c-wave
    should have a five wave structure and
    this five wave structure is right here
    one two three very very long unusual
    four wave and uh next like to the
    downside that also should have a shape
    of five wave structure and that is why
    we are here at the very end of this
    movement and guys definitely in the
    long-term perspective when this wave
    will be formed it will be a perfect
    opportunity to see to catch the next
    lack to the upside because we still
    because we have to see a bounce we have
    to see a bounce to the upsite from the
    technical standpoint and definitely it
    will be a major movement for the natural
    gas and uh when this bottom will be
    extremely close to the resolution I will
    do another update and definitely I will
    do even more updates in between these
    two points and then we will be able to
    catch this movement to the upsite so I
    think that’s all information that I want
    to provide you if you like my video
    please hit the like button and subscribe
    to my Channel with notification Bell and
    see you guys in next time bye I got cash
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    ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas is an exchange traded fund launched by ProShare Capital Management LLC. The fund is co-managed by ProFund Advisors LLC and ProShare Advisors LLC. The fund invests in the commodity markets. It takes long positions and uses derivatives to invest in natural gas sector. It uses derivatives such as futures to create its portfolio. The fund seeks to track 2x the daily performance of the Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex. ProShares Trust II – ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Natural Gas was formed on October 4, 2011 and is domiciled in the United States. In this BOIL Stock Analysis video, we discuss swing trading and investing in the company. We analyze the 55 EMA (Exponential Moving average), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), RSI (Relative Strength Index), bullish and bearish trends, technical analysis chart patterns, and potential entry and exit points for traders and investors.

    Timecodes:
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    0:12 Fundamental Analysis
    4:22 Technical Analysis

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    2 Comments

    1. I watched this video carefully, but one thing kind of confuses me with your technical analysis specifically on natural gas. That is, Natural gas has different contracts every month, and each contract has different price, therefore the price can go up after rollover without price action being moved anywhere. There are charts available on Tradingview supercharts that factor-in and "remove" rollover gaps. According to them, we have already pierced every bottom, we basically had an all-time low today. Could you give us your opinions on that chart too in future? I appreciate your work and you have been extremely accurate with your predictions on natural gas so far!

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