When Will The Bitcoin Bull Market End? Halving Cycle Analysis

When Will The Bitcoin Bull Market End? Halving Cycle Analysis

when will the Bitcoin bull market end
how long will it last we’ll be talking
about two predominant perspectives one
of those is the typical harving Cycles
but the other is going to be the
accelerated cycle and we’ll be talking
about both of these perspectives in a
lot of detail so subscribe to the
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future like this video if you enjoy
content like this going forward and
let’s dive right into it so if we look
at the typical harving Cycles we’ll be
talking about what do we tend to see in
terms of bull market Peak
in these typical harving Cycles so 518
days after the Haring is where we saw a
bull market peak in that
201617
cycle but in the 2020 2021 cycle this
was a slightly
longer bull market Peak which occurred 1
month later compared to what we saw in
the previous cycle and that was 546 days
after the
so if we were to just see history repeat
with a 518 day after the Haring bu
Market Peak or even 546 day period after
the Haring ball Market Peak that would
get us to Mid September or mid October
2025 so that’s that perspective in a
nutshell and what’s interesting about
this harving cycle in general is that
this
is in of itself slight L an accelerated
cycle but we’ll be talking about that in
a lot more detail because let’s actually
move on to the main accelerated cycle
thesis because historically it has taken
Bitcoin 24 days after the Haring to
break to new all-time highs you see that
in the 2020 cycle at 214 days after
after the having we broke to new alltime
highs in the 2016 cycle
we broke to new alltime highs 214 days
after the Haring as well so if history
were to repeat and we know that it
hasn’t and it
didn’t then Bitcoin were to reach that
new alltime high in this cycle 214 days
after the Haring but what happened
instead is that Bitcoin actually reached
a new alltime high 1 month prior to the
Haring in this
cycle so if that’s the case I mean it is
the case indeed but that just means that
we are 260 days ahead of schedule at
least at the moment of Bitcoin breaking
to new alltime highs in this cycle it
was 260 days ahead of schedule but the
thing about that is that we’ve been
consolidating in this structure around
the harving event and it’s been going on
for a fair amount of time of
approximately over over 30 days so if we
think about this acceleration in March
being 260 days because we’ve seen
consolidation for the past month or even
more that acceleration has decreased
from 260 days to
approximately 230 days and for as long
as this
reaccumulation continues to occur then
we’ll see continued deceleration
and that’s going to be very good for the
cycle we’re going to see reverting to
historical
Norms so this deceleration is good for
the cycle in terms of resynchronizing
this current cycle with the typical
Haring cycle that we tend to
see however this consolidation would
need to go on for quite a while so if we
had 260 days in March that rate of
acceleration
with this 30-day consolidation period
we’re now seeing a rate of acceleration
by 230 days we need to see a few more
months of sideways price action for that
acceleration to really Return To Zero
and even
then if we look at this acceleration
being 230 days well in the previous
harving Cycles we’ve seen acceleration
by 1 month month by 30 days so there is
a possibility that we won’t decelerate
completely we won’t consolidate here
forever and as a result there’s still
going to be some slight leftover
acceleration and that’s going to be fine
in line with the Haring cycle itself the
Haring cycle itself allows for some
minimal acceleration so the accelerated
Cycle Theory suggests that maybe the
harving period or at least the Haring
shouldn’t be the reference point for
Price instead it should be the old
all-time highs and historically when
Bitcoin has broken Beyond old all-time
highs it has rallied for a certain
amount of time so this was the first old
alltime high it broke beyond it took 266
days for Bitcoin to top out in this
cycle when it broke beyond old alltime
highs it took 280 days and this cycle
when we broke beyond old alltime highs
it took 3155 days so we’re already
seeing this extension lengthening in the
amount of days that it takes for Bitcoin
to break Beyond old alltime highs and
bull market Peak but even if we were
just to look at this window of 266 days
to 3155 days just based on these three
data points then that essentially would
mean that we were to we could Peak at
the end of November of 2024 or late
December early January December 2024
early January
2025 so if we were to see the same rate
of acceleration that we saw a month ago
then this would be probably the
predominant perspective but because
we’re seeing this
consolidation continue here and just
notice how the green circle showcases
that consolidation is very much normal
price Behavior at around old alltime
High regions and this reaccumulation and
consolidation here tends to pred
breakout rallies to new alltime highs
that’s what awaits Bitcoin in this cycle
but this consolidation is going to
continue for a little while longer and
the longer it continues the more we’ll
see a lengthening in the amount of time
that takes for Bitcoin to break Beyond
old alltime highs and rally to a new bll
market Peak so we could see lengthening
here in terms of this historical
tendency which ties in with the fact
that if we see extended consolidation
here that’s going to resynchronize the
cycle more with the traditional Haring
cycle and it also ties in with a
potential lengthening here in terms of
maybe an additional month on top here
which gets us deep into the new year of
2020 into maybe February March it really
depends how long we consolidate here but
the accelerated cycle is is saying to us
that late 2024 early 2025 is when that
bull market Peak could occur the harving
cycle is suggesting to us that maybe
we’re going to see a midt mid October
2025 bull market Peak but it is a
dynamic situation a very Dynamic
situation because of this reaccumulation
range that we’re seeing around a harving
event and we tend to see this
reaccumulation period take place around
a harving
in every cycle whether it’s 2020 even
2016 as well we saw a reaccumulation
period so it really does depend on how
long this current reaccumulation period
is going to be because that’s going to
cut into the acceleration that we’re
seeing currently in the cycle and the
longer this consolidation continues the
more acceleration or at least
deceleration we’re going to see in this
cycle so in a nutshell at the moment we
are accelerating in this cycle by 230
days but that’s already an improvement
on the 260 days that we saw in the month
prior in March we were seeing 260 days
and now we’re getting close to May which
means that 230 Days is now the current
acceleration and this can still continue
for a little while longer if we look at
this reaccumulation period that lasted
for a few months so if we add an
additional few months to this current
reaccumulation period that’s going to
further cut in to the current
acceleration in this cycle which means
that we’re going to continue to
resynchronize more and more with
traditional Haring Cycles really depends
on how long we continue to consolidate
here but this is a real
benefit for this current cycle because
that means that we’re going to be
pushing the bull market Peak later into
the future meaning that the bull market
will continue to last for much longer
which is going to in evitably play in to
a much healthier parabolic uptrend once
we break out from this reaccumulation
range in the future that’s months down
the line probably but this parabolic
phase still lays ahead and the longer
this reaccumulation takes place the
greater and more impressive this
parabolic phase is going to be in the
future thank you so much for watching
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#bitcoin #crypto #cryptocurrencies
We’ll be talking about historical cycle analysis in an effort to better understand how long this Bitcoin Bull Market could last. We’ll be discussing the traditional Bitcoin Halving Cycle perspective and comparing it to the Accelerated Cycle perspective (also known as Left Translated Cycle)

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