BITCOIN: THIS IS VERY DANGEROUS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! BIG DUMP INCOMING?!?!?!??!?? BTC Analysis
we’ve got a very dangerous setup on this
chart ladies and gents and the reason we
have this setup looking so bad right now
is because Bitcoin is yet again and this
is now like the fifth time we’ve done
this throughout this trend is yet again
coming back down into the very low range
of the 60k area and that means trouble
the reason that means trouble is because
again we’re always looking at the
strength that we move up from our
support levels and if we start seeing
that we’ve lost strength and that we
quickly revisit our areas of support
that tells us the strongest possible
it’s the strongest possible indication
it’s literally the Market’s own body
language showing us that it is getting
weaker and it is running out of strength
this is something that we’ve spoken
about a lot on the channel recently and
it has been 100% correct I’m going to
continue to show that to you in this
video but those of you that were
subscribed shout out to you none of this
should be taking you by surprise and I
want to show you a few different ways
that we can
actually that we can actually kind of
understand this and the first way is
just by looking at see when you bounce
off the area of support this doesn’t
count cuz we were we were actually
breaking resistance here but when you
bounce off support how long does it take
to revisit that area again on the first
occasion here the first two uh hits had
a 14 and 1/2 day Gap the next one had a
24 day Gap those were two very big gaps
right you’re talking two and 3 weeks
respectively very respectable time
frames for the price to come back down
to support that’s okay the next one
obviously much shorter 3 days after that
one day and after that we’re already
coming back down and if we just see
another one or two days of dumping this
is going to be about 10 11 days and
we’re back down to support again that’s
the first way you can judge this how
quickly do you return down to support if
you continuously return down quickly and
if your uh returns become more frequent
that is a strong sign that the support
will eventually collapse and you’ve got
to start looking for support at
significantly lower levels in this case
it’s significant in other cases it might
not be the reason it’s significant here
is because if we look at Price history
there’s just not that much trading that
has ever taken place between this yellow
line at 61k and this yellow line at 52k
Bitcoin just doesn’t usually trade in
this range that much and we can see that
very clearly you know when we broke it
over here it was a pretty quick move up
and a qu pretty quick move back down we
stayed above the line for a total of
about 6 days on this occasion here very
same thing until we came back down to it
again uh you know we’re just not
spending that much time in this range
when we first broke up we didn’t even
use any resistance in the range at all
so typically when that happens if you
don’t use any resistance on the way up
you can’t expect support on the way down
as well so we’ll get to that in just
just a second as well thanks for
smashing those likes if you are excited
ladies and gents and of course do
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to trade with uh if we bring it back to
the market the second key way that we
can actually see how weak this Market is
is by looking at the bouncers uh again
we’ve looked at all of this before but I
will repeat it because it’s super
important there’s two key factors we’re
looking at when we’re looking for
bounces the first key factor is how
quick are the bounces the second key
factor is how high do the bouncers go if
we take a look at the first one here
this was a 16h hour 14% rally okay
within 16 hours it went up by about 14%
you could say yeah it’s about yeah 16 20
hours right basically around there on
this occasion here the first move up
takes place again across about 16 20
hours and it’s a 12% rally pretty
healthy right we’re moving up by double
digit percentage points and we’re doing
it within less than a day within one day
cycle actually pretty good on this
occasion here from our bounce to our
high this was a 10% pump but it takes
about double the time am I saying that
right yeah I am one and a half day we’re
moving up by less and we’re moving up a
lot less intensely the next time from
low to high we’re moving up and and the
and and if we’re looking at similar time
frames it’s you know about one day later
we’re up by 7% about 2 days later we’re
up by 10% 5 days later we’re up by 12%
it takes 5 days to match what we did
previously in 16 hours this is a very
very strong sign that overall we were
producing and by the way these pumps
went much higher right this pump took us
up to our actual all-time high this pump
took us up very close you know these two
you know these were the actual tops and
the market didn’t actually go higher
than them so really not good signs
ladies and gents definitely not good
signs you one of the other things I told
you guys is that we need to start
punching in um higher highs right we’ve
been setting lower highs in this trend
the whole time we need to start punching
those highs a little bit higher right so
this was the key level to break this was
also a key level to break we definitely
broke this one with ease but this one we
didn’t really break very well you know
if you go ahead and just kind of drop a
line at that previous High we did get a
couple of Wicks but there was nothing
significant here this is not a break of
our previous High which to me means that
this is now a double top so we’ve got a
little double top forming in this market
here there’s a lot more I’ll show you as
well and by the way this is not a purely
negative video you’re actually going to
see uh in a few minutes when I get to it
there is an extremely strong bullish
sign on this market and it’s actually
really exciting it’s something that I
personally take very seriously so I’m
pretty hyped up for that if you are
definitely make sure that you smash
those likes up and double check that
you’re subscribed as well uh obviously
that stuff goes Super far for uh both
you and I because you don’t miss out on
this amazing content and uh and I get uh
I get numbers that go up so that’s
pretty cool but uh but yeah so so we’re
producing weaker bounces and um and you
know it it goes deeper than that you
know if we if we take another look at at
how this is looking as well you know
again it’s just we’re coming back down
into the bottom of the range we’ve got
our support now at about
$62,000 which is you know more or less
where we are we’re a little bit higher
than that right now uh you know you can
obviously draw lots of different support
and resistance areas on this chart uh
you know and what we also have
developing now on smaller time frames is
lots of resistance above our heads right
now as well uh you know areas that you
know we previously got rejected at like
you know the areas I was just talking to
you about this area now has an ichimoku
Cloud here offering resistance on the 1
hour so uh you know if we go ahead and
take a look at that we’re also going to
start to to see that you know look
previous areas that we were kind of
struggling at they’re going to be much
harder to overcome now uh so that is
also important we’ve already seen this
on the 4-Hour time frame as well it’s
not particularly often that the 4H hour
ichimoku cloud is in exactly the same
place as the 1hour ichimoku cloud right
take a look at
this right there 4our ichimoku cloud
overlaps with the 1hour cloud uh you
know it it’s it’s Confluence what we’re
seeing is that across different time
frames the same indicator is telling you
the same thing you’re even seeing
different indicators telling you the
same thing look at the 4H hour EMA
ribbon you know it’s it’s in the same
place if we put the ichimoku cloud back
on here we are you know it’s the same
general resistance area if we put it on
the 1 hour it’s right in the [Β __Β ]
Center you know so uh there there is
Confluence here across different time
frames across different tools and
they’re unrelated tools you know EMAs
and ichimoku are completely different
indicators and that’s why I use them you
know one thing that I find a little bit
silly that honestly you know you
probably might even be making this
mistake up to now uh you know and I sure
did as well it’s nothing to be ashamed
about is that you use indicators which
kind of do the same thing slightly
differently you know they might have a
small difference but they’re not
actually that different for example RSI
and MCD brilliant example very common
beginner Duo that people people use as
indicators but they’re both momentum
indicators and uh you know for me I
first of all I don’t want to use that
many indicators because they’re actually
not that useful especially if you can
analyze the way I’m showing you right
now you’ll have complete Clarity of
what’s going on and you won’t even you
know we didn’t put a single indicator on
this chart until like 7 minutes into the
video and you already understood much
more about this Market by 7 Minutes in
than most people ever would um and that
and by the way people are like you know
your videos are too long dude the videos
are as long as they need to be if you
don’t like it I’m not talking to you you
know I mean if if you don’t have time
for this then go uh you know I’m talking
to the people who have serious money in
this game uh who have time to put into
it and if that’s not you then that’s
your [Β __Β ] problem dude but I don’t I
don’t operate like that I consider my
decisions carefully I think about it the
way I’m telling you guys and uh you know
that and and that and that’s because the
money is important to me you know I’m
going to put some time into it it’s it’s
really not a big ask so
um you know I it’s it’s not going to
change the videos are going to be as
long as they need to be or as short as
they need to be um you know nothing gets
forced here but uh you know here’s the
thing like you know we’re starting to
see that kind of resistance mounting up
here uh and then just actually back on
the note of the indicators uh you know I
don’t like to use too many because the
normal analysis that I show you is great
uh but also if I’m not going to use too
many I need to pick him carefully right
so I don’t want to use like you know the
same thing it’s like it’s like going to
the gym and all you do is chest workouts
and then you think that you know you’re
going to have a developed body you’re
going to have a strong chest but the day
you need to pick something up off the
ground and it’s really heavy you’re
going to have no back support you know
you’re going to have weak legs and
you’re just going to collapse and and in
trading what that means is you’re going
to lose money so it can be very
dangerous um now here’s something
interesting we were trading in a rising
wedge and it traded right up into 65k
resistance here uh I’m sorry 67 the 8K
resistance here and the uh speculative
Target of this wedge drops down by 7%
from the breakout point which puts us
right in the
$61,000 price range we haven’t reached
that level yet we have fulfilled most of
this target so I think it makes a lot of
sense that given how we’re already on
track to reach this target we’re
probably going to come back down and tag
it at least uh you know maybe we get a
pump from there and I’ll talk to you
guys about that in a minute but at a
minute
uh you know I have to expect that we
come down to that 61.8k level um you
know just into that General kind of
range now here’s the other thing if we
do end up coming back down to the bottom
of these ranges the these are still
support and you know it’s not something
that I would be looking to short because
support is where the price bounces and
even though I think it looks weak and
it’s going to roll over I’m saying this
more from a perspective of I’m not
buying anything yet you know I think I’m
going to going to get better prices it’s
not because I want to sell or anything
you know I I I think the cost of selling
is too high you know I would rather be
in and lose 10 20 30
40% um you know I’m I’m very prepared to
lose 40% most of you aren’t but you need
to be okay with that cuz that can happen
it’s actually very normal uh I’m very
prepared to lose 40% uh but I’m not
prepared to take myself out of the
market because if this thing does rally
you know a 40% loss is going to look you
know like a pretty small cost in terms
of uh you know the two 300% upside that
you’ve missed out on cuz you sold um so
I’m not saying that it’s going to go up
obviously I’ve never been your financial
advisor and I won’t become one uh but
that’s what I’m doing and that’s been my
Approach uh you know even though I think
the support is going to collapse it’s
not like I’d necessarily take some
action on that in particular but there
is action I would take and I will tell
you about it as we continue that said it
is still support and we do have a trend
of producing weaker bounces so it could
just be that we fall into this kind of
range here and then you know it’s
another rise back up into where we’re
finding support right now uh you know we
flip that and turn it into resistance
and then maybe we collapse down right
there’s a lot of different ways it can
happen I have shown you this before but
I want to show it to you again because
it is such a um captivating example of
exactly what I’m talking about and it’s
just it’s so relevant uh you know it’s
exactly exactly what we’ve seen before
uh where Bitcoin was trading in this
beautiful um diagonal I’m sorry uh
descending resistance channel uh on this
chart here and what we had on the chart
at that time uh was a very very similar
setup where originally we had nice big
spaced out gaps of our support area on
this occasion here it was 80 Days on
this occasion here it was 54 from here
it was 70 but then suddenly it starts
getting a lot closer it starts becoming
a lot more local it’s a very similar
situation to now nice big separation
followed by getting a lot faster here
getting a lot faster here these are your
signs that collapses are coming I traded
this collapse I saw it coming I was able
to make a 60% profit which is bigger
than the actual drop which was
absolutely sick and of course that
wasn’t enough I did trade this on the
way back up as well uh for at the time
it was uh one of the biggest percentage
gains of my life so that was super cool
as well that was over 300% profit on one
trade alone uh but the point is that
these are the same patterns we did this
with the descending triangle and by the
way there’s another example right here
on screen we did it with this ascending
triangle 2 it’s just a characteristic of
the market this is why it works so well
all we’re doing is reading body language
I’m not doing any Voodoo [Β __Β ] black
magic or like reading the moon for
analysis or putting on on all sorts of
[Β __Β ] autistic indicators on the
screen and [Β __Β ] like that that’s not my
game that’s not what I do I’m literally
just saying hey look before it was
taking a long time to get back up into
this range this one it is still not that
quick it’s not that slow uh but the
other main factor is that it was
producing big resistance drops off this
level and those big drops stopped you
know over here especially here this last
bit here
there was no more resistance in this
range we were getting very close up into
this range but we just weren’t getting
rejected over here we just weren’t
getting rejected and if you’re not
getting rejected or in this case up here
if you’re not getting bought back up
then you know that the collapse of your
ceiling or the collapse of your floor is
probably on the way you know that’s how
you can tell and that’s why this stuff
is so powerful you can start to see that
the market does not care care about
where it is it’s not bouncing where it
should be it’s not reversing where it
should be well then the ball is in the
court of the Bears that is something
which I think is very important and can
you know maybe hopefully save you a lot
of money make you a lot of money in the
future it’s a principle that has served
me very very well here’s a look at how
this could happen uh if Bitcoin does end
up falling below that area of support
I’d love to see a back test and uh you
know that would potentially lead to a
really nice low 50s Target I’m seeing a
lot of targets from people like 55 56 58
57 just basically any number in the 50
range um I personally don’t know where
these people are getting their numbers
from uh it just doesn’t make sense to me
this chart uh on screen is very very
clear there there is no [Β __Β ]
consolidation on the chart until you
look down at the 52k level there’s
nothing so I don’t know how you can just
pick a completely [Β __Β ] random point
and then say yeah this is the bottom uh
it just sounds silly to me I I just
don’t understand how that can be a
conclusion someone arrives at uh but
people have these conclusions I think
they’re wrong uh and I’m looking at 52k
because prices tend to bounce off
previous consolidation zones they tend
to bounce off previous support or
resistance zones and this was obviously
a resistance zone so uh and and by the
way it was actually bitcoin’s first
resistance Zone uh when we were setting
all-time highs um if you take a look at
this here this is the um my bad actually
no it wasn’t what am I talking about
where’s the 52k area um yeah no no it
wasn’t my bad uh the 52k area produced
very minor resistance here I mean we
stopped for two days but I don’t I don’t
really think that counts and it did
produce really nice big rejections here
and reversals across the board it was a
huge reversal Point here I think that
might have been what I was talking about
uh and this actually resulted in a huge
25% drop in 2 weeks which is know a big
drop for a 2 we time frame so um you
know that’s that’s what we’ve got here
that’s what we’re playing with that’s
our area of support and that’s how I
think this thing could end up playing
out um by the way if it goes bullish if
it goes the other way then we’ve just
got to overcome this resistance our
point to break on the 4H hour is going
to be 66 but I think more reasonably
it’s going to be the previous high at
about 67 as long as we can get about
this High we’re good if we don’t then
you know it’s potentially even worse
it’s potentially going to be a triple
top but I don’t know triple tops uh I
don’t I don’t know how common they are
um you know but um you know if if it
does become a rejection then I just
don’t really see how this thing can
recover uh but more more reasonably I
think if it does get back up there it’s
it’s probably going to be able to break
that high and then that’s it you’re
probably looking at alltime highs so uh
that’s cool it’s just that there’s a
very you know Rocky you know storm head
for Bitcoin if it moves up but it’s
actually pretty clear to drop right now
like I mean it it’s it’s got clearance
to drop basically uh you know there’s a
lot of factors that are giving it uh you
know uh that that are giving it a reason
to drop uh and and not many I think that
are pushing it higher right now so
especially you know the haring’s done as
well I just you know I just think it
makes sense like you know these
narratives have kind of played out uh
and that could be something which
Bitcoin uh you know just uses to kind of
roll over with we’ve also got ichimoku
support at the 618 retracement here I’m
sorry uh Fibonacci support uh at the 52k
level uh with this 618 retracement so
that’s definitely interesting uh and
you’ve already kind of seen me tease it
but we’ve got the ichimoku cloud too and
this is that really bullish thing I
mentioned a little bit earlier on in
this video we are looking at you know a
huge falling wedge pattern after a
really big
uptrend and it’s lining up with
phenomenal daily support on the ichimoku
Cloud this is actually a really bullish
sign to me and just the first Target if
you extrapolate it from this high here
puts us at $882,000 from a potential
breakout point in early miday so there’s
some real promise here you know this
actually looks really good and it would
be uncomfortable to break the daily
ichoku Cloud you see the problem that
would happen now because we’ve spent so
long consolidating
the problem we would have if we drop is
that okay let’s say we get down here and
then we start bouncing up which by the
way I don’t think this is necessarily
the floor I still want to see
$44,000 uh because that would be the
maximum 40% correction for Bitcoin and
that is actually a a very nice number
that Bitcoin hits in terms of
Corrections uh
when um when it does end up correcting
in a bull run you know 40% is the
maximum acceptable range to drop uh and
it also lines up with a really nice area
of support and it’s also the only it’s
the second area of support there’s
there’s only this one and then there’s
this one so uh you know it’s it just
makes sense um you know but regardless
let’s say it does either of those things
or none of those things maybe it just
drops down to here and then comes back
up the problem is that all of this which
we’re finding support in is probably
going to be resistance and not only is
this going to be resistance the next
blocks of trading are going to be
resistance this line is going to be
resistance this one’s going to be
resistance 67 68 is going to be
resistance you’re just going to keep
running into it over and over and over
if you try and break back out into this
range and that is the inherent risk that
this Market is uh is is going to be
faced with and I at this point I don’t
really think it’s avoidable uh you know
I think it’s kind of too late um the
fact that we’ve traded here for so long
you know since we entered this range it
has now been 60 days that’s 2 months you
know I mean that’s 2 months of price
history building up in a Range which
we’ve previously never really traded in
for that long um you know it is
understandably probably going to become
resistance and so that’s something I’m
going to keep an eye out for uh but I
don’t you know it’s not it’s not
something I’m worried about like these
are just things that would make scared
people sell you know what would end up
happening in these situations is that
you drop down to 52 you know you’ve been
watching Bitcoin do nothing for two
months you bought it up at to at the top
because you know you’re a [Β __Β ] Reddit
Trader and uh and and after 2 months of
waiting it drops you know it’s it’s
going to be your reason to sell and if
you decide not to sell but you see the
price come back up you’re going to sell
here because you’re going to be like
well at least I got close to my entry
but there is resistance now so I’m going
to sell and then you’re out of the
market thinking that this is going to
happen uh you know and it very well
might by the way I mean if that is what
happens it would be so healthy for the
market uh you know to come down here and
then do it all again and uh and then
this would be the real rally that that
would just be super nice but I don’t
know if the Market’s actually going to
give that to us but don’t rule it out
because when it rains it really does
pour like people people act like uh uh
you know Bitcoin just never does
anything uh nasty to people you know
when when it’s in a bull market people
act like bitcoin’s just always [Β __Β ]
perfect always smells nice always done
up properly always [Β __Β ] in a good
mood no man no bitcoin’s like pretty
bitcoin’s pretty brutal you know bit
Bitcoin has its way of uh [Β __Β ] your
life up [Β __Β ] your world up for sure
for sure uh so that is something I would
definitely keep in mind as well in this
market it goes a little bit further uh
the S&P 500 saw a pretty big move up
actually on um on Friday it was a big
gap up and um and and the reason that’s
important is because Bitcoin didn’t
follow uh if we look at Bitcoin
yesterday it was just dropping and
that’s on a day where the S&P 500 was
displaying strength that’s obviously
pretty concerning right if the S&P 500
is looking strong then uh you know
typically and and if typically Bitcoin
traces it well well then it’s not doing
that right now and uh and and so Bitcoin
is being given a reason to move up but
it’s not moving up you know when when
you don’t respond to bullish things by
doing bullish things uh it means that
you’re weak you know again it’s just
signs that the market is giving us that
you know it doesn’t mean that you know
collapse is coming obviously L you know
it can it can be pulled back but um you
know it it certainly doesn’t mean that
there is an abundance of strength and
and that I think is important uh we’ve
seen ethereum really shoot up here
against Bitcoin so that’s pretty cool
you’re right there bro uh we’ve seen
Bitcoin really shoot up there uh I’m
sorry ethereum up to the 051 level um I
I don’t I don’t think this is anything
to read into it would be cool to see it
flip above this area but I just don’t
see that happening and I think this is
going to be another uh honestly a nice
exit I think uh you know before it does
continue to move down uh I I don’t
necessarily think I’d exit here if I was
still holding because I don’t know what
if it does go back up You’ just be so
bitter uh but I’m not holding ethereum
and uh and and I think it’s going to
drop from here I think it’s going to get
weaker again I think bitcoin’s dominance
is going to shoot up again bitcoin’s
dominance is basically just falling back
down to retest this box that is
beautiful that’s the best thing it could
possibly do in order to shoot back up
again later it would probably happen if
Bitcoin crashes below 60k um other
altcoins I do want to take a quick look
at Solana uh Solana is now back up in
this resistance range of the 142 $142
area uh quite an important resistance
range it’s already dropped down by a
fair bit so could be getting ready to
capture a little bit of resistance here
definitely an interesting short uh you
know and also again something very very
tradable on exchanges like biit and
bingx again Bing X is not a kyc exchange
so you can use that with complete
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get over $100,000 in bonuses on bingx
when you start trading using my link
below uh pretty good setup here I think
you know just uh you know down to the
next area of support that’s 10% and
maybe a stop loss above this thing here
it’s 4% so yeah whatever 5x leverage uh
that that’s that’s still a 50% profit on
the downside so pretty good um pretty
clean you know it’s it’s obviously an
important area of resistance so uh that
is that is something I’ll be
watching uh that is going to be all for
me today lady and chance if you have
enjoyed this one you know exactly what
to do smash those likes up make sure you
are subscribed to the channel and taking
advantage of your phenomenal offers that
are available for you in the description
below uh I haven’t made videos for a
while because I was very sick and um I’m
still kind of sick I don’t actually know
why but um interestingly a lot of people
in Dubai suddenly uh got sick in the
last one or two weeks uh and and I was
of them and this was one of the worst uh
sicknesses I’ve ever had it was just a
flu fever thing but
um pretty much better now uh I don’t
know if it was just like something going
around because Dubai had a fuckload of
event of of events in the last few weeks
and it’s just so easy for you know
someone to fly in and it gets passed
around um or if it was something else
you know I I don’t know but um I’m very
glad to be back in the game and uh yeah
we’ve seen for me a little bit more uh
I’m glad that uh nothing broke while I
was gone and uh hopefully we get some
volatility so I can do some more live
streams with you guys cuz I really want
to do more live streams with you guys uh
if you want to see them let me know in
the in the comment section uh tell me I
want more live streams and uh and
that’ll tell me just how passionate you
guys are for it and then uh you know how
much I should do them all right guys
thank you all for watching and I’ll see
you all in the next one cheers
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37 Comments
If Bitcoin drops to 50-40k range, everything will drop, and that means a great opportunity to get on the missing train, ofc it's not the 15k train but still, it's a great opportunity so don't be scared otherwise you will miss a lot of profits in the long run
Sami can you do some cocoa analysis please? There's a great opportunity for profits
sami is goddd. listen to this guy and you'll be set.
thank you sami. great as always
Would love to see some more livestreams sami π
In your honest opinion, do you think we already topped out?
Thanks Sami love your videos ππ»
If the weekly stochastic rsi crosses up prices will be parabolic upside save this
there are two kind of videos: Bad Dangerous!!! and Huuugeee WOW …. LAME….
Bro, love the response about "long" videos. They are as long as they need to be and most of us APPRECIATE your time! Thank you!
No its not!
I am waiting for big discount π€£
regardless of the lenght, your videos are great, thanks for sharing I certainly had a much clearer perspective when I add your insights to my own
this is healthy for macro… we cant keep going up !
You should use Zinc and Vitamin D to overcome it.π
Nothing dumber than youtuber wanna-be's that rant about 40% collapses of a market being healthy…LOL
It isn't healthy in any shape or form.
That's why bitcoin has gone nowhere in 3 years.
Thanks Sami. Yes would love more live steams.
i like the long videos bro fck da haters . u give solid information
Looks like Wykoff to me
This is your best video so far for me β€
Love your content . Itβs very useful. Csn you please do daily update ?
Could it be all da war n insecurities in da market affecting I think it can dip a bit but is definitely gonna take a nice run da q is wen
Haha dang cowards the MM gonna clean ur clock if u are short
I havnt see a better setup since months
Hey Sami, your videos are wonderful!
Trade the range until it breaks @foreflies
Who tf is saying they're too long. Not long enough.
I've never complained about one of your videos being too long. The info is packed in and it's as long as it needs to be. Keep doing long videos I love them bro.
Have cash ready to buy deals. This happens every post-halving.
Is this guy new? Theres been months of consolidation in previous runs. Just use the chart. Its right there in front of your face.
Bitcoin will never be less than $60,001, ever again. Ever. (Date stamp: 4/28/2024). You're welcome.
Great video. Appreciate the time and effort.
i love dumps – they are great buying opportunities
Bro has obviously never heard of a spiderline
read an artical saying they wanna get rid of all the shorts before going back up, thoughts?
More live streams! π Thanks Sami, take care and hope you are feeling much better now.
More stream
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