BOLD MOVE: China Races To WIN Europe’s Economy AWAY From The US

BOLD MOVE: China Races To WIN Europe’s Economy AWAY From The US

so the economic War has taken a very big
turn for many years we have seen China
on the defensive now if this were a
boxing match Beijing has been taking
many body blows from the US there’s the
tax sanctions the tariffs on Chinese
steel and of course the Tik Tok ban but
China is moving on the offensive now
president shei is moving to secure his
economy and wrestle control away from
the US Xi Jinping is heading to the EU
he’ll be visiting France Serbia and
Hungary and if each of these countries
hold particular significance to China’s
relations with Europe France is the
second biggest economy in Europe
together with Germany trade with them is
a key part of China’s strategy the EU is
still a big market for China to sell
into the EU accounts for 40% of Chinese
EV exports and by the end of the year a
quarter of all car sales in Europe will
be from China and that’s very staggering
if we dig into the numbers we’ll quickly
understand why Europe is still an
important market for Chinese companies
the margins there are off the hook the
sealed car from byd enjoys 11 times more
profit when sold in Europe compared to
China $115,000 versus just, 1400 even if
the EU slaps a 30 or even 40% tariff on
Chinese EV Imports it’s still massively
profitable for the Chinese EV makers to
export there and all this is a
consequence of China’s vertical
integration in manufacturing all the
moving parts of the supply chain can be
obtained in one single country there’s
the skilled labor cheap energy and
abundant raw materials but it’s not just
a one-sided relationship Shi jinping’s
visit to the EU is a reminder of that
many EU automakers have factories and
production facilities in China as well
companies like Volkswagen BM Renault and
Mercedes they all have join ventures in
China and this allows them to build
cheap cars in Beijing and sell them back
into the EU Market
in fact at least 5% of EV cars sold in
Europe are from these joint ventures and
in total 19% of EV sold in Europe comes
from a Chinese Factory both local
Chinese automakers and Western companies
are benefiting even Tesla is building
cars in China is this interdependence
with Europe that president shei wants to
grow to build stronger economic ties
with the EU Chinese manufacturing isn’t
really a threat in fact Europe can use
it to make their own exports cheap and
ultra competitive now one destination of
the trip is really interesting and that
is Serbia shiin ping is visiting the
country on a very special date the 25th
anniversary of NATO’s bombing of China’s
Embassy in Belgrade there’s big symbolic
significance in this is a reminder that
China hasn’t forgotten what the US has
done to their embassy it’s also a
message to Europe on the importance of
autonomy and thinking for yourself
Serbia is one of the few European
countries that have great relations with
China they also haven’t sanctioned
Russia either and if Europe works with
China there’s a lot of benefits to be
had now there’s a reason why many EU
leaders are going to China Olaf schz
just went to Beijing Italy’s Maloney is
about to travel there as well and it’s
all about accessing China’s consumer
Market according to the Brookings
Institute by 2027 which is just 3 years
from now 1.2 billion Chinese people will
be in the middle class and that’s one
quarter of the entire world’s total in
one single country that’s four times the
entire population of the US so it’s a
market that Europe simply can’t ignore
they can’t just sell to the US only
there’s simply not enough customers
there think German automakers for
example the big tree Mercedes Volkswagen
and BM sell at least a third of their
cars to China conversely exports to
North America are well under 15% and if
you take China out of the equation many
EU companies could go under revenues
will be destroyed profits will evaporate
and jobs will be lost and if we get into
a trade War China could very well impose
tariffs on EU products as well and that
could be devastate thing and when we
talk about the trade between the EU and
China the topping of trade deficit
always comes up and that Europe is
exporting less to China than what they
Import in and if we look at the data it
is true the numbers simp simply don’t
lie China’s exports to Europe are in
black and their imports from the EU are
in pink it’s clear that the EU has a
trade deficit with China throughout the
EU including Germany France and Italy
Beijing is selling more compared to what
they are buying in but that’s only half
of the picture Europe Imports a ton of
raw materials from China and this
includes Electronics chemicals and
machinery and with China exporting
deflation to the world this allows the
EU to manufacture their products at a
cheaper price in other words if Europe
were to cut away Chinese imports their
products would be less competitive with
the rest of the world their imput cost
will rise and if we look at the eu’s
trade balance with the world they are
back up to a positive Europe is making
money from global trade it collapsed
over the last two years because of
higher energy prices but because gas is
getting cheaper and affordable inputs
coming from China Europe is getting
competitive once again and that is good
for EU companies and really helps them
with job growth as well so where is
Europe getting their wealth the answer
lies in this chart it reveals to us a
lot the eu’s biggest Trade Surplus comes
from the UK and the US and those are the
bars in green and orange Europe is
exporting more to the west and earning
money there they have a trade deficit
with China today because a ton of
imports are actually raw materials used
to make EU products China is simply
providing the cheap inputs that Europe
uses to make stuff for the US so there’s
a real Sy biotic relationship between
China and the EU both benefit from trade
with each other and that’s why we must
zoom out and take a holistic look things
are not what they seem there’s a reason
why EU companies are relocating to China
and why Europe still Imports a ton of
Chinese Goods it’s not by accident it’s
all by design for nearly a year we have
been hearing China’s economy is on the
brink that the collapse is coming but
the recent data is showing quite the
opposite China Factory activity holds up
signaling recovery has legs the PMI
numbers are out and it shows an
expansion in Factory activity despite
the global slowdown China’s Industries
are still growing the official and
private numbers are showing positive
growth for China’s economy beijing’s
pivot to the industrial production to
save the economy is really working it’s
quite likely they will meet their 5% GDP
Target for 2024 and this is a good sign
of economic growth this helps to unlock
a virtual cycle for the domestic economy
when factories are producing local
Chinese people have jobs this allows
domestic consumers to slowly recover
trying to revive domestic demand isn’t
something very easy the property
collapse has done a number on local
consumption and it’s going to take a
while for locals in China to start
buying more stuff especially if they
imported in from Europe domestic
consumers are still strong consumption
accounted for 82% of China’s overall GDP
growth so that’s a very very big Market
to be had but it all centers around
price now if Europe wants to capture
more Chinese market share the easiest
way is to build a factory in China
Chinese consumers care a lot about the
cost in addition to Quality you need
both using the Superior supply chain to
make cheaper products and sell to the
consumer directly that is a winning
recipe that’s what Tesla Volkswagen and
SE are doing now the challenge China
faces today is to build back consumer
confidence and that means Shoring up the
property crisis China home sales are
still slumping in April home sales by
the top 100 developers are down by 45%
versus a year back obviously this isn’t
good it’s the classic wealth effect
people’s paper wealth drops they feel
poorer and so they spend less trying to
reverse this isn’t easy it’s going to
take a lot of time to make China more
attractive to the world especially
Europe Beijing has to contain the
property crash the poit bureau has
called for faster issuance of Sovereign
and government bonds and this is a major
source of funding for infrastructure
projects remember that China is a planed
economy the real estate implosion was a
controlled demolition which means the
recovery is also managed by the state
now if Beijing goes ahead with their
targeted stimulus a property rebound is
coming and by extension domestic
consumption will gradually recover as
well now the French for example
recognize the potential of the Chinese
market even before President she’s visit
to Paris airbass is trying to seal the
deal the aircraft maker is trying to
close a major order with Beijing with
some saying it evolves hundreds of
planes according to Airbus China’s
traffic will grow by 5.3% annually over
the next two decades that’s 50% more
than the global average of
3.6% and with air travel booming it’s
only natural for Chinese carriers to buy
more planes and considering the state of
Boeing planes today plus the US China
tensions France will probably win the
deal it’s important we talk about
Hungary as well of the entire EU block
it is the most friendly country to both
Russia and China they part of the bell
and root project and there’s a lot of
trade going on outside of Europe China’s
the biggest trading partner with Hungary
bilateral trade has grown to $14.5
billion last year and like the rest of
the EU there’s a big trade deficit going
on as well however that’s just trade
because of good relations Chinese
companies they all flocking to Hungary
billions of dollars about to flow into
the economy to build up de country auan
wants to make Hungary into a battery
making Hub and getting China involved is
a master stroke in terms of EV battery
production China is the world leader
estimates put their capacity at over 7
million Hungary is in fourth place but
with China’s help they will surpass
bigger countries like Germany very soon
and this is important for Oran if the
Futures AVS and Europe needs low cost C
batteries hungary’s trade with the EU
will explode and with China’s help their
production capacity is going to rise
fast China’s empx technology or catl has
committed to building a 7.6 billion
facility in Hungary and this is in
partnership with Mercedes bands which
will create over 9,000 jobs for the
country more employment for local
hungarians and this will be the biggest
foreign direct investment into Hungary
by a big margin is essentially a game
changer that combines the best of both
world
Chinese money and expertise together
with hungary’s position in the EU the
plant will have enough capacity to power
a million cars and it will be in close
proximity to customers in Europe and
this includes BM stantis and Volkswagen
and this is a game changer for Hungary
but Investments don’t just end there
there are rumors that President XI will
announc another shocking partnership
between Hungary and China the Chinese
automaker Great War motos might be
building its first European car factory
in Hungary and if this happens it will
turn Hungary into a har for cheap EV
manufacturing you have the batteries and
the cars being made in a country and
considering hungary’s unique position
they can export to both the EU and China
as well Oran still has access to cheap
Russian gas let’s not forget about that
so energy costs are low compared to
Western Europe This is beijing’s charm
and money offensive they are on a
mission to win over Europe from the US
as it stands China is still a big
trading partner for the EU even for
exports China is the Block’s third
largest destination in 2023 they sold
over 220 billion euros worth of goods to
Beijing trade with Europe is extremely
important for China as well and it all
has to do with us sanctions now the more
China trades with the world the harder
it is for Biden to punish the economy
during her trip to Beijing Yellen gave
China a very very big threat and there
was sanctions on Chinese Banks
threatening to cut them away from the US
Financial system over trade with Russia
now if Chinese firms keep supporting
moscow’s war effort at least according
to the US they could get blocked from
the dollar system and the best way to
counter this is to build even stronger
trade ties with the World Europe
included and if the US decides to
sanction China they will have to destroy
global trade as we all know it Yellen
will have to break Global Supply chains
she will have to force countries to dump
the dollars for the you want to buy
Chinese goods and that won’t be good for
the dollar or the US economy China’s
imports and exports with the world is
the deterrent to us sanctions yland
can’t touch China as long as their trade
is expanding globally so building good
relations with the EU is just as
important for Beijing and for Europe’s
case is perhaps the only way left to
stay competitive but let me know what
you think will Europe Embrace China to
save their economy or will they follow
the US and rebuff president she G let me
know in the comments below stay safe be
sure to smash the like button and
subscribe as we navigate through these
crazy times

In a bold move, China is moving fast to court the EU economy away from the US. President will be visiting France, Serbia and Hungary to show Europe there are big benefits in partnering and trading with China. More importantly, building China’s trade allows them to secure their economy against US economic sanctions. Here’s what you must know!

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✅ Timestamps & Chapters:
0:00 China’s EU Charm Offensive
3:11 EU Needs The Chinese Market
6:20 China Economy Strengthens Further
8:54 France & Hungary To Win Big
11:52 China’s Big Agenda

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