How the dollar’s ‘exorbitant privilege’ enriches the USA (and global elites)

    there’s a lot of debate these days about
    the role of the US dollar as the global
    Reserve currency there is one country on
    Earth the United States that has the
    ability to print the global Reserve
    currency the US dollar is still used in
    the vast majority of international trade
    and it is still held as the main asset
    in foreign exchange reserves of central
    banks around the world and this has
    given the United States the ability to
    essentially export inflation to the rest
    of the world and to maintain a massive
    trade deficit with the rest of the world
    for decades the US has imported
    significantly more than it has produced
    and the benefit that the US gets from
    having its currency as the global
    Reserve currency has been referred to as
    an exorbitant privilege this is a term
    that was popularized by France in the
    1960s and it’s still used today this
    issue has become especially important as
    more and more countries around the world
    are talking about
    dollarization in particular with the
    return of inflation in the US with
    massive government deficits and also
    with geopolitical conflict with the US
    waging a new Cold War on China and
    Russia and the US has also seized the
    foreign exchange reserves of Russia
    Venezuela Iran and Afghanistan and more
    and more countries around the world are
    seeking alternatives to the dollar so
    this has led economists to debate just
    what the consequences would be for the
    United States if the dollar is unseeded
    as the global Reserve currency as we
    move into a more multi-polar World other
    currencies are being used for
    international trade and being held in
    Central Bank Reserves and other assets
    like gold have become very popular for
    foreign Central Banks well today I’m
    going to be looking at a very
    interesting study that was published by
    the Irish Economist Philip Pilkington
    and he tried to answer this question and
    he analyzed what would be the effects on
    the US economy of the end of the
    exorbitant privilege of the US dollar
    and he found that it would result likely
    in a decline in the average daily income
    in the US of between 27% and 50
    7% and he estimated that a decline of
    27% would be more likely this would mean
    a massive fall in living standards and
    the US would no longer be able to
    maintain such a massive trade deficit
    with the rest of the world such a huge
    current account deficit it means that
    there would be more inflation it means
    that Imports would be more expensive and
    in particular the point I want to
    emphasize today is it would mean that
    wealthy investors who have invested so
    much in Assets in the United States
    would see a huge blow to their wealth
    that is to say the people who would hurt
    the most from the end of the exorbitant
    privilege of the US dollar is the global
    1% the 1% of capitalist oligarchs in the
    US but also the 1% of wealthy oligarchs
    around the world who have invested so
    much of their wealth in US assets and
    for decades since the rise of
    neoliberalism in the 1980s the US
    government’s policy has been to inflate
    asset prices at the expense of
    manufacturing this resulted in severe
    de-industrialization in the United
    States and the loss of many good
    manufacturing jobs many of which were
    unionized and at the same time the
    global 1% which hold many of their
    Assets in US dollar Assets in the US
    they have gotten very very wealthy in
    fact you can see some of the effects of
    this in this study that was published by
    The Economist Philip Pilkington it is
    titled reindustrialization in the age of
    fragmentation it is a fascinating report
    and I’m going to go through some of the
    main findings of it today and for people
    who don’t know I should point out that
    philli is the co-host of a very
    interesting podcast called the
    multipolarity podcast and I sometimes
    disagree with them politically but I
    think they have very interesting
    analysis and it’s definitely worth
    checking out and as you can see in this
    study Philip is quite a good Economist
    and I think he has a very unique
    perspective he’s very critical of the
    neoliberal financialization policies
    that have de-industrialized much of the
    West and you can see that in the results
    of his study now in the appendix of this
    report which I’m going to look at before
    going to the rest of the study he talks
    about what the United States would look
    like after the decline of the global
    dollar and he points out that the United
    States is an extreme outlier when it
    comes to the relationship between its
    current account deficit and its income
    level most countries in the world that
    have significant current account
    deficits tend to have lower income
    levels but the US stands out as an
    extreme outlier due to the unique status
    of the American dollar as the global
    Reserve currency you can visualize this
    if you look at World Bank data on the
    current account balances of countries
    around the world and for people who
    don’t know the current account is a way
    to measure the balance of payments of a
    country the way it trades with the rest
    of the world and essentially if a
    country has a current account Surplus it
    means that it exports significantly more
    than it Imports and if a country has a
    current account deficit it means that it
    Imports much more than it exports so
    it’s a way of measuring a country’s
    trade deficit or Surplus with the entire
    world because a country can have a trade
    surplus with another country but still
    have an overall current account deficit
    with the rest of the world and if you
    look at this data you can see that the
    countries that have the largest current
    account deficits in nominal terms in
    dollar terms are the wealthy
    anglo-american countries in particular
    the United States and the United Kingdom
    and you can see that in
    2022 the US current account deficit was
    971
    billion doar that is about $1
    trillion and the United Kingdom’s
    current account deficit was about $100
    billion and in the World Bank data the
    countries that are in light blue have a
    current account deficit and the
    countries that are in dark blue have a
    current account Surplus and you can see
    the countries that are industrial
    superpowers that significantly rely on
    exports like for inance
    China also Germany Japan they tend to
    have very large current account
    surpluses and also Petro states
    countries that export a lot of oil and
    gas or other important natural resources
    or minerals also tend to have pretty
    large current account surpluses like
    Russia or Saudi Arabia for instance
    however that data was simply looking at
    the current account balance in nominal
    terms in dollar terms if you look at
    current account balances as a percentage
    of GDP you can start seeing this this
    pattern more clearly where the countries
    that have a significant industrial base
    and Export a lot of machines and capital
    goods tend to have current account
    surpluses and also Petro states
    countries that export a lot of raw
    materials have current account surpluses
    and in general poor countries tend to
    have current account deficits because
    many poor developing countries do not
    have a significant developed industrial
    base and they rely on importing things
    like machines technology capital goods
    medicines and instead they export only
    low value added products and maybe some
    raw materials so in general the more
    advanced rich countries tend to have a
    higher current account Surplus or more
    of a balance whereas poor countries tend
    to overall have more of a current
    account deficit except for one huge
    exception being the United States which
    in
    2022 had a current account deficit of 4%
    of GDP compared to for instance Germany
    which had a current account surplus of
    4% of GDP and this is even clearer if
    you look at the data over years this map
    shows the current account balance of
    countries around the world between 1980
    and 2008 and you can see that there is
    one country that is dark red on this map
    because it has by far the largest
    current account deficit in the entire
    world and that is the United States
    whereas countries with large
    manufacturing sectors especially China
    Japan Germany they are some of the
    darkest green on this map with some of
    the largest current account surpluses
    because they are the factories of the
    world exporting significantly more than
    they import
    now for people who don’t know much about
    economics I want to briefly explain this
    point because it’s very important
    countries that tend to maintain a
    current account deficit over time often
    have a decline in living standards
    because they tend to have a falling
    exchange rate what does that mean it
    means that a country that Imports much
    more than it exports has to find a way
    to finance that difference right because
    if a country is paying for all of these
    Imports where is the money going to come
    from in to pay for those Imports well
    workers can produce products and they
    can have exports and then when they
    export products they will get access to
    foreign currencies which they can use to
    pay for their Imports however if a
    country does not have enough of those
    foreign currencies to pay for the
    Imports and they have a current account
    deficit what happens is that over time
    their currency will fall in value
    against the value of the currency that
    is used to pay for their Imports which
    by the way tends to be the dollar so
    poor countries in the global South that
    tend to have current account deficits
    because they don’t have much industry
    their currencies often fall against the
    dollar and that means that the
    purchasing power of workers who are paid
    in the local currency Falls that means
    that these workers can no longer buy
    imports so Imports decrease and over
    time theoretically at least on paper the
    balance of trade will become more
    balanced and the current account deficit
    will disappear however what actually
    happens is that countries take on debt
    in order to maintain those Imports and
    one of the ways in which governments
    will fund that debt is by selling
    sovereign debt in the form of bonds or
    the international monetary fund will
    step in and they will help a country by
    providing them this debt that they use
    this loan in order to fund their balance
    of payments but of course they have to
    do so in return for imposing you know
    structural adjustment policies which are
    demanded by the IMF now the reason that
    the US does not have to do that the IMF
    is is never going to tell the US to
    balance its balance of payments and stop
    importing so much the the IMF is never
    going to impose conditionalities and
    structural adjustment on the US because
    the US dollar is the global Reserve
    currency so this means that most
    countries poor countries in the global
    South the living standards of work ERS
    fall because they can no longer pay for
    their Imports so their currencies
    devalue against the dollar but the US is
    buying its Imports with its own currency
    if if the US wants to buy foreign cars
    or oil or whatever technology they want
    now then the US can simply print those
    dollars in order to import those
    products and then the US exports
    inflation to the rest of the world this
    is the exorbitant privilege of the US
    dollar and in his report Philip
    Pilkington tried to answer the question
    what would the US economy look like in a
    world where the US dollar is no longer
    the global Reserve currency and he found
    that it would result in living standards
    in the US that is average daily income
    falling to an equilibrium level of about
    57% and that is a massive decline
    however he points out that wealthier
    countries are often better able to
    sustain higher living standards than
    poor countries relative to their current
    account balance so in reality he
    estimated that it would probably look
    like a decline of living standards of
    around
    27% so between 27 and
    57% what this shows is that the US
    economy is living on the wealth produced
    by other economies around the world and
    the US economy sucks in that wealth in
    the form of foreign investments which
    are used to fund its current account
    deficit however at the same time I think
    there’s a very important detail in here
    which is the role of financialization in
    the US economy and how looking simply at
    a decline in the average daily income of
    Americans I think is not the best way to
    understand this because we should
    understand how yes the end to the
    exorbitant privilege of the US dollar
    will have an impact on average people in
    the US but actually what we’re going to
    see is different impacts on different
    people in the US and the people who will
    be hurt the most from the end of the
    exorbitant privilege of the US dollar
    are not poor and working class Americans
    but the richest Americans and also rich
    people around the world the global 1%
    who hold much of their wealth in the
    form of US dollar denominated assets
    because the reality is that the
    financialization of the US economy and
    the de-industrialization of the US
    economy and the role of the US dollar as
    the global Reserve currency has not
    benefited most average working people
    instead it has benefited a small handful
    of capitalist oligarchs and this is why
    the issue of industrialization is so
    important because if you look when the
    US in the neoliberal era in the 1980s
    when it began to
    de-industrialized it’s not a coincidence
    that that’s the same moment
    at which the US current account balance
    began to Skyrocket so in the 1970s the
    US current account balance was
    around balanced it was about
    0% of GDP pretty balanced but by the
    1980s in 1987 it fell to 3% of GDP and
    then in the 1990s it plummeted and by
    2006 it reached 6% of GDP this is of
    course right before the the Great
    Recession in the United States the the
    major financial crisis which this is
    Peak globalization Peak neoliberal
    globalization and in this era from the
    1980s until the 2000s
    2010s many manufacturing jobs in the
    United States were exported abroad they
    were this was the era of Outsourcing and
    instead the US economy increasingly
    financialized
    this chart shows how in the neoliberal
    era of globalization and free market
    fundamentalism there was a bifurcation
    and you can see it very clearly in the
    average compensation in the
    non-financial sector and in the
    financial sector and wages for
    non-financial workers in the US were
    completely stagnant since the beginning
    of the financialized neoliberal era and
    instead in the financial sector
    compensation skyrocketed and this chart
    by the way comes from the US
    government’s inquiry its official
    commission report on the 2008 2009
    financial crisis and it’s a very clear
    example of the adverse effect the
    negative effects of this neoliberal
    financialization policy along with
    de-industrialization here is another
    chart showing how starting in the 1980s
    there was this bifurcation and the US
    economy moved much more more toward the
    service sector and away from goods and
    construction away from manufacturing and
    basically the idea was that the US
    doesn’t need to produce anything instead
    us companies can Outsource their
    manufacturing to low wage countries in
    the global South and they can pay
    foreign workers much less and then
    export those goods to the United States
    and instead the US economy would be
    based much more on services and in
    particular in the financial sector and
    the idea was essentially that all forms
    of economic activity and economic growth
    are equally Val valuable it doesn’t
    matter that there is less Manufacturing
    in the US so this brings us back to the
    issue of the US current account deficit
    and helps us to answer the question as
    to why the US has been able to maintain
    such a massive current account deficit
    over decades it makes more sense when
    you realize that the inverse of the the
    current account is the capital account
    the capital account is the way to
    measure the flow of investment into and
    out of a country and you can see that as
    the US maintained this trade deficit
    with the rest of the world the US began
    exporting dollars it flooded the world
    with dollars and what happened those
    dollars were invested in Assets in the
    United States now it also led to the
    creation of offshore dollar accounts in
    Europe which are known as Euro dollars
    and other countries as well but that’s a
    completely different point what we’re
    looking at here from the Federal Reserve
    data is the massive increase in foreign
    investment in US assets which are the
    inverse of the US trade deficit with the
    rest of the world you can see that in
    the 1960s and70s it was basically
    balanced if anything there was actually
    a capital account deficit but in the
    neoliberal ERA with the lifting of
    capital controls allowing Capital to
    move freely all around the world and
    with the end of the pegging of the US
    dollar to gold and with Outsourcing of
    manufacturing jobs and
    de-industrialization the global 1%
    capitalists around the world begin to
    invest more and more of their wealth in
    US assets which is what was funding the
    United States and helping it to maintain
    its current account deficit you can see
    that this especially clearly if you look
    at the size of the US Stock Market as an
    percentage of the overall World stock
    market now in
    1899 the US represented a little under
    15% of the world stock market the UK
    made up
    24% as of
    2024 the us alone represents nearly
    61% of the entire world stock market
    this is according to D that was
    published by the Swiss bank UBS in its
    Global investment returns yearbook for
    2024 and you can see that no other
    country comes even remotely close Japan
    comes in second place with 6% of the
    size of the entire world stock market
    the US is 10 times larger what this
    shows is that not only capitalists in
    the US but capitalists around the world
    hold much of their wealth in the form of
    us equities and of also of course us
    real estate and US bonds US Government
    debt it was famously The Economist
    Michael Hudson who explained how this
    system works back in the 1970s in his
    book super imperialism the economic
    strategy of American Empire and Michael
    published an updated Third Edition of
    his book back in 20121 he explained how
    the US was able to maintain this current
    account deficit by forcing other
    countries to invest in US Treasury
    Securities especially us allies like
    Japan and South Korea that have been
    militarily occupied by the us since in
    the case of Japan 19 the 1940s and in
    the case of South Korea since the 1950s
    so essentially these countries were
    paying the US to maintain its military
    occupation of them and furthermore other
    countries around the world began holding
    large sums of US Treasury Securities US
    debt because also the US dollar is the
    global Reserve currency and also because
    of the Petro dollar system that the US
    helped to create in the 1970s by
    pressuring Saudi Arabia to price its oil
    and dollars and pressuring other oil
    producers to price their oil in dollars
    and this means that if you hold treasury
    Securities it’s also like holding oil
    essentially so after US president
    Richard Nixon ended the convertibility
    of the dollar into gold in
    1971 the way that the US was able to
    finance its increasing current account
    deficit is through this increasing debt
    that it has with the rest of the world
    that is financed by Foreign investors in
    the case of central banks but also in
    the case of wealthy capitalists holding
    their wealth in the form of US dollar
    denominated assets and the policy of the
    US government has essentially been to
    inflate the value of these assets
    especially the stock market you can see
    the massive asset price inflation during
    the quantitative easing in which the
    Federal Reserve essentially printed
    money and used it to buy Securities and
    inflate the value of assets and the
    stock exchange in the US the the major
    top 500 companies in the stock exchange
    saw their stock prices massively
    increase by more than
    400% between 2009 and 2019 and there was
    also a very significant increase in the
    value of real estate in the US which
    grew significantly faster than wages in
    the US so what this shows is that the US
    government’s policy was no longer about
    serving the interests of working people
    instead the US government was dedicated
    to protecting the wealth of the global
    1% of capitalists in the US and
    capitalists around the world inflating
    their assets while at the same time the
    cost of living became more and more
    expensive for average Working Class
    People in the US this is why I
    emphasized earlier that the end of the
    exorbitant privilege of the US dollar
    does not necessarily mean that working
    people in the US will suddenly all
    become extremely poor because in reality
    the exorbitant privilege of the US
    dollar was used to maintain the wealth
    of the global capitalist class not the
    wealth of average working people and at
    the same time we should keep in mind
    that this inflation of asset prices in
    the US on behalf of the global 1% also
    meant that the US was unable to compete
    in terms of its industry because the
    cost of living became so prohibitively
    expensive especially with the
    privatization of education and health
    care and transportation this meant that
    it became extremely expensive
    for manufacturing production in the US
    so as dollarization happens as the US
    loses the exorbitant privilege of the
    dollar it also makes it easier for in
    reindustrialization in the US it makes
    it easier to bring back manufacturing
    jobs which also by the way tend to be
    much better highquality jobs for working
    people and by the way many of those
    manufacturing jobs will be unionized
    unions tend to be much stronger when it
    comes to factory manufacturing work and
    it’s not a coincidence that when the US
    de-industrialized in the 1980s and 90s
    part of that was motivated by these us
    multinational corporations wanting to
    break the back of unions which were very
    strong up until that period and this
    brings me back to the report that was
    published by The Economist Philip
    Pilkington because I want to look at a
    few other details which are related to
    this Philip correctly points out that
    the de-industrialization in the US and
    the West more broadly coincided with the
    rise of a so-called post-industrial
    economy and
    financialization with the so-called new
    economy boom of the 1990s he doesn’t use
    the term neoliberalism but this is what
    we’re talking about free market
    fundamentalism the idea that all forms
    of economic activity are the same that
    speculating on financial assets is just
    as important as manufacturing cars and
    you know building infrastructure and
    Philip correctly points out that this
    rampant financialization led to the
    inflation of financial bubbles in the US
    for instance in 2000 there was the dot
    bubble and in 2008 there was the popping
    of the housing and mortgage bubble and
    the Great Recession this report notes
    that this led to the economic
    abandonment of formal industrial regions
    like for instance the steel belt and the
    Rust Belt in the United States or also
    Northern England was another
    de-industrialized area and with the rise
    of free market economics with neoliberal
    Dogma being embraced by both Democrats
    and Republicans there was a significant
    loss of highly paid manufacturing jobs
    now Phil P Pilkington doesn’t point out
    that many of those jobs were in were
    unionized and one of the reasons they
    were so highly paid is because they were
    unionized and that us companies were
    trying to break the back of unions but
    it’s it’s a very important point and I’m
    glad to see that he is drawing together
    the financialization and the
    de-industrialization because these two
    phenomena are direct mirrors of each
    other and Pilkington has a chart in here
    that shows manufacturing employment as a
    percentage of all jobs in the US and you
    can see that there was a big increase
    during World War II it reached nearly
    40% and in the 19 50s manufacturing jobs
    were more than 30% of all of the jobs in
    the US but there was a significant
    Decline and by the 2010s it stagnated
    and today manufacturing jobs only
    represent around 8% of total jobs in the
    US and now the US is trying to bring
    back some of those manufacturing jobs
    but it’s not just the US with the rise
    of neoliberalism Market fundamentalism
    across the West you can see that there
    is a general decline in manufacturing
    output in the west and at the same time
    you see an increase in manufacturing
    production in the bricks countries and
    especially China being the largest
    economy in the bricks the largest
    economy in the world and also the
    world’s industrial superpower now I
    should point out that in his report
    Pilkington included Japan and South
    Korea in the West the collective West
    grouping and that makes sense
    politically of course although when you
    include Japan and South Korea in the
    data it actually makes the
    de-industrialization look less bad
    because in reality compared to Europe
    and the US Japan and South Korea have
    not de-industrialized Japan and South
    Korea are still major industrial Powers
    so you should keep this in mind when
    we’re looking at the data here that
    Japan and South Korea are actually
    helping the West in this data now also
    coinciding with de-industrialization in
    the West Was a decline in investment and
    economists measure investment by looking
    at gross fixed Capital formation and if
    you look at gross fixed Capital
    formation as a percentage of GDP you can
    see that the countries that are major
    industrial powers like China and also
    South Korea still have very high
    investment rates in the case of china it
    is nearly 45% of G GDP in South Korea it
    is over 30% of GDP but in the US and the
    UK the you know neoliberal financialized
    economies in the US it’s just over 20%
    and in the UK it is under 20% of GDP so
    there was a massive decline in
    investment and of course you need
    investment in order to fund more
    industrial production and
    reindustrialize what’s also very
    interesting about this study is that
    Pilkington looked at foreign direct
    invest investment FDI as a percentage of
    GDP and he shows that actually there’s
    not really a correlation between
    manufacturing high levels of
    manufacturing as a percentage of GDP and
    FDI as a percentage of GDP in fact
    China’s FDI as a percentage of GDP is
    very low it’s at basically the same
    level as the US and it’s lower than the
    UK’s but obviously the US and the UK
    have significantly de-industrialized
    whereas China continues to industrialize
    so Pilkington points out that this data
    shows that developing countries mainly
    rely for their Capital development on
    internal capital accumulation whereas
    Western countries typically seek out a
    combination of domestic and foreign
    Capital to build out their Capital stock
    so FDI is not as important for the
    bricks countries as it is for many of
    the Western countries and of course this
    is looking at data from 2017 until 2022
    there was a period especially in the
    ’90s and 2000s in which FDI was more
    important for China’s economy but today
    FDI is not very important for China’s
    economy and you should keep this in mind
    when Western media Outlets try to
    portray China as being an economic
    crisis because FDI has declined ignoring
    the fact that the vast majority of
    investment is domestic not foreign in
    fact Pilkington pointed out in his
    report that it is foreign investors who
    stand to the most to gain out of
    investment in rapidly growing emerging
    economies not the economies themselves
    many of which seem able to grow without
    FDI inflows and he pointed out that the
    relationship between average income and
    FDI is very weak he shows that the data
    according to the data average income
    does not correlate with foreign direct
    investment and we people might think
    that the main driver of FDI is low labor
    costs but the data shows that other
    factors must override this consideration
    low labor costs alone are not enough to
    attract foreign foreign direct
    investment and high labor costs are not
    enough to repel FDI and this is often
    pointed out by economists if the only
    thing that you needed to attract foreign
    direct investment was low wages then the
    poorest countries in the world you know
    in subsaharan Africa would have tons of
    FDI but obviously there are other
    considerations like infrastructure
    industrialization uh human capital
    development so the point is is that this
    idea that developing countries need to
    attract foreign capital from foreign
    investors in order to develop is simply
    not the case in the case of china FDI
    did play a role in technology transfer
    but it was not the main factor in
    China’s Economic Development and today
    it is not the main factor in development
    in the bricks countries and in much of
    the global South the vast majority of
    investment in these countries is
    domestic not foreign and by the way in
    regard to this idea that having low
    wages means that a country is going to
    have better manufacturing well what’s
    interesting about pilkington’s report is
    he finds that average daily income Bears
    no relationship to manufacturing as a
    percentage of GDP so that means that
    having a low-wage economy is neither a
    necessary nor a sufficient condition for
    having a large manufacturing component
    in a country’s economy there is however
    a consistent relationship in both
    Western economies and in the bricks
    countries between running a current
    account Surplus and H having a higher
    average daily income so this is simply
    explaining the data we looked at earlier
    which shows that many poor countries
    developing countries in the global South
    have current account deficits whereas
    some rich countries disproportionately
    tend to have current account surpluses
    but of course as we’re talking about
    today the main exception is the US and
    that’s because of the exorbitant
    privilege of the US dollar Pilkington
    says this in his report noting that
    having a globally competitive economy
    that can run a trade surplus gives rise
    to higher living standards however the
    situation of the United States is an
    outlier
    the US may have too high an average
    income relative to its International
    competitiveness and that is an effect of
    the US dollar being the global Reserve
    currency if the dollar were ever to lose
    its Reserve currency status the US may
    see a substantial contraction in living
    standards this of course is the main
    point of the analysis today that I began
    this episode with and I think it’s the
    most interesting finding in Pilkington
    study although it’s not the only one
    this is a very fascinating report and as
    I wrap up Pilkington concluded his study
    pointing out that a small but vocal
    minority of economists and politicians
    have warned about the dangers of
    de-industrialization for decades but
    were not taken seriously by the
    political Elite and that’s of course
    because they profited from the
    financialization of the US economy and
    not just the US political Elite but
    around the world Elites profited from
    that from investing in US dollar
    denomination assets however the Silver
    Lining that he points out in this study
    which again the study was actually not
    dedicated to studying the exorbitant
    privilege of the dollar that was
    actually kind of a side side effect of
    this report what it was dedicated to is
    looking at the effects of
    de-industrialization and how Western
    countries can reindustrialize and
    whether or not high incomes have an
    impact on
    industrialization and he pointed out
    that high labor costs are not impossible
    to marry with high levels of investment
    in industrialization as countries like
    Japan and Germany have shown but at the
    same time they likely do not make
    industrialization any easier and Western
    countries that have lower wages have an
    advantage in the reindustrialization
    drive however he points out that it is
    possible to reindustrialize that
    governments have to encourage higher
    rates of investment and this is I think
    the money quote there needs to be a
    concerted effort on the part of
    government to channel savings into
    productive investment rather than
    blowing bubbles in the financial markets
    this is such an important point and this
    is exactly getting back to the issue
    that I’ve been speaking about today
    which is that US government policy since
    the rise of neoliberalism in the 198s
    has not been to encourage productive
    investment in the real economy instead
    the US government’s goal has been to
    inflate the value of assets held by the
    global 1% by capitalists in the US and
    around the world and has done so at the
    expense of the industrial sector and
    good highquality manufacturing jobs in
    the US and this is why the end of the
    exorbitant privilege of the US dollar
    can be good for working people around
    the world in the US and other countries
    it is the global capitalist class
    oligarchs worldwide the world global 1%
    who have benefited from the exorbitant
    privilege of the US dollar and this is
    why dollarization is so important not
    only for developing countries that want
    to have to want they want to increase
    the living standards of their own
    workers and want to have a greater share
    in global Prosperity they of course are
    the main beneficiaries of dollarization
    and that’s why it’s so important for
    them to find alternatives to the dollar
    but also I think it’s true that could be
    benefits for working people in the US
    this is why everyone should support
    dollarization and it’s also why I spend
    so much time and energy reporting on
    this issue I think dollarization is one
    of the most important developments in
    global politics and economics today and
    on that note I’m going to conclude I am
    Ben Norton the editor-in-chief of
    geopolitical economy report I want to
    thank everyone for joining me today
    please like And subscribe oh and by the
    way
    I in in the description below I have
    linked to Philip pilkington’s very
    interesting report you can find that
    link below and read the study for
    yourself on that note I’m going to
    conclude I’ll see you all next time

    How much does the US benefit from printing the global reserve currency? An economist calculated that US average daily income would fall by 27-57% if the dollar lost its “exorbitant privilege”. Ben Norton explains how wealthy investors not only in North America but around the world hold much of their wealth in the dollar.

    Link to Philip Pilkington’s report and Twitter account: https://twitter.com/philippilk/status/1782409654519128497

    Topics
    0:00 US dollar dominance
    2:00 Economics of exorbitant privilege
    5:23 Current account
    9:29 Balance of payments
    12:31 Effects of dollar hegemony
    14:45 Neoliberalism & financialization
    17:41 Foreign capital funds US deficits
    19:28 Global 1% invests in US assets
    20:35 Super Imperialism
    22:25 Fed inflates asset bubbles
    25:22 De-industrialization in West
    28:06 Industrialization in BRICS
    28:57 Investment & FDI
    33:08 Wages & manufacturing
    35:00 Re-industrialization?
    38:16 Outro

    || Geopolitical Economy Report ||

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    41 Comments

    1. You rock brother! Thanks for this objective report. I see you work extremely hard at exposing international economic dynamics. I appreciate your journalistic integrity. I was going to add that I am subscribing right now. But then I saw I have subscribed a while ago! Lol. Thank you again.

    2. Oh well, what to do! We are but a dust that will eventually disappear here on Earth. God is the answer to all of this. Pray and be kind to everyone. If you feel like complaining! Look at your self and ask what can you contribute to this world in your own little way even if it does or is making a little impact. Just keep doing it.

    3. I appreciate the podcast, but I find Philip Pilkington abhorrent. He's a two-faced narcissist trying to play both sides of the coin– a hard-core financial capitalist and a critic of neoliberalism. What's it going to be Philip? It's very convenient for him to start taking credit for such analysis only once the dollar starts to collapse.

    4. The poor and working ALWAYS suffer the most. The elite will do everything they can to hold on to their place in wealth and power. They do not give a crap about the pain, suffering and death of others. They’ll eliminate Social Security, Medicare and public schools. And I wouldn’t be surprised if there were a new and much deadlier pandemic let loose on the world.

    5. About that "domestic investment" @31.20, I know libertarian like Ron Paul digs PRC due to the mom and pop businesses. He also criticizes US over its policies on Tibet and Xinjiang.

      And also, right-wing libertarian, Jayant Bhandari is a big Anglophile, fancy PRC and East Asia, and strong critic of India. Indian diaspora calls India a shethole.

      I just want to throw that out there.

    6. All other economists around the world seems to be stupids.. One day they will seen where all value went. that day dollar would value 10 times lesser than a tissue paper. Sorry for my fellow americans but your nixon should have not removed gold standard. Money always Follows Value when currencies dont.

    7. I grew up in the US among people who absolutely accepted their right as Americans to live better than the rest of the world because of the US military. Their understanding of fairness stops at the US border.

    8. wrong… it's counter-intuitive, but the US, by consuming, is actually doing a favor for the rest of the world as by running a deficit it imports unemployment.

    9. This is the reason the US wanted to weaken Russia and the coup that happened in Ukraine, Russia was part of the G7 or G8 Putin never liked the Dollar reserve statute and how the US was abusing everyone, he was openly talking about it so the US to protect the Dollar created the trouble in Ukraine as they can't use communism as their excuse they use NATO
      The US's main export is the Dollar and weapons, Peace is not good for business as it allows countries to see the bigger picture
      The Chinese will destroy the Dollar without a war they let inflation do the job for them as they are the only country that can buy that much US debt and they are not buying so the Fed has to take that role and that's inflation

    10. It is not possible to have thriving vassal states and a reserve currency that is losing its status.
      Or should I say, before the dollar actually loses its status as a reserve currency, its value will be artificially kept higher than that of its vassal states.
      Or I would say, all vassal states will have to lose their currency value in order to make the falling reserve currency look like it is not falling.

    11. This is why we must understand that china is not to be blame for what is taking place in the US right now. Is was all the doing of our politicians, corporations and the elites who sre draggin this country to the shlt hole. Our real enemies sre here in washington DC. nor russia,not north korea nor iran. We did it all

    12. If a country does not have enough foreign currencies to pay for imports, and they have a current account deficit, what happens overtime is their currency will fall in value against the value of the currency that is used to pay for their imports. How does their currency fall? I always hear this but never an explanation of how.

    13. The figure 1 plot only shows data until 2021. In 2022, as a result of the USD being weaponized against Russia, its global status as world currency dropped into the 40-50 percent range, IIRC. This is why inflation is for the first time starting to affect the US economy much more significantly than in previous years, when the inflationary effect of money creation (i.e. printing) was diffused across the economies of other countries. As the US' credit rating continues to erode due to profligate and reckless deficit spending without any hint of acknowledgement by the US congress (whose policy is essentially hard left statist, at this point), its reserve currency status will also continue to diminish, which will further impact the currency's valuation and may eventually trigger a doom loop of hyperinflationary devaluation, triggered by a combination of recklessness and ignorance of policy makers who, until very recently, have existed in a mental bubble marked by delusions of exceptionalism and end-of-history delirium.

    14. The answer to the exorbitant privilege is simple. Nearly every international business transaction has to pass through a US bank which charges from 5 to 10 % for making the transaction. This is how America makes money without working at all.

    15. It costs the Federal Reserve just 17 cents to print a US $100 note. Why people in developing countries have to work 2 days to earn $100 which US can print at 17 cents?

    16. Total lunacy.
      "Only the global 1% will suffer". Are you an idiot?
      Didn't you exepienced a finantial crysis in your life?
      The poorest always suffer the most.

    17. Even if the global South do have industry, they lack market access. Some rules are created to exclude them, just the way they are creating rules to exclude China. So, it's not industry but more denial to markets, except for raw materials .

    18. What this means is that the U.S. will have to invest very rapidly in educating and building infrastructure for both its own consumption and the necessary exports needed to offset its import necessities in order to mitigate hyper-inflation. Hyper-inflation is a product of the supply deficit and not the currency excess. As long as there are involuntarily unemployed citizens that can be trained to produce and serve there is no inflation caused by employment excesses. Supply side policy is the cause of all inflation since the full employment during WWII. If federal spending spends into making supply available prior to raising wages there will be no inflation. A public option in every product and service of necessity, coupled with a federal job guarantee set at a living wage will be far more resourceful if done before the hyperinflation harms the workforce beyond their total loss of trust in all governance.

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