“You NEED To Hear This NOW…” Michael Saylor Bitcoin Prediction
we built a lot of trust and credibility
with our investors because they all know
what we’re going to do right yes I’m
very famous for you do not sell your
Bitcoin yeah we’re gonna buy more
Bitcoin we’ll keep buying Bitcoin if if
we were not transparent if if I was not
predictable then you don’t know what
we’re going to do for the next five
years so you’re not going to wanna
you’re not going to want to take a
fiveyear bet or even a one-year bet if
you were if you hate Bitcoin you want me
to love Bitcoin because exactly because
the last thing you want to do is short
$100 million of our security and have me
say over the weekend I reverse the trade
the opposite is also true which is I
don’t mind if you hate Bitcoin if you
short our stock that just means you’re
buying it in reverse like you’re going
to short it now but eventually you’ll
buy it later when I need you to buy it
and so we what we did is we created an
operating company and we realized at
some point now we’re Bitcoin development
company like a real estate development
company it’s like if you took a company
public and you stole billions of dollars
of Securities to buy those
buildings the trick is can you get the
cheapest
financing a public company has cheaper
financing than a private company because
it’s more trustworthy and transparent
right you have to make thousands of
pages of disclosures you’re bound by a
lot more restriction so so a public
company in America is probably the most
trustworthy of a corporate vehicle for
issuing security and raising debt so you
would have an advantage if you were a
public company and you were doing real
estate development but remember what I
told you about volatility the volatility
of real estate’s 20 or 15 you can’t sell
100 Vol equity and invest in 20 Vol
assets because at some point the
volatility in your Equity goes to 20
what we were doing is selling the 100v
plus equity and then we’re buying a 75v
asset
Levering it up to make it back into 100v
asset so if you’re actually creating a
volatile balance sheet that will drive a
volatile stock that creates the options
market and that creates the opportunity
to raise money for less than 1% interest
[Music]
unsecured sailor approach is built on a
foundation of transparency and
predictability
principles that have not only bolstered
investor trust but have also redefined
how companies interact with digital
assets as sailor explains the essence of
building a long-term investment strategy
with Bitcoin hinges on being predictable
and transparent this method ensures that
investors can make informed decisions
betting on the company’s actions over
extended periods even if they personally
aren’t proponents of Bitcoin this trust
is crucial especially when dealing with
an asset as volatile as Bitcoin sailor
company leverages this volatility
transforming it into an opportunity to
secure lowcost Capital through
Innovative Financial strategies that
many traditional companies might shy
away from maybe the first time in the
history of Wall Street you have a
property asset or a commodity asset that
is appreciating because it’s hardc cap
21 million right it’s a scarcity so it’s
appreciating and it’s
volatile and most people in corporate
finance are taught to avoid volatility
they’re taught that volatility is a bad
thing so they get rid of all their
capital and if they invest money if you
had a billion dollars on your balance
sheet you wouldn’t buy something
volatile you would buy treasury
bills but treasury bills are volatility
five like they’re the least volatile
thing you could possibly buy okay so how
do you Arbitrage that and so you think
about think about a big company a big
company it’s run to visibility for the
next three years I give you guidance for
the the next three years I want to know
what I’m going to make a year from now I
tell everybody and then I have no
capital on the balance sheet that’s
volatile so there’s nothing that’s going
to move and I consider that success but
if if I know what’s going to happen for
the next 12 months why would I trade the
stock every day I can just make a
decision once a year so the result is
micro strategy stock trades more than
all these big large cap companies right
we end up because
you know McDonald’s and cocacola and
Nike and Walmart and fizer they’re all
very predictable yeah and and
predictable is good for people that are
afraid of the future but predictable is
awful for the options market and it’s
awful for Traders so in this particular
case what we’ve done it represents a lot
of different Paradigm shifts first of
all it’s based on bitcoin which is a
paradigm shift it’s a digital commodity
and inad of a physical commodity that’s
a big idea a billion dollars of digital
energy instead of a billion dollars of
oil the second big idea is Bitcoin does
one better it turns the commodity into a
scarcity it’s the only commodity in the
world that’s got a cap of 21 million
every other commodity like soybeans or
oil or natural gas or gold is infinitely
producible so there’s a lot of price
Supply elasticity is
um that’s why it doesn’t make sense to
buy billions of dollars of oil and hold
it for 10 years that’s why we don’t use
oil as a treasury Reserve asset because
there’s too much of it so Bitcoin is a
scarcity that’s the second revolution
the third Revolution is using Bitcoin as
a treasury Reserve asset instead of
sovereign debt instead of treasury bills
well treasury bills have an effective
after tax yield of 3% the cost of
capital of a company is probably 12% if
you basically take the monetary
inflation rate and add in 4% for a risk
premium so if your cost of capital is
12% and you’re investing at 3% you’re
losing 9% of your Capital every year
Well bitcoin’s been appreciating at 20
to 50% so we’re not doing a third or a
quarter of the cost Capital we’re doing
double to Triple to quadruple so if you
have a treasury asset which beats the
cost of capital
then it’s not dilutive to carry the
money it’s a creative right the
conventional wisdom is when you sell
stock you delute the shareholders but in
our case the more stock we issue or the
more money we raise the the more we
accrete and so hundreds of thousands of
companies have assets on their balance
sheet which are
dilutive and Bitcoin is the first major
asset which is a cretive so we turn the
entire treasury strategy upside down by
actually accreting assets today we have
$15 billion of of Bitcoin on the balance
sheet and the operating company
generates $75 million a year in cash
flow and the operating revenues are 500
million so we made the balance sheet the
primary part of the company instead of
the p&l everybody else wants the balance
sheet to go to zero or negative and they
want the p&l to be the primary part of
the company when we did that the
volatility of the stock went through the
roof because if Bitcoin goes up and down
$2,000 and we have 214,000
Bitcoin then what happens is there’s a
billion doll swing over the weekend and
if there’s a billion dollar swing in the
balance sheet that’s the same as 15
years of lost earnings so imagine the
company said we’re not going to make any
money for 15 years but yesterday we told
you we would and then the company the
next day says oh we were wrong we’re
going to make the same amount of money
for the next 15
years okay in a normal company the
investors lose faith in the management
team and they dump the stock but in our
case the business model is still good
the management team is still good just
the Traders think okay I got to trade
the stock I got to trade the equity
so the way to think of it is I’m putting
a a crypto oscillator in the middle of
the balance sheet it’s a crypto
engine right and the enire crypto
economy is driving volatility and the
volatility is driving the equity and the
equity is driving the options and the
options are
driving uh the arbitragers which then
are willing to give us billions of
dollars of capital for you know
unsecured no interest it’s like
risk-free yeah interest free Capital
which then we can invest back in the
company to the benefit of the
shareholders that to my knowledge it you
know I can’t think of another time when
that popped up and you can see if I
tried to do that with gold it wouldn’t
work if I tried to do it with the S&P
index it wouldn’t work either because
the volatility doesn’t work or because
there are all sorts of other
restrictions so we were granted an
opportunity with Bitcoin we started out
of desperation it became defensive it at
one point I hoped I’d have 500 million
of Bitcoin and then it became
opportunistic maybe we get a few billion
then it became strategic
and then we realize that you know our
real opportunity is to securitize
bitcoin and we’re meeting the needs of a
dozen different classes of
investors they would like to invest in
Bitcoin but they can’t buy the the
commodity they can’t buy the ETF they
can’t buy Equity they have to buy the
option they have to buy the debt so we
give them what they need and we’re a
bridge between traditional conventional
finance and the crypto economy okay okay
if I if I can jump in that question here
uh you mentioned all those outcomes and
benefits of the that brilliant strategy
uh micro strategy was the first company
to move forward with that uh do you
believe another company I will follow
the same strategy another public company
or is something very particular for
micro
strategy um I think in time they will I
think in the year in the the uh years
between 2025 and 2020 28 or 2029 you’ll
start to see companies starting to adopt
this strategy because it gives you a
very low cost of capital and because
Bitcoin is a good asset because there’s
a lot of demand
Etc but um we were unique because we had
a
need um we were in the right place the
right time and as I said we didn’t
really have the plan in the middle of
2020 the plan presented itself um it’s
hard for anybody else to look at this
because 18 months ago Bitcoin was 16,000
and everybody thought the crypto economy
was going to zero so so it’s only really
been in the past six months you could
even
argue 12 weeks it’s really January when
the SEC approved the spot ETF that the
mainstream consensus in the world was
Bitcoin is an asset it’s not going away
I used to say it’s if it’s not going to
zero it’s going to million but there are
a lot of people thinking oh it’s too
good to be true the government will take
away from you it’ll be banned and I
think turning the corner was really
essential and the Turning of the corner
is when people realize it’s not a
cryptocurrency it’s a digital property
and if it’s a digital property it’s a
store of value and I’m going to buy it
as a store of value or buy it through
the ETF and hold it a long time and when
the SEC approved 10 Bitcoin ETFs
mainstream Wall Street consensus shifted
to okay it’s going to be round and then
opened up an avalanche of
enthusiasm and that kicked us into this
Bitcoin Gold Rush era for the next 10
years every quarter they’ll be more
enthusiasm more adoption more awareness
but it’s still it’s like year one of
Bitcoin is institutional asset companies
will do this but it’s you know it’s hard
for them to move that fast normally if
something is new for the last three
years and you’re in the fourth year
you’re an early adopter that’s how fast
corporations move so I think it does
happen but I think that uh we’re you
know we’re still very close to the
crypto winter you know so many
bankruptcies so many meltdowns we need
to get a little bit of distance from
that and stabilize and at that point
more conservative companies will start
to move into the space you just heard
sailor outline a groundbreaking approach
using the inherent volatility of Bitcoin
not as a barrier but as a springboard to
enhance Corporate Finance strategies
this isn’t just about buying low and
selling high it’s about creating a
robust Financial ecosystem that thrives
on Market fluctuations bitcoin’s C
Supply at 21 million coins introduces a
unique scarcity factor that traditional
Commodities cannot match this scarcity
is critical because it drives
appreciation and positions Bitcoin as an
attractive investment compared to
Conventional low volatility assets like
treasury bills the conventional
corporate Playbook encourages avoiding
volatility however sailor turns this
idea on its head by not only embracing
but also capitalizing on the
fluctuations in bitcoin’s value by doing
so his company doesn’t just manage its
assets it strategically positions them
to benefit from market dynamics
enhancing shareholder value imagine a
company that doesn’t just survive Market
ups and downs but uses them to fuel its
growth and operational strategy by
replacing traditional low yield treasury
assets with Bitcoin Sor company can
potentially achieve returns that
significantly outpace the cost of
capital this strategy isn’t without
risks but the high stakes game of
corporate finance often requires bold
moves what sailor has pioneered could be
the blueprint that many other companies
start to follow as they seek to minimize
their Capital costs and maximize returns
in a digital age
“You NEED To Hear This NOW…” Michael Saylor Bitcoin Prediction
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In this episode of Unscripted Crypto, we explore the innovative financial strategies of Michael Saylor, who has leveraged the volatility of Bitcoin to transform corporate finance. Saylor emphasizes the importance of predictability and transparency in building trust with investors, particularly when dealing with volatile assets like Bitcoin. He discusses how his company has turned this unpredictability into an advantage, creating a robust financial ecosystem that not only embraces but capitalizes on Bitcoin’s fluctuations. This strategy involves using Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset to outperform traditional low-volatility investments, fundamentally reversing conventional treasury strategies and significantly enhancing shareholder value. Tune in to discover how Saylor’s approach could set a precedent for future corporate financial strategies.
About Michael Saylor:
Michael J. Saylor is an American entrepreneur and business executive, who co-founded and leads MicroStrategy, a company that provides business intelligence, mobile software, and cloud-based services.
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Disclaimer: Please note, that the information provided in this video is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are extremely risky and highly speculative, involving significant potential for loss due to market volatility. Do NOT invest more than you are able to lose. I am not a financial advisor, and my views should not be taken as financial guidance. Always do your own research and consult with a professional before making any investment decisions. Remember, your investments are solely your responsibility, and I will not be liable for any losses or damages arising from your decisions based on this content.
3 Comments
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I really feel it is the future.