Barrick CEO Bristow on Earnings, Gold and Copper Markets

    So good earnings overall.
    And of course, you can see that
    reflected in the shares.
    There was a hit to gold production,
    though, when you take a look at the
    quarter past, but reading through your
    earnings release, it seems like some of
    those production issues that you have
    have been resolved.
    Morning, Kate.
    Yes, You know, we ended up last year
    just missing our guidance because we had
    a conveyor belt fail and Dominican
    Republic mine.
    And and so we spent the first quarter of
    rebuilding that it’s now built.
    And we’ve just recently commissioned
    that.
    So and we’ve we’ve got a this year the
    ramp up on the back of that, you know,
    taking that backlog away.
    So a good place to be.
    Lots of projects on the go.
    And as you’ve seen, the gold price is
    high and and so, you know, looking
    forward to larger margins throughout the
    year as we drop the costs and expand our
    production.
    Yeah, you’re you’re right.
    You take a look at gold right now
    currently trading near 20 $300 an ounce
    as I understand it.
    Barrick, I mean, you have several
    billion dollars of cash at hand.
    Are you looking to make any acquisitions
    given how hot the gold market is?
    I think
    we have an organic portfolio that will
    deliver about 30% growth in our
    production profile too, through to the
    back of this decade.
    And so we want to spend some of that on
    on capital to deliver on that those
    plans.
    And then, of course, you know, with a
    bigger margin, we’ve got a very clear
    return policy as far as share buybacks
    and and growing our dividend.
    So, you know, that’s that will be part
    of that as as part of our capital
    allocation strategy.
    And I mean, spending a little bit more
    time on the price of gold, I mean, it’s
    up about 11% or so or so so far in 2024.
    How are you thinking about it?
    Do you see gold as maybe over bought
    here, or do you think that this rally
    has more room to run?
    I think it’s showing it’s measuring the
    complexity of the global economy as well
    as the geopolitical situation that we’re
    facing across the globe.
    And it’s interesting, Katie, that you
    see that gold price go up.
    The the equity is is lagging.
    The equity values are lagging.
    We’ve seen the ETFs locking up.
    So really my interpretation is that
    people are very nervous about paper
    currencies at the moment.
    And of course, it’s a it’s a year where
    most of the major economies are holding
    elections and and and people are
    propping up their economy.
    So I think that’s what you be seeing.
    And and on top of that, the geopolitical
    situation is very extremely dynamic.
    So and gold is a measure of uncertainty
    and and and economic risk.
    So that’s what I think we’re seeing.
    Well, I’m so glad that you brought up
    the disconnect between what we’re seeing
    in the shares versus what we’re seeing
    in the actual metal itself.
    Because I take a look at your share
    price so far this year, and I think you
    have one of the best tickers out there.
    Gold for Barrick really gets the point
    across, but your shares are down 7% this
    year.
    Gold is up more than 11%.
    You have a similar situation with your
    competitors as well.
    Why haven’t the gold miners really kept
    up and participated in the rally that
    we’re seeing in gold itself?
    So I don’t really know, but I can hazard
    a guess.
    So
    what I think is happening is that we all
    experienced significant inflation
    impacts in our costs which which shrunk
    the margins.
    And so the the the investors relied more
    on buying the physical.
    But as we’ve got on top of our
    businesses and I’m speaking specifically
    for for Barrick and we now are at a
    point where we growing production again
    and of course that drives the costs down
    irrespective of the inflation.
    So we start growing the margins and
    therefore the return.
    And once you get returns visible in the
    equity, of course, as you know, gold
    doesn’t pay interest.
    So then you should see rotation out of
    the equity, I mean, out of the physical
    back into at least part of it, back into
    the equity.
    And so with this big expansion and in in
    margins, I’m absolutely convinced that
    you’ll see a bigger interest in the
    equity going forward throughout this
    year.
    And that, of course, would cause the gap
    to shrink there.
    And it’s I mean, it’s something that we
    see with energy companies all the.
    Time to with oil.
    Appreciate the the color around that.
    Let’s talk about copper a little bit.
    You talked about your organic portfolio
    as it relates to gold.
    But it’s interesting, some of your
    competitors, I mean, rail, for example,
    have said that it’s better to build a
    copper mines, Dan, Rather than to buy
    one.
    And I’m curious where you stand on that
    question.
    So, absolutely, you know, you know, many
    of my peers in the gold industry all
    want to be gold miners.
    Back in 2019, I was very clear that we
    are going to build a copper portfolio
    within Barrick to complement its its
    Tier one gold assets.
    And we’ve done that.
    And just to put it in perspective, you
    saw
    BHP make a bid for Anglo American this
    last week.
    And just to put it in perspective, our
    portfolio that we are now delivering
    against by the time we finish the record
    expansion will be almost the same size
    as the
    Anglo American copper portfolio, which
    BHP has been bidding for, and that’s a
    very valuable portfolio as you’ve seen
    in the in the size of the bid.
    So we’re excited about our copper part
    of our business and we’re definitely on
    that delivery path to be able to become
    a significant copper producer as we are
    gold.
    And Mark, I only have about 30 seconds
    left with you, but you brought up the
    takeover.
    And I’m wondering, are there any Anglo
    assets that you might be interested in
    if that BHP takeover proceeds?
    You know, BHP is the ultimate £5,000
    gorilla in the mining industry.
    It’s it’s it’s a determined company
    right now.
    We’re very focused on our organic
    growth.

    Barrick Gold President and CEO Mark Bristow discusses the company’s first-quarter earnings and the outlook for the gold and copper markets with Katie Greifeld on Bloomberg Television. Barrick Gold reported adjusted earnings per share for the first quarter that beat the average analyst estimate.

    For more on gold prices, please see: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-01/gold-xauusd-holds-fall-as-markets-brace-for-hawkish-tone-at-fed-meeting
    ——–
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