SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY? BITCOIN TO SLOWLY DECLINE? ALTS EVEN MORE?

SELL IN MAY AND GO AWAY? BITCOIN TO SLOWLY DECLINE? ALTS EVEN MORE?

hello everybody we made it to Sunday congratulations and also congratulations for getting all the way through some of the most harrowing episodes of the bare Market if you’re here right now and you did any buying in the bare Market pat yourself in the back because it’s not very easy I know right now we can see some fluctuations in prices and it seems a little bit scary but don’t worry everything’s going to be just fine so today what I’m going to talk about is the whole moniker of selling May and going away and take a look at it hisorical reference and see if that is actually accurate maybe something that we could do and also just what the outcome could potentially be so before we get into that it just kind of comes out of this because you might be asking yourself gez seems like Rob sure does like to talk about selling something that’s like the last three videos and you would be correct I do like to sell when the time is right but the reason why I’m talking about it right now when we are obviously not in a position to potentially sell because of what’s happening right now again you can do whatever you want is in financial advice but the reason why I talk about it is because I didn’t do it justice in the last Bull Run and I totally screwed up on the very first one in 2017 and it really comes out to this this’s a quote and it talks about it is after a big win you are most vulnerable for a big mistake the bull Run’s coming here’s the years nobody ever went broke taking profits and the reason why I talk about this is because I think we’ve all felt this we’ve all made a reasonably good decision to invest into some type of stock Bond real estate crypto mcoin you name it we’ve been there and we feel like Geniuses and when it goes up that 2x 4X 10x 100x 1,000x or whatever you actually did you feel invincible and when you’re at that point which is going to happen again when we get into the next blowoff top bull market you’re going to be like you know what this Baby’s never coming down just like this bull this bare Market uh can never go up and this is why we talk about these things to not allow the cell muscle to atrophy and on a Sunday not a bad time to do it so this is what it all comes down to sell and May and go away and the question I always have is like when is like is that like May 1st is that like May 31st is it October 15th when is this so uh this was from man life you it talks about the time frame and this is traditionally what people have talked about you sell your Equity your stock portfolios your stocks on or shortly after May 1st first then buy back those stocks after October 31st and a lot of the literature that I’ve taken a look at it’s reasonably within that time frame so again remember this May 1st to October 31st and if we want to take a look at data the best place we can see data would be from some of the traditional stock market or equities because that has a lot more data than what we have in our cryptal assets only been around since of course Bitcoin 2009 so what they they took a look at over the last 10 20 and 50 years the Buy and Hold strategy versus the sell and May and go away this is what they found over 10 years of Buy and Hold strategy the returns is 10.4% 20 years 7.6 50 years 7.2 as opposed to sell man go away 5.5 to 6.7 so not too surprising I think time in the market sometimes is more important than timing the market sometimes I’m going to reference a couple of things here but then if we take a look at it traditional equities I’m not going to bore you to death with with a bunch of data but it is something to note what do you notice here what is the biggest green month that you can see in this chart just going to leave it up here for a second yeah and I and I we’ll tell you before we get to the answer of course this is from 12 months taking a look Between 1979 of September to 2022 of March all the data S&P 500 best month is July let me do some quick May okay so that’s like smack dab in the middle almost July is traditionally the best month but Rob we’re not equities we’re not stocks we’re not Bonds we’re not precious metals we are crypto and you would be absolutely 100% correct so let’s take a look at the monthly returns and what I’m going to do is I’m going to take a look at Bitcoin but I’m also going to break it down into the total market cap because when we take a look at this this data I think we get a little too nuanced into Bitcoin versus altcoins I don’t know about you but I’ve got a couple of altcoins bags packed so maybe we could take a little bit of reference as to some data here as to what could actually be well so let’s take a look at it first of all this April if you take out April 2024 take a look at 2020 I mean the rest of the years all the way back 2011 April is a fantastic month usually before this one you only had four red four red years of April everything else was all green so of course sell in May would have made a lot of sense because if you’re selling towards on May first or so well you would have had some pretty nice gains right lot of green over here not too bad and then you sell in May everything starts to drop and you go away for the summer which should Ty what we’re talking about then October look at October for Bitcoin those are sweet those are sweet numbers right I think October if I’m not mistaken is one of the best months besides February one two three yeah October has some really great returns so I don’t care what you do but for me I don’t want to miss some of these things but here’s the here’s the kicker all these time frames are a little bit different from for Bitcoin and especially we’re taking a look at the foure Cycles right so right now we were we just had a having if I’m not mistaken April 19th 2024 if we go back four years look at this on April and actually for that year of May it was a green month if we take a look at 2016 April and May were both green months if you would sell in May May 1st on 2016 you would have missed 18% gains 26% gains ne7 negative 8 you got me on that one September 6 up 14% 6 and 30% well of course these two months don’t count November December so maybe not so great how about 2020 well 2020 34% in April sure go away but it went up 10% I’d like that but then in June all right and then July like we talked about 23 % 3% down seven got me on that one and October again October 31st you missed on a 28% so maybe not so great but then here’s the whole thing all this stuff that we talk about are just we’re just talking about averages and could it and would it and should it nobody knows but for me I just look at this and go okay if it let’s say it’s like 20122 2022 was not a great year right we just came off of a massive High we were printed money like crazy because that’s what Americans do and uh we had a great 2021 into 2022 then we started to see a little bit of weakness and there was a collapse and for that year we went down 17% 15% 30% imagine missing and this is the thing imagine missing this right here as all the indicators showed us that you know it’s going to crash and not being able to scoop up some profits or scoop up some some cheap crypto at this point and just going away and not getting into it and then coming back in October a poultry 5% ah 16 and three so again when I take a look at this I’m like I don’t know where you guys are going and of course you can’t go away because you deserve it you had a tough bare Market but for me I’m looking at this and going you know I don’t think I’m going to sell everything and go away if at anything else I’ll probably do what we talked about a couple days ago which is not DCA but Dynamic dollar cost averaging as things start to turn maybe a little bit uglier but it’s anybody’s guess so there’s that piece and then lastly before we go into the total market cap of of Bitcoin and ALT if you would have done this last year 2023 wasn’t a bad year it really wasn’t but again sell in May here’s April 29th let me blow this up you got April 29th May 1st sell on May at 28,000 and go away well if you would have sold at 28,000 I mean maybe you would had some great profits that’s cool but then coming over here to October 31st you would have bought higher at 3467 to so I mean it could work I mean it it could work out pretty well honestly if you would have bought Bitcoin at say like in 2016 like my friend Diddy from the Bitcoin family for like 120 like a 100 bucks in a potato or whatever he bought it for you know you’d have been up and then you just like well I sold everything I got over here but why even go through the hassle and pay for the fees I’m just saying to me it doesn’t really make too much sense and then now let’s take a look real quick at total market cap and then we’ll get into the little Q&A I I just look at this I think this I think the same thing now we’re this is this is something I I don’t usually do and I should have done this which was take a look at the total market cap again let’s take a look at well April wasn’t a great month for us either 11 73% so far we’re not out of April yet but going back into the having year if we would have sold it would have been a good pretty good month uh or this time frame 34% here down four down 26 but up 34 you sold here but in May you had you’re up 10% then you dropped two but look at July and August 29% and 12 I’ll take it then September which September is a crappy month most of the time except for some reason last year it was wasn’t and then you’re up 16 45 and 31 how about 2016 so you’re in May here yes or excuse me you’re in April and you you’re up 3% that’s cool and then you selling May and go away but you missed 23% in May you missed 22% in June you’re down 4% in July you’re down 6% in August but then you rally for some reason in September I guess seven then you’re up 10% in October you missed it so again if I’m looking at this I’m just thinking myself I don’t think that’s going to work out for me maybe you could take a look at this but I don’t see the positive of selling a man going away I could be wrong and that’s why we have the Q&A to sort this stuff out so look if you like today’s video give it a thumbs up consider subscribing everything we talk about his time sensitive

Should someone sell in May and go away until October? What ARE the dates anyhow and how has that stacked up historically?

DCA vs DYNAMIC DCA post BITCOIN HALVING – https://youtu.be/MJGVhOJXpIc

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WHY & WHEN I’M SELLING 80% of my CRYPTO 2025 – youtube.com/watch?v=wHlE8lj_mKI

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0:00 Introduction
0:32 Bull Run and Selling in May
1:01 Why Sell in May and Go Away
2:12 Sell in May and Go Away Data (Traditional Stocks)
3:22 Sell in May and Go Away Data (Bitcoin)
4:22 Sell in May and Go Away Data (Altcoins)
5:22 Recap and Bitcoin Cycles
7:00 Missing Out on Gains by Selling in May
8:22 Total Market Cap Sell in May and Go Away Data
9:22 Conclusion

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