BITCOIN: THE TRUTH BEHIND THIS PUMP… [nobody will tell you this]

BITCOIN: THE TRUTH BEHIND THIS PUMP… [nobody will tell you this]

all right so this is a very interesting bit of price action right here on this chart ladies and gents because Bitcoin has managed to bounce off that $506,000 price area where there’s basically no support and we’ve come right back up into a critical range on this chart and there is a lot of celebration going on right now for this price action right now A lot of people are actually quite happy with what we’re seeing here there’s a lot of fomo Longs going on in the market right now and stuff like that I want to tell you why I’m not hyped up for this right um you know a lot of people make the extremely dangerous mistake in this market of getting very [ __ ] bullish at resistance and getting uh very bearish at support uh you know and and this is something that I’ve definitely been trying to help you guys correct in your own trading if you suffer from these kind of things as well and it’s just you know it’s just how the markets work right like if you’ve been watching the market tumble lower for a couple of days or weeks or whatever you know you’re going to start it’s going to start grinding down on you and you know because you’re a human you’re going to start to become bearish at the bottom you’re going to start to become bullish at the top this [ __ ] is normal it’s not something to be too ashamed of uh but on this YouTube channel we’re tackling stuff like this head on and the first thing that we need to understand is that the S&P 500 had a really big open today okay we’re on the uh uh 1 hour right here for the S&P 500 this was Thursday’s trading session where it ended Friday’s trading session op significantly higher uh which means that the S&P 500 continues its upward rally uh since it finished this 5% correction here 6% correction here I still believe the S&P 500 is going to continue to drop down and again I’ll tell you more about all of the stuff as we continue on in this YouTube video but there are a couple of things we need to Anchor ourselves with and that’s why I’m talking about this and as we’re going along do keep in mind that on bingx linked down in the description below uh you can actually trade the S&P 500 you can trade you know stocks like apple and Tesla Forex gold all sorts [ __ ] including crypto without kyc and they’re going to give you over $100,000 in bonuses so that is an absolutely killer offer you’re getting a huge huge deal right there definitely check that out if you are interested uh the link to buybit in the description uh also giving you up to $30,000 in completely free trading capital and with both of these bonuses that you’re going to get any profits you generate are yours to withdraw so if you want to get them all you’ve got to do is start trading using my links and they will credit that into your account which is absolutely sick so um you know I I want to actually you know show this all show this to you guys on on a completely brand new chart here you know something which I haven’t actually drawn on because you know one of the best things we can actually do to understand what’s going on in the market right now is just kind of refresh everything you know you’ve got your biases and stuff like that and we don’t care about that we don’t want that with this analysis right now um you know I want to start fresh with you all and you know the way I’m going to do that is just by kind of dropping a couple of important levels on the chart right right and this is you know a little bit subjective for us to where it should be so actually I think it might be more appropriate to you know use horizontal levels like this um you know and obviously we’ve got just the key things that are important in this market in terms of consolidation right where did this Market consolidate over these last months and you know the key levels are going to be uh this orange I’m sorry this yellow box here spanning from 41,000 up to 44 this yellow box spanning from 51 up to 52 and this yellow box spanning from 61 up to 62 uh obviously these boxes are you know rough but we’re not we’re not looking for like exact stuff right here but we can definitely see that if we Trace them back these are where important bits of price action have taken place for Bitcoin throughout its history uh and we’re clearly uh you know in a situation now where we have fallen below this 60k range and we’ve Fallen below it by a good amount right by about 7% and we’re now coming back up uh and potentially testing it as resistance here now the reason I’m pointing this out is because if we look at this with our fixed range volume profile we’ve also got an extremely clear value area low on this chart right on this chart the low on on on this line here which is actually a very important level by the way I mean you know you can see the point of control represented by this red line the value area high represented by this blue line uh you know just take a look at the key reversals that have taken place the consolidations the support bounces the rejections that have taken place along these lines the you know rough support that we found along this exact level these are important lines on the value area low here and it lines up very nicely with where we are at right now definitely giving us an indication that this could be a place where uh you know a lot of Traders are basically going to feel like this is a fair place to start offloading some Bitcoin and I think the reason that we’re actually seeing you you guys have got to keep this in mind right we’re all about retaining a healthy sense of perspective in this market the reason that we’re seeing a big move up here this is a 10% bounce within 2 days the reason this bounce is stopping here right and we’re finally getting some consolidation is because this is an area that a lot of people are rightfully going to be looking at shaving off some profits from their Longs you know maybe opening some short positions and stuff like that um you know and and that’s where a lot of people are going to be interested in the market and for good reason right I mean if you’re looking at other [ __ ] coins right if you’re looking at other coins just generally uh you know here’s maic for an example um you know just kind of right back up macro resistance at 73 cents if you’re looking at salana everybody loves salana it’s at resistance right now macro resistance up at $142 um you know a level which is not easy for salana to break uh you know we look at ARB you know just as another example it’s at the very top of its resistance range this is a range that a lot of people are rightfully looking for shorts and I’m not saying that this is like the best position you could possibly take right now but it’s definitely not a bad one and of course if you’ve already loaded your yourself up with free capital on these exchanges then you might not even care because you’re not even trading with your own money and any profits you generate are still going to be yours to withdraw but any losses doesn’t matter because the exchange is paying for you to trade so that’s super super cool if you have already taken advantage of this kind of thing maybe you’re part of that camp uh you know maybe that’s why you’re going short because the point is that even though this might not look like a perfect setup for trades it’s still a good setup and it’s still a good place that people are rightfully going to be looking for short positions and the reason I’m saying that is because we’ve really got to ask the question is this a deviation right now or is this price action which is actually going to stick in the market and we’re going to see uh you know this basically turn into a back test and then the price will continue to drop from here that is the question that we have to ask ourselves here and you know for me one of the things I want to draw your attention over to is what happened back here there are Stark similarities with what happened back here and what’s happening right now and helps us answer this question of are we looking at a deviation for Bitcoin let me show you guys this example right here on screen uh where previously this is uh you know just as early as January as recent as January of this year so literally like four months ago uh we saw Bitcoin collapse below its area of support down here at the $40,000 level we had a quick drop down we recovered back up and Consolidated and over here we had a quick drop down we recovered back up and Consolidated and then then we saw a big pump up right where this arrow is pointing to we saw a big pump up Bitcoin is doing the exact same thing right now this is exactly what we saw earlier on in the year uh you know with Bitcoin on this chart and Bitcoin is doing the exact same thing again Bitcoin is doing the exact same thing again right now in terms of getting that drop the subsequent consolidation and the subsequent pump uh you know and that to me tells us absolutely everything about um where this thing could be going in terms of the risk of a deviation you know is this a deviation it really helps us answer questions like that now I’m not necessarily saying that that’s what this is but if Bitcoin is literally following those exact same characteristics and those exact same footsteps then it’s definitely something to keep an eye out for the other thing I’m looking for is when you get rejected you’re typically going to get rejected quickly right a phenomenal example is the support hits that we had and how they got weaker if we take a look at this support hit here or this support hit here or this support hit here what you’ll see with these first three examples is that when we come down to grab support we’re not hanging around at the low we’re moving up very quickly it’s the same thing when we initially came up to this range in The $64,000 area we got a sharp quick rejection and the price came right back down right when you’re hanging around a little bit that’s showing you that in this case it did end up resulting in a drop anyway but it is showing you that you’re going to be able to potentially break that resistance take a look at this we started to hit the resistance up here at 607 7K but we just hung out around here and we tried it again and then we tried it again and then we tried it again this is how you know that actually we’re not responding to resistance particularly well so the breakout could be coming right when you’re getting these sharp Corrections when you’re getting these sharp moves where you don’t actually hang around these levels for long that tells you that actually this is a real rejection in the market here whether you’re getting rejected off support or you’re getting rejected off resistance right now we’re not really seeing that right we’re on the 4H hour time frame we’re halfway into this candle you’re going to see more of a resolution on this when you watch this video but um you know we’ve we’ve seen the price just kind of hit this area and hang out for a little bit which is an indication that things could end up Rising a little bit higher it’s not something that makes me particularly worried about Bitcoin recovering back up because there’s still a lot of resistance up ahead for Bitcoin if it manages to get above this range right one of the things I would want to draw your attention to are some of these spikes that we’re seeing on the vpvr because they are not to be ignored in my opinion I mean you know here’s a couple of them that are very local to bitcoin’s price right now and if we just remove the vpvr again just so it’s not particularly confusing we’ve got two very important levels on this chart that could serve as resistance for Bitcoin one of them right here at about $63,000 which is only $1,000 higher than where we topped out and the next one up at about 64k now if we’re able to break both of these levels more importantly if we’re able to get above this high right here because this was the most most recent high in the market then I think we’re being we’re back to being bullish but anything lower than this anything lower than this high right here that we punched in at 647 anything lower than this on this chart to me we’re still in very bearish territory where this is just a back test after we’ve already broken Market structure we’re coming back up to grab liquidity and then continuing to move down we can actually see that because of all of the liquidations that have happened on the move down there were a lot of liquidations on the move up there were lot of liquidations I’m not going to go into that on this particular video but if you’re interested in checking things like that out you can use all sorts of different websites like coiny and whatever um you know whatever you prefer to help you analyze those things and you’ll see the same things being pointed to as well which I think really tells you a lot about uh you know how this Market has been responding to this price section and the fact that this has actually served the purpose of just you know flushing out some liquidity in the market uh you know people panic their crypto a little bit and in this case also Panic buying it back uh you know now that we’re back up into key resistance areas and this is ultimately my point you know for Bitcoin to start being bullish again we need to eliminate the risk of this being a back test right and it’s already it already looks like it could be a deviation we know that Bitcoin prints deviations all the time so that’s definitely on your side if you’re bullish here but not breaking this High you know as long as we’re not above this High you know to me it still just means that we’re coming back up to grab r resistance right and so I would want to be very cautious of that because the S&P 500 has more space to rise up as well the S&P 500 can get you know a couple percentage points higher from here one percentage Point higher from here until it reaches its next zone of resistance and this is a pretty important zone of resistance for the s&p500 it didn’t print any significant resistance from its breakout point in January up until its all-time high in March uh you know other than this resistance right here at 5180 right this was an important level for the market for the index here and we’re approaching that level pretty quickly on the flip side the dollar has entered freefall right here it’s F it’s fallen down very far but it’s at support right now you know and again it’s it’s this age-old question of are you going to get bearish at support and bullish at resistance or are you going to do it properly and understand that resistance is actually where the drops start to happen support is actually where the bounces start to happen and if you take a look at where the dollar is now this is a zone that the dollar has bounced off historically fairly reliably right when we’re coming back down from this kind of price range when the dollar hits this red line which is basically where we are right now the dollar does tend to get bounces we can see this going back quite far this is definitely an important level uh you know for the dollar where reversals tend to happen and you know I’m not saying that that definitely means we’re going to get a reversal here and the dollar is going to keep moving up but again are you going to be the guy that gets bearish at support and bullish at resistance and if you are you’re probably doing it in reverse right even if this does turn out to be a deviation and Bitcoin climbs back up into this range you’d still be serving yourself very badly if you get very bullish right at the [ __ ] bottom where the resistance is for me I want to get bullish when the market has proven that we’ve managed to clear important levels and the market has proven that the risk of capturing resistance is gone right if we manage to get above 647 and then we come back down I’m okay with that because that basically just means we’re back in the range we’re capturing support and we’re going to be able to continue moving up but again until that happens this is just one fat block of resistance when Bitcoin has already proven itself to be in a downtrend now one of the best things I think Bitcoin has going in its favor right now is the daily ichimoku Cloud it’s got phenomenal support off this Cloud it’s bounced off the very bottom and it’s now at the very top of the cloud this is good however this is enough to fulfill the Hoku cloud in my opinion and we’re now set to no longer use it if the market wanted to be bearish again right we got the bounce we got the bounce that we were expecting we got the Bounce Off The Top Line we got the bounce off the bottom line the ichimoku cloud has served its course that doesn’t mean that we can’t keep on moving up now but it does mean that if we do start dumping we’re still seeing a very valid ichimoku Cloud here it would be more unusual if we dump straight through the ichimoku cloud right we’re not doing that now if things do start to reverse and rightfully at resistance level again that’s what you’d expect then the ichimoku cloud has already served its purpose here and what we have instead now is daily EMA resistance which is continuing to come down and flip bearish right we’re still a little bit far away from it but this is going to be that key level to break because if we are able to get above that daily EMA ribbon then you know we we’re back bullish on all sorts of time frames and that’s absolutely phenomenal uh you know but until and unless that happens this could start serving as resistance the good news for the Bulls is that we had this same EMA ribbon on the 4our as resistance and it did not reject Bitcoin here Bitcoin just flew straight through it and it didn’t really care and now it’s actually stabilizing above the EMA ribon here so that is a very strong sign for the market uh flip side 4H hour ichimoku Cloud uh you know if we do end up trading sideways here literally just for the next two three days which is over the weekend which you know would make a lot of sense right if the S&P 500 doesn’t really do anything big over these next couple of hours until it break I’m sorry until it stops trading which is in 2 hours um you know then we’ve got a weekend of price action for Bitcoin that we’ve got to sit through and and that’s exactly where we could start to encounter a little bit of resistance here coming into that Monday session before the S&P 500 opens again so I think that’s going to be an important level which is also very much important uh you know and and uh and well worth watching in this market here definitely something that I would want to be paying attention to at this stage in the market as well I really think this is where a lot of opportunities are starting to show themselves and present themselves here I feel like this is where uh you know you’re looking at a situation where you you’ve got a lot of good things shaping up in the market you have got this back test coming in in the market which is again exactly what you want and the deeper we go the better if this does end up getting rejected and then naturally if it does end up falling down I’m still looking at the 52k area I honestly think that one of the most important things to do right now is just judge sentiment we don’t have updated metrics yet so this isn’t particularly easy to do but yesterday we saw a reading of 43 today at the beginning of today we had a reading of 48 if we can start to see this fear and greed index continue to reset down to lower levels we’re going to find ourselves in a very good place the last time we saw readings like what we had yesterday was in October of 2023 and the price was completely different back then in October of 2023 we were way down here at like $27,000 okay we were in a very very different place the more we start to see sentiment reset in this exact way the more we’re going to be looking at a healthier environment in this market to continue that rise up to continue to pull out uh into better price ranges right so I would absolutely love to see that and I’m not worried about where the fear and greed index is now I don’t feel like it’s too low now for the market to continue to drop so if we start to see that in 6 hours we pick up by a lot and if we start to see you know comment sections even and I hate to say it but even on videos like this one right now comment sections on other YouTube channels comment sections on Twitter and just Twitter sentiment and stuff like that these to to me are actually very reliable things to look at where if you start seeing that a certain group of people be it blls or bears if you start seeing that they’re very cocky and you’ll notice it because the dumb people on this channel and unfortunately there are a few the dumb people on this channel haven’t watched this video 18 minutes through they haven’t made it this far if you look in the comment section of this video and more importantly of others where you’ve got an even lower IQ audience you’re going to start to see that in bearish situations where the market is actually in trouble it will precisely be at resistance levels where Bulls become the most cocky it’s going to be the we’re so back mentality it’s going to be the mentality of um you know we’re back up to 60k Legends let’s get this party restarted let’s invite Olden bottles back in turn the lights back on get the music switched back on you know what I mean it’s going to be like that kind of energy but the reality and this is what I always look for is like is there a disparity here between the energy that people are showing in the market and the price being at resistance right and and if that disparity is very large then I’m [ __ ] very very happy I’m very very happy to be on the opposite side over here also of course reminding myself very happily that 90% of Traders lose money so if you really start to feel like you’re agreeing with everybody that you speak to about the market you got to start asking yourself are you talking to the elite 10% or are you more likely to be you know just talking to people who lose money in the market and more often than not it’s the latter which is why I don’t think it’s a good idea to discuss Market ideas with anybody and I generally don’t I don’t actually discuss what I’m seeing in the market with anybody at all other than the people in my own team uh you know and and to me that’s a very very important distinction here so you know that’s something I’m going to be watching out for I’m going to I’ve already been looking at Twitter by the way you know to help answer this question and maybe I can show you some of this right now um you know I have seen that there has been a lot of like celebratory energy on the timeline in the recent hours um you know we’ve got and I don’t know what it’s been like in the next in the last like hour or so but we’ve definitely seen a lot of people very happy with the market I mean here’s a you know 31x long screenshot on ethereum I mean this is not necessarily like you know overly bullish but uh you know there is a lot of sentiment like this which I think uh this is brilliant uh which I think is um is is important uh what’s what’s duck saying here let’s see what he’s saying uh range with lower highs ship momentum bearish price action bullish consolidation range breaks down it’s over uh this was TW a couple of days ago I think Market looks much better than it did a week ago still looks [ __ ] but at least a good chunk of the bearish impuls is out of the way now so duck feels like uh you know the bearish uh move could be uh exhausting itself I think that’s an accurate way to say uh what he is basically written there there’s not a whole lot more that I can show you guys right now but feel free to scroll through it obviously you guys can check out the link to my Twitter in the description and just see like who I follow you know you’re very very welcome to uh check that stuff out and you know see if you’re interested in that kind of thing yourself uh you know but I I think that could be potentially quite useful uh you know to to just kind of gauge sentiment right if you again and and for me what I’m looking for ultimately and I do the same thing when I’m when I’m looking to be bullish right if we if I see that we’re falling down to support and we’re literally at a support level but [ __ ] everybody in their grandmother is bearish and talking about you know the market is over and making jokes about McDonald’s and stuff like that that’s going to be my sign that actually uh you know we could be looking at a very nice setup for the market to continue to rise up and actually you know use support for what it is which is support so uh you know that’s something I’d be looking out for uh ladies and gents I’m going to have to wrap it up for this one though if you have enjoyed this make sure that you do smash those likes Up And subscribe to the channel if you haven’t done so 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