EVERY Bitcoin TOP in HISTORY Happens at THIS STAGE (5 DAYS LEFT!)

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Video Description:
Bitcoin has a distinct 4-year cycle, but it’s probably not the normal 4-year cycle you’re used to hearing about. The stock markets, SP500, NASDAQ, and Dow Jones, have a huge influence on the bitcoin and crypto markets which also dictate the 4-year cycle. In this video, we analyse how and when altcoins will potential pull back for another excellent being opportunity in the macro cycle along with identifying what type of trader you are to ensure you make the most from this crypto cycle.

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This video is for entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice and is not an endorsement of any provider, product or service. All trading involves risk. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I’m part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites.
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2023 has been one of the biggest years in this cycle it has been a transition Year from a bare to a bull and unfortunately the majority have missed it but what we’ve been covering here on the channel is of course the massive bull market going on in Bitcoin the huge

Bull market going on in the Dow Jones the S&P and of course real estate as well as this is your home of macro cycle analysis studying the past to forecast the future and we got a massive 2024 coming up for you guys as as well so don’t go anywhere hit the like And

Subscribe button you know the drill here let’s kick it off with something that is about to close in the next few days we have the monthly closes on the US Stock markets and potentially a new alltime high close for the Dow Jones What I want

To do in today’s video is recap what has happened when the Dow Jones has closed in new alltime high territory and take a look at what Bitcoin has done in those following months this might might give us a few insights to what we could expect for 2024 and don’t forget we also

Have a election year 2024 is the big one it’s the election year 2023 was the pre-election year the Year where the markets typically go up and when the masses think the markets need to collapse so what does 2024 have in store for us guys we have been in this bull

Market for 13 months we’re getting relatively close to the next resistance level at 48k but you know that already it’s what we’ve been covering here looking at the 50% level at $45,000 we’re expecting that to be hit before the harving that has happened now at some point over the coming months I’m

Looking for a correction because essentially markets can’t go up forever but Corrections are healthy in markets this is what we want to have if we’re going to see a sustained bull market and for Bitcoin to reach 70k maybe 100K maybe 150k I don’t know exactly where

It’s going to hit but if we’re going to see much higher prices then we definitely want to see Bitcoin correct and have some sort of time to recuperate after a big move I’ve said that Bitcoin is not going to go back under $20,000 I think that’s a ridiculous number that

Many are still throwing out there because they didn’t reach their 10,000 or their $9,000 or their $3,000 targets I don’t think Bitcoin is going to see 20K I don’t think it’s going to see 25k and I think we’ll be lucky if we see anything between 28 and

$32,000 but with that aside that’s a bit of a a banger for you guys into the first half of 2024 what we want to understand is where we go next and we have plenty to keep our appetite wet into January of course the ETFs everyone’s talking about the

ETFs meanwhile Bitcoin is stalling now there is another piece of fundamental news some changes that are going on Google prepares for potential Bitcoin ETFs by easing crypto ad rules now is this going to allow Bitcoin to go to 100 Grand tomorrow that seems pretty stupid

But maybe over the next one 2 3 years this is going to obviously help Bitcoin and the crypto space if Google continued to ease their rules on ads previously they weren’t allowing ads or they just had very tight restrictive rules around how you can advertise crypto and Bitcoin

On Google and of course well over 80% of the world 90% of the world uses Google those who are online so if we’re getting to this stage where it’s going to be eased then potentially we’ll see more of these sort of ads coming online and then

Of course more of the masses will start to see that as well and if more of the masses are seeing that well they’re probably going to see more about cryptocurrencies and altcoins and we’ll start to see even bigger moves for altcoins as for the altcoin market we’re

Still well and truly on track with our timing we’re looking for a correction or essentially a top and then a correction sometime in quarter 1 of 2024 but in the meantime there’s been absolutely great trading gain so congratulations to all the Tia keman members and tia members

Who are hitting up their gains here with their trades looking specifically at Gan swing analysis that is looking at your tia gain swing indicator which has a 7-Day free trial if you want to understand how to use that indicator to get on board with some of the trades in

The direction of the trend so congrat congratulations to you guys there hitting 1,00% wild 200% 34% on a nice Bitcoin long there 192% and so on and so forth lots and lots of gains here so congratulations to you guys that link again right at thep top here TI G swing indicator 7-Day free

Trial with uh tutorial videos on how to use that as well but if you want to go straight to the source Tia premium is there for you as well so let’s have a look at some of the major signals for the stock markets as we continue on into

This major bull market so we’re looking at the small caps as one of those indicators here as for the smaller cap index it’s lower down on my priority list however it still has reached a new oneyear high so this has happened many times in the past and what we see 12

Months later 80% of the time sorry 79% of the time is a win now the importance to this is when we see that occur so when we see small caps move into a new new 52 we high this is typically advantageous for larger cap stocks as well if you remember the narratives of

2023 a lot were saying that the markets had to collapse because the top seven stocks were moving the markets now the top seven stocks aren’t doing the talking you’ve got the bottom 500 the bottom 2,000 moving so the narratives flips to say well if the bottom are

Moving and the Top’s not moving then we have to collapse so you can really start to put together these ridiculous news headlines where they don’t really understand what they’re talking about but they’re just trying to tell you what isn’t happening so in this case over the following year large cap index was up

83% of the time so basically 8 out of 10 times with a slight Edge out of the 79% win rate for the small caps so basically edging out those small caps there over this next 12 months I’m not saying that the first half of 2024 is basically

Going to be straight up it could be shaking I’ve talked about this quite a lot on the channel here so I’m not going to dive over the top into it again and that’s why I’m looking for some sort of Correction in that first quarter now I’m

Not saying that there has to be a correction tomorrow next week all that sort of stuff I’m looking in that quarter I’m I’m a more of a macro Trader and investor here so if you’re looking at the short-term stuff join the short-term Traders here that are scooping up the gains for their trades

Looking at this TI gain swing indicator on your particular time frame on your chosen markets but for the rest of us looking at the macro picture 12 months later from this point late 2023 to late 2024 typically eight out of 10 times the stock markets have been up now if the

Stock markets are up they’re going to be at even higher prices in even higher all-time high territory think about that for a moment when we see these markets going to all-time high territory this typically signals massive risk on for Bitcoin and crypto so I’m a massive bull

Over the next couple of years even though this first half of 2024 could potentially be a little bit shaky and we’ve seen shaky before in these markets as we lead out of an all-time high that’s what I’m going to go through with you guys in just a moment so that’s the

First piece of major news there you’ve got the small caps reaching 52 we highs and typically this is a great sign for the stock markets now remember the time frames we’re looking at here 12 months first half maybe not so easy but I think that last half of 2024 is also going to

Be pretty significant now the other piece here which a narrative could attent potentially form and you’ll see the recession BS again and all this sort of fearful stuff coming out is of course the interest rates now the interest rates have paused for the last couple of months since July we’ve had another

Reading there 6 weeks later something like September and then December and we’ve got another one coming up here this is for the US now the fear here is that if the interest rates roll over then the market is also going to roll over and people typically point to the

Past and say this happened every single time which is absolute garbage you have roughly 40e Cycles in interest rates now you can take this data back hundreds of years and it typically lasts sort of 30 to 40 years up 30 to 40 years down unfortunately we don’t have all of that

Data here in in the trading view but we can look back to the 80s I typically take these things back as far as the data will allow me and I’ve gone back in previous videos and also shown you that as well maybe you’ve seen those videos

But nonetheless you can have a look for yourself take my word or go and do the research we have seen the 80s down into the 2000s there’s roughly your 30 35 years now we started to head back back up in the mid teens so the mid-2010s and now we’re really starting

To see it push a little higher however this is pretty much where interest rates have been over the last 30 odd years this could be the start of the next 30 to 40 years cycle to the upside we’ll leave all of the thoughts and the questions for another video because yes

I understand that does bring on a lot of thoughts and more questions saying how can anyone ever afford this how can properties continue up etc etc now we’ve covered that but I’ll I’ll touch on that in future videos for now we just want to have a look at these interest rates and

The potential of the narrative shifting and spooking the masses to think that the markets are going to fall again all I want to direct your attention to is markets Rising you can see here in the 90s and this is what I typically reference back if I don’t show

You charts you can see interest rates Rose and the markets went up interest rates Rising markets going up interest rates Rising markets going up remember when we we saw interest rates Rising everyone said well markets falling typically markets always fall if interest rates go up because no one can

Afford anything again it was proven absolutely incorrect because pretty much people just look back to one cycle maybe a year or so so we also had interest rates falling and falling and falling you can see from 1995 to 1999 that’s four years of interest rates pausing and

Falling yet the market continued up sure it was the tech boom nonetheless the interest rates went up now interest rates also went up when the market started to fall then they went down and the market was still falling then they paused and went up the market went up so

All I’m saying here is interest rates can pause go up go down and the market will do what it wants to do the main thing is where are we in the cycle we are in the final stage of the 18.6 Year real estate cycle which essentially means these markets are going to go

Ballistic over the next couple of years which is a symptom of a major collapse that will form after this point will basically will come into effect after this ridiculous bull market this everything bull market that we that we are in so that’s my update for the interest rates because I suspect that

Narrative is going to be a big thing for 2024 maybe we pause maybe we come down a little bit everyone’s going to expect the market to come down and maybe that’s our six our first six months of 20124 and that’s all we can think about so

That’s our next big piece there we need to get on to what’s going on for the Dow Jones as it potentially is going to close at a new all-time high price on the monthly chart this could be one of the most massive and significant events for 2023 the Dow Jones closing it in

All-time high territory so what has happened in the past when the Dow Jones has closed at alltime high territories to bitcoin what happens next with Bitcoin so let’s take it back to the previous cycle there’s a couple of things to look at here we can see the

Dow Jones in alltime high territory here closing in alltime high territory in on November 2019 it then then collapsed and we had the pandemic low for Bitcoin it was a higher low but for the stock markets it was a lower low then the market went up pretty fast we had a nice v-shaped

Recovery and this is pretty much the point there at November 2020 when it then closed above those that top of February 2020 and then went on to that new all-time high Bitcoin also had a new all-time high at this point here November 2020 so 12 months later was the

Bitcoin Peak then the previous cycle to that we had a new all-time high monthly close in 2016 July 2016 if you remember your history July 2016 was the Haring event there is July 2016 a few months later then we had the breakout in November of 2016 so a few months later we had

November 2016 and then the significant breakout of these tops this was a closing above the tops we had a few months down and then the market wanted to react from that point and basically go ballistic into a new all-time high so I’m going to measure from the first

Close and then also this November period November 2016 because that was essentially the time of the election Trump got in markets flew from that point as well so we can see it was 17 months from the first time it closed in new alltime high alltime high territory

And then it was 13 months from that November point in 2016 let’s take a look back to the previous cycle as well now this one is a little bit scarier in terms of a time frame but I want to direct your attention to some other time

Frames further back you can see the top here in December 2013 so that was the BTC top back here that’s your top here there for Bitcoin here is your top here now for the Dow Jones 9 months earlier was when Dow Jones closed in new all-time high territory but remember

This was after the global financial crisis and the market had to take a little longer to recuperate to then break into new all-time high territories so if we look back to the point where the market pretty much had its first significant selloff we could say that 2010 was also a significant sell-off but

In 2011 we had a a very significant sell-off and by very significant we can measure that range was roughly 19% so nearly a bare Market when you look at the uh 20% rule from those levels and then the breakout and close above those tops that gives you 22

Months so that’s looking a little bit healthier from that point now Bitcoin did put in a higher low from there so there’s the Bitcoin low in roughly October 2010 then you had the higher low uh for BTC so that’s at this point here after that significant 90% selloff break

Into new all-time high for the Dow Jones and for Bitcoin and then that top happened a few months later from where we currently sit we can see that there are several numbers here we’ve got the 12 months but if we take it back to this period here where it just broke out of

The tops before covid well we can bring it back and we can see it’s roughly 24 to 25 months now to the previous cycle we only have a 17mon reading there but for this first cycle you can go all the way back to roughly about 22 months Bitcoin top the breakout of this

Significant top before the collapse and of course this was under the all-time high but we had the GFC which is absolutely crazy big event so if we start to measure out now those time frames we had 2425 we had a 17 and we had a 22 so

Somewhere in that sort of midh 20mon period or that 17 month where we can start to look at if this is a all-time high close here for the Dow Jones let’s go at 17 months and this could potentially be that Bitcoin alltime High may 2025 May 2025 I have not talked about a

Top for Bitcoin in May 2025 it is relatively early in the cycle but when it comes to our analysis looking back in the past to forecast the future we want to keep some of these options open so there’s 25 May 2025 now let’s look at 22 months through to 25 months there’s your

22 months at October 2025 definitely a time frame that we’ve been looking at 24 is at December and 25 months is actually January 2026 so pretty close to the end of 2025 there so really the standout one to me here is May of 2025 so to keep our

Minds open that potentially we see that top slightly earlier however even if that is the case even if we saw a May 2025 case the total time from the low to May there we are May 2025 is still 30 months so we’re still on on the left

Hand side of the 4year cycle so 4year cycle is roughly 48 months that is measured low to low this is not the harving cycle this is not any of these other four-year weird cycles that people talk about this is the heurst cycle low to low is what the measure is if you

Peak on the second half of the four years you’ve got a left uh sorry a right hand translated cycle right hand translated cycle which is still a bullish signal if it’s on the left hand cycle means the top came early which means the momentum is running out

Relatively soon so it’s a bad thing to get a top early so with either event it’s still happening in 2025 and it’s still going to be on that stronger side one is just earlier and I like to come up with things that maybe I haven’t thought of before to measure out some of

These time frames because maybe it catches Everyone by surprise and we get a May top or a mid-year top rather than an endof year top so I’m going to keep both of these on my own watch list to remind us of what might come in the future future but nonetheless it seems

Like 2025 is is more likely that time frame now you can see the time frames did come out in that later half of 2025 so there’s more pressure there than there is in the mid of the year so I’m not treating them equally I’m treating

The end of the year as more likely and the mid year something to keep a lookout for we’ve covered a lot of ground in today’s video looking at three huge signals for the stock markets in 2024 and potentially how Bitcoin reacts to these major events we have the small

Caps for the stock markets breaking into fresh oneyear highs and what this means for the stock market I’ve covered interest rates here looking at potential 40-year cycles of the interest rates going up and then back down and then of course as Cycles do potentially continue up and what I think narratives might

Start to pop up in 2024 is we’re always hearing about some other ridiculous narrative and then I’ve also gone through the Dow Jones monthly close here because this could be the first time since the pandemic that we’ve seen a new higher monthly close or a new all-time

Higher monthly close which is very very significant to risk on markets there is one other major thing I wanted to get through but I’m going to leave that for another video and of course get you to like And subscribe so you can join us back here for this other piece of

Information you got enough to digest in this one here and enough gold to go and check out in the video description with 7-Day free trial for the ti gain swing indicator you can join our Tia members smashing up their profits here or you can join us back here on the channel for

Another macro cycle analysis video thanks once again guys I’ll see you back here real soon hope you had a fantastic Christmas and having a great holiday if you are taking some time off until then take care and peace out